Jeff Pasquino
Footballguy
First of all, take these all with a grain of salt.
Secondly, these are for educational purposes only.
Third - I think it is a major mistake to try and predict all games.
My ranking system is based on "Stars", which gauges how strongly I feel about each pick.
Last week I had a fast start, going 5-0 with Thanksgiving picks followed by a mediocre Sunday, 7-5 but still a winning day. Not up to par from the past four weeks, where I went 10-4, 9-1 (including my Stone Cold
of the Year), then 9-6 and then 7-3. Five winning weeks and 47-19 isn't a bad streak. That's a 71% winning percentage, which is
no matter how you slice it. I've heard a few people wanting my Thursday selections ASAP, so I'll do just that if I like the game.... which I do this week.
So - how about some picks?
Let's go:
*ONE STAR GAMES*
Coming Soon.
**TWO STAR GAMES**
Green Bay Packers (+7) at Dallas Cowboys - (2 stars)
Last time I checked, Green Bay was pretty good. They can score, score, and score some more - and so can their defense. To borrow some from my write-up in the FBG Staff Roundtable:
), and some of it is that I'm just that lazy. Or maybe I liked what I wrote, I'm not sure. Bottom line - you can't give a 10-1 team a touchdown and not take that, can you?
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys (OVER 51) - (2 stars)
Ok, I'm lazy. 37-24, See above.
***THREE STAR GAMES***
Coming Soon.
:IBTL: of the Week - Coming Soon.
***SUCKER BET GAME***
Coming Soon.
Enjoy.
Secondly, these are for educational purposes only.
Third - I think it is a major mistake to try and predict all games.
My ranking system is based on "Stars", which gauges how strongly I feel about each pick.
Last week I had a fast start, going 5-0 with Thanksgiving picks followed by a mediocre Sunday, 7-5 but still a winning day. Not up to par from the past four weeks, where I went 10-4, 9-1 (including my Stone Cold


So - how about some picks?
Let's go:
*ONE STAR GAMES*
Coming Soon.
**TWO STAR GAMES**
Green Bay Packers (+7) at Dallas Cowboys - (2 stars)
Last time I checked, Green Bay was pretty good. They can score, score, and score some more - and so can their defense. To borrow some from my write-up in the FBG Staff Roundtable:
Yeah, part of me is pimping Footballguys Subscriber Content (see sig
Jeff Pasquino: This is going to be a great game, and I'm looking forward to this big matchup.
Both teams are the class of the NFC and any time two teams meet this late in the year with just one loss each you have to sit up and take notice.
As for the matchups I want to see, I want to see what Dallas tries to do against Brett Favre. I'm expecting Green Bay to go with Ryan Grant as the lone back for much of the game, plus either 3 WRs and Donald Lee or 4 WRs, forcing the Cowboys to try and keep pace with the Packer passing attack. So what if Green Bay has struggled running the ball at times this year? Favre has been spectacular this year and Donald Driver, Greg Jennings and James Jones have been one of the toughest 3-WR combos to cover this season. Dallas' weakness is certainly their secondary and Ken Hamlin has been spun like a top in several games, so look for Favre to press the middle third of the secondary.
The Packers will run the ball to burn a little clock and to keep the LBs honest throughout the game, but I would not expect a huge game from Ryan Grant unless Green Bay was up big later in the game.
As for the Cowboys, look for Tony Romo to try and counter-punch to Favre's attacks on the Dallas defense and on the scoreboard. Terrell Owens and Jason Witten will see plenty of coverage from a good Green Bay defense, but Witten should be able to find some holes down the seam. Getting Patrick Crayton back helps as the crossing slant will also be a big pass option for Romo.
Julius Jones and Marion Barber have both been effective at times, but the Packers LB's are too quick for Jones to accomplish much this game. Barber, as usual, will get the bulk of the work and pound the inside when he runs and also contribute on a few screen plays. Barber, like Grant, would seem to be the most valuable guy to have on the field if Dallas is up by two or more scores in the fourth quarter as he can just wear down a defense in the waning minutes.
Overall, I expect this game to be a shoot-out and highly entertaining to watch. The surprise here is that Green Bay will win the game because the biggest mismatch is the Packers passing attack vs. the Dallas weaknesses at LB and DB. Favre and Romo both will get 300+ yards and 2+ TDs, but Dallas won't be able to keep up. The Packers defense has also been more opportunistic this season and if Favre gets a shorter field to work on, that could be the difference and it should play out that way. I expect the Packers to take the #1 seed lead in the NFC on Thursday with a 34-27 victory.

Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys (OVER 51) - (2 stars)
Ok, I'm lazy. 37-24, See above.
***THREE STAR GAMES***
Coming Soon.
:IBTL: of the Week - Coming Soon.
***SUCKER BET GAME***
Coming Soon.
Enjoy.