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Basic Income Guarantee (2 Viewers)

You guys are missing the point. They are already bringing out machines that can replace fast food workers and make 200 burgers an hour. I have seen automated flag wavers at construction sites. This is not the printing press which created typesetters and press repair guys. This is replacing everyone involved with the production of everything and maintenance of those machines except one or two guys to make sure the place is running smoothly. That's what is coming. And everyone can't be bloggers.
We got a human flag waver at the local Boost Mobile store and GD is she fawking hot. You can't automate that.
We're getting there

http://manhattaninfidel.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/japanese-sex-robot-790079.jpg

 
JMHO, I think the recent few posts are attacking the problem that they see in the wrong manner. The BIG is called an income and we associate income as what you get for doing something. For work. It's a hard association to break. But that isn't what the BIG really is - at least not the one that I am talking about in this thread and it seems like I am closing to what the idea would be.

So maybe stop calling it an "income" guarantee. Call it whatever name you want. Call it a prebate for all I care. The point is that if we take the entire pool of social safety net programs that are designed to help the least among us pay for basic necessities that pool costs us X amount a year. I don't know the exact number. I've floated numbers anywhere from 2-4 trillion a year depending on how you look at it. So what we have right now costs 2-4 trillion. And what we have right now still results in the government spending that money and not fixing the problem. You can argue why it doesn't fix the problem. But there is still poverty of a kind that a country as rich as ours really shouldn't have.

So instead of that pool that is a conglomeration of hundreds of government programs ripe with abuse, underfunding, overfunding, political gamesmanship, targeted to the wrong demographic and each and every other "problem" these programs have, let's get rid of them and spend that money in a different way. If we take every single person in this country from age 18 to death and pay them about 1500 per month from the government we spend about 4-6 trillion a year. The numbers are close to what the entire social safety net is already. So we aren't paying people not to work. We are restructuring the governmental entanglment into the daily lives of the polity by taking hundreds of programs and turning into 1 check per month.

It's not income. It's a recognition that the safety net isn't working but is necessary and that it can be done better at at least the same cost if not cheaper. You factor into that the change to GDP that it creates and maybe that is where you get the rest of the cost difference. Is there a dissincentive to work if you get 1500 a month before you lift a finger? Maybe. But the argument is that its no different than what is already there. And there are flip sides. If the single mom has money for the kid to eat maybe she can better herself with advanced job training instead of working a minimum wage job with no opportunity for growth. Maybe there are less single woman that live below the poverty line in this country because they have the means to live - not great but live - and can focus on getting better.

Maybe they take the check and do nothing. You can survive on 1500 a month in many parts of this country. You can't in NYC or LA. You absolutely can in much of the middle and midwest and south of the country. But instead of forcing yourself into the dead end low paying unsatisfactory job just to be able to get diapers maybe you can get just a couple steps up the totem poll.

Don't look at the BIG as an income. Look at it as a savings coupon for the government to get rid of hundres of programs mixed with what amounts to job training vounchers for low income low educated people.
I just don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our currently program. Let's suppose for the sake of argument that the person takes their income guarantee and blows it all on crack and hookers. They're still in poverty, right? Their kids probably still aren't getting the role model and/or education that they need to be competitive in today's society, right? The main reason we're still talking about this is because giving people a small amount of money and hoping they just fix themselves hasn't proven to work as well as we might have hoped.

 
You guys are missing the point. They are already bringing out machines that can replace fast food workers and make 200 burgers an hour. I have seen automated flag wavers at construction sites. This is not the printing press which created typesetters and press repair guys. This is replacing everyone involved with the production of everything and maintenance of those machines except one or two guys to make sure the place is running smoothly. That's what is coming. And everyone can't be bloggers.
Reeks and recs. :vonnegut:

 
JMHO, I think the recent few posts are attacking the problem that they see in the wrong manner. The BIG is called an income and we associate income as what you get for doing something. For work. It's a hard association to break. But that isn't what the BIG really is - at least not the one that I am talking about in this thread and it seems like I am closing to what the idea would be.

So maybe stop calling it an "income" guarantee. Call it whatever name you want. Call it a prebate for all I care. The point is that if we take the entire pool of social safety net programs that are designed to help the least among us pay for basic necessities that pool costs us X amount a year. I don't know the exact number. I've floated numbers anywhere from 2-4 trillion a year depending on how you look at it. So what we have right now costs 2-4 trillion. And what we have right now still results in the government spending that money and not fixing the problem. You can argue why it doesn't fix the problem. But there is still poverty of a kind that a country as rich as ours really shouldn't have.

So instead of that pool that is a conglomeration of hundreds of government programs ripe with abuse, underfunding, overfunding, political gamesmanship, targeted to the wrong demographic and each and every other "problem" these programs have, let's get rid of them and spend that money in a different way. If we take every single person in this country from age 18 to death and pay them about 1500 per month from the government we spend about 4-6 trillion a year. The numbers are close to what the entire social safety net is already. So we aren't paying people not to work. We are restructuring the governmental entanglment into the daily lives of the polity by taking hundreds of programs and turning into 1 check per month.

