LarryAllen'sJockstrap
Footballguy
Wanted to create a thread where all can post general thoughts/perceptions on how you think things might shake out in the upcoming draft. I'll start off with a few.
QBs
- Stafford and Sanchez will both be top-5 picks. Time and time again, teams have shown they will overdraft guys that have the potential to be franchise QBs, and both Stafford and Sanchex have at least shown that potential.
RBs
- Both Moreno and Wells will go in round 1, due to their ability to contribute in year 1. Some team will be enamored with Wells size/speed combo and Moreno's consistency will too hard to pass up.
WRs
- Michael Crabtree is the one and only WR that derserves to, and will go in the top 10 picks. There is not another WR prospect polished enough and with the upside to warrant a top pick. No Maclin or Heyward-Bey to Oakland/Jacksonville.
- Speaking of Heyward-Bey, I think he falls to round two. Teams will look at guys like Nicks and Britt who have performed well on the field before Hewyard-Bey.
- Someone will take a chance on Percy Harvin in round 1, despite the failed drug-test. Getting the next Reggie Bush/Chris Johnson type guy will trump the off-the-field issues.
OL
- Monroe, both Smiths and Oher are all gone by pick 15. Little seperates the four prospects.
DL
- Raji goes to KC at 3 (see Curry analysis in LBs).
- Tyson Jackson will be an early pick due to his ability to play the 3-4 and the number of teams now employing that scheme.
- Pass rushers will come off the baord quick. Orakpo, Maybin, Brown, Ayers, English and Johnson all look like top-25 picks.
- Peria Jerry is the top 4-3 DT and won't slide past TB.
LBs
- Maualuga is a beast and will not fall past San Diego; Junior Seau part deux..
- Curry will not go to KC and would be a reach at #5. While a solid LB, he doesn't bring the pass-rush ability of a guy like Merriman/Ware.
DBs
- Jenkins is being underrated by most due to his average 40. A team will take him higher based on his 4 years of college production.
- CBs like Moore, Davis, Smith and Butler are all borderline 1st rounders. I wouldn't be surprised to see them all slip to the 2nd.
- Same with Moore, Delmas and Chung at S. Late 1st to 2nd seems about right.
Now, I couldn't go through all that without posting my 2009 2 round mock. Not going to predict trades.
Round 1.
1. Det - Matt Stafford, QB
2. Stl - Jason Smith, OT
3. KC - BJ Raji, DT
4. Sea - Mark Sanchez, QB
5. Cle - Brian Orakpo, DE/LB
6. Cin - Eugene Monroe, OT
7. Oak - Michael Crabtree, WR
8. Jac - Andre Smith, OT
9. GB - Aaron Curry, LB
10 SF - Michael Oher, OT
11. Buf - Tyson Jackson, DE
12. Den - Chris Wells, RB
13. Was - Aaron Maybin, DE/LB
14. NO - Malcolm Jenkins, CB
15. Hou - Larry English, DE/LB
16. SD - Rey Maualuga, LB
17. NYJ - Jeremy Maclin, WR
18. Den - Michael Johnson, DE
19. TB - Peria Jerry, DT
20. Det - Brian Cushing, ILB
21. Phi - Knoshown Moreno, RB
22. Min - Percy Harvin, WR
23. NE - Everette Brown, DE/LB
24. Atl - Brandon Pettigrew, TE
25. Mia - Robert Ayers, DE/LB
26. Bal - Eben Britton, OT
27. Ind - James Laurinaitis, LB
28. Buf - William Beatty, OT
29. NYG - Clay Matthews, LB
30. Ten - Vontae Davis, CB
31. Ari - Clint Sintim, LB
32. Pit - Alex Mack, C
Round 2
33. Det - Evander Hood, DT
34. NE - Louis Delmas, S
35. Stl - Kenny Britt, S
36. Cle - Donald Brown, RB
37. Sea - Connor Barwin, LB
38. Cin - Max Unger, OL
39. Jac - Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR
40. Oak - Alphonso Smith, CB
41. GB - DJ Moore, CB
42. Buf - Shawn Nelson, TE
43. SF - Josh Freeman, QB
44. Mia - Hakeem Nicks, WR
45. NYG - Brian Robiskie, WR
46. Hou - Darius Butler, CB
47. NE - Sean Smith, CB/S
48. Den - Ron Brace, DT
49. Chi - Duke Robinson, OG
50. Cle - William Moore, S
51. Dal - Patrick Chung, S
52. Phi - Jared Cook, TE
53. NYJ - LeSean McCoy, RB
54. Min - Phil Loadholt, OT
55. Atl - Paul Kruger, DE
56. Mia - Jarius Byrd, CB
57. Bal - Derrick Williams, WR
58. NE - Jason Meredith, OT
59. Car - Jason Gilbert, DT
60. NYG - Andy Levitre, OG
61. Ind - Fili Moala, DT
62. Ten - Jarrett Dillard, WR
63. Ari - Shone Greene, RB
64. Pit - Coye Francis, CB
QBs
- Stafford and Sanchez will both be top-5 picks. Time and time again, teams have shown they will overdraft guys that have the potential to be franchise QBs, and both Stafford and Sanchex have at least shown that potential.
