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Players that you will reach/overpay for to have them on your team (1 Viewer)

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Footballguy
I was very high on Frank Gore before last season and I regret not going after him harder than I did. I had a deal of Julius Jones and Reggie Williams and people talked me out of it because I was overpaying. The lesson that I learned is sometimes it is better to overpay now to get the guy that you want. So...here is the 1st Annual Pay more that his ADP dictates list:

Long Term:

1. Michael Bush

2. John Beck

3. Javon Walker

4. Julius Jones

This Season:

1. Mark Bulger

2. Javon Walker

3. TO

4. Ahman Green

 
Willie Parker - I think he will finish the season in the top 3

Ahman Green - currently going in Round 8 I think he will put up RB2 numbers, would take him in round 5

 
Reggie Brown. He played well as the #2 Eagles wide receiver last season and was stellar when Donte Stallworth was hurt. Now we get to see him all season as the number one guy. I think he could be the 2007 version of Lee Evans. If I have to draft him in the 5th round I would.

I think Tony Romo can be the #1 quarterback in fantasy football in 2007. I think he has the ability and he most certainly has the supporting cast to put up monster numbers. If I have to overpay for him I wouldn't mind.

 
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I have a few drafts coming up, but here it are a few:

Gore

Parker

Drew - my fav

Turner

Irons

Kevin Jones

TOwens - fav

Wayne

Housh

Driver

Jennings

Coles

Hackett

Demetrius Williams

Witten

Cooley

 
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In our auction lg:

LT or SJ

Henry

A top 3 or 4 QB

A top 5ish WR

Hope to get lucky w/bargains the rest of the way out.

 
Dynasty = AD. I did overpay for him this year, and have no regrets. I think he will be the starter sooner than later this year, and also see him as a definate top 5 back for the next 4-7 years.

Of course, I am a little biased

 
I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?

 
I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
No. Let s/one else overspend. He'll disappoint.
 
:goodposting: Well, I hope I don't overpay too much...but here are guys I will target

Rothlisberger (hope my league mates will undervalue him)

Ward (I sure hope he's not done, should be relatively cheap)

Jennings (could he be one last incarnation of Antonio Freeman?)

Jacksonville D (they underperformed last year)

Whoever looks like the #1 back in Dallas (I know, this might not be apparent by the end of preseason...in which case I'll just take the cheaper of Jones/Barber)

 
I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
Uh news flash, he doesn't need to improve.He had 1,700 yards and 16 tds. In PPR, a pass happy coach helps. More trips to the RZ also help. Less men in the box also help.If he pulls out 1,600 and 15 (a drop in both yardage and TDs) I'll be quite happy.AND, he only faces the Ravens once in leagues that end week 16.
 
I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
No. Let s/one else overspend. He'll disappoint.
Neither one of you has a clue what you are talking about.Do you just type to type?
 
I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
No. Let s/one else overspend. He'll disappoint.
Neither one of you has a clue what you are talking about.Do you just type to type?
Here's what I like about your analysis. You typed "FWP", then listed several other players. No rationale, and no tolerance for opposing opinions. I dig your style, kid. Now, let me get back to what I was doing. I'm typing! I'm typing! This is so much fun.
 
I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
No. Let s/one else overspend. He'll disappoint.
Neither one of you has a clue what you are talking about.Do you just type to type?
Here's what I like about your analysis. You typed "FWP", then listed several other players. No rationale, and no tolerance for opposing opinions. I dig your style, kid. :confused: :jawdrop: Now, let me get back to what I was doing. I'm typing! I'm typing! This is so much fun.
 
