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Marion Baber to see 120+ carries in 2006 (1 Viewer)

Righetti

Footballguy
July 23, 2006, 23:28 Cowboys :: RBCowboys RB Barber To See 120+ Carries In 2006?Jean-Jacques Taylor, Dallas Morning News, via The Sporting News - [Full Article]Dallas Cowboys running back Marion Barber III is a favorite of head coach Bill Parcells, and it is being reported that Barber should expect to get at least 120 rushing attempts with the team in 2006.
the cowboys rushed 521 times last year479 of those rushes came from RB'sthe #'s went as suchBarber: 138 carriesJJ: 257 carriesPolite: 2 carriesAnthony Thomas: 36 carriesTyson Thompson: 46 carrriesif Barber gets 120-140.. that would leave about 260-280 for Julius, assuming that the RB3 and RB4's of the team get less than the 84 carries they got last year.now.. JJ is going to have to improve on that 3.9YPC
 
Given that Barber had more than 120 touches last year, and given how Parcells likes the guy, this isn't really news.

let's say Julius gets 270, he will need 4.5 ypc to break 1200 yards. Presumably, Barber willget short-yardage and goaline work, so Julius may have a ceiling of about 1200 and say 7 TDs - and a floor of losing his job and becoming the change-of-pace guy, with about 150-180 carries at best.

 
Given that Barber had more than 120 touches last year, and given how Parcells likes the guy, this isn't really news.

let's say Julius gets 270, he will need 4.5 ypc to break 1200 yards. Presumably, Barber willget short-yardage and goaline work, so Julius may have a ceiling of about 1200 and say 7 TDs - and a floor of losing his job and becoming the change-of-pace guy, with about 150-180 carries at best.
I didn't really see it as news.. being that he got 138 carries last year.. but if Parcells only sees him getting the rock 120 to 140 times during the year, it would still give JJ enough carries to get to 1250 rushing yards..which I think (after last year's season) JJ owners would be happy with.
 
It works out to about 7.5 carries/game. Not really news since we already knew that Barber was going to get 3rd down/short yardage duty.

 
I'm projecting this for Julius Jones:

275 carries, 1155 yds, 4.2 ypc, 6 TDs

35 catches, 230yds, 1 TD

1,385 total yards from scrimmage, 7 TDs.

That's 181 points, which would have been 13th in the league last season, sandwiched between Warrick Dunn and Willis McGahee. Strangely enough, as my projections currently stand, that places JJ at number 17, sandwiched between the same two guys, McGahee and Dunn, just in different order. Weird.

 
It works out to about 7.5 carries/game.  Not really news since we already knew that Barber was going to get 3rd down/short yardage duty.
I think that the "news" is that SportingNews is saying that we should not expect MBIII to get a bigger role, thus (hopefully) allowing JJ to produce as a fantasy team's RB2
 
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It works out to about 7.5 carries/game.  Not really news since we already knew that Barber was going to get 3rd down/short yardage duty.
I think that the "news" is that SportingNews is saying that we should not expect MBIII to get a bigger role, thus (hopefully) allowing JJ to produce as a fantasy team's RB2
I have been screaming at the top of my lungs for months now about this.People hear what they want to.

Julius = 18-22 carries a game.

MB 3 =5-7 carries a game.

 
It works out to about 7.5 carries/game.  Not really news since we already knew that Barber was going to get 3rd down/short yardage duty.
I think that the "news" is that SportingNews is saying that we should not expect MBIII to get a bigger role, thus (hopefully) allowing JJ to produce as a fantasy team's RB2
I have been screaming at the top of my lungs for months now about this.People hear what they want to.

Julius = 18-22 carries a game.

MB 3 =5-7 carries a game.
If they say MB3 will get 120+ carries per game at worst he will recieve 120 for the year. 120/3 = 7.5 carries per game.Bankerguy, are you saying Barber only gets 80-112 carries for the season and Jones gets 288-352 carries when his previous high is 252?? Thats a lot of carries for someone who will only see the field for 2 downs and has never played an NFL season without missing games.

:thumbdown:

 
I look at the 120 touches for MBIII as a "floor" with additional touches for (a) injury (we know JJ has missed significant time in both his 1st and 2nd seasons) and (b) depending on the flow of the game (I can't see Tuna replacing MBIII in a series if he's rolling). I would expect somewhere between 170 - 180 touches for about 4.2 giving him about 730 yds and 5-6 TD's.

 
It works out to about 7.5 carries/game.  Not really news since we already knew that Barber was going to get 3rd down/short yardage duty.
I think that the "news" is that SportingNews is saying that we should not expect MBIII to get a bigger role, thus (hopefully) allowing JJ to produce as a fantasy team's RB2
I have been screaming at the top of my lungs for months now about this.People hear what they want to.

Julius = 18-22 carries a game.

MB 3 =5-7 carries a game.
If they say MB3 will get 120+ carries per game at worst he will recieve 120 for the year. 120/3 = 7.5 carries per game.Bankerguy, are you saying Barber only gets 80-112 carries for the season and Jones gets 288-352 carries when his previous high is 252?? Thats a lot of carries for someone who will only see the field for 2 downs and has never played an NFL season without missing games.

:thumbdown:
Pretty damn close....let's not be anal.Go check my previous posts on the subject.

 
It works out to about 7.5 carries/game.  Not really news since we already knew that Barber was going to get 3rd down/short yardage duty.
I think that the "news" is that SportingNews is saying that we should not expect MBIII to get a bigger role, thus (hopefully) allowing JJ to produce as a fantasy team's RB2
I have been screaming at the top of my lungs for months now about this.People hear what they want to.

Julius = 18-22 carries a game.

MB 3 =5-7 carries a game.
If they say MB3 will get 120+ carries per game at worst he will recieve 120 for the year. 120/3 = 7.5 carries per game.Bankerguy, are you saying Barber only gets 80-112 carries for the season and Jones gets 288-352 carries when his previous high is 252?? Thats a lot of carries for someone who will only see the field for 2 downs and has never played an NFL season without missing games.

:thumbdown:
Pretty damn close....let's not be anal.Go check my previous posts on the subject.
:goodposting: :thumbdown: :thumbdown: For screaming at the top of your lungs for months I thought you would have a better answer.
 
It works out to about 7.5 carries/game.  Not really news since we already knew that Barber was going to get 3rd down/short yardage duty.
I think that the "news" is that SportingNews is saying that we should not expect MBIII to get a bigger role, thus (hopefully) allowing JJ to produce as a fantasy team's RB2
I have been screaming at the top of my lungs for months now about this.People hear what they want to.

Julius = 18-22 carries a game.

MB 3 =5-7 carries a game.
If they say MB3 will get 120+ carries per game at worst he will recieve 120 for the year. 120/3 = 7.5 carries per game.Bankerguy, are you saying Barber only gets 80-112 carries for the season and Jones gets 288-352 carries when his previous high is 252?? Thats a lot of carries for someone who will only see the field for 2 downs and has never played an NFL season without missing games.

:thumbdown:
Pretty damn close....let's not be anal.Go check my previous posts on the subject.
:goodposting: :thumbdown: :thumbdown: For screaming at the top of your lungs for months I thought you would have a better answer.
Go check out the following threads.....Oh and :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: at giving me a :thumbdown: ..... weak.

If you would like to debate the Cowboys let me know, I'll be here waiting. I'll talk slowly so you can follow along.

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=250980&hl=

or

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=250980&hl=

or

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=250980&hl=

or

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=237337&hl=

 
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Just as an FYI to all who are piling on Bankerguy.

We had a great debate on Jones ~ vs ~ Barber in this thread You Thought Julius Drove You Crazy in 05.

Bankerguy went over to a Cowboys message board (where all of the posters certainly have their finger on the pulse of the Cowboys) and unbiasedly posed the question of how the RB split would shake out.

Now I'm not saying all those Cowboy homers were right, but Bankerguy reported back with a cut & paste that the majority felt it was JJ's job, with spot relief from Barber.

Just giving you guys an idea of the extent Bankerguy has gone to, in forming his opinion on the matter. He's not just shooting from the hip, the man has done his homework and has a legitimate argument based on more than just his own personal feelings.

 
Given that Barber had more than 120 touches last year, and given how Parcells likes the guy, this isn't really news.

let's say Julius gets 270, he will need 4.5 ypc to break 1200 yards. Presumably, Barber willget short-yardage and goaline work, so Julius may have a ceiling of about 1200 and say 7 TDs - and a floor of losing his job and becoming the change-of-pace guy, with about 150-180 carries at best.
Dallas is yet another RBBC team..Barber is a sprained ankle away from being a top 15 RB.

 
Just as an FYI to all who are piling on Bankerguy.

We had a great debate on Jones ~ vs ~ Barber in this thread You Thought Julius Drove You Crazy in 05.

Bankerguy went over to a Cowboys message board (where all of the posters certainly have their finger on the pulse of the Cowboys) and unbiasedly posed the question of how the RB split would shake out.

Now I'm not saying all those Cowboy homers were right, but Bankerguy reported back with a cut & paste that the majority felt it was JJ's job, with spot relief from Barber.

