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Trade value for Blount? (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter davidwb
- Start date
Gopher State
Footballguy
a small bag of chips. One good game does make a stud GRASSHOPPER
Selling Blount right now would be a horrible decision. The same as selling Hillis after his first big game or Torain after his first big game (Torain''s value has declined now due to injury, but you could have gotten more for him after his 2nd or 3rd week (this week was his 4th in the starting role if i'm not mistaken)). His value has not risen yet to where he is FAIRLY valued. Blount is now the premier RB and goal line back for a pretty good team. His value should be higher than someone like Beenie Wells, or Lynch, but in my opinion i doubt you could get much more for him. If you can get a RB2 or WR2 then that's fair in my opinion. But i don't think you'll get that much. The reason is obvious, 1 week is nothing in most people's eyes. It takes time to build confidence in him.On the opposite note, this is the perfect time to BUY him if you haven't pick him up for free yet. The reason is, well, the same as the above. If someone is willing to trade him now they don't have much trust in him, and I think you'll be able to get a steal.As I wrote in another post, there seems to be a huge inefficiency in fantasy football in big powerful RBs that are not sexy. Real football people, ie coaches, value these players much higher than fantasy players do. This is an inefficiency which should be taken advantage of. Other RBs that fill this bill are Hillis/Torain as explained above. Fantasy managers do not value these guys properly, so there is an opportunity to buy.A big lesson i've learned in the trading world is that if you make a mistake don't compound that mistake by continuing your line of thinking. If the original mistake was not picking up Blount for free, don't compound the error by not buying him for a cheap price.I've got Blount, Hillis and Torain on most of my teams (Blount on all of them) so I may be biased, lol.
footballnerd
Footballguy
beans compared to what you can get for him in a few weeks.
tdhartis
Footballguy
I would hold onto him as I see his value increasing as well in the weeks to come. That being said I just got an offer of Phillip Rivers for Eli and Blount from a RB starving team and couldn't hit accept fast enough. How's that for immediate trade value. Anyone in a yahoo league look at the projected stats they have for him going forward. Absolutely rediculous, they are projecting him like a top 5 RB.
Jambi
Footballguy
I own him in a few leagues. Drafted him in a few deeper leagues and picked him up about a month ago in a few more. I saw something coming. His aggression made me think stud. I'm not selling cheaply. I could be wrong about him but if you look at his upside and the fact that he was probably drafted in less than 10% of the leagues out there, why sell now? You're getting what you were hoping for. Hold on and see how things pan out. I wouldn't consider trading him for a #2 receiver. If I'm wrong, It was only my 20th round pick. We might be sitting here in 10 years discussing a hall of famer.
Jambi
Footballguy
Well that may be exactly what we have on our hands here, people.
abe froman
Footballguy
leagues with trade deadlines coming soon may not be able to wait for the sell high peak. Just hold unless the price is right.
Raiderfan32904
Footballguy
I really like this kid Blount. But, now that I have him and he led my team riddled with bye week issues to a key win, I have to consider if he is worth sticking in my lineup for good.
I have a stable of good RB's that are no brainer starters most weeks, but need an upgrade at WR. Is anyone considering selling established RB talent low to make room for him?
I have a stable of good RB's that are no brainer starters most weeks, but need an upgrade at WR. Is anyone considering selling established RB talent low to make room for him?
Tanner9919
Footballguy
week 15 vs Detroit...
if for nothing else he's probably going to help a lot of fantasy teams during the playoffs with that golden week 15 matchup..
if for nothing else he's probably going to help a lot of fantasy teams during the playoffs with that golden week 15 matchup..
Breesisdaman
Footballguy
flawed logic. Detroit is not what they used to be on offense or defense. Stafford will probably have the Lions up by two scores and the bucs will be in air it out catch up mode.
Resident A
Footballguy
I think Blount's best value is in allowing you to trade one of your higher profile RBs, and keeping him.
In my main league, Blount is my 5th RB. I'm looking to trade one of my higher ranked RBs for a WR1, and bump Blount up on my roster.
I have the Lloyd owner considering Blount for Lloyd right now, I may just make that move & be done.
In my main league, Blount is my 5th RB. I'm looking to trade one of my higher ranked RBs for a WR1, and bump Blount up on my roster.
I have the Lloyd owner considering Blount for Lloyd right now, I may just make that move & be done.
killrobotkill
Footballguy
plyka said:
Dealing with this same dilemma, especially in light of my #1 WR being Randy Moss. I am weak at WR and have SJax, DMC, JCharles, and Blount. I'd like to trade one of them for some WR help.