I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
No. Let s/one else overspend. He'll disappoint.
Neither one of you has a clue what you are talking about.Do you just type to type?
Here's what I like about your analysis. You typed "FWP", then listed several other players. No rationale, and no tolerance for opposing opinions. I dig your style, kid. Now, let me get back to what I was doing. I'm typing! I'm typing! This is so much fun.
No. No tolerance for stupidity.How can Tomlin like to pass more? He's been a DC until hired recently. If you can show me Tomlin's offensive play calling track record maybe you've got a point. You can't. Just a clue, he doesn't have one.If your talking about Arians, the new OC, and his season of play calling for the Browns. Okay. Apples to oranges talent wise though. Really has only publicly committed to using more 3 TE sets. Good for Willie not bad. 3-4 WR sets equal space for Willie to run.If you want to call that justification...that's your call. Doesn't work in the real world.How about a 25 y.o feature back with no challenge to evolve into RBBC, who in his second season posts 16 TD's. Would be 19 minus the fumblitis which is correctable. See Tiki. This on a run oriented team with a new O-line coach who will instill accountability, lacking for years under Cowher. 3 O-lineman playing for a contract. Improved QB play and increased involvement by Willie in the passing game equals more opportunity, not less. Best run blocking TE in the game, now coupled with a mauler of a 3rd round pick. The stars are aligned. It's an upward trending curve, not a career year.If you want justification for other picks just holler. Happy to educate willing students.Doubt you are though....kid.
 
How can Tomlin like to pass more? He's been a DC until hired recently. If you can show me Tomlin's offensive play calling track record maybe you've got a point. You can't. Just a clue, he doesn't have one.If your talking about Arians, the new OC, and his season of play calling for the Browns. Okay.
Touche. Can you tell me about the success Tomlin and Arians bring to the table? And help me understand why they'd be better than the hall of fame coach who just left. You seem to be predicting improvement in the running game. What has the running game looked like in Arians-coached NFL offenses? For example, Cleveland running backs combined for 1025 yards rushing last year. Is that why you're predicting Pittsburgh's run game to improve?
How about a 25 y.o feature back with no challenge to evolve into RBBC, who in his second season posts 16 TD's. Would be 19 minus the fumblitis which is correctable. See Tiki.
Did you hear that Tiki overcame fumblitis to become a top running back? So did I. You know why I heard about it? Because it's rare. Not everyone who fumbles will correct it.
This on a run oriented team with a new O-line coach who will instill accountability, lacking for years under Cowher. 3 O-lineman playing for a contract.
This is a team that lost a hall of fame head coach, hired a no-name, and that relied on a top O line for years. I think it's fair to give Tomlin a year to get his system in place. But you not only expect improvement, you expect the guys who played hard for Cowher in the past to suddenly feel accountable to Tomlin, and work hard to make sure they can come back and play with the new guy. That's a bit of a stretch.
Improved QB play and increased involvement by Willie in the passing game equals more opportunity, not less. Best run blocking TE in the game, now coupled with a mauler of a 3rd round pick. The stars are aligned. It's an upward trending curve, not a career year.
Ah yes, everything is great in Pittsburgh. Everyone will get better, especially the quarterback, and the running back who had his career year. The TE is the best. They have a rookie fullback, and he'll be the best. Everything is getting better.
If you want justification for other picks just holler. Happy to educate willing students.Doubt you are though....kid.
lol
 
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I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
No. Let s/one else overspend. He'll disappoint.
Neither one of you has a clue what you are talking about.Do you just type to type?
Here's what I like about your analysis. You typed "FWP", then listed several other players. No rationale, and no tolerance for opposing opinions. I dig your style, kid. Now, let me get back to what I was doing. I'm typing! I'm typing! This is so much fun.
No. No tolerance for stupidity.How can Tomlin like to pass more? He's been a DC until hired recently. If you can show me Tomlin's offensive play calling track record maybe you've got a point. You can't. Just a clue, he doesn't have one.If your talking about Arians, the new OC, and his season of play calling for the Browns. Okay. Apples to oranges talent wise though. Really has only publicly committed to using more 3 TE sets. Good for Willie not bad. 3-4 WR sets equal space for Willie to run.If you want to call that justification...that's your call. Doesn't work in the real world.How about a 25 y.o feature back with no challenge to evolve into RBBC, who in his second season posts 16 TD's. Would be 19 minus the fumblitis which is correctable. See Tiki. This on a run oriented team with a new O-line coach who will instill accountability, lacking for years under Cowher. 3 O-lineman playing for a contract. Improved QB play and increased involvement by Willie in the passing game equals more opportunity, not less. Best run blocking TE in the game, now coupled with a mauler of a 3rd round pick. The stars are aligned. It's an upward trending curve, not a career year.If you want justification for other picks just holler. Happy to educate willing students.Doubt you are though....kid.
it's posts like this that make me cringe every year when i make my annual trek back over to the shark pool...i think my favorite part of this is this:Really has only publicly committed to using more 3 TE sets. Good for Willie not bad. 3-4 WR sets equal space for Willie to run.so 3 te sets are good for running, spread sets are good for running, really what isn't good for running when you're a stillers homerdon't bother crafting some rationalization for your viewpoint, i'm heading back to the ffa
 