Just giving you guys an idea of the extent Bankerguy has gone to, in forming his opinion on the matter. He's not just shooting from the hip, the man has done his homework and has a legitimate argument based on more than just his own personal feelings.
I agree with Bankerguy and others that say that JJ is the starter, I don't think there is much dispute there. The way I see it now is that JJ gets the ball on 1st and 2nd down, and Barber comes in for breathers, short yardage and 3rd downs. My issue is risk and this situation screams of risk. Not many teams have their #1 RB with his injury history coupled with the fact that the #2 filled in just as well in the starters absense AND the coach is on record multiple times saying how much he likes what Barber brings and that JJ needs to stay healthy. We all know that RB's get banged up during the year and the big issue I see is that if JJ is hobbled with a nagging groin or hammy that Parcells will throw Barber in without hesitation. Most others starters will not have the short leash that JJ will have this year.

So no 3rd downs/short yardage, limited goal line, short leash, injury history = significant risk/limited upside.

 
Just as an FYI to all who are piling on Bankerguy.

We had a great debate on Jones ~ vs ~ Barber in this thread You Thought Julius Drove You Crazy in 05.

Bankerguy went over to a Cowboys message board (where all of the posters certainly have their finger on the pulse of the Cowboys) and unbiasedly posed the question of how the RB split would shake out.

Now I'm not saying all those Cowboy homers were right, but Bankerguy reported back with a cut & paste that the majority felt it was JJ's job, with spot relief from Barber.

Just giving you guys an idea of the extent Bankerguy has gone to, in forming his opinion on the matter. He's not just shooting from the hip, the man has done his homework and has a legitimate argument based on more than just his own personal feelings.
I agree with Bankerguy and others that say that JJ is the starter, I don't think there is much dispute there. The way I see it now is that JJ gets the ball on 1st and 2nd down, and Barber comes in for breathers, short yardage and 3rd downs. My issue is risk and this situation screams of risk. Not many teams have their #1 RB with his injury history coupled with the fact that the #2 filled in just as well in the starters absense AND the coach is on record multiple times saying how much he likes what Barber brings and that JJ needs to stay healthy. We all know that RB's get banged up during the year and the big issue I see is that if JJ is hobbled with a nagging groin or hammy that Parcells will throw Barber in without hesitation. Most others starters will not have the short leash that JJ will have this year.

So no 3rd downs/short yardage, limited goal line, short leash, injury history = significant risk/limited upside.
Totally agree about the risk factor with JJ. Drafting him is boom or bust.I haven't seen or heard anything about MB3 gettting short yardage. Care to explain that one?

 
Just as an FYI to all who are piling on Bankerguy.

We had a great debate on Jones ~ vs ~ Barber in this thread You Thought Julius Drove You Crazy in 05.

Bankerguy went over to a Cowboys message board (where all of the posters certainly have their finger on the pulse of the Cowboys) and unbiasedly posed the question of how the RB split would shake out.

Now I'm not saying all those Cowboy homers were right, but Bankerguy reported back with a cut & paste that the majority felt it was JJ's job, with spot relief from Barber.

Just giving you guys an idea of the extent Bankerguy has gone to, in forming his opinion on the matter. He's not just shooting from the hip, the man has done his homework and has a legitimate argument based on more than just his own personal feelings.
I agree with Bankerguy and others that say that JJ is the starter, I don't think there is much dispute there. The way I see it now is that JJ gets the ball on 1st and 2nd down, and Barber comes in for breathers, short yardage and 3rd downs. My issue is risk and this situation screams of risk. Not many teams have their #1 RB with his injury history coupled with the fact that the #2 filled in just as well in the starters absense AND the coach is on record multiple times saying how much he likes what Barber brings and that JJ needs to stay healthy. We all know that RB's get banged up during the year and the big issue I see is that if JJ is hobbled with a nagging groin or hammy that Parcells will throw Barber in without hesitation. Most others starters will not have the short leash that JJ will have this year.

So no 3rd downs/short yardage, limited goal line, short leash, injury history = significant risk/limited upside.
Totally agree about the risk factor with JJ. Drafting him is boom or bust.I haven't seen or heard anything about MB3 gettting short yardage. Care to explain that one?
Sure, I looked at the game logs after both were on the field from week 11 through the end of the season.J. Jones

Week 11 vs. DET

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 13:16 0 - 0 2nd-and-1 opp 45 rushed for 0 yards

1 12:11 0 - 0 1st-and-10 opp 42 rushed for -1 yards

1 10:08 0 - 0 2nd-and-4 opp 24 rushed for 3 yards

2 8:04 Jul-00 2nd-and-1 opp 1 rushed for 0 yards

2 7:25 Jul-00 3rd-and-1 opp 1 rushed for 0 yards

3 12:20 13 - 7 2nd-and-5 opp 50 rushed for 0 yards

4 10:28 20 - 7 2nd-and-4 own 46 rushed for 2 yards

4 3:32 20 - 7 2nd-and-4 own 43 rushed for 17 yards (first down)

Week 12 vs. DEN

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 9:12 0 - 0 2nd-and-5 opp 42 rushed for -3 yards

1 5:28 0 - 7 2nd-and-2 opp 22 rushed for 0 yards

4 2:25 21 - 21 2nd-and-2 opp 49 rushed for 1 yards

Week 13 vs. NYG

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

2 1:28 0 - 10 1st-and-5 own 42 caught pass for 1 yards

2 1:22 0 - 10 2nd-and-4 own 43 rushed for 0 yards

3 13:09 0 - 17 2nd-and-2 opp 39 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

3 2:09 17-Oct 2nd-and-2 own 48 rushed for 1 yards

4 11:47 17-Oct 2nd-and-3 own 36 rushed for 2 yards

Week 14 vs. KC

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 8:05 0 - 7 2nd-and-5 opp 47 rushed for 0 yards

1 0:00 0 - 7 2nd-and-1 own 31 rushed for 0 yards

4 14:34 17 - 21 2nd-and-1 opp 18 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

4 0:42 24 - 28 1st-and-3 opp 3 rushed for 2 yards

Week 15 vs. WAS

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 0:00 0 - 7 2nd-and-4 own 35 rushed for 0 yards

Week 16 vs. CAR

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 7:46 0 - 10 1st-and-5 opp 9 rushed for 1 yards

1 7:05 0 - 10 2nd-and-4 opp 8 rushed for 8 yards TOUCHDOWN

1 4:10 10-Jul 2nd-and-1 opp 41 rushed for 4 yards (first down)

1 0:40 10-Jul 2nd-and-5 opp 45 rushed for -1 yards

2 13:44 10-Jul 2nd-and-5 opp 21 rushed for 7 yards (first down)

2 6:14 13-Oct 2nd-and-1 own 31 rushed for 2 yards (first down)

2 0:44 13-Oct 2nd-and-3 opp 50 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

3 2:15 17 - 13 2nd-and-5 own 25 rushed for 4 yards

Week 17 vs. STL

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 9:34 0 - 0 2nd-and-4 opp 46 rushed for 0 yards

2 0:17 10-Jul 3rd-and-3 opp 7 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

M. Barber

Week 11 vs. DET

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 9:30 0 - 0 3rd-and-1 opp 21 rushed for 1 yards (first down)

3 3:06 13 - 7 1st-and-4 opp 4 rushed for 0 yards

3 2:27 13 - 7 2nd-and-4 opp 4 rushed for 4 yards TOUCHDOWN

4 9:47 20 - 7 3rd-and-2 own 48 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

Week 12 vs. DEN

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

2 13:33 14-Jul 2nd-and-2 own 29 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

2 6:28 14-Jul 3rd-and-2 opp 22 rushed for 2 yards (first down)

2 5:07 14-Jul 2nd-and-3 opp 13 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

Week 13 vs. NYG

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

3 1:36 17-Oct 3rd-and-1 own 49 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

Week 14 vs. KC

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 7:26 0 - 7 3rd-and-5 opp 47 rushed for 2 yards

2 14:04 0 - 7 3rd-and-1 own 31 rushed for 28 yards (first down)

2 11:27 0 - 7 2nd-and-5 opp 24 rushed for 2 yards

4 2:31 24 - 28 2nd-and-1 opp 46 rushed for 8 yards (first down)

Week 15 vs. WAS

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

3 5:28 0 - 35 2nd-and-2 own 17 rushed for 4 yards (first down)

4 14:20 0 - 35 3rd-and-2 opp 6 rushed for 1 yards

4 13:35 0 - 35 4th-and-1 opp 5 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

4 12:55 0 - 35 1st-and-2 opp 2 rushed for 0 yards

4 2:00 Jul-35 3rd-and-2 opp 43 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

Week 16 vs. CAR

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

2 11:45 10-Jul 3rd-and-3 opp 7 rushed for 1 yards

Week 17 vs. STL

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 8:50 0 - 0 3rd-and-4 opp 46 rushed for 1 yards

3 1:45 10-Oct 2nd-and-2 own 28 rushed for 1 yards

So basically, JJ had 31 opportunities on 1st, 2nd, 3rd down of 5 yards or less and was "successful" (1st down/TD) on 9 (29%) and on 13 of the carries he got - or 0 yards. Keep in mind that the majority of these were of 2nd and 5 in the middle of the field type carries and not traditional "short yardage" carries where the team is looking to get the 1st down. Over the entire 2nd half of season JJ only got 2 3rd and short carries and converted on 1.

