I do not consider myself the expert AND was hoping to develop a Shark Pool Consensus, but here goes.....1) Tomlinson - that I am sure of2) S Jackson3) Larry Johnson4) Westbrook5) Frank Gore6) Reggie Bush - no way (plus McAllister is there)7) S Alexander - bump up 4,5 area8) Maroney - behind parker and addai9) Willie Parker10) Addai11) Thomas Jones - bump down12) Rudi Johnson13) Travis Henry - bump down14) Benson15) McGahee - bump up maybe 10-1116) Edge James 17) Portis - should be 6-7 range 18) Ronnie Brown 19) Ahman Green20) C Taylor21) L Jordan22) Caddilac Williams23) T Bell24) Jacobs25) Jamal LewisI think there will be a lot of VARIATION in the rankings after the top three
Very true about Lynch and AP, but looking for thoughts now. Good point about Deuce McAllister. Bush probably too high, even in PPR which is his best format.thanks for sharing your list. I don't start to project until after the June 1 cuts, but some things to consider:1) I will probably have Portis and Brown a bit higher on my list. I see them fighting it out for Top 10 at worst2) I still think Deuce is a Top 15 RB. with horn out, you will see more of the same Thunder and Lightning in NO. He will definitely be ahead of J. Lewis, L. jordan, T. Bell, and Jacobs (to name a few)3) AP and Lynch have yet to be drafted. Their impact could be much greater than those at the bottom of your list
Is this the SciFi channel?Salex
dont get the referenceIs this the SciFi channel?Salex![]()
Yo peeps...Bush finished 9th last year in ppr, you really expect a drop off this year??? Some one actually had him in the 20s???
We really should get paid for this wisdom. Lelie, White, E. Johnson, Maroney....the hits keep on coming.Yo peeps...Bush finished 9th last year in ppr, you really expect a drop off this year??? Some one actually had him in the 20s???Extrapolate the second half of his season...you're welcome.
Wow. Can't wait until the next draft.Consensus thus far......22)M Barber
Sniffer notes - MJD seems to drop alot, wasn't fred healthy last year? People do not believe in Benson yet. Portis doesn't seems as undervalued as Lhucks said. Reggie Bush? Given this was ppr rankings, one staffer left him out of his top14 (herd), that's all he listed and JeffP at 12 seems too low.Is Addai offically overvalued? or is it due to his O? and he's borderline top 5?Consensus thus far......1)Tomlinson2)S Jackson3)L Johnson4)S Alexander5)Westbrook6)Frank Gore7)Addai8)Portis9)Rudi Johnson10)Maroney11)Reggie Bush12)Willie Parker13)McGahee14)Ronnie Brown15)Travis Henry16)Thomas Jones17)C Taylor18)Edge James19)Benson20)MJ Drew21)Caddilac Williams22)M Barber23)Deuce McAllister24)Ahman Green25)L Jordan
I will target him in all drafts. The Betts factor (way overblown IMO) is letting a top 5 back fall to the end of the 1st/early 2nd.Portis rankings look to be all over the board from various "expert" drafts I've seen...he could be value in many drafts.
Are you a beleiver in Campbell? True he didn't hurt Betts numbers. Is betts considered a "cheap" handcuff for re-draft?I will target him in all drafts. The Betts factor (way overblown IMO) is letting a top 5 back fall to the end of the 1st/early 2nd.Portis rankings look to be all over the board from various "expert" drafts I've seen...he could be value in many drafts.
I doubt he will be cheap because some will see the 1100 yards that he rushed for and will take a shot at him hoping for a RBBC or Portis injury. I don't really know what the think of Campbell at this point. He seemed fine, nothing jaw dropping nor anything horrible in the few games I saw him.Are you a beleiver in Campbell? True he didn't hurt Betts numbers. Is betts considered a "cheap" handcuff for re-draft?I will target him in all drafts. The Betts factor (way overblown IMO) is letting a top 5 back fall to the end of the 1st/early 2nd.Portis rankings look to be all over the board from various "expert" drafts I've seen...he could be value in many drafts.
at this point Barber looks like a steal but I think he will continue to rise in the ranks throughout the offseason.In leagues with a few guppies that always go by the previous years stats.....RB's that I will be targeting as my #2 or #3 RB that I believe will represent good value: Benson, R.Brown, C.Williams, & M.Barber.