QB's:

Palmer, VY, Cutler

RB's:

DeAngelo Williams, Brandon Jacobs, DeDe Dorsey, Kenny Irons

WR's:

Reggie Wayne, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Lee Evans, Brandon Marshall, Greg Jennings

TE's

Chris Cooley, Jason Witten

Team D's:

Green Bay & Indianapolis

 
I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
No. Let s/one else overspend. He'll disappoint.
Neither one of you has a clue what you are talking about.Do you just type to type?
Here's what I like about your analysis. You typed "FWP", then listed several other players. No rationale, and no tolerance for opposing opinions. I dig your style, kid. Now, let me get back to what I was doing. I'm typing! I'm typing! This is so much fun.
No. No tolerance for stupidity.How can Tomlin like to pass more? He's been a DC until hired recently. If you can show me Tomlin's offensive play calling track record maybe you've got a point. You can't. Just a clue, he doesn't have one.If your talking about Arians, the new OC, and his season of play calling for the Browns. Okay. Apples to oranges talent wise though. Really has only publicly committed to using more 3 TE sets. Good for Willie not bad. 3-4 WR sets equal space for Willie to run.If you want to call that justification...that's your call. Doesn't work in the real world.How about a 25 y.o feature back with no challenge to evolve into RBBC, who in his second season posts 16 TD's. Would be 19 minus the fumblitis which is correctable. See Tiki. This on a run oriented team with a new O-line coach who will instill accountability, lacking for years under Cowher. 3 O-lineman playing for a contract. Improved QB play and increased involvement by Willie in the passing game equals more opportunity, not less. Best run blocking TE in the game, now coupled with a mauler of a 3rd round pick. The stars are aligned. It's an upward trending curve, not a career year.If you want justification for other picks just holler. Happy to educate willing students.Doubt you are though....kid.
:confused:
 
How can Tomlin like to pass more? He's been a DC until hired recently. If you can show me Tomlin's offensive play calling track record maybe you've got a point. You can't. Just a clue, he doesn't have one.If your talking about Arians, the new OC, and his season of play calling for the Browns. Okay.
Touche. Can you tell me about the success Tomlin and Arians bring to the table? And help me understand why they'd be better than the hall of fame coach who just left. You seem to be predicting improvement in the running game. What has the running game looked like in Arians-coached NFL offenses? For example, Cleveland running backs combined for 1025 yards rushing last year. Is that why you're predicting Pittsburgh's run game to improve?
How about a 25 y.o feature back with no challenge to evolve into RBBC, who in his second season posts 16 TD's. Would be 19 minus the fumblitis which is correctable. See Tiki.
Did you hear that Tiki overcame fumblitis to become a top running back? So did I. You know why I heard about it? Because it's rare. Not everyone who fumbles will correct it.
This on a run oriented team with a new O-line coach who will instill accountability, lacking for years under Cowher. 3 O-lineman playing for a contract.
This is a team that lost a hall of fame head coach, hired a no-name, and that relied on a top O line for years. I think it's fair to give Tomlin a year to get his system in place. But you not only expect improvement, you expect the guys who played hard for Cowher in the past to suddenly feel accountable to Tomlin, and work hard to make sure they can come back and play with the new guy. That's a bit of a stretch.
Improved QB play and increased involvement by Willie in the passing game equals more opportunity, not less. Best run blocking TE in the game, now coupled with a mauler of a 3rd round pick. The stars are aligned. It's an upward trending curve, not a career year.
Ah yes, everything is great in Pittsburgh. Everyone will get better, especially the quarterback, and the running back who had his career year. The TE is the best. They have a rookie fullback, and he'll be the best. Everything is getting better.
If you want justification for other picks just holler. Happy to educate willing students.Doubt you are though....kid.
lol
Arians didn't coach the Browns last season. 2001-2003.
Prior to the Steelers, Arians spent three seasons (2001-2003) as the offensive coordinator for the Cleveland Browns. In 2002 under Arians' guidance, the Browns scored their most points since the 1987 season and also improved in virtually every major offensive category from the three years prior to his arrival.
I expect Ben to be better due to not headbutting an auto in the off-season.I expect the o-line to play for their next contract.You don't really want to debate Miller as the best run-blocking TE in the game. Spaeth is not in his league. May be in 3 years. Not yet. Will be better than 50% of the starting TE in the league at run blocking out of the chute.Steelers draft looks like defense, field position, and o-line. More predictive than anything else we have about Tomlin.Zierlein is an excellent o-line coach. Training camp battle for every position. Perform or sit.Ahman Green, Thomas Jones..many recent examples of overcoming the fumbles.Tomlin will motivate where Cowher was complacent.Cringe away. 3 TE and spread formations play to Willie's strengths. Pro-set and I formations don't. Understand football before commenting. It is a football board after all.
 
