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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

swirvenirvin said:
swirvenirvin said:
So was looking at all the ridiculous futures that sb posted on nfl players and pretty much none of them will come close to hitting. However I did see this one that could have a chance at 8-1 He had 5 last yr and had 86 87 88 and 92 yard games. Thoughts?

A Brown (PIT) Over 100 Receiving Yards in 7 Games or More
+800
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I like it

IN
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appears I was the only one that followed this :loco: but forgot about this nugget. Already hit, now just need him to die so Dem can get most receiving yards

 
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comfortably numb said:
lumpy19 said:
comfortably numb said:
modogg said:
ChainsawU said:
Since 2001 teams playing a division game after playing in Denver the night before are 8-16 (.333) SU and 9-15 (.375) ATS (avg line -1). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest: 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS (avg line 3.2). When the opposing team is on > 0 rest and you are lined as the favorite: 0-5 SU and ATS (avg line -5) and 5-0 to the over (avg total 202.5 ±1.5). The majority likes the Rockets tonight so I'll wait to take Pelicans ATS and ML. I also like the Bucks ATS and ML and then the two unders on the TNT games but am waiting to see exactly how I feel to narrow it down later. Because betting all four NBA games will make me feel like a skank.
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:hifive: Freakin' Chainsaw is just kicking ### and taking names. Bucks were trying their hardest not to win this one, and they couldn't beat the Tsunami that is Saw!

ETA: i have just sat here and looked at my RB acct. for the last few minutes with a big smile on my face. I think i have finally built a big enough positive balance that even i can't screw it up before the end of the month :scared:
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Tailing a bunch of Chain and Frosty stuff last night and threw in a bunch of props.

Was at company xmas part last night and didn't check anything til i left around midnight. I had to double check in the AM cause I thought I might had been drunk last night.

Good job guys.

Although I have never met a positive balance I couldn't dismantle in 5 hours!

Gotta be smarter though.

GL to all
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I feel like I might have to make this my sig
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EOM extended to Jan 12.

There goes that positive balance!
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:excited:

 
Since 2012 the Spurs are 9-2 SU and 4-5-2 ATS after two consecutive losses. The under went 10-1 with an average of 186 ±12 points scored per game. In the nine Spurs wins the under went 9-0 with an average of 185 ±11 points scored per game and an average opponent score of 87 ±5. I'm starting off with Portland's team total with the possibility of getting a better number on the FG total closer to tip-off as 68-82% of the bets have come in on the over so far. Hoping to see it get pushed back up to 197 before the tip and/or a live-bet of anything 198 or better.

Blazers u96 -115

 
Since 2001 (entire database) the MAC Championship loser is 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS in the subsequent Bowl game. They're 2-5 SU and ATS as the dog in those games (avg line 2.8) winning by margins of 3,1 and losing by margins of 26,21,32,4,7. Since the database started recording totals in 2006 those games have gone 7-0 to the under.

 
It's funny how many CSU folks -- who have descended on Vegas in droves -- have been absolutely slobbering over the hoops matchup tonight at Denver University. This is one of the most lopsided picks I've ever seen on the main message board. Few are gamblers. I have not seen one post in the last few days that slightly throws caution to the wind. It's hilarious. Line opened at CSU -2 and is up to 4 1/2 and 5 at a few casinos.

I know nothing about DU, and CSU is surprisingly good, but this just screams DU to me. :popcorn:

 
BTW, not saying they are moving the line that much, but I am kind of curious how much the experts in here think a bunch of small potatoes could move a line in a situation like this. Lump, you there?

 
This post will serve as my tracking post, I'll be going back to it to update progress. All bets are to win 1u unless otherwise noted.

Nevada +1 AUTOPLAY 1.5u LOSS

UTEP/Utah State OVER 44.5 AUTOPLAY 1.5u :X

Utah -2.5 AUTOPLAY 1.5u :hifive:

Air Force/WMU UNDER 59 LOSS

Bowling Green +120 WIN

BYU/Memphis 2h O31 -105 WIN

NIU/Marshall OVER 67.5 .75u WIN

Navy/San Diego State U 54.5 AUTOPLAY 1.5u :banned:

San Diego State -3 -105 #### you Rocky Long you jellycock!