Barber on the other hand had 20 opportunities on 1st, 2nd, 3rd down of 5 yards or less and was "successful" (1st down/TD) on 12 (60%) and only 2 times got - or 0 yards. Barber had 8 opportunities in 3rd/4th and 3 or less yards and converted on 7 of them.

To say JJ was horrible in comparison to Barber is an understatement. Those facts as well as the fact that Barber is a more prototypical short yardage back in that he runs well between the tackles (accrdg to Parcells) much better than JJ.

 
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It works out to about 7.5 carries/game.  Not really news since we already knew that Barber was going to get 3rd down/short yardage duty.
I think that the "news" is that SportingNews is saying that we should not expect MBIII to get a bigger role, thus (hopefully) allowing JJ to produce as a fantasy team's RB2
I have been screaming at the top of my lungs for months now about this.People hear what they want to.

Julius = 18-22 carries a game.

MB 3 =5-7 carries a game.
If they say MB3 will get 120+ carries per game at worst he will recieve 120 for the year. 120/3 = 7.5 carries per game.Bankerguy, are you saying Barber only gets 80-112 carries for the season and Jones gets 288-352 carries when his previous high is 252?? Thats a lot of carries for someone who will only see the field for 2 downs and has never played an NFL season without missing games.

:thumbdown:
Pretty damn close....let's not be anal.Go check my previous posts on the subject.
:goodposting: :thumbdown: :thumbdown: For screaming at the top of your lungs for months I thought you would have a better answer.
Go check out the following threads.....Oh and :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: at giving me a :thumbdown: ..... weak.

If you would like to debate the Cowboys let me know, I'll be here waiting. I'll talk slowly so you can follow along.

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=250980&hl=

or

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=250980&hl=

or

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=250980&hl=

or

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=237337&hl=
So I state that your math doesn't add up and you get very imature on us all. :thumbup: I do believe JJ will be the starter, however chances are that Barber starts at some point this year because of injury.

 
IIRC, there was some video associated with this conspiracy theory. Something along the lines of Vinatieri or other Patriots gaining access to the K Balls or Vinatieri bringing his own ball onto the field.
Just as an FYI to all who are piling on Bankerguy.

We had a great debate on Jones ~ vs ~ Barber in this thread You Thought Julius Drove You Crazy in 05.

Bankerguy went over to a Cowboys message board (where all of the posters certainly have their finger on the pulse of the Cowboys) and unbiasedly posed the question of how the RB split would shake out.

Now I'm not saying all those Cowboy homers were right, but Bankerguy reported back with a cut & paste that the majority felt it was JJ's job, with spot relief from Barber.

Just giving you guys an idea of the extent Bankerguy has gone to, in forming his opinion on the matter. He's not just shooting from the hip, the man has done his homework and has a legitimate argument based on more than just his own personal feelings.
I agree with Bankerguy and others that say that JJ is the starter, I don't think there is much dispute there. The way I see it now is that JJ gets the ball on 1st and 2nd down, and Barber comes in for breathers, short yardage and 3rd downs. My issue is risk and this situation screams of risk. Not many teams have their #1 RB with his injury history coupled with the fact that the #2 filled in just as well in the starters absense AND the coach is on record multiple times saying how much he likes what Barber brings and that JJ needs to stay healthy. We all know that RB's get banged up during the year and the big issue I see is that if JJ is hobbled with a nagging groin or hammy that Parcells will throw Barber in without hesitation. Most others starters will not have the short leash that JJ will have this year.

So no 3rd downs/short yardage, limited goal line, short leash, injury history = significant risk/limited upside.
Totally agree about the risk factor with JJ. Drafting him is boom or bust.I haven't seen or heard anything about MB3 gettting short yardage. Care to explain that one?
Sure, I looked at the game logs after both were on the field from week 11 through the end of the season.J. Jones

Week 11 vs. DET

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 13:16 0 - 0 2nd-and-1 opp 45 rushed for 0 yards

1 12:11 0 - 0 1st-and-10 opp 42 rushed for -1 yards

1 10:08 0 - 0 2nd-and-4 opp 24 rushed for 3 yards

2 8:04 Jul-00 2nd-and-1 opp 1 rushed for 0 yards

2 7:25 Jul-00 3rd-and-1 opp 1 rushed for 0 yards

3 12:20 13 - 7 2nd-and-5 opp 50 rushed for 0 yards

4 10:28 20 - 7 2nd-and-4 own 46 rushed for 2 yards

4 3:32 20 - 7 2nd-and-4 own 43 rushed for 17 yards (first down)

Week 12 vs. DEN

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 9:12 0 - 0 2nd-and-5 opp 42 rushed for -3 yards

1 5:28 0 - 7 2nd-and-2 opp 22 rushed for 0 yards

4 2:25 21 - 21 2nd-and-2 opp 49 rushed for 1 yards

Week 13 vs. NYG

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

2 1:28 0 - 10 1st-and-5 own 42 caught pass for 1 yards

2 1:22 0 - 10 2nd-and-4 own 43 rushed for 0 yards

3 13:09 0 - 17 2nd-and-2 opp 39 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

3 2:09 17-Oct 2nd-and-2 own 48 rushed for 1 yards

4 11:47 17-Oct 2nd-and-3 own 36 rushed for 2 yards

Week 14 vs. KC

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 8:05 0 - 7 2nd-and-5 opp 47 rushed for 0 yards

1 0:00 0 - 7 2nd-and-1 own 31 rushed for 0 yards

4 14:34 17 - 21 2nd-and-1 opp 18 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

4 0:42 24 - 28 1st-and-3 opp 3 rushed for 2 yards

Week 15 vs. WAS

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 0:00 0 - 7 2nd-and-4 own 35 rushed for 0 yards

Week 16 vs. CAR

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 7:46 0 - 10 1st-and-5 opp 9 rushed for 1 yards

1 7:05 0 - 10 2nd-and-4 opp 8 rushed for 8 yards TOUCHDOWN

1 4:10 10-Jul 2nd-and-1 opp 41 rushed for 4 yards (first down)

1 0:40 10-Jul 2nd-and-5 opp 45 rushed for -1 yards

2 13:44 10-Jul 2nd-and-5 opp 21 rushed for 7 yards (first down)

2 6:14 13-Oct 2nd-and-1 own 31 rushed for 2 yards (first down)

2 0:44 13-Oct 2nd-and-3 opp 50 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

3 2:15 17 - 13 2nd-and-5 own 25 rushed for 4 yards

Week 17 vs. STL

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 9:34 0 - 0 2nd-and-4 opp 46 rushed for 0 yards

2 0:17 10-Jul 3rd-and-3 opp 7 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

M. Barber

Week 11 vs. DET

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 9:30 0 - 0 3rd-and-1 opp 21 rushed for 1 yards (first down)

3 3:06 13 - 7 1st-and-4 opp 4 rushed for 0 yards

3 2:27 13 - 7 2nd-and-4 opp 4 rushed for 4 yards TOUCHDOWN

4 9:47 20 - 7 3rd-and-2 own 48 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

Week 12 vs. DEN

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

2 13:33 14-Jul 2nd-and-2 own 29 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

2 6:28 14-Jul 3rd-and-2 opp 22 rushed for 2 yards (first down)

2 5:07 14-Jul 2nd-and-3 opp 13 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

Week 13 vs. NYG

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

3 1:36 17-Oct 3rd-and-1 own 49 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

Week 14 vs. KC

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 7:26 0 - 7 3rd-and-5 opp 47 rushed for 2 yards

2 14:04 0 - 7 3rd-and-1 own 31 rushed for 28 yards (first down)

2 11:27 0 - 7 2nd-and-5 opp 24 rushed for 2 yards

4 2:31 24 - 28 2nd-and-1 opp 46 rushed for 8 yards (first down)

Week 15 vs. WAS

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

3 5:28 0 - 35 2nd-and-2 own 17 rushed for 4 yards (first down)

4 14:20 0 - 35 3rd-and-2 opp 6 rushed for 1 yards

4 13:35 0 - 35 4th-and-1 opp 5 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

4 12:55 0 - 35 1st-and-2 opp 2 rushed for 0 yards

4 2:00 Jul-35 3rd-and-2 opp 43 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

Week 16 vs. CAR

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

2 11:45 10-Jul 3rd-and-3 opp 7 rushed for 1 yards

Week 17 vs. STL

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 8:50 0 - 0 3rd-and-4 opp 46 rushed for 1 yards

3 1:45 10-Oct 2nd-and-2 own 28 rushed for 1 yards

So basically, JJ had 31 opportunities on 1st, 2nd, 3rd down of 5 yards or less and was "successful" (1st down/TD) on 9 (29%) and on 13 of the carries he got - or 0 yards.

Barber on the other hand had 20 opportunities on 1st, 2nd, 3rd down of 5 yards or less and was "successful" (1st down/TD) on 12 (60%) and only 2 times got - or 0 yards.

To say JJ was horrible in comparison to Barber is an understatement. Those facts as well as the fact that Barber is a more prototypical short yardage back in that he runs well between the tackles (accrdg to Parcells) much better than JJ.
Interesting analysis.I would be interested in seeing a breakdown by down.

 
IIRC, there was some video associated with this conspiracy theory.  Something along the lines of Vinatieri or other Patriots gaining access to the K Balls or Vinatieri bringing his own ball onto the field.
Just as an FYI to all who are piling on Bankerguy.