Is the guppy move to chase the next big thing, or to use previous stats?In any event, I'm not big on Benson, but if he's your #3, he's a good risk. I'd be happy with Brown or Caddy as my RB2. MB3 I see all over the place, probably not a true value in all leagues.In leagues with a few guppies that always go by the previous years stats.....RB's that I will be targeting as my #2 or #3 RB that I believe will represent good value: Benson, R.Brown, C.Williams, & M.Barber.
I think MJD is definitely very difficult to put a value on right now. With Taylor coming back and Jones apparently returning to health, it appears that the masses may have soured on MJD's prospects going forward. I honestly did not watch much of MJD, so am reliant on what others have to think. Also, I find Travis Henry and Thomas Jones movement pretty interesting. Check their rankings compared to the recent consensus and it is apparent that their values have skyrocketed!Sniffer notes - MJD seems to drop alot, wasn't fred healthy last year?Consensus thus far......1)Tomlinson2)S Jackson3)L Johnson4)S Alexander5)Westbrook6)Frank Gore7)Addai8)Portis9)Rudi Johnson10)Maroney11)Reggie Bush12)Willie Parker13)McGahee14)Ronnie Brown15)Travis Henry16)Thomas Jones17)C Taylor18)Edge James19)Benson20)MJ Drew21)Caddilac Williams22)M Barber23)Deuce McAllister24)Ahman Green25)L Jordan
MJD just seems like a perfect compliment back but not the guy to get 300+ carries in a year. Never had more than 200 at UCLA, had 166 last year in Jacksonville. Can see them trying to keep him at 200 for the forseeable future.I think MJD is definitely very difficult to put a value on right now. With Taylor coming back and Jones apparently returning to health, it appears that the masses may have soured on MJD's prospects going forward. I honestly did not watch much of MJD, so am reliant on what others have to think. Also, I find Travis Henry and Thomas Jones movement pretty interesting. Check their rankings compared to the recent consensus and it is apparent that their values have skyrocketed!Sniffer notes - MJD seems to drop alot, wasn't fred healthy last year?Consensus thus far......1)Tomlinson2)S Jackson3)L Johnson4)S Alexander5)Westbrook6)Frank Gore7)Addai8)Portis9)Rudi Johnson10)Maroney11)Reggie Bush12)Willie Parker13)McGahee14)Ronnie Brown15)Travis Henry16)Thomas Jones17)C Taylor18)Edge James19)Benson20)MJ Drew21)Caddilac Williams22)M Barber23)Deuce McAllister24)Ahman Green25)L Jordan
I know you've been high on Caddy for some time, Colin, but curious on your thoughts on him in the top 10. Granted, the offense can't get any worse, but he still stands to lose goal line touches to Alstott and 3rd down duty/receptions to Pittman.10. Carnell Williams
Couldn't the same be said about Reggie Bush?MJD just seems like a perfect compliment back but not the guy to get 300+ carries in a year. Never had more than 200 at UCLA, had 166 last year in Jacksonville. Can see them trying to keep him at 200 for the forseeable future.I think MJD is definitely very difficult to put a value on right now. With Taylor coming back and Jones apparently returning to health, it appears that the masses may have soured on MJD's prospects going forward. I honestly did not watch much of MJD, so am reliant on what others have to think. Also, I find Travis Henry and Thomas Jones movement pretty interesting. Check their rankings compared to the recent consensus and it is apparent that their values have skyrocketed!Sniffer notes - MJD seems to drop alot, wasn't fred healthy last year?Consensus thus far......1)Tomlinson2)S Jackson3)L Johnson4)S Alexander5)Westbrook6)Frank Gore7)Addai8)Portis9)Rudi Johnson10)Maroney11)Reggie Bush12)Willie Parker13)McGahee14)Ronnie Brown15)Travis Henry16)Thomas Jones17)C Taylor18)Edge James19)Benson20)MJ Drew21)Caddilac Williams22)M Barber23)Deuce McAllister24)Ahman Green25)L Jordan