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I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
i agree. I think he is overvalued.
 
Gates

why ? in mandatory TE leagues, your A Gates will outscore the other teams TE by leaps and bounds almost every week - there is a HUGE difference between the #1 TE and the #12 TE

 
2. John Beck
Really?Have you watched BYU play? Or better yet, watched their press conferences? Beck is a headcase.
Can you elaborate on this? I haven't seen much of Beck or watched press conferences. I've read the fluff pieces in my local newspaper that make him sound like good guy, very much a student of the game. I'd love to get more insight into this. Is he a bad team guy, off field issues, what? Not arguing with you, I just don't know much about him, and he may be a Trent Green concussion away from starting.
 
I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
? Who's saying he'll improve? If he matches or even comes close to matching last year, he's well worth drafting. As for the coaching, getting Dungy didn't exactly burst the Colts' offensive bubble. PIT's passing game isn't good enough to change their plan dramatically, and I think the PIT coaches are finding that out, if they haven't already.
 
In my PPR keeper/quasi-dynasty league I think I am going to overpay for Calvin Johnson (draft him @ WR16) and A. Green (@RB21).

 
Arians didn't coach the Browns last season. 2001-2003.
I'm sorry I didn't pay closer attention to Arians' impressive resume. During the 2001-2003 seasons, the Browns never managed to have a top 20 offense in the NFL, but they did manage to finish 27th and 30th. During his banner 2002 season, they were 21st. In 2001, the Browns' running backs combined for 1169 rushing yards and 8 TDs. Give that a second to sink in. That's not one guy, that's the whole team. But to be fair, they didn't have any running back talent.In 2002, they drafted a running back in the first round. William Green ran for 887 yards and 6 TDs. To be fair, again, he was a rookie. So obviously he should improve the next year. In 2003, they drafted another highly touted running back, Lee Suggs. They combined for 848 yards in 11 total games, although both were injured throughout the season. This was the closest Arians came to getting a 1000 yard season from his running back, and he managed to get 1670 from the RB corps - good for 20th in the NFL. Yes, Cleveland was less talented than Pittsburgh. And maybe William Green is not as talented as Willie Parker. But William Green was the first running back drafted in his class. He was supposed to be more talented than the untouted Parker. When one player exceeds expectations, and the other fails to meet them, it could be a case of bad scouting, or a case of the player just not being coachable. But you could also look at the coach who is supposed to develop that talent. And so far, Arians and his hasn't shown me as much as Cowher and co. Cowher and co. were successful in developing a relative unknown and getting him to average 100 yards and a TD per game. Arians was not successful in developing a first round talent. Maybe more three tight end sets would have helped Green. Maybe Arians has learned from his mistakes. But the Steelers aren't really more talented on offense this year than they were last year, their coaching has taken a step back, and Parker is coming off an unexpectedly good year. Even if Cowher were still there, I'd say there was a decent chance he regressed. The fact that they've changed coaches to a defensive minded coach, changed offensive coordinators to a guy who doesn't have a ton of experience and hasn't had success developing running backs, and who has been talking a lot about the passing game. Right now Parker is getting drafted seventh or eighth overall on average, ahead of players who run just as much, are as talented, are in similar situations, and have good offensive lines. I don't think his upside is higher than Rudi Johnson's, and if things break wrong for him I think he would have a worse year than if things broke wrong for Rudi. Same thing goes for Travis Henry and Joseph Addai. I understand that you feel differently. Good luck with that.
 