We had a great debate on Jones ~ vs ~ Barber in this thread You Thought Julius Drove You Crazy in 05.

Bankerguy went over to a Cowboys message board (where all of the posters certainly have their finger on the pulse of the Cowboys) and unbiasedly posed the question of how the RB split would shake out.

Now I'm not saying all those Cowboy homers were right, but Bankerguy reported back with a cut & paste that the majority felt it was JJ's job, with spot relief from Barber.

Just giving you guys an idea of the extent Bankerguy has gone to, in forming his opinion on the matter. He's not just shooting from the hip, the man has done his homework and has a legitimate argument based on more than just his own personal feelings.
I agree with Bankerguy and others that say that JJ is the starter, I don't think there is much dispute there. The way I see it now is that JJ gets the ball on 1st and 2nd down, and Barber comes in for breathers, short yardage and 3rd downs. My issue is risk and this situation screams of risk. Not many teams have their #1 RB with his injury history coupled with the fact that the #2 filled in just as well in the starters absense AND the coach is on record multiple times saying how much he likes what Barber brings and that JJ needs to stay healthy. We all know that RB's get banged up during the year and the big issue I see is that if JJ is hobbled with a nagging groin or hammy that Parcells will throw Barber in without hesitation. Most others starters will not have the short leash that JJ will have this year.

So no 3rd downs/short yardage, limited goal line, short leash, injury history = significant risk/limited upside.
Totally agree about the risk factor with JJ. Drafting him is boom or bust.I haven't seen or heard anything about MB3 gettting short yardage. Care to explain that one?
Sure, I looked at the game logs after both were on the field from week 11 through the end of the season.J. Jones

Week 11 vs. DET

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 13:16 0 - 0 2nd-and-1 opp 45 rushed for 0 yards

1 12:11 0 - 0 1st-and-10 opp 42 rushed for -1 yards

1 10:08 0 - 0 2nd-and-4 opp 24 rushed for 3 yards

2 8:04 Jul-00 2nd-and-1 opp 1 rushed for 0 yards

2 7:25 Jul-00 3rd-and-1 opp 1 rushed for 0 yards

3 12:20 13 - 7 2nd-and-5 opp 50 rushed for 0 yards

4 10:28 20 - 7 2nd-and-4 own 46 rushed for 2 yards

4 3:32 20 - 7 2nd-and-4 own 43 rushed for 17 yards (first down)

Week 12 vs. DEN

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 9:12 0 - 0 2nd-and-5 opp 42 rushed for -3 yards

1 5:28 0 - 7 2nd-and-2 opp 22 rushed for 0 yards

4 2:25 21 - 21 2nd-and-2 opp 49 rushed for 1 yards

Week 13 vs. NYG

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

2 1:28 0 - 10 1st-and-5 own 42 caught pass for 1 yards

2 1:22 0 - 10 2nd-and-4 own 43 rushed for 0 yards

3 13:09 0 - 17 2nd-and-2 opp 39 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

3 2:09 17-Oct 2nd-and-2 own 48 rushed for 1 yards

4 11:47 17-Oct 2nd-and-3 own 36 rushed for 2 yards

Week 14 vs. KC

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 8:05 0 - 7 2nd-and-5 opp 47 rushed for 0 yards

1 0:00 0 - 7 2nd-and-1 own 31 rushed for 0 yards

4 14:34 17 - 21 2nd-and-1 opp 18 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

4 0:42 24 - 28 1st-and-3 opp 3 rushed for 2 yards

Week 15 vs. WAS

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 0:00 0 - 7 2nd-and-4 own 35 rushed for 0 yards

Week 16 vs. CAR

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 7:46 0 - 10 1st-and-5 opp 9 rushed for 1 yards

1 7:05 0 - 10 2nd-and-4 opp 8 rushed for 8 yards TOUCHDOWN

1 4:10 10-Jul 2nd-and-1 opp 41 rushed for 4 yards (first down)

1 0:40 10-Jul 2nd-and-5 opp 45 rushed for -1 yards

2 13:44 10-Jul 2nd-and-5 opp 21 rushed for 7 yards (first down)

2 6:14 13-Oct 2nd-and-1 own 31 rushed for 2 yards (first down)

2 0:44 13-Oct 2nd-and-3 opp 50 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

3 2:15 17 - 13 2nd-and-5 own 25 rushed for 4 yards

Week 17 vs. STL

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 9:34 0 - 0 2nd-and-4 opp 46 rushed for 0 yards

2 0:17 10-Jul 3rd-and-3 opp 7 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

M. Barber

Week 11 vs. DET

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 9:30 0 - 0 3rd-and-1 opp 21 rushed for 1 yards (first down)

3 3:06 13 - 7 1st-and-4 opp 4 rushed for 0 yards

3 2:27 13 - 7 2nd-and-4 opp 4 rushed for 4 yards TOUCHDOWN

4 9:47 20 - 7 3rd-and-2 own 48 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

Week 12 vs. DEN

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

2 13:33 14-Jul 2nd-and-2 own 29 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

2 6:28 14-Jul 3rd-and-2 opp 22 rushed for 2 yards (first down)

2 5:07 14-Jul 2nd-and-3 opp 13 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

Week 13 vs. NYG

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

3 1:36 17-Oct 3rd-and-1 own 49 rushed for 6 yards (first down)

Week 14 vs. KC

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 7:26 0 - 7 3rd-and-5 opp 47 rushed for 2 yards

2 14:04 0 - 7 3rd-and-1 own 31 rushed for 28 yards (first down)

2 11:27 0 - 7 2nd-and-5 opp 24 rushed for 2 yards

4 2:31 24 - 28 2nd-and-1 opp 46 rushed for 8 yards (first down)

Week 15 vs. WAS

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

3 5:28 0 - 35 2nd-and-2 own 17 rushed for 4 yards (first down)

4 14:20 0 - 35 3rd-and-2 opp 6 rushed for 1 yards

4 13:35 0 - 35 4th-and-1 opp 5 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

4 12:55 0 - 35 1st-and-2 opp 2 rushed for 0 yards

4 2:00 Jul-35 3rd-and-2 opp 43 rushed for 3 yards (first down)

Week 16 vs. CAR

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

2 11:45 10-Jul 3rd-and-3 opp 7 rushed for 1 yards

Week 17 vs. STL

Qtr Time Score Down/Dist Yardline Description

1 8:50 0 - 0 3rd-and-4 opp 46 rushed for 1 yards

3 1:45 10-Oct 2nd-and-2 own 28 rushed for 1 yards

So basically, JJ had 31 opportunities on 1st, 2nd, 3rd down of 5 yards or less and was "successful" (1st down/TD) on 9 (29%) and on 13 of the carries he got - or 0 yards.

Barber on the other hand had 20 opportunities on 1st, 2nd, 3rd down of 5 yards or less and was "successful" (1st down/TD) on 12 (60%) and only 2 times got - or 0 yards.

To say JJ was horrible in comparison to Barber is an understatement. Those facts as well as the fact that Barber is a more prototypical short yardage back in that he runs well between the tackles (accrdg to Parcells) much better than JJ.
Interesting analysis.I would be interested in seeing a breakdown by down.
?? what do you mean who got the 1st down carries/2nd down carries?
 
It works out to about 7.5 carries/game.  Not really news since we already knew that Barber was going to get 3rd down/short yardage duty.
I think that the "news" is that SportingNews is saying that we should not expect MBIII to get a bigger role, thus (hopefully) allowing JJ to produce as a fantasy team's RB2
I have been screaming at the top of my lungs for months now about this.People hear what they want to.

Julius = 18-22 carries a game.

MB 3 =5-7 carries a game.
If they say MB3 will get 120+ carries per game at worst he will recieve 120 for the year. 120/3 = 7.5 carries per game.Bankerguy, are you saying Barber only gets 80-112 carries for the season and Jones gets 288-352 carries when his previous high is 252?? Thats a lot of carries for someone who will only see the field for 2 downs and has never played an NFL season without missing games.

:thumbdown:
Pretty damn close....let's not be anal.Go check my previous posts on the subject.
:goodposting: :thumbdown: :thumbdown: For screaming at the top of your lungs for months I thought you would have a better answer.
Go check out the following threads.....Oh and :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: at giving me a :thumbdown: ..... weak.

If you would like to debate the Cowboys let me know, I'll be here waiting. I'll talk slowly so you can follow along.

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=250980&hl=

or

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=250980&hl=

or

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=250980&hl=

or

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...opic=237337&hl=
So I state that your math doesn't add up and you get very imature on us all. :thumbup: I do believe JJ will be the starter, however chances are that Barber starts at some point this year because of injury.
I see, and giving someone a :thumbdown: is the epitome of mature. Thanks for setting such a great example for us all to follow. If someone calls me out, I am sure to defend my opinion. What did you expect? I thought my first response should have cleared things up, as I didn't feel the need to re-post my entire projections/analysis for JJ and MB3.

Feel free to add something constructive to the coversation instead of focusing on me and trolling.

 
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Banger,

Your analysis is interesting. It does appear that MB3 was more effective.

One thing...I'm not sure I totally agree with the methodology. First and 5 does not seem like short yardage "situation" to me. I will agree that MB3 probably was better in true Goal Line situations or 3rd and short situations. So, I guess what I'm saying is your finding are correct but overstated.... imo.