RBs
- Both Moreno and Wells will go in round 1, due to their ability to contribute in year 1. Some team will be enamored with Wells size/speed combo and Moreno's consistency will too hard to pass up.
WRs
- Michael Crabtree is the one and only WR that derserves to, and will go in the top 10 picks. There is not another WR prospect polished enough and with the upside to warrant a top pick. No Maclin or Heyward-Bey to Oakland/Jacksonville.
- Speaking of Heyward-Bey, I think he falls to round two. Teams will look at guys like Nicks and Britt who have performed well on the field before Hewyard-Bey.
- Someone will take a chance on Percy Harvin in round 1, despite the failed drug-test. Getting the next Reggie Bush/Chris Johnson type guy will trump the off-the-field issues.
OL
- Monroe, both Smiths and Oher are all gone by pick 15. Little seperates the four prospects.
DL
- Raji goes to KC at 3 (see Curry analysis in LBs).
- Tyson Jackson will be an early pick due to his ability to play the 3-4 and the number of teams now employing that scheme.
- Pass rushers will come off the baord quick. Orakpo, Maybin, Brown, Ayers, English and Johnson all look like top-25 picks.
- Peria Jerry is the top 4-3 DT and won't slide past TB.
LBs
- Maualuga is a beast and will not fall past San Diego; Junior Seau part deux..
- Curry will not go to KC and would be a reach at #5. While a solid LB, he doesn't bring the pass-rush ability of a guy like Merriman/Ware.
DBs
- Jenkins is being underrated by most due to his average 40. A team will take him higher based on his 4 years of college production.
- CBs like Moore, Davis, Smith and Butler are all borderline 1st rounders. I wouldn't be surprised to see them all slip to the 2nd.
- Same with Moore, Delmas and Chung at S. Late 1st to 2nd seems about right.
Now, I couldn't go through all that without posting my 2009 2 round mock. Not going to predict trades.
Round 1.
1. Det - Matt Stafford, QB
2. Stl - Jason Smith, OT
3. KC - BJ Raji, DT
4. Sea - Mark Sanchez, QB
5. Cle - Brian Orakpo, DE/LB
6. Cin - Eugene Monroe, OT
7. Oak - Michael Crabtree, WR
8. Jac - Andre Smith, OT
9. GB - Aaron Curry, LB
10 SF - Michael Oher, OT
11. Buf - Tyson Jackson, DE
12. Den - Chris Wells, RB
13. Was - Aaron Maybin, DE/LB
14. NO - Malcolm Jenkins, CB
15. Hou - Larry English, DE/LB
16. SD - Rey Maualuga, LB
17. NYJ - Jeremy Maclin, WR
18. Den - Michael Johnson, DE
19. TB - Peria Jerry, DT
20. Det - Brian Cushing, ILB
21. Phi - Knoshown Moreno, RB
22. Min - Percy Harvin, WR
23. NE - Everette Brown, DE/LB
24. Atl - Brandon Pettigrew, TE
25. Mia - Robert Ayers, DE/LB
26. Bal - Eben Britton, OT
27. Ind - James Laurinaitis, LB
28. Buf - William Beatty, OT
29. NYG - Clay Matthews, LB
30. Ten - Vontae Davis, CB
31. Ari - Clint Sintim, LB
32. Pit - Alex Mack, C
Round 2
33. Det - Evander Hood, DT
34. NE - Louis Delmas, S
35. Stl - Kenny Britt, S
36. Cle - Donald Brown, RB
37. Sea - Connor Barwin, LB
38. Cin - Max Unger, OL
39. Jac - Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR
40. Oak - Alphonso Smith, CB
41. GB - DJ Moore, CB
42. Buf - Shawn Nelson, TE
43. SF - Josh Freeman, QB
44. Mia - Hakeem Nicks, WR
45. NYG - Brian Robiskie, WR
46. Hou - Darius Butler, CB
47. NE - Sean Smith, CB/S
48. Den - Ron Brace, DT
49. Chi - Duke Robinson, OG
50. Cle - William Moore, S
51. Dal - Patrick Chung, S
52. Phi - Jared Cook, TE
53. NYJ - LeSean McCoy, RB
54. Min - Phil Loadholt, OT
55. Atl - Paul Kruger, DE
56. Mia - Jarius Byrd, CB
57. Bal - Derrick Williams, WR
58. NE - Jason Meredith, OT
59. Car - Jason Gilbert, DT
60. NYG - Andy Levitre, OG
61. Ind - Fili Moala, DT
62. Ten - Jarrett Dillard, WR
63. Ari - Shone Greene, RB
64. Pit - Coye Francis, CB
Getting any pick right after pick 5 is very difficult and even the best have a very small hit rate.
The Saints do not go offense in the 1st round, especially a RB.
Stone cold lock that us SF fans have been saying all offseason--SF won't take a QB at #10.