WKU -3.5 LOSS and maybe the worst beat in gambling history

Rice/Fresno St OVER 59.5 LOSS

Rice ML -110 WIN

Illinois +7 LOSS

UNC/Rutgers UNDER 69 WIN

UNC -3.5 2h WIN

UCF/NCSU OVER 49 WIN

Arizona State/Duke UNDER 66 1.5u AUTOPLAY LOSS

South Carolina +3.5 1.5u AUTOPLAY WIN

BC -2.5 LOSS

Nebraska +7 WIN

NU/USC OVER 62 .75u WIN

TAMU +3.5 1.5u AUTOPLAY WIN

OU/Clemson OVER 50 LOSS

Texas +7 LOSS

LSU/ND UNDER 52.5 LOSS

Louisville +7 1.5u AUTOPLAY LOSS

Stanford/Maryland OVER 45 WIN!

Maryland +14 .5u :bag:

Ole Miss +3.5 LOSS

Ole MIss ML +145 to win 1u LOSS

TCU -3 2h WIN

Boise State +3 WIN

Georgia Tech +6.5 WIN

Ga Tech +210 .67u WIN

Ga Tech/Miss State OVER 61.5 WIN

Wisconsin +7 -120 WIN

Missouri -4.5 WIN

Baylor/MSU UNDER 70 1.5u AUTOPLAY LOSS

Baylor -2.5 LOSS

Florida State +9.5 LOSS

Florida State ML +290 1u LOSS

FSU TT O 33 -115 LOSS

FSU/Ducks 2h OVER 37 WIN

Ohio State +9.5 1.5u AUTOPLAY WIN

Ohio State ML +310 1u WIN

Bama 2h -3.5 .75u LOSS

Pitt/Houston UNDER 54

Iowa/Tenn UNDER 52

K-State ML +110

Sides: 15-14 +5.45u

Totals: 9-8 +.4

System plays: 5-5 -.5u

Overall: 24-22 +5.85u

 
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ChainsawU said:
Since 2001 (entire database) the MAC Championship loser is 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS in the subsequent Bowl game. They're 2-5 SU and ATS as the dog in those games (avg line 2.8) winning by margins of 3,1 and losing by margins of 26,21,32,4,7. Since the database started recording totals in 2006 those games have gone 7-0 to the under.
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South Alabama and Bowling Green are probably the two worst bowl teams on paper. I had the side being pretty close to even so I'm going Bowling Green simply because I think it's a coin flip game between two pretty terrible teams. South Alabama giving the points because it's a game that isn't far from home, but meh...not sure that makes that much of a difference if you're that bad.

 
Doctor Detroit said:
This post will serve as my tracking post, I'll be going back to it to update progress. All bets are to win 1u unless otherwise noted.

Nevada +1 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

UTEP/Utah State OVER 44.5 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

Utah -2.5 AUTOPLAY 1.5u

Bowling Green +120

Two games tomorrow have entered autoplay territory, and I already had bet on Nevada last week. No lean on the Air Force/WMU game so I'll be looking for a tail on that game. Everything gets bet! It's time!
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I grabbed the Broncos...tailing the rest of these (although I got :wolf: at -2)

 
I can't go out so I would really love some late Friday night action, amigos.

I am leaning UTEP.

And OKC, I guess (no clue here).

 
BRONG said:
I can't go out so I would really love some late Friday night action, amigos.

I am leaning UTEP.

And OKC, I guess (no clue here).
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They should have played the first bowl game tonight at 9. I'm going out with some guys I was in Afghanistan with tomorrow, no way I'll watch the two later games. I will be drunk and fighting though. :thumbup:

 
Anyone wanna laugh at me?

I've been using "online sources" to watch games otherwise not available to me....for about 2 years. I discovered ad and cookie blockers...today. I may be the biggest dooooooooooosh of all time.

 
BRONG said:
It's funny how many CSU folks -- who have descended on Vegas in droves -- have been absolutely slobbering over the hoops matchup tonight at Denver University. This is one of the most lopsided picks I've ever seen on the main message board. Few are gamblers. I have not seen one post in the last few days that slightly throws caution to the wind. It's hilarious. Line opened at CSU -2 and is up to 4 1/2 and 5 at a few casinos.