However, I don't see it changing how Parcells uses his backs. JJ was never taken out at the Goal Line except for 1 game....where he rattled off something like 7 carries for 50 yards to start the game. The last carry being a big one.......in comes Barber at the 4 and punches it in.

 
Banger,

Your analysis is interesting.  It does appear that MB3 was more effective.

One thing...I'm not sure I totally agree with the methodology.  First and 5 does not seem like short yardage "situation" to me.  I will agree that MB3 probably was better in true Goal Line situations or 3rd and short situations.  So, I guess what I'm saying is your finding are correct but overstated.... imo.

However, I don't see it changing how Parcells uses his backs.  JJ was never taken out at the Goal Line except for 1 game....where he rattled off something like 7 carries for 50 yards to start the game.  The last carry being a big one.......in comes Barber at the 4 and punches it in.
I agree that the methodology is flawed but I just wanted to show an apples to apples comparison. If anything it works more in Barbers favor when looking at true short yardage situations since most of JJ's carries were of the 2 and 5 variety. Ok, I looked at their carries over the last 7 weeks (after JJ returned from injury) and this is what I found.....

barber

carries 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

15 9 4 2

10 3 5 2

3 1 2

17 7 6 4

14 6 3 4 1

7 1 2 4

9 6 2 1

75 33 22 19 1

44% 29% 25% 1%

Jones

21 13 8

20 12 7 1

23 12 11

12 6 6

12 7 5

34 20 13 1

15 10 4 1

137 80 54 3

58% 39% 2%

overall 113 76 22 1

Jones 71% 71% 14%

It may look somewhat confusing but basically over the time period Barber got 75 carries to JJ's 137 (65/35 split). Which basically works out to about 11 carries Barber/20 Jones.

Of Jones's 137 carries 58% were on 1st down, 39% on 2nd and 2% on 3rd. On an overall basis, JJ got 71% of 1st down carries, 71% of 2nd down carries and 14% of 3rd down carries.

Note also over the time period both had 2 tds.

 
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He got 138 carries last year, but you need to remember that he started a few games for JJ. If Parcells is projecting 120 this year without taking into account another JJ injury then it would amount to "more work" than last year in relation to how he was used when JJ was healthy. I predict JJ will miss a few games again this year so Barber should surpass his 138 carry total from last year.

 
He got 138 carries last year, but you need to remember that he started a few games for JJ. If Parcells is projecting 120 this year without taking into account another JJ injury then it would amount to "more work" than last year in relation to how he was used when JJ was healthy. I predict JJ will miss a few games again this year so Barber should surpass his 138 carry total from last year.
I predict it's too hard to predict injuries.For me, I'll assume JJ plays all year. If I did draft JJ, I would be sure to get Barber as well.

 
Banger,

Your analysis is interesting.  It does appear that MB3 was more effective.

One thing...I'm not sure I totally agree with the methodology.  First and 5 does not seem like short yardage "situation" to me.  I will agree that MB3 probably was better in true Goal Line situations or 3rd and short situations.  So, I guess what I'm saying is your finding are correct but overstated.... imo.

However, I don't see it changing how Parcells uses his backs.  JJ was never taken out at the Goal Line except for 1 game....where he rattled off something like 7 carries for 50 yards to start the game.  The last carry being a big one.......in comes Barber at the 4 and punches it in.
I agree that the methodology is flawed but I just wanted to show an apples to apples comparison. If anything it works more in Barbers favor when looking at true short yardage situations since most of JJ's carries were of the 2 and 5 variety. Ok, I looked at their carries over the last 7 weeks (after JJ returned from injury) and this is what I found.....

barber

carries 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

15 9 4 2

10 3 5 2

3 1 2

17 7 6 4

14 6 3 4 1

7 1 2 4

9 6 2 1

75 33 22 19 1

44% 29% 25% 1%

Jones

21 13 8

20 12 7 1

23 12 11

12 6 6

12 7 5

34 20 13 1

15 10 4 1

137 80 54 3

58% 39% 2%

overall 113 76 22 1

Jones 71% 71% 14%

It may look somewhat confusing but basically over the time period Barber got 75 carries to JJ's 137 (65/35 split). Which basically works out to about 11 carries Barber/20 Jones.

Of Jones's 137 carries 58% were on 1st down, 39% on 2nd and 2% on 3rd. On an overall basis, JJ got 71% of 1st down carries, 71% of 2nd down carries and 14% of 3rd down carries.

Note also over the time period both had 2 tds.
I'm not arguing with your findings...but why only look at the end of the year?Oh and no need to analyze the start to prove the point. I get it.

 
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He got 138 carries last year, but you need to remember that he started a few games for JJ. If Parcells is projecting 120 this year without taking into account another JJ injury then it would amount to "more work" than last year in relation to how he was used when JJ was healthy. I predict JJ will miss a few games again this year so Barber should surpass his 138 carry total from last year.
I do not think it is fair to bring up the fact that Barber started for Jones in those games without pointing out that Barber had more games inactive than games he started in place of Jones (2 vs 3).http://www.nfl.com/players/playerpage/406023/gamelogs/2005

 
Banger,

Your analysis is interesting.  It does appear that MB3 was more effective.

One thing...I'm not sure I totally agree with the methodology.  First and 5 does not seem like short yardage "situation" to me.  I will agree that MB3 probably was better in true Goal Line situations or 3rd and short situations.  So, I guess what I'm saying is your finding are correct but overstated.... imo.

However, I don't see it changing how Parcells uses his backs.  JJ was never taken out at the Goal Line except for 1 game....where he rattled off something like 7 carries for 50 yards to start the game.  The last carry being a big one.......in comes Barber at the 4 and punches it in.
I agree that the methodology is flawed but I just wanted to show an apples to apples comparison. If anything it works more in Barbers favor when looking at true short yardage situations since most of JJ's carries were of the 2 and 5 variety. Ok, I looked at their carries over the last 7 weeks (after JJ returned from injury) and this is what I found.....

barber

carries 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

15 9 4 2

10 3 5 2

3 1 2

17 7 6 4

14 6 3 4 1

7 1 2 4

9 6 2 1

75 33 22 19 1

44% 29% 25% 1%

Jones

21 13 8

20 12 7 1

23 12 11

12 6 6

12 7 5

34 20 13 1

15 10 4 1

137 80 54 3

58% 39% 2%

overall 113 76 22 1

Jones 71% 71% 14%

It may look somewhat confusing but basically over the time period Barber got 75 carries to JJ's 137 (65/35 split). Which basically works out to about 11 carries Barber/20 Jones.

Of Jones's 137 carries 58% were on 1st down, 39% on 2nd and 2% on 3rd. On an overall basis, JJ got 71% of 1st down carries, 71% of 2nd down carries and 14% of 3rd down carries.

Note also over the time period both had 2 tds.
I'm not arguing with your findings...but why only look at the end of the year?
If you look at the time periods when Jones was the "sole" starter weeks 1-5 he ran for 112-335-2 (3 ypc) while Barber in Jones absense week 6-9 ran for 60-252-2 (4.2 ypc), Barber was better stat wise.Barber was a rookie/unknown at the beginning of the season while JJ was the returning starter and got nearly all the carries as he did at the end of the prior year. JJ gets hurt, opens the door and Barber jumps right through and impresses Parcells and to me that's the only relevant time to look at since he was a non-factor prior to the injury. Once he hits the field though he shows Parcells what he can do and that he can bring things that JJ can't.

Once JJ returns that is the true test to how the tandem will work together, will he continue to be the workhorse that he was at the end of the prior season and the beginning of the season or will Barber's skillset cut into JJ's carries/role.

From reviewing how they were actually used when both were "healthy" after week 10 it looks like Jones is going to share the load with Barber for two reasons: 1) try to keep Jones fresh/healthy 2) Barber is much more effective in short yardage/3rd down situations. Before the injury JJ got nearly 100% of the carries, after the injury he got 65% or 2/3 of the carries.

 
Banger,

Your analysis is interesting.  It does appear that MB3 was more effective.

One thing...I'm not sure I totally agree with the methodology.  First and 5 does not seem like short yardage "situation" to me.  I will agree that MB3 probably was better in true Goal Line situations or 3rd and short situations.  So, I guess what I'm saying is your finding are correct but overstated.... imo.

However, I don't see it changing how Parcells uses his backs.  JJ was never taken out at the Goal Line except for 1 game....where he rattled off something like 7 carries for 50 yards to start the game.  The last carry being a big one.......in comes Barber at the 4 and punches it in.
I agree that the methodology is flawed but I just wanted to show an apples to apples comparison. If anything it works more in Barbers favor when looking at true short yardage situations since most of JJ's carries were of the 2 and 5 variety. Ok, I looked at their carries over the last 7 weeks (after JJ returned from injury) and this is what I found.....

barber

carries 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

15 9 4 2

10 3 5 2

3 1 2

17 7 6 4

14 6 3 4 1

7 1 2 4

9 6 2 1

75 33 22 19 1

44% 29% 25% 1%

Jones

21 13 8

20 12 7 1

23 12 11

12 6 6

12 7 5

34 20 13 1

15 10 4 1

137 80 54 3

58% 39% 2%

overall 113 76 22 1

Jones 71% 71% 14%

It may look somewhat confusing but basically over the time period Barber got 75 carries to JJ's 137 (65/35 split). Which basically works out to about 11 carries Barber/20 Jones.

