...(3) His receivers suck. They have dropped multiple TD passes already this year, and several key 3rd down passes as well. Titans must get him better weapons. ...
This statement got me wondering about how many drops VY is facing vs other QBs. I thought FBGs had drop stats but I couldn't find it when I went looking. But I do know of a site that has a breakdown on incompletions for each QB. So I thought I'd see what the stats say compared to perception. I decided to go with all the QBs in the same division since they have similar schedules and reasonably similar records. I then added all the starting QBs from VY's draft class or from the year before so we have guys with similar amounts of experience. And, it's worth noting, perhaps by coincidence often on teams with mediocre receiving corps this year (Garrard, Cutler, T. Jackson, and Alex Smith in particular, though Leinart is at the other end, and Jason Campbell perhaps in the middle).Total number of drops isn't as meaningful since they have different number of pass attempts, but % of passes thrown that were drops should be a great indicator, and also % of incompletions that were drops should have some meaning.Vince has had his receivers drop 6 passes, which is 10.3% of his incompletions and 4.0% of his passes thrown.Peyton: 19 drops, 20.9% of his incompletions and 7.3% of his passes thrown.Schaub: 5 drops, 7.2%, 2.3%Garrard: 8 drops, 16.0%, 5.4%Cutler: 8 drops, 10.7%, 3.7%Campbell: 15 drops, 16.0%, 6.6%.Leinart: 4 drops, 7.7%, 3.6%A. Smith: 15 drops, 18.1%, 9.1%T. Jackson: 10 drops, 16.9%, 9.1%Using drops as an excuse, Vince is looking at best very middle of the road and at worst amongst the more fortunate of QBs in regards to drops.5 of the 9 QBs are more likely to have any given pass attempt be dropped than is Vince. 6 of the 9 have a higher percentage of their incompletions due to drops than does Vince.It may be true that his receivers may not be able to get open as well and that might lead to incompletions, but the numbers don't seem to support that drops are a significant part of the problem for Vince. If anything he appears to have a better situation in terms of drops than do many QBs.