I am not sure Blount's value is high enough to deal yet. I really don't want to trade Charles, and to a lesser extent, don't want to trade DMC. May try to shop SJax and see what I can get for him.
I am not sure Blount's value is high enough to deal yet. I really don't want to trade Charles, and to a lesser extent, don't want to trade DMC. May try to shop SJax and see what I can get for him.
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I am in a very similiar sitaution......I hoard RB's more than any other position even if I do not need them.....throughout the last few weeks I picked up Torrain, BJGE, and Blount to add to my RB's that were already very strong (Best, Peterson, Bradshaw)....we can start 3 RB's so I like to carry 4-5 strong ones.....my WR's are ok but not real strong....got an offer after the TB game of Steve Smith (CAR) for Blount straight up...was looking at that cause Smith had like 15 targets this week and Moore seems to dial him up.....sat back and decided Blount is pretty much a beast and might be that type of Charles or Harrison type from last year that could help carry you down the stretch......shopped my league a little and ended up packing BJGE and Torrain in a deal that helped me get Hicks.....it was a 5 for 5 deal with some others thrown in, but those were the main players......had I not hoarded RB's and had Blount not given me the confidence, I wouldn't have been able to pull this off.......Nicks is a strong addtion to my weekly lineup, so although I didn't trade Blount for him, Blount factored into it getting done........Raiderfan32904 said:
JB Breakfast Club
Footballguy
I may be crazy...but I declined Chris Johnson and Ricky Williams for Turner and Blount...then I accepted CJ and Ricky for Turner and SJax.
Koya
Footballguy
Its all about value. These people saying you are crazy to sell him know aren't really looking at the context.
Blount APPEARS to be in a great position. Decent team, decent offense, VERY little competition at the position (Caddy is done and it shows, Earnest is a nice back, but he is not a feature back) and he seems in line for 15-20 carries a week AND goaline carries. Its a great position to be in.
That said, he has not shown it over time, though he has shown some really good signs especially last game. It's killing me because I had him on three teams two weeks ago but due to byes and injuries, had to drop him before this week - I know have him in only one league.
SO, it comes down to value - IF you really need to improve now to stay in the playoff hunt, maybe someone who is desperate at RBs "overpays" for him now hoping for that upside. Maybe you can get a good #2 WR from some owners... though from most you will not get the value you want.
I think in MOST instances, the play here is to hold for a few more weeks because its looking solid that he will be a very good contributor. But, maybe someone thinks they can get him for a #2 WR today but in a week or two it may be a #1 that is asked for... in that case you may want to pull the trigger.
Blount APPEARS to be in a great position. Decent team, decent offense, VERY little competition at the position (Caddy is done and it shows, Earnest is a nice back, but he is not a feature back) and he seems in line for 15-20 carries a week AND goaline carries. Its a great position to be in.
That said, he has not shown it over time, though he has shown some really good signs especially last game. It's killing me because I had him on three teams two weeks ago but due to byes and injuries, had to drop him before this week - I know have him in only one league.
SO, it comes down to value - IF you really need to improve now to stay in the playoff hunt, maybe someone who is desperate at RBs "overpays" for him now hoping for that upside. Maybe you can get a good #2 WR from some owners... though from most you will not get the value you want.
I think in MOST instances, the play here is to hold for a few more weeks because its looking solid that he will be a very good contributor. But, maybe someone thinks they can get him for a #2 WR today but in a week or two it may be a #1 that is asked for... in that case you may want to pull the trigger.
Sir Chadwick
Footballguy
I'm not expecting Blount to get a ton of yardage... but he looks to be the man now at the GL and that carries weight.
If TB is up at the half, Blount is going to get a lot of work.. no doubt.
He also looked decent catching passes, so if he keeps it up he could be a nice guy to have in PPR.
If you are having trouble w/ your RB's he's definitely worth holding onto for the playoffs... this could be 'that guy' that gets you the trophy.
If TB is up at the half, Blount is going to get a lot of work.. no doubt.
He also looked decent catching passes, so if he keeps it up he could be a nice guy to have in PPR.
