This topic contains a number of very passionate responses regarding a running back who has a number of talents and traits that I would look for in a starting back.
There is some question as to why MT lasted until the fifth round when drafted, and I believe it was noted in another post that scouts and GMs take pedigree into account as a factor of considerable weight when ranking college players. The level of talent between NCAA Division I to I-AA is considerable, as is the drop from perennial powerhouse Division I to bottom of the barrel Division I. Go down to Division II, III or the NAIA and it becomes little more than grown up high school football (former Division III player speaking). There are rare talents but many are playing because the love the sport or it is a big deal locally (small town mentality) or it was their only option/chance at higher education. I had the fortune to play against Jamie Mueller, who went on the Bills (3rd round) and had a lineman from my college who went onto be drafted, though he was a freshman when I was a senior, so I didn't have much of an impression of him. They were both dominant at that level. Mueller was as big as the D linemen and as fast as the D backs. It would take a two-legged Clydesdale to be a first day pick from anything other than Division I for the most part.
Turner has been the back up to LT for his entire career and if he were to remain there, for the rest of his career. I do not remember ever reading or hearing of a negative comment about his situation ever. That takes character. Turner was likely a star his whole career prior to the NFL and now is known for riding the bench behind the (arguably) greatest back in NFL history. Larry Johnson was in a similar situation and we all remember the "diaper" comment by KC coach. LJ complained frequently about his standing on the team. Turner has character, and remember, the SD papers do not hold back from discussing problems on the Chargers, ala Merriman.
Turner has not had problems, that I am aware of, with substance abuse, sexual disregard (define that for yourself) or other infractions. This is living in San Diego, a border town with opportunities to live life like it is a Quentin Tarantino movie. Again, character.
Turner has always delivered when called upon. I don't care if it is against the worst run D in the fourth quarter with a fifty point lead or against the top team at kickoff (not sure he has faced those scenarios, but it would not appear to matter the conditions). How many backs slack off because they are not in during important moments in the game?
His hands - I am sure the stats gurus can find out how many pass target, passes caught and passes dropped he has, but it is the limited number of passes, not passes dropped that I hear about. Maybe Rivers doesn't throw well to players he has not had time to develop chemistry with? Rivers didn't impress me much last year - please don't thread hijack defending Rivers or agreeing. Just my impression. MT handles kicks and that takes excellent eyes, hands and nerves. Try it sometime if you think it is easy. I was pulled from kickoffs because I couldn't judge the trajectory well enough to be in position. Of course, I had terrible hands too (I was a fullback).
Blocking and other skills. Rivers did not get sacked much, but he has a good O line, so I can't judge that, but I have never heard it criticized.
All told, MT is a dominant runner that does not appear to have a glaring weakness and has very positive character traits. Has he ever shown up to off season camp 30 pounds overweight or mouthed off to the press because he is not getting playing time? Not to my knowledge. I do wish he would shave off that beard thing.
He is unproven, take AD or Lynch first. Well, he has played at NFL speed for three years, knows a complex playbook and can handle the fame, money and exposure that comes with being a professional football player. AD is phenomenal and will be excellent when he adjusts to the NFL (I believe he will make this adjustment sooner than most). Why would any rookie be considered a safer bet than an excellent back up? Lendale White has not impressed based upon his character as much as his performance. Is MJD a better back up or did he just have more opportunity (I realize they have different skill sets and MJD was splitting time with FT)? Much of MT's success or failure will depend upon factors outside of his control (schedule, offensive line and blocking scheme, playcalling, etc). Ron Dayne has been ridiculed on this board, but he had at least one impressive game last year.
Giving up draft picks, is it really such a big deal? Teams draft roughly seven new players and might pick up one or two undrafted players a year, typically dumping many of them to practice squad before preseason is over. We are seeing players with ten year careers, does not leave much room for new blood. Has every QB drafted by the Packers been a wasted pick since the Favre era began? Does St Louis have any justification for drafting WR the last five or six years?
The action this off season with trades and free agency suggests to me that many teams need NFL ready players, not potential.
Turner is a NFL ready back with character traits and skills that guarantee he will perform as well as most first rounders, if not better, immediately. I wish the best opportunity to him, because he deserves it, though honestly, I think the same argument can be used by SD to keep him, he is a NFL ready back in a RB dependent offense that can prevent a major drop in production should LT ever get injured or need personal time. I don't believe I would trade that for a couple picks.
I realize I have added nothing other than my opinion, but please recognize this is a player and individuals with exceptional talents and qualities. His fantasy production may meet the top ten next year, or it may be no better than 20 depending upon if he is in a RBBC or a pass happy offense. The only guarantees are the work ethic and abilities MT will bring to the field.