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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

Yeah tell me about it...I'm usually an under guy. We shall see :)Mo- haven't been keeping track very well this year I'm cut to $1 at SB and $10 at betusa so hard to get real excited. I'm above 50 but below 60 this year...I'll try and sit down and figure it out later tonight...heck I'd like to know.

'TheGooRoo said:
'TheWick said:
Justin Blackmon O2.5 rec -125 for sunday in enticing. He's been getting plenty of targets and should be able to get open vs. Raiders.Roethlisberger O22.5 compRidley O82.5 rushingEli O23.5 compCecil Shorts O1.5 recBlackmon O2.5 recDeAngelo U50.5 rushingGivens O2 recSchaub O20.5 compFlacco O21.5 compLuck O22 compGordon O2.5 recWeeden O20.5 compFitzpatrick O19.5 compBritt O3.5 rec
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And we thought RN liked overs ;)
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'TheWick said:
Yeah tell me about it...I'm usually an under guy. We shall see :)Mo- haven't been keeping track very well this year I'm cut to $1 at SB and $10 at betusa so hard to get real excited. I'm above 50 but below 60 this year...I'll try and sit down and figure it out later tonight...heck I'd like to know.

'TheGooRoo said:
'TheWick said:
Justin Blackmon O2.5 rec -125 for sunday in enticing. He's been getting plenty of targets and should be able to get open vs. Raiders.Roethlisberger O22.5 compRidley O82.5 rushingEli O23.5 compCecil Shorts O1.5 recBlackmon O2.5 recDeAngelo U50.5 rushingGivens O2 recSchaub O20.5 compFlacco O21.5 compLuck O22 compGordon O2.5 recWeeden O20.5 compFitzpatrick O19.5 compBritt O3.5 rec
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no worries, and no need to figure out exact numbers. i know with the amount of bets made it is hard to track. was just wonderingAnd we thought RN liked overs ;)
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Just went back on Betusa and from september until now NFL player props are 89-60 (59.7%) ..better than I thought. Now I'm wondering how I'm doing at RB...be right back

 
'John Bender said:
'Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll said:
Fading fast, probly won't make it to see what's been up with Bender and his bender. We tried to tell ya, GB.
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Drinking for a different reason. Just made the biggest business deal in my life which will leave me with a commission check right before Xmas of more money than I've made in 2 years. :banned: :banned: :banned:Going to richter it up tonight. Maybe get a drink with chet.
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Congrats bro :hifive: let's blow it on a 2u play tomorrow
 
'cheese said:
'gussy said:
Cardinals to win World Series, just over 1 1/2 units to win 2 units. Covers me on my 2 unit bet on the Tigers to win it all at 6-1.Odds were 13-10.
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I'm going Giants 18-1If they win tonight, the odds are going to come down big time. I think either team is beating the Tigers and the Giants are capable of 3 straight here. The biggest challenge is tonight.
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1 big one down, 6 to go
 
Saturday's card, tail at your own peril :

Cal +3 -LOSS

Ohio St. -19 -LOSS

Tennessee +20 -LOSS

Oregon St. -11 -WIN

Louisville -6 1/2 -LOSS

TCU +3 -PUSH

NC St -3 -LOSS

San Jose St. -13 -WIN

Clemson -8 1/2 -WIN

Nevada -7 -LOSS

Toledo +5 -WIN

Toledo ML -WIN

Army -2 -LOSS

Army/E. Michigan over 62 -WIN

Oklahoma St. -14 -WIN

BYU +12 -WIN

BYU/Notre Dame under 41 -WIN

BYU/Notre Dame over 20 1/2 2nd half -LOSS

All of those are a full unit outside of the one moneyline play which is just under 1/3 unit

8 team parlay for ####s and giggles -NADA

Clemson -8 1/2

Ohio St. -18

Okie St. -14

Army -2

Army/EMU under 62

SJ State -11 1/2

Cal +3

A & M +3 1/2

I will be adding a few more games during the day most likely. I'm looking at the following:

BYU +13

Indiana on the ML

C. Michigan on the ML

Tulsa -21

Florida -3 1/2

2012 CFB (looked a HELL of a lot better before last week and last night!)

67-67-1 -4.25 units

 
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I posted about playing NFL teams who were being bet on by less than 20% of the public.

Last week was 2-0

We will see if this changes, but so far the qualifying plays are:

Tampa Bay Bucs (17%)

St Louis Rams (18%)

I usually wait until noon tomorrow to finalize but if anyone knows anything major about these 2 teams, let me know please.