If you are having trouble w/ your RB's he's definitely worth holding onto for the playoffs... this could be 'that guy' that gets you the trophy.
tdhartis
Footballguy
You do realize he hurt his hamstring pretty badly by all reports, right?
nyy45
Footballguy
I just dealt Fitz for Blount and Steve Smith (Car). Fitz was my WR3 behind Andre and Nicks so I could afford to do it. This trade was all about Blount and I will be using him with my RB's currently underperforming besides Hillis (DeAngelo and Jahvid Best). Too much upside with Blount and great playoff schedule. I like to compare this trade to my Jamaal Charles trade in Week 7 last year and DeAngelo trade in Week 5 two years ago. Hopefully it turns out that way, I have a pretty good eye for these sort of things..
kickiingself for dyno drop early in the year 
Liquid Tension
Footballguy
I traded Blount for Boldin because I have Moss and Collie as WR's "out" and my other RB's are good without Blount (Steven Jackson, Ray Rice and both Carolina RB's)davidwb said:
Banger
Footballguy
typically when these blow ups happen, buyers want more of a track record before they buy or pay what you think they are or should be worth. In order to get that track record though it takes time which at this point in the year you don't really have. So basically, if you believe in the player, like I do in Blount, you trade/package guys on your roster that you feel will put up comparable stats but have more of a track record thus they have more trade value, like a Benson, and you get a better return. Yes, it's a risk if Blount disappears but it can also push you over the top and propel you to championships.
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Heisman187
Footballguy
Was offered Marshawn Lynch in Dynasty for him...am I nuts for considering it?
Liquid Tension
Footballguy
Nuts, no, but I think I would hope to have a TD machine in Blount. He reminds me of Jerome bettis
Instinctive
Footballguy
Only offer I have received thus far is Nate Allen and a 5th for him - it was a counter to a previous offer.
In another league, he went straight up for Wes Welker BEFORE the big game. Like, an hour before.
In another league, he went straight up for Wes Welker BEFORE the big game. Like, an hour before.
BustedKnuckles
Footballguy
He was free on my waiver wire...im holding
BroncoFreak_2K3
sucker for Orange
Crabs
Not nuts, but I wouldn't do it. I'm not a fan of Lynch- I think he has a higher floor, but Blount has a higher ceiling. I'd rather go for the upside myself.It makes a big difference if it's redraft or dynasty so it's hard to gauge his value with some of these, but I've been offered a #1 pick from 2 different teams in my non-ppr dynasty. It's still hard to tell this early, but it's looking like they'll be in the 6-12 range right now. I'm negotiating for a starter upgrade, but I'm holding off on the picks for now until I see more out of him and get a better idea where those picks will be.Heisman187 said:
loose circuits
Footballguy
trading him at this point is a mistake unless you get good value. I moved Jamaal Charles at this point last year and regretted it dearly
9 11/07/10 12:00pm @ATL - - - - -
10 11/14/10 12:00pm CAR - - - - -
11 11/21/10 3:05pm @SF - - - - -
12 11/28/10 12:00pm @BAL - - - - -
13 12/05/10 12:00pm ATL - - - - -
14 12/12/10 12:00pm @WAS - - - - -
15 12/19/10 12:00pm DET - - - - -
16 12/26/10 12:00pm SEA
not to mention, he only really has 1 tough match-up in Balt
9 11/07/10 12:00pm @ATL - - - - -
10 11/14/10 12:00pm CAR - - - - -
11 11/21/10 3:05pm @SF - - - - -
12 11/28/10 12:00pm @BAL - - - - -
13 12/05/10 12:00pm ATL - - - - -
14 12/12/10 12:00pm @WAS - - - - -
15 12/19/10 12:00pm DET - - - - -
16 12/26/10 12:00pm SEA
not to mention, he only really has 1 tough match-up in Balt
Chaser1439
Footballguy
Was offered Calvin Johnson for Blount and TO. I declined.
eaglesfan7
Footballguy
This I may have done. Calvin is the man so it would have been hard to pass up. I'm thinking about giving up a first round pick in my dynasty league to get him but I'm just not sure yet.
Chaser1439
Footballguy
Lost addai, and d. Brown is a bum so I need a starting rb until addai comes back. Calvin is the man though.
I agree, that's a pretty good offer (I'm assuming redraft, you HAVE to take that in a dynasty). I can see turning it down though, especially if you need him to start.As for giving up the #1 pick, the only way I wouldn't is if you thought it was going to be top 5 or so. Anything lower than that and you're just hoping your pick ends up similar to Blount IMO.
I'll save the suspension and just let everyone know it was rejected.
Thats not the only point. I can reply with what he countered with and that might help you guys out.
eaglesfan7
Footballguy
The pick I would be giving up is a top 5 pick since the team is in second to last place right now.
Voice Of Reason
Footballguy
Just offered MJD for him and got turned down, redraft non-ppr.
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