Jene Bramel
Footballguy
With the bulk of the impact free agents signed, here's a first crack at projecting a rank list for 2007. In the past, we've waited until after the draft to unveil rank lists, but there's been some clamoring for earlier lists and I'm game for some discussion and break down.
Before you click on the link, keep the following biases of mine in mind.
These rankings come straight from projected year end 2007 statlines. I'll make some adjustments for dynasty leagues after I finish all five positions. Because of the turnover in the middle ranks and the impact a scheme change can have on individual IDPs, my dynasty rankings really aren't much different than my redraft rankings. I won't bump a consistent old guy down much in favor of the new kid on the block who's not proven himself over a season or two unless I'm convinced the old guy is in the tank and the newbie is a clear stud -- which will already be evident in my redraft list.
The projections I used to form the rank list are FBG scoring, which is nearly identical to Zealots scoring. I'm pretty conservative when making a projection in that I won't make a big change (+/- 15%) from a player's historical output without feeling pretty confident in the number. All projections assume a player's baseline amount of health. That is, I'm projecting John Abraham and Luis Castillo to play full 16 game seasons.
I'm not a big fan of projections and rank lists. I'm a dynasty leaguer by nature and I compare players by feel within a given tier. So please don't take the first draft of these lists as gospel and expect a clear difference between the #13 and #17 player on the list. For the time being, I'm going to stay absolutely true to my projection and resist the urge to bump guys I feel have the potential to significantly outproduce my line until camps get underway.
I don't know that we'll be separating CB and DT for 2007 so I'll add my top 40 at those positions within their respective positional threads. The DT list in particular will be a work in progress, especially at the bottom of the list.
Lemme have it.
**Patrick Chukwurah should be #47 on this list, just below Trevor Pryce. He's still coded as a LB in our database.
Before you click on the link, keep the following biases of mine in mind.
These rankings come straight from projected year end 2007 statlines. I'll make some adjustments for dynasty leagues after I finish all five positions. Because of the turnover in the middle ranks and the impact a scheme change can have on individual IDPs, my dynasty rankings really aren't much different than my redraft rankings. I won't bump a consistent old guy down much in favor of the new kid on the block who's not proven himself over a season or two unless I'm convinced the old guy is in the tank and the newbie is a clear stud -- which will already be evident in my redraft list.
The projections I used to form the rank list are FBG scoring, which is nearly identical to Zealots scoring. I'm pretty conservative when making a projection in that I won't make a big change (+/- 15%) from a player's historical output without feeling pretty confident in the number. All projections assume a player's baseline amount of health. That is, I'm projecting John Abraham and Luis Castillo to play full 16 game seasons.
I'm not a big fan of projections and rank lists. I'm a dynasty leaguer by nature and I compare players by feel within a given tier. So please don't take the first draft of these lists as gospel and expect a clear difference between the #13 and #17 player on the list. For the time being, I'm going to stay absolutely true to my projection and resist the urge to bump guys I feel have the potential to significantly outproduce my line until camps get underway.
I don't know that we'll be separating CB and DT for 2007 so I'll add my top 40 at those positions within their respective positional threads. The DT list in particular will be a work in progress, especially at the bottom of the list.
Lemme have it.
**Patrick Chukwurah should be #47 on this list, just below Trevor Pryce. He's still coded as a LB in our database.
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Is he not slated for replacement more or less?
He's a LB.I haven't projected the LBs yet, but I think Thomas has settled into the hybrid role nicely and should have a more consistent season. If he doesn't get complacent after the contract extension, I think a 65-21-10 season is well within his grasp. That line would make him a near lock to finish in the top five on the defensive line list.