Thanks

 
Every book seems to have Temple at +4 or +4.5

RB has it at +6.5

Some good value there.

Locking in Temple at +6.5

This isn't even really chasing steam. The line has floated arounf 4/4.5 all week. Just a weird line for RB to have it at 6.5 right now

 
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'The Ref said:
Fri:1 unit Uconn +4 LossSat:1 Unit Clemson -91 Unit Clemson -8.52 Unit LSU U 52.51 Unit Ohio St -31 Unit ND -13.51 Unit No Ill -16.51 Unit SC/Fla under 41.5 3 Units Nevada -6.5
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This new board sucks. So did last nights plays. 0-4 units.43.5 - 49.0A few adds to the above, but this will be in for sides and totals. If things go well today with these plays and props then I'm going to go even bigger with Nevada.
 
Full card:

Akron +17 1u

North Carolina -10 1u

Temple +6.5 1u

Western Michigan +3.5 1u

Central Florida -23.5 1u

UAB +3.5 1u

3 Team Tease 1u wins 1.5u

Western Mich +10.5

Central Florida -16.5

UAB +10.5

 
minn +17.5

s alabama -4.5

tcu +1.5

bc/gt u61

no ill/akron u64.5

ulm/wku u51.5

osu/pur u58.5

isu/osu u58.5

wake/uva u51.5

 
'John Bender said:
I posted about playing NFL teams who were being bet on by less than 20% of the public.Last week was 2-0We will see if this changes, but so far the qualifying plays are:Tampa Bay Bucs (17%)St Louis Rams (18%)I usually wait until noon tomorrow to finalize but if anyone knows anything major about these 2 teams, let me know please.Thanks
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I'm playing both including the Rams on the ML.
 
You can wager now on Lee Corso's gameday pick. Who the #### does he think he is, Jim Cramer? My boy who is married is doing the whole stock market IBD investing. And he told me the other day he DVRs Jim Cramer's show. I haven't won a wager since he told me that.

 
Just based on personal experience I would wager that all of those girls in the Dolphins cheerleader vid are twenty one years old.

 
Las Vegas Sharps Report - Week 7

TENNESSEE AT BUFFALO:

This will not be a high action game this Sunday, with limited TV coverage and fan interest. Sharps haven’t stepped forward either. The opener of Buffalo -3.5 is still out there, though some stores have dropped down to a field goal with extra favorite vigorish. If you like Tennessee, shop for the hook. If you like Buffalo, try to find the key number. Sharps aren’t high on either of these teams right now, and would be most likely to invest in them only as medium or large underdogs against overrated favorites. Not much interest in the total.

ARIZONA AT MINNESOTA:

Minnesota moved from an opener of -5.5 up to -6 on the confirmation that Arizona quarterback Kevin Kolb would be out for several weeks. John Skelton will return to the position for a Cardinals’ offense that’s been consistently bad all season. It’s worth noting that a decent-sized underdog isn’t getting support amidst a season where underdogs are on fire against the spread. Sharps want underdogs who can score points.

CLEVELAND AT INDIANAPOLIS:

Cleveland falls into that category (an underdog scoring points) based on what we’ve seen the past few weeks. And, they got support from Sharps at the opening line of +3 against the Colts. We’re now seeing Indy -2.5 in most places. That will put Cleveland in the two-team teaser window where you can move them across the 3 and the 7 to +8.5. Sharps who liked Cleveland at +3 will really like them at +8.5 in teasers. Note that this line move suggests that the market now thinks Cleveland is a better team than Indianapolis, as home field by itself is worth three points in the NFL.

BALTIMORE AT HOUSTON:

Houston jumped from an opener of -4.5 to -6.5 because of all the bad injury news for the Ravens, and, it also doesn’t hurt that we have a Super Bowl contender playing at home after a home loss. Note that the line didn’t move all the way to a full touchdown. Sharps would come in on the dog at +7 if the public were to push Houston to that key number.

GREEN BAY AT ST. LOUIS:

Not much interest in this game, as Green Bay -5.5 has stayed solid all week. Green Bay did look great Sunday Night in Houston, but hasn’t played at a high enough level consistently this season to drive the line toward a full touchdown. St. Louis has offered value recently, but this is the first time in a few weeks that Sam Bradford is matched up against a top notch quarterback. It’s one thing to hang tough with Arizona and Miami, quite another to stay with a GB offense that may be finding its rhythm. Sharps aren’t nibbling, yet. Either they like one side at the current line, or they're waiting to fade any game day line moves caused by the public.