Of Jones's 137 carries 58% were on 1st down, 39% on 2nd and 2% on 3rd. On an overall basis, JJ got 71% of 1st down carries, 71% of 2nd down carries and 14% of 3rd down carries.

Note also over the time period both had 2 tds.
I'm not arguing with your findings...but why only look at the end of the year?
If you look at the time periods when Jones was the "sole" starter weeks 1-5 he ran for 112-335-2 (3 ypc) while Barber in Jones absense week 6-9 ran for 60-252-2 (4.2 ypc), Barber was better stat wise.Barber was a rookie/unknown at the beginning of the season while JJ was the returning starter and got nearly all the carries as he did at the end of the prior year. JJ gets hurt, opens the door and Barber jumps right through and impresses Parcells and to me that's the only relevant time to look at since he was a non-factor prior to the injury. Once he hits the field though he shows Parcells what he can do and that he can bring things that JJ can't.

Once JJ returns that is the true test to how the tandem will work together, will he continue to be the workhorse that he was at the end of the prior season and the beginning of the season or will Barber's skillset cut into JJ's carries/role.

From reviewing how they were actually used when both were "healthy" after week 10 it looks like Jones is going to share the load with Barber for two reasons: 1) try to keep Jones fresh/healthy 2) Barber is much more effective in short yardage/3rd down situations. Before the injury JJ got nearly 100% of the carries, after the injury he got 65% or 2/3 of the carries.
I really believe through some Cowboy insiders that JJ was still really nursing that high ankle sprain for a number of weeks when he returned. Remember how vocal BP was about JJ returning? I think he returned early and BP was spotting MB3 to keep JJ from re-injuring himself again with the playoffs very much in sight at that time.I've made the following point many times in other threads. Here it goes again, then how do you account for the Carolina game?

Week 16 (Carolina)

JJ......34 for 197 and 2 scores

MB3....6 for 20 (Almost all garabe time).

Playoff lives and season on the line. Parcells certainly didn't "like" MB3 too much then.

 
Banger,

Your analysis is interesting.  It does appear that MB3 was more effective.

One thing...I'm not sure I totally agree with the methodology.  First and 5 does not seem like short yardage "situation" to me.  I will agree that MB3 probably was better in true Goal Line situations or 3rd and short situations.  So, I guess what I'm saying is your finding are correct but overstated.... imo.

However, I don't see it changing how Parcells uses his backs.  JJ was never taken out at the Goal Line except for 1 game....where he rattled off something like 7 carries for 50 yards to start the game.  The last carry being a big one.......in comes Barber at the 4 and punches it in.
I agree that the methodology is flawed but I just wanted to show an apples to apples comparison. If anything it works more in Barbers favor when looking at true short yardage situations since most of JJ's carries were of the 2 and 5 variety. Ok, I looked at their carries over the last 7 weeks (after JJ returned from injury) and this is what I found.....

barber

carries 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

15 9 4 2

10 3 5 2

3 1 2

17 7 6 4

14 6 3 4 1

7 1 2 4

9 6 2 1

75 33 22 19 1

44% 29% 25% 1%

Jones

21 13 8

20 12 7 1

23 12 11

12 6 6

12 7 5

34 20 13 1

15 10 4 1

137 80 54 3

58% 39% 2%

overall 113 76 22 1

Jones 71% 71% 14%

It may look somewhat confusing but basically over the time period Barber got 75 carries to JJ's 137 (65/35 split). Which basically works out to about 11 carries Barber/20 Jones.

Of Jones's 137 carries 58% were on 1st down, 39% on 2nd and 2% on 3rd. On an overall basis, JJ got 71% of 1st down carries, 71% of 2nd down carries and 14% of 3rd down carries.

Note also over the time period both had 2 tds.
I'm not arguing with your findings...but why only look at the end of the year?
If you look at the time periods when Jones was the "sole" starter weeks 1-5 he ran for 112-335-2 (3 ypc) while Barber in Jones absense week 6-9 ran for 60-252-2 (4.2 ypc), Barber was better stat wise.Barber was a rookie/unknown at the beginning of the season while JJ was the returning starter and got nearly all the carries as he did at the end of the prior year. JJ gets hurt, opens the door and Barber jumps right through and impresses Parcells and to me that's the only relevant time to look at since he was a non-factor prior to the injury. Once he hits the field though he shows Parcells what he can do and that he can bring things that JJ can't.

Once JJ returns that is the true test to how the tandem will work together, will he continue to be the workhorse that he was at the end of the prior season and the beginning of the season or will Barber's skillset cut into JJ's carries/role.

From reviewing how they were actually used when both were "healthy" after week 10 it looks like Jones is going to share the load with Barber for two reasons: 1) try to keep Jones fresh/healthy 2) Barber is much more effective in short yardage/3rd down situations. Before the injury JJ got nearly 100% of the carries, after the injury he got 65% or 2/3 of the carries.
I really believe through some Cowboy insiders that JJ was still really nursing that high ankle sprain for a number of weeks when he returned. Remember how vocal BP was about JJ returning? I think he returned early and BP was spotting MB3 to keep JJ from re-injuring himself again with the playoffs very much in sight at that time.I've made the following point many times in other threads. Here it goes again, then how do you account for the Carolina game?

Week 16 (Carolina)

JJ......34 for 197 and 2 scores

MB3....6 for 20 (Almost all garabe time).

Playoff lives and season on the line. Parcells certainly didn't "like" MB3 too much then.
I'm sure you're more knowledgable and follow them closer than I do and I'm sure you are right that JJ was injured when he came back. Just the other day though there was the quote that they wanted to give Barber 120+ carries which was obviously not the case going into last year. Last year JJ was the lone stud sharing with no one. In the beginning of the year over the 4 1/2 games he played he averaged 25.6 carries and over the last 7 games he averaged 19.5, the injury may have been part of the issue but Barber was the biggest change IMO.It's obvious that Parcells likes pieces of each guy, the breakaway speed of Jones and the pounding/pass protection Barber offers.

There could be a ton of reasons why he got those carries, JJ was running great that day, a quick hitting RB matched up better vs. their defense that day, they were consistently moving the ball and in good down/distance situations, etc. Again, I'm not suggesting that Barber is going to be the starter because as long as JJ is healthy he's gonna get the 1st/2nd down carries. The difference IMO is that he will be taken off the field on 3rd downs and in short yardage situations.

 
I'll go on record with:

Julius Jones

Attempts - 290

Yards- 1123

TD's - 9

Catches- 15

Yards- 160

TD's- 1

Marion Barber

Attempts - 104

Yards- 447

TD's - 4

Catches- 15

Yards- 115

TD's- 0

 
Just as an FYI to all who are piling on Bankerguy.

We had a great debate on Jones ~ vs ~ Barber in this thread You Thought Julius Drove You Crazy in 05.

Bankerguy went over to a Cowboys message board (where all of the posters certainly have their finger on the pulse of the Cowboys) and unbiasedly posed the question of how the RB split would shake out.

Now I'm not saying all those Cowboy homers were right, but Bankerguy reported back with a cut & paste that the majority felt it was JJ's job, with spot relief from Barber.

Just giving you guys an idea of the extent Bankerguy has gone to, in forming his opinion on the matter. He's not just shooting from the hip, the man has done his homework and has a legitimate argument based on more than just his own personal feelings.
I agree with Bankerguy and others that say that JJ is the starter, I don't think there is much dispute there. The way I see it now is that JJ gets the ball on 1st and 2nd down, and Barber comes in for breathers, short yardage and 3rd downs. My issue is risk and this situation screams of risk. Not many teams have their #1 RB with his injury history coupled with the fact that the #2 filled in just as well in the starters absense AND the coach is on record multiple times saying how much he likes what Barber brings and that JJ needs to stay healthy. We all know that RB's get banged up during the year and the big issue I see is that if JJ is hobbled with a nagging groin or hammy that Parcells will throw Barber in without hesitation. Most others starters will not have the short leash that JJ will have this year.

So no 3rd downs/short yardage, limited goal line, short leash, injury history = significant risk/limited upside.
Been researching MB3 on the Cowboys message boards. I found the following:MB3 has increased his weight from 212 last year to 220 for this year.

 
I have been screaming at the top of my lungs for months now about this.

People hear what they want to.
or they're just entitled to their own opinion without you telling them they're wrong
 
I'll go on record with:

Julius Jones

Attempts - 290

Yards- 1123

TD's - 9

Catches- 15

Yards- 160

TD's- 1

Marion Barber

Attempts - 104

Yards- 447

TD's - 4

Catches- 15

Yards- 115

TD's- 0
First, I read your posts in the other thread as well as in this one.Why would you project less carries than Barber got last year when the buzz would indicate that he's on the verge of perhaps unseating Jones?

Also, how can you believe that JJ's job is safe based on a week 16 performance, when, on the whole, Barber simply looked like the better back all year? I don't buy these high ankle sprain whispers you speak of, and if I do, I also am forced to buy JJ as a big injury risk.

In fact, JJ averaged a better YPC when he came back than when he went down (4.0 compared to 3.6). I would attribute this directly to Barber's increased role, which kept JJ fresher.