Williams is tricky for me to rank, too. Last year there were 100 RB recepts in TB, and Caddy got 30 of them (14 GP). He only caught 20 in the same amount of games as a rookie, so the trend is positive and Pittman is 33 or 34 this season, too. Problem is, Caddy has a career YPR of 5.5, Pittman's is 8.2. That's a pretty big difference, not sure what all the factors may be to account for the difference.I know you've been high on Caddy for some time, Colin, but curious on your thoughts on him in the top 10. Granted, the offense can't get any worse, but he still stands to lose goal line touches to Alstott and 3rd down duty/receptions to Pittman.10. Carnell Williams
Yes... but with reggie you need to add in the 60+ catches as well.Couldn't the same be said about Reggie Bush?MJD just seems like a perfect compliment back but not the guy to get 300+ carries in a year. Never had more than 200 at UCLA, had 166 last year in Jacksonville. Can see them trying to keep him at 200 for the forseeable future.I think MJD is definitely very difficult to put a value on right now. With Taylor coming back and Jones apparently returning to health, it appears that the masses may have soured on MJD's prospects going forward. I honestly did not watch much of MJD, so am reliant on what others have to think. Also, I find Travis Henry and Thomas Jones movement pretty interesting. Check their rankings compared to the recent consensus and it is apparent that their values have skyrocketed!Sniffer notes - MJD seems to drop alot, wasn't fred healthy last year?Consensus thus far......1)Tomlinson2)S Jackson3)L Johnson4)S Alexander5)Westbrook6)Frank Gore7)Addai8)Portis9)Rudi Johnson10)Maroney11)Reggie Bush12)Willie Parker13)McGahee14)Ronnie Brown15)Travis Henry16)Thomas Jones17)C Taylor18)Edge James19)Benson20)MJ Drew21)Caddilac Williams22)M Barber23)Deuce McAllister24)Ahman Green25)L Jordan
Looks like Lamont Jordan may be splitting carries this year. 7.5 over 2 years isn't really starter $, but that's more than a pure backup would get too.Sort of stunned that Benson is not making the top 25-30 of so many. I realize his value is hurt in PPR, but I still think he should be cracking the top 25.
Also, with the new coaching in OAK, I think Jordan has the potential to have a solid year. That o-line is bad, but the offense can't get much worse than last year. When you bring in Shoop as o-coordinator to IMPROVE your offense, your offense is clearly in shambles. I just think things have to improve on that front in 07.
I think the receptions are less of a deal than Alstott vulturing TDs. A-Train is pretty ancient, but still can probably ram it in about 6 or 7 times from the one-yard line.Williams is tricky for me to rank, too. Last year there were 100 RB recepts in TB, and Caddy got 30 of them (14 GP). He only caught 20 in the same amount of games as a rookie, so the trend is positive and Pittman is 33 or 34 this season, too. Problem is, Caddy has a career YPR of 5.5, Pittman's is 8.2. That's a pretty big difference, not sure what all the factors may be to account for the difference.I know you've been high on Caddy for some time, Colin, but curious on your thoughts on him in the top 10. Granted, the offense can't get any worse, but he still stands to lose goal line touches to Alstott and 3rd down duty/receptions to Pittman.10. Carnell Williams
Yes... but with reggie you need to add in the 60+ catches as well.[
Couldn't the same be said about Reggie Bush?
I understand the sentiment (and agree) with regard to Benson/Lendale but why Jones? He's proven that he can be a good starting rb, they had nearly the same # of attempts as Chicago did last year, and they have a young and improving line. He's a good wr and Pennington is good at the dumpoff.I will likely not try to own Benson, LenDale, and TJones unless the value is great.