DALLAS AT CAROLINA:

Dallas opened at -2, and we’re seeing either -2 or -2.5 in most stores right now. That puts another underdog in the teaser window, which means many Sharps will be pairing Cleveland with Carolina at +8.5 in two-team teasers. Parity is limiting the number of favorites who will be in teasers because so few games are landing in the 7.5, 8, and 8.5 range. If you like playing basic strategy teasers, get ready to manage a kennel. The total is up a point from 44.5 to 45.5, one of the few totals moves worth mentioning on the Sunday card. That’s a bigger move than it seems because 45 is a key number for a game near 3-points on the line (24-21). The money drove the line not just to 45, but beyond.

WASHINGTON AT NY GIANTS:

Oddsmakers opened the Giants as favorites of -6.5, kind of daring bettors to jump in on the hosts at less than a key number. Sharps didn’t bite, and in fact, bet the Redskins. We’re now seeing Washington +5.5. Generally speaking, if you see an opener of 6.5, oddsmakers expect Sharps to be on the dog and squares to be on the favorite. Oddsmakers were right about that in general terms, but are probably wishing now they had opened a tick lower than they did, to avoid getting middled. The lack of totals interest so far suggests that weather isn’t going to be much of a factor this weekend. We would have seen Under money at outdoor sites if rain or wind was in the mid-range forecasts.

NEW ORLEANS AT TAMPA BAY:

This is likely to be a game where Sharps will be on Tampa Bay +3, while the public will be on New Orleans at -2.5. There are Sharps who think this line should be more like -1 or 2, based on how the season has played out, as well as the history of this divisional series. The public, however, loves betting on Drew Brees at cheap prices. So, we’ll have a tug of war around the critical number, and Tampa Bay will join the list of underdogs in basic strategy teasers. Again, if Sharps like a dog at +3, then they will logically like that dog even more in teasers at +8.5 (crossing the key numbers 3, 4,6 and 7) based on the percentages.

NY JETS AT NEW ENGLAND:

New England opened at -11, which struck a lot of people as high, given the divisional rivalry status of this matchup, and the fact that good defenses have been able to hang with the Patriots in Foxboro recently. The Jets also won a playoff game on this field a couple of years back. Sharps hit the dog, so we’re seeing +10 now in most places. Not big passion for the Jets, but enough to drive the opener down to a key number. All the old school guys who bet all double digit dogs on principle were also involved quickly here.

JACKSONVILLE AT OAKLAND:

This game has garnered a lot of discussion, but not a lot of action. Oakland opened at -4 even though many ratings systems had them at last 3 to 4 points superior to the Jags on a neutral field,which translates to -6 or 7 at home. Jacksonville is coming off a bye week, while Oakland is a dicey favorite. Sharps left this game alone, at least for now. Squares are deciding whether or not they want to trust an inconsistent favorite at a price lower than they expected. The total is up a point from 42.5 to 43.5. That’s from the math guys who think Oakland’s general tendencies of poor defense with decent offense will likely determine the flow of the game.

PITTSBURGH AT CINCINNATI:

Pittsburgh opened at -1.5 and has stayed there. This puts Cincinnati on the dog-teaser list because the six-point move crosses both the 3 and the 7. It’s hard to justify a Pittsburgh bet at this price because the team has played so poorly on the road this year. If you can’t beat Tennessee on the road, how can you lay points in Cincinnati? But the Bengals have been a disappointment too. As a result, Sharps will focus on teasers, and will fade any significant public move on game day. This line strikes them as the right price, and, “right prices” make teasers even stronger plays, because those six points offer increased value in games likely to land close to the line, like in the SF/Seattle game.

DETROIT AT CHICAGO:

This is an interesting game because many stat methodologies actually have Chicago as a Super Bowl contender right now. A few prominent publications currently rank the Bears as #1 in the NFL, even with that dismal showing in Green Bay earlier this season. Is Chicago really that good? An opener of Bears -6 showed them respect. Some Sharps have laid that number to drive the line to -6.5 in some locales. Still, most Sharps would take the Lions at +7 if the public drives the number up before Monday Night’s kickoff. Chicago becomes an EXTREME “public” team (like the Cowboys, Packers, Patriots or Saints) in their better years because of their national fan base, and the fact that many in the Las Vegas media have roots in Chicago. If the Bears do impress Monday, they may become overpriced very quickly because of public groundswell.
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