Hey Bfred.Looks at FWP's schedule and I expect Big ben to be better/healthier. IMO the only think that could hinder FWP is an injury.
There are some good matchups and some bad matchups. As was mentioned earlier, it's good that they don't play Baltimore a second time until week 17. But the flip side of that is:Week 14 @NE Week 15 JAX Both of these were top 5 against the run last year. That's a pretty tough playoff schedule.
 
Hey Bfred.Looks at FWP's schedule and I expect Big ben to be better/healthier. IMO the only think that could hinder FWP is an injury.
There are some good matchups and some bad matchups. As was mentioned earlier, it's good that they don't play Baltimore a second time until week 17. But the flip side of that is:Week 14 @NE Week 15 JAX Both of these were top 5 against the run last year. That's a pretty tough playoff schedule.
Yes it is. But the first 13 weeks are pretty nice. Schedule analysis only gets you so many points to begin with. Owing FWP in a couple league last year made me watch him closely, he's the real deal IMO
 
bicycle_seat_sniffer said:
Yes it is. But the first 13 weeks are pretty nice. Schedule analysis only gets you so many points to begin with. Owing FWP in a couple league last year made me watch him closely, he's the real deal IMO
All good, but in the context of this thread, are you going to overpay for him? Ant sports currently has him going 9/10 (depending on scoring system) overall. How much higher are you willing to go to get him? Ahead of Bush, Alexander, Westbrook, Maroney? Higher?I think last year was pretty much his ceiling. He could do it again. But why would I want to pay extra for it?
 
bicycle_seat_sniffer said:
Yes it is. But the first 13 weeks are pretty nice. Schedule analysis only gets you so many points to begin with. Owing FWP in a couple league last year made me watch him closely, he's the real deal IMO
All good, but in the context of this thread, are you going to overpay for him? Ant sports currently has him going 9/10 (depending on scoring system) overall. How much higher are you willing to go to get him? Ahead of Bush, Alexander, Westbrook, Maroney? Higher?I think last year was pretty much his ceiling. He could do it again. But why would I want to pay extra for it?
I have him at 7 , in front of Bush and maroney. so if that is overpaying thats where I would take him
 
I have him at 7 , in front of Bush and maroney. so if that is overpaying thats where I would take him
Doesn't sound like overpaying to me. He's in that group of rbs where it's hard to make distinctions (Rudi, Bush, Parker, Westbrook, Maroney, Addai, Alexander), you have to go with what you like. My point is, he's already a 1st rounder, I don't really know how you could overpay for him unless you're taking him top 3 or 4 overall. Is that what some of the other Parker supporters in this thread are talking about?
 
I have him at 7 , in front of Bush and maroney. so if that is overpaying thats where I would take him
Doesn't sound like overpaying to me. He's in that group of rbs where it's hard to make distinctions (Rudi, Bush, Parker, Westbrook, Maroney, Addai, Alexander), you have to go with what you like. My point is, he's already a 1st rounder, I don't really know how you could overpay for him unless you're taking him top 3 or 4 overall. Is that what some of the other Parker supporters in this thread are talking about?
I think Parker is further down my list than the "Parker supporters" in this thread. Call me a "Parker detractor", but I think that whole team is going to have a dropoff this year. Parker's in the muddled middle this year with guys like Henry, Rudi, Maroney, Addai, Bush, Portis, Gore, Alexander, Westbrook, and maybe even McGahee and Benson. If someone offered me any of those guys and a guy I really like for Parker and a guy I don't like, I'd take it nine times out of ten.
 