I know nothing about DU, and CSU is surprisingly good, but this just screams DU to me. :popcorn:
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:eek: :eek: :eek:

You guys will not believe the finish here. I honestly feel horrible for CSU backers. They are hoards of them in Vegas and nothing would've been better to kick off the weekend. Instead, an absolutely brutal beat. At the very worst, only the dum dums that laid 4 1/2 deserved to lose (and to be honest, they didn't either).

Denver scored 5 points in the last 3 seconds. 2 of which came from the line when CSU inexplicably fouled. The other 3 came from an inbound steal and a 3 with...yeah, ONE SECOND LEFT.

 
BRONG said:
BRONG said:
It's funny how many CSU folks -- who have descended on Vegas in droves -- have been absolutely slobbering over the hoops matchup tonight at Denver University. This is one of the most lopsided picks I've ever seen on the main message board. Few are gamblers. I have not seen one post in the last few days that slightly throws caution to the wind. It's hilarious. Line opened at CSU -2 and is up to 4 1/2 and 5 at a few casinos.

I know nothing about DU, and CSU is surprisingly good, but this just screams DU to me. :popcorn:
Click to expand...
:eek: :eek: :eek:

You guys will not believe the finish here. I honestly feel horrible for CSU backers. They are hoards of them in Vegas and nothing would've been better to kick off the weekend. Instead, an absolutely brutal beat. At the very worst, only the dum dums that laid 4 1/2 deserved to lose (and to be honest, they didn't either).

Denver scored 5 points in the last 3 seconds. 2 of which came from the line when CSU inexplicably fouled. The other 3 came from an inbound steal and a 3 with...yeah, ONE SECOND LEFT.
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Oh I know!!!...I had CSU -4 2H...that steal and 3 cost we a win.

 
And Denver wasn't even in the double bonus. They miss that first FT, and they have to foul, down 6. Kid made both to even have a chance to cover the 4 1/2. And Denver would've fouled on the inbound.

Some of the sports books -- like the Hard Rock (CSU team hotel) -- must've exploded. I love being there when that happens. They were all counting their money.

 
ChainsawU said:
Since 2012 the Spurs are 9-2 SU and 4-5-2 ATS after two consecutive losses. The under went 10-1 with an average of 186 ±12 points scored per game. In the nine Spurs wins the under went 9-0 with an average of 185 ±11 points scored per game and an average opponent score of 87 ±5. I'm starting off with Portland's team total with the possibility of getting a better number on the FG total closer to tip-off as 68-82% of the bets have come in on the over so far. Hoping to see it get pushed back up to 197 before the tip and/or a live-bet of anything 198 or better.

Blazers u96 -115
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We looked good for 19/20's of this game. i hope the next time a game chooses to go into triple OT we happen to be on the over. It was the right call though it seemed. We were 5 seconds from cashing both

 
this is a weird one on RB

Dallas Cowboys to win the NFC East

No +210

Yes please! Pretty simple here. Indy beats the Cowpokes on Sunday, and the Eagles waltz into the playoffs.

 
modogg said:
this is a weird one on RB

Dallas Cowboys to win the NFC East

No +210

Yes please! Pretty simple here. Indy beats the Cowpokes on Sunday, and the Eagles waltz into the playoffs.
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was just looking at that.

IN

also taking shots on all the CFB props

total combined pts in any bowl

o92.5 +175

most pts scored by any 1 team

o59.5 +105

Largest winning margin

o32.5 -105

Total games to go into OT

o2.5 +140

 
Always had a soft spot for UTEP. Don Haskins is one of my all-time favorite coaches, will never forget their upset of top-ranked Kansas in the early 90s tourney.

 
modogg said:
this is a weird one on RB

Dallas Cowboys to win the NFC East

No +210

Yes please! Pretty simple here. Indy beats the Cowpokes on Sunday, and the Eagles waltz into the playoffs.
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You get better odds and a better chance winning a Colts/Eagles ML parlay this week.

 
modogg said:
tonydead said:
modogg said:
this is a weird one on RB

Dallas Cowboys to win the NFC East

No +210

Yes please! Pretty simple here. Indy beats the Cowpokes on Sunday, and the Eagles waltz into the playoffs.
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You get better odds and a better chance winning a Colts/Eagles ML parlay this week.
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hmmm, good thinking and not a bad idea
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Us Cowboys fans feel obligated to help Eagles fans out with the math. ;)

 
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