Furthermore, for all of the plusses you mentioned in the Player Spotlight thread, you're projecting him to have a worse YPC? If JJ averages 3.8ypc, he is definitely going to lose his job to Barber.

Yes, Barber only averaged 3.9ypc last year (same as JJ), but he was used largely in short-yardage situations.

In short, if you really believe the job belongs to JJ hands down, then I can definitely understand Barber seeing less than 120+ carries, but if JJ has the job, with all of these additions in TO, 2TE set, Line changes, a solid 3rd down back, etc etc....

Wouldn't you project him for something like 290/1300? Such an inept rusher seems strange for an offense which you believe will aspire to be a dominant pass-first team. That usually would mean increased YPC, as less teams would stack the run.

 
I'll go on record with:

Julius Jones

Attempts - 290

Yards- 1123

TD's - 9

Catches- 15

Yards- 160

TD's- 1

Marion Barber

Attempts - 104

Yards- 447

TD's - 4

Catches- 15

Yards- 115

TD's- 0
First, I read your posts in the other thread as well as in this one.Why would you project less carries than Barber got last year when the buzz would indicate that he's on the verge of perhaps unseating Jones?

Also, how can you believe that JJ's job is safe based on a week 16 performance, when, on the whole, Barber simply looked like the better back all year? I don't buy these high ankle sprain whispers you speak of, and if I do, I also am forced to buy JJ as a big injury risk.

In fact, JJ averaged a better YPC when he came back than when he went down (4.0 compared to 3.6). I would attribute this directly to Barber's increased role, which kept JJ fresher.

Furthermore, for all of the plusses you mentioned in the Player Spotlight thread, you're projecting him to have a worse YPC? If JJ averages 3.8ypc, he is definitely going to lose his job to Barber.

Yes, Barber only averaged 3.9ypc last year (same as JJ), but he was used largely in short-yardage situations.

In short, if you really believe the job belongs to JJ hands down, then I can definitely understand Barber seeing less than 120+ carries, but if JJ has the job, with all of these additions in TO, 2TE set, Line changes, a solid 3rd down back, etc etc....

Wouldn't you project him for something like 290/1300? Such an inept rusher seems strange for an offense which you believe will aspire to be a dominant pass-first team. That usually would mean increased YPC, as less teams would stack the run.
Yikes......Ok to cover some of your pointsMy opinions:

Jones is the "starter" (What ever that means).

JJ will average 18-22 carries a game.

MB3 will get 5-7 carries a game.

Parcells himself has said he expects MB3 to get about 120 carries for the year.

The low YPC (Rationale)

New shift to a 2 TE set. This will constantly mean 8 in the box. The only time this will be a huge benefit is if the Defense tries to go small and bring in extra DB's to cover the pass. Then, in this power formation JJ will break off some nice chunks. I truly believe Dallas will be a pass first team. JJ will get his yards (1123) by slugging it out and ripping off the odd long one.

Again, everyone is entitled to their opinion, contrary to what Bri thinks. I just wanted to share my opinions and rationale why some are over hyping MB3.

 
absolutely right you can not predict injuries. JJ will be there on first down, opening day. If he does not get hurt I feel you will see something pretty special out of him, and if you do see that, you will see less than 120 carries out of MBIII. So he hasnt played a full season, this year is a good year to start.

Also: Parcells wont run someone out there to LOSE the job, if he didn't think JJ should be the man, MBIII would be your starter

 
JJ will get his yards (1123) by slugging it out and ripping off the odd long one.
JJ doesn't seem the type for slugging it out. That's more up Barber's alley. I think Barber's carries will depend greatly on what the score is. If the Cowboys are up then they will tend to pound the ball more with Barber, if they are tied or down then you'll see more JJ for his break away speed. I also think that Barber will get most short yardage and goal line carries.
 
The low YPC (Rationale)

New shift to a 2 TE set. This will constantly mean 8 in the box. The only time this will be a huge benefit is if the Defense tries to go small and bring in extra DB's to cover the pass. Then, in this power formation JJ will break off some nice chunks. I truly believe Dallas will be a pass first team. JJ will get his yards (1123) by slugging it out and ripping off the odd long one.
This I just don't understand. 7 guys on the line = only 1 guy that JJ needs to make miss. That's a desirable setup. People (like me) throw around the "8 guys in the box" as reason to be worried of RB production, because when a guy like say, Curtis Martin, tried to run the ball last year, it didn't matter if they ran from Power I or Spread, the Defenses knew no one could pass on them.Say you have 8 in the box in a standard 43 on a double TE set.

WSLB = JJ

DL = OL (one double covered)

SSLB = Witten

MLB = mid-zone.

SS = TE

The only guys he'd have to worry about on a standard setup are WSLB, MLB. You run your TE2 on a go route, and he pulls to block MLB and pull the SS out of the box.

That leaves him one on one with a linebacker. This is an average setup.

Are you implying that you don't think JJ's 8 will beat Insert Team's 8 for more than 3.9 ypc? Yet Barber, relegated to short down situations, will manage 4.3?

If there were ever 8 guys in the box on a 2TE set, that would almost guarantee you'll see a pass to TO or Glenn. Glenn dominates single coverage.

Or do you not share the sentiments of other posters that MB3 will be used in short yardage situations?

Sorry if you feel like I am attacking you, but I'm just trying to better understand your rationale. For me, it would seem that a Pass-First offense, if achieving any amount of success, would really stretch defenses in coverage and pulling the LBs more into TE coverage, further freeing up JJ to do what he does.

And I am asking all of this because you seem to be a pretty big Cowboys :homer: , and I'm on the fence about JJ. I was pretty high on MB3 and after looking up all of these stats (not the ones on here), I'm starting to believe you might be right about JJ being the definite feature back, regardless of all this MB3 talk.

Of course, in doing so, I find that your cause-effect analysis seems backwards, so I'm trying to get to the bottom of it. It does not seem like you are on the same page as me and a few other guys on here, and I'm not sure if either side is actually correct.

 
not that this is a direct comparison but as a Jet fan I know one thing

Bill Parcells LOVED Richie Anderson.. Richie Anderson played the FB role on the Jets but he is not a prototypical blocking FB, he became a pro-bowler one year as a pass-catching full back. I see Parcells using MB3 in the same type of way they used Anderson, as a very specialty back who he'll rely on in a very distinct role.

 
Banger,

Your analysis is interesting.  It does appear that MB3 was more effective.

One thing...I'm not sure I totally agree with the methodology.  First and 5 does not seem like short yardage "situation" to me.  I will agree that MB3 probably was better in true Goal Line situations or 3rd and short situations.  So, I guess what I'm saying is your finding are correct but overstated.... imo.

However, I don't see it changing how Parcells uses his backs.  JJ was never taken out at the Goal Line except for 1 game....where he rattled off something like 7 carries for 50 yards to start the game.  The last carry being a big one.......in comes Barber at the 4 and punches it in.
I agree that the methodology is flawed but I just wanted to show an apples to apples comparison. If anything it works more in Barbers favor when looking at true short yardage situations since most of JJ's carries were of the 2 and 5 variety. Ok, I looked at their carries over the last 7 weeks (after JJ returned from injury) and this is what I found.....

barber

carries 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

15 9 4 2

10 3 5 2

3 1 2

17 7 6 4

14 6 3 4 1

7 1 2 4

9 6 2 1

75 33 22 19 1

44% 29% 25% 1%

Jones

21 13 8

20 12 7 1

23 12 11

12 6 6

12 7 5

34 20 13 1

15 10 4 1

137 80 54 3

58% 39% 2%

overall 113 76 22 1

Jones 71% 71% 14%

It may look somewhat confusing but basically over the time period Barber got 75 carries to JJ's 137 (65/35 split). Which basically works out to about 11 carries Barber/20 Jones.

Of Jones's 137 carries 58% were on 1st down, 39% on 2nd and 2% on 3rd. On an overall basis, JJ got 71% of 1st down carries, 71% of 2nd down carries and 14% of 3rd down carries.

Note also over the time period both had 2 tds.
I'm not arguing with your findings...but why only look at the end of the year?
If you look at the time periods when Jones was the "sole" starter weeks 1-5 he ran for 112-335-2 (3 ypc) while Barber in Jones absense week 6-9 ran for 60-252-2 (4.2 ypc), Barber was better stat wise.Barber was a rookie/unknown at the beginning of the season while JJ was the returning starter and got nearly all the carries as he did at the end of the prior year. JJ gets hurt, opens the door and Barber jumps right through and impresses Parcells and to me that's the only relevant time to look at since he was a non-factor prior to the injury. Once he hits the field though he shows Parcells what he can do and that he can bring things that JJ can't.

Once JJ returns that is the true test to how the tandem will work together, will he continue to be the workhorse that he was at the end of the prior season and the beginning of the season or will Barber's skillset cut into JJ's carries/role.

From reviewing how they were actually used when both were "healthy" after week 10 it looks like Jones is going to share the load with Barber for two reasons: 1) try to keep Jones fresh/healthy 2) Barber is much more effective in short yardage/3rd down situations. Before the injury JJ got nearly 100% of the carries, after the injury he got 65% or 2/3 of the carries.
I really believe through some Cowboy insiders that JJ was still really nursing that high ankle sprain for a number of weeks when he returned. Remember how vocal BP was about JJ returning? I think he returned early and BP was spotting MB3 to keep JJ from re-injuring himself again with the playoffs very much in sight at that time.I've made the following point many times in other threads. Here it goes again, then how do you account for the Carolina game?