Arians didn't coach the Browns last season. 2001-2003.
I'm sorry I didn't pay closer attention to Arians' impressive resume. During the 2001-2003 seasons, the Browns never managed to have a top 20 offense in the NFL, but they did manage to finish 27th and 30th. During his banner 2002 season, they were 21st. In 2001, the Browns' running backs combined for 1169 rushing yards and 8 TDs. Give that a second to sink in. That's not one guy, that's the whole team. But to be fair, they didn't have any running back talent.In 2002, they drafted a running back in the first round. William Green ran for 887 yards and 6 TDs. To be fair, again, he was a rookie. So obviously he should improve the next year. In 2003, they drafted another highly touted running back, Lee Suggs. They combined for 848 yards in 11 total games, although both were injured throughout the season. This was the closest Arians came to getting a 1000 yard season from his running back, and he managed to get 1670 from the RB corps - good for 20th in the NFL. Yes, Cleveland was less talented than Pittsburgh. And maybe William Green is not as talented as Willie Parker. But William Green was the first running back drafted in his class. He was supposed to be more talented than the untouted Parker. When one player exceeds expectations, and the other fails to meet them, it could be a case of bad scouting, or a case of the player just not being coachable. But you could also look at the coach who is supposed to develop that talent. And so far, Arians and his hasn't shown me as much as Cowher and co. Cowher and co. were successful in developing a relative unknown and getting him to average 100 yards and a TD per game. Arians was not successful in developing a first round talent. Maybe more three tight end sets would have helped Green. Maybe Arians has learned from his mistakes. But the Steelers aren't really more talented on offense this year than they were last year, their coaching has taken a step back, and Parker is coming off an unexpectedly good year. Even if Cowher were still there, I'd say there was a decent chance he regressed. The fact that they've changed coaches to a defensive minded coach, changed offensive coordinators to a guy who doesn't have a ton of experience and hasn't had success developing running backs, and who has been talking a lot about the passing game. Right now Parker is getting drafted seventh or eighth overall on average, ahead of players who run just as much, are as talented, are in similar situations, and have good offensive lines. I don't think his upside is higher than Rudi Johnson's, and if things break wrong for him I think he would have a worse year than if things broke wrong for Rudi. Same thing goes for Travis Henry and Joseph Addai. I understand that you feel differently. Good luck with that.
not buyin' it fred. i don't see enough here to draw conclusions about Arians' affect on FWP. if you really want to get picky, william green's 2nd half in 02 was the most impressive stretch for a RB in Cleveland in a long time.Parker seems like a safe bet to me.
 
I don't understand the love for Willie Parker. Yes, he had a good year last year. It was unexpectedly good. Then Cowher left, and was replaced by a head coach who likes to pass more. So naturally, you expect him to improve on his career year... ?
Pittsburgh had 523 pass attempts last year against 415 RB carries, that's after on 375 pass attempts and 483 RB carries in 2005. So Willie's "career year" came in the same year as a huge shift towards the pass. seems very possible he could improve.
 
not buyin' it fred. i don't see enough here to draw conclusions about Arians' affect on FWP. if you really want to get picky, william green's 2nd half in 02 was the most impressive stretch for a RB in Cleveland in a long time.Parker seems like a safe bet to me.
But the point isn't even that Arians is horrible. The point is that there's nothing in his resume - even William Green's mildly interesting 2002 - that makes you think he's going to be better than the Steelers were last year. I can see plenty of reasons to think that he'll regress from a career year, and plenty of reasons to think that the team will regress in the transition from hall of fame head coach to first time head coach, or that the offense will turn more towards the pass. I don't know of any reasons to think that Parker will improve, and I haven't seen anyone name one. When most people see a player as staying the same or dropping off, I tend to drop that player down my list.
 
not buyin' it fred. i don't see enough here to draw conclusions about Arians' affect on FWP. if you really want to get picky, william green's 2nd half in 02 was the most impressive stretch for a RB in Cleveland in a long time.Parker seems like a safe bet to me.
But the point isn't even that Arians is horrible. The point is that there's nothing in his resume - even William Green's mildly interesting 2002 - that makes you think he's going to be better than the Steelers were last year. I can see plenty of reasons to think that he'll regress from a career year, and plenty of reasons to think that the team will regress in the transition from hall of fame head coach to first time head coach, or that the offense will turn more towards the pass. I don't know of any reasons to think that Parker will improve, and I haven't seen anyone name one. When most people see a player as staying the same or dropping off, I tend to drop that player down my list.
 

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