Week 16 (Carolina)

JJ......34 for 197 and 2 scores

MB3....6 for 20 (Almost all garabe time).

Playoff lives and season on the line. Parcells certainly didn't "like" MB3 too much then.
Not sure I agree with you. Here is the Carolina game. Which of those 6 carries is garbage time? Looks like he was in at the end, as they were scoring the winning TD. Looks like Parcells loves him when the game is on the line.
Code:
3-3-CAR7	(11:45) M.Barber left tackle to CAR 6 for 1 yard (M.Minter, C.Draft).(2nd qtr, down 10-7)2-10-CAR48	(4:46) M.Barber right end to DAL 46 for -6 yards (W.Witherspoon).(2nd qtr, down 13-10)1-10-DAL37	(12:40) M.Barber right end to DAL 40 for 3 yards (J.Peppers).(4th qtr, up 17-13)3-22-DAL25	(11:20) M.Barber up the middle to DAL 30 for 5 yards (R.Manning).(4th qtr, up 17-13)3-17-DAL10	(6:44) M.Barber up the middle to DAL 20 for 10 yards (T.Davis, W.Witherspoon).(4th qtr, up 17-13)2-8-CAR9	(:36) M.Barber right end pushed ob at CAR 2 for 7 yards (M.Minter).(4th qtr, down 20-17)
 
The low YPC (Rationale)

New shift to a 2 TE set.  This will constantly mean 8 in the box.  The only time this will be a huge benefit is if the Defense tries to go small and bring in extra DB's to cover the pass.  Then, in this power formation JJ will break off some nice chunks.  I truly believe Dallas will be a pass first team.  JJ will get his yards (1123) by slugging it out and ripping off the odd long one.   
This I just don't understand. 7 guys on the line = only 1 guy that JJ needs to make miss. That's a desirable setup. People (like me) throw around the "8 guys in the box" as reason to be worried of RB production, because when a guy like say, Curtis Martin, tried to run the ball last year, it didn't matter if they ran from Power I or Spread, the Defenses knew no one could pass on them.Say you have 8 in the box in a standard 43 on a double TE set.

WSLB = JJ

DL = OL (one double covered)

SSLB = Witten

MLB = mid-zone.

SS = TE

The only guys he'd have to worry about on a standard setup are WSLB, MLB. You run your TE2 on a go route, and he pulls to block MLB and pull the SS out of the box.

That leaves him one on one with a linebacker. This is an average setup.

Are you implying that you don't think JJ's 8 will beat Insert Team's 8 for more than 3.9 ypc? Yet Barber, relegated to short down situations, will manage 4.3?

If there were ever 8 guys in the box on a 2TE set, that would almost guarantee you'll see a pass to TO or Glenn. Glenn dominates single coverage.

Or do you not share the sentiments of other posters that MB3 will be used in short yardage situations?

Sorry if you feel like I am attacking you, but I'm just trying to better understand your rationale. For me, it would seem that a Pass-First offense, if achieving any amount of success, would really stretch defenses in coverage and pulling the LBs more into TE coverage, further freeing up JJ to do what he does.

And I am asking all of this because you seem to be a pretty big Cowboys :homer: , and I'm on the fence about JJ. I was pretty high on MB3 and after looking up all of these stats (not the ones on here), I'm starting to believe you might be right about JJ being the definite feature back, regardless of all this MB3 talk.

Of course, in doing so, I find that your cause-effect analysis seems backwards, so I'm trying to get to the bottom of it. It does not seem like you are on the same page as me and a few other guys on here, and I'm not sure if either side is actually correct.
I understand your concern, and I don't feel like you are attacking me.Or do you not share the sentiments of other posters that MB3 will be used in short yardage situations?

I share the opinon that if you were to evaluate who the better short yardage back is.....It probably is Barber. Parcell's imo...will not remove JJ in short yardage or goal line unless it's 3rd down. Also, I have yet to see or read anything that would lead me to believe BP is planning on doing this. This is where I differ from many.

I guess to the believers that MB3 is the short yardage or GL back.....what are you basing it on? I haven't seen a shred of evidence that suggests BP will do this. I know many will show me stats about how MB3 is better. JJ will be given EVERY opportunity to prove himself. He'll do OK.

For me, it would seem that a Pass-First offense, if achieving any amount of success, would really stretch defenses in coverage and pulling the LBs more into TE coverage, further freeing up JJ to do what he does.

While I agree, it's not that simple. Defense will also dictate what the offense does. This team will be a pass first team (This is my opinion...nothing I've heard or read about). I believe they will use the run to keep the opposing D honest. This offense is all about creating mis-matches mainly in the pass game, although when team's over play the pass.....the middle of the line will be exposed.

The line up will look like this:

TO............Fasano............................Witten..................Glenn

So, were do you roll your safety?

Ask yourself why did the Cowboys reach for a solid pass catching/blocking TE when they already have a Pro Bowler in Witten? It wasn't to run the ball..imo.

If there were ever 8 guys in the box on a 2TE set, that would almost guarantee you'll see a pass to TO or Glenn. Glenn dominates single coverage.

Bingo!!!

For it to work though, you have to spend some time running from this. Dallas last year was below average at run blocking. While some changes have been made, I fail to see anything that suggests JJ's YPC will increase. Perhaps my 3.9 YPC is conservative, but I see no reason to increase it. This to me could represent some value should his YPC increase based on my attempts projection.

And I am asking all of this because you seem to be a pretty big Cowboys , and I'm on the fence about JJ. I was pretty high on MB3 and after looking up all of these stats (not the ones on here), I'm starting to believe you might be right about JJ being the definite feature back, regardless of all this MB3 talk.

I'm not real high on JJ. My projections aren't calling for crazy stats. I just don't get or see the love for MB3. He is a nice back up.

ps.....Glenn is my biggest sleeper of the year.

Sorry....I wrote this really quickly at work.

 
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Don't have much to add, but as the resident Cowboy skeptic I can say that the OL problems will doom the running game to mediocrity.

That being said the move to a 2TE set can only help JJ. The fact that he will not be relied on for pass coverage as much due to extra up front help means he can get PPR points as well as more outside blocking.

I can see no benefit to MB3 in the new scheme except possibly enhancing his Goal line and 3rd down efficency.

Either way MB3 is no good to anyone except as a handcuff to JJ.

I've got JJ somewhere in the RB14-RB17 range.

 
Don't have much to add, but as the resident Cowboy skeptic I can say that the OL problems will doom the running game to mediocrity.

That being said the move to a 2TE set can only help JJ. The fact that he will not be relied on for pass coverage as much due to extra up front help means he can get PPR points as well as more outside blocking.

I can see no benefit to MB3 in the new scheme except possibly enhancing his Goal line and 3rd down efficency.

Either way MB3 is no good to anyone except as a handcuff to JJ.

I've got JJ somewhere in the RB14-RB17 range.
Fixed
 
Don't have much to add, but as the resident Cowboy skeptic I can say that the OL problems will doom the running game to mediocrity.

That being said the move to a 2TE set can only help JJ. The fact that he will not be relied on for pass coverage as much due to extra up front help means he can get PPR points as well as more outside blocking.

I can see no benefit to MB3 in the new scheme except possibly enhancing his Goal line and 3rd down efficency.

Either way MB3 is no good to anyone except as a handcuff to JJ.

I've got JJ somewhere in the RB14-RB17 range.
Fixed
You really think JJ will get the redzone touches? At best it's 50/50. I don't care what tuna/etc. is saying MB3 is the better goal line option long term and with tuna the cream rises.
 
Don't have much to add, but as the resident Cowboy skeptic I can say that the OL problems will doom the running game to mediocrity. 

That being said the move to a 2TE set can only help JJ.  The fact that he will not be relied on for pass coverage as much due to extra up front help means he can get PPR points as well as more outside blocking. 

I can see no benefit to MB3 in the new scheme except possibly enhancing his Goal line and 3rd down efficency. 

Either way MB3 is no good to anyone except as a handcuff to JJ. 

I've got JJ somewhere in the RB14-RB17 range.
Fixed
You really think JJ will get the redzone touches? At best it's 50/50. I don't care what tuna/etc. is saying MB3 is the better goal line option long term and with tuna the cream rises.
Yup. Unless it's third down.
 
So what .

He will touch the ball 7 times a game like most back up RB and J.J. will get 20 to 25 touches a game .

I think it s fair and if Jones remains healthy Barber will see the ball less and less.

 
Add Marion Barber to the "Over-hyped by FBGs" list.

Jones is the starter, Barber is the back-up. Period. Could things change, sure, but you can't play a successful fantasy season waiting on injuries.

 
So what .

He will touch the ball 7 times a game like most back up RB and J.J. will get 20 to 25 touches a game .

I think it s fair and if Jones remains healthy Barber will see the ball less and less.
7 carries x 16 games= 11222.5 carries x 16 games= 360

total carries 472

last year's total for RB's 479

 
Add Marion Barber to the "Over-hyped by FBGs" list.

Jones is the starter, Barber is the back-up. Period. Could things change, sure, but you can't play a successful fantasy season waiting on injuries.
tell that to everyone who took LJ in the 5th round last year.Barber can be had in the 8th.

 

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