It's not income. It's a recognition that the safety net isn't working but is necessary and that it can be done better at at least the same cost if not cheaper. You factor into that the change to GDP that it creates and maybe that is where you get the rest of the cost difference. Is there a dissincentive to work if you get 1500 a month before you lift a finger? Maybe. But the argument is that its no different than what is already there. And there are flip sides. If the single mom has money for the kid to eat maybe she can better herself with advanced job training instead of working a minimum wage job with no opportunity for growth. Maybe there are less single woman that live below the poverty line in this country because they have the means to live - not great but live - and can focus on getting better.

Maybe they take the check and do nothing. You can survive on 1500 a month in many parts of this country. You can't in NYC or LA. You absolutely can in much of the middle and midwest and south of the country. But instead of forcing yourself into the dead end low paying unsatisfactory job just to be able to get diapers maybe you can get just a couple steps up the totem poll.

Don't look at the BIG as an income. Look at it as a savings coupon for the government to get rid of hundres of programs mixed with what amounts to job training vounchers for low income low educated people.
I just don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our currently program. Let's suppose for the sake of argument that the person takes their income guarantee and blows it all on crack and hookers. They're still in poverty, right? Their kids probably still aren't getting the role model and/or education that they need to be competitive in today's society, right? The main reason we're still talking about this is because giving people a small amount of money and hoping they just fix themselves hasn't proven to work as well as we might have hoped.
Well as I have stated you might have to have certain programs to protect children. And there will still be charitable organizations. But as far as adults go you have a chance to make a proper decision if you don't that's mostly on you isn't it? Keep in mind through all this testing of people on welfare they have proven to be using less drugs than the general population as a per capita percentage. The biggest users of powder cocaine are white middle managers not welfare recipients.

 
JMHO, I think the recent few posts are attacking the problem that they see in the wrong manner. The BIG is called an income and we associate income as what you get for doing something. For work. It's a hard association to break. But that isn't what the BIG really is - at least not the one that I am talking about in this thread and it seems like I am closing to what the idea would be.

So maybe stop calling it an "income" guarantee. Call it whatever name you want. Call it a prebate for all I care. The point is that if we take the entire pool of social safety net programs that are designed to help the least among us pay for basic necessities that pool costs us X amount a year. I don't know the exact number. I've floated numbers anywhere from 2-4 trillion a year depending on how you look at it. So what we have right now costs 2-4 trillion. And what we have right now still results in the government spending that money and not fixing the problem. You can argue why it doesn't fix the problem. But there is still poverty of a kind that a country as rich as ours really shouldn't have.

So instead of that pool that is a conglomeration of hundreds of government programs ripe with abuse, underfunding, overfunding, political gamesmanship, targeted to the wrong demographic and each and every other "problem" these programs have, let's get rid of them and spend that money in a different way. If we take every single person in this country from age 18 to death and pay them about 1500 per month from the government we spend about 4-6 trillion a year. The numbers are close to what the entire social safety net is already. So we aren't paying people not to work. We are restructuring the governmental entanglment into the daily lives of the polity by taking hundreds of programs and turning into 1 check per month.

It's not income. It's a recognition that the safety net isn't working but is necessary and that it can be done better at at least the same cost if not cheaper. You factor into that the change to GDP that it creates and maybe that is where you get the rest of the cost difference. Is there a dissincentive to work if you get 1500 a month before you lift a finger? Maybe. But the argument is that its no different than what is already there. And there are flip sides. If the single mom has money for the kid to eat maybe she can better herself with advanced job training instead of working a minimum wage job with no opportunity for growth. Maybe there are less single woman that live below the poverty line in this country because they have the means to live - not great but live - and can focus on getting better.

Maybe they take the check and do nothing. You can survive on 1500 a month in many parts of this country. You can't in NYC or LA. You absolutely can in much of the middle and midwest and south of the country. But instead of forcing yourself into the dead end low paying unsatisfactory job just to be able to get diapers maybe you can get just a couple steps up the totem poll.

Don't look at the BIG as an income. Look at it as a savings coupon for the government to get rid of hundres of programs mixed with what amounts to job training vounchers for low income low educated people.
I just don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our currently program. Let's suppose for the sake of argument that the person takes their income guarantee and blows it all on crack and hookers. They're still in poverty, right? Their kids probably still aren't getting the role model and/or education that they need to be competitive in today's society, right? The main reason we're still talking about this is because giving people a small amount of money and hoping they just fix themselves hasn't proven to work as well as we might have hoped.
Well as I have stated you might have to have certain programs to protect children. And there will still be charitable organizations. But as far as adults go you have a chance to make a proper decision if you don't that's mostly on you isn't it? Keep in mind through all this testing of people on welfare they have proven to be using less drugs than the general population as a per capita percentage. The biggest users of powder cocaine are white middle managers not welfare recipients.
I still don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our current program.

 
JMHO, I think the recent few posts are attacking the problem that they see in the wrong manner. The BIG is called an income and we associate income as what you get for doing something. For work. It's a hard association to break. But that isn't what the BIG really is - at least not the one that I am talking about in this thread and it seems like I am closing to what the idea would be.

So maybe stop calling it an "income" guarantee. Call it whatever name you want. Call it a prebate for all I care. The point is that if we take the entire pool of social safety net programs that are designed to help the least among us pay for basic necessities that pool costs us X amount a year. I don't know the exact number. I've floated numbers anywhere from 2-4 trillion a year depending on how you look at it. So what we have right now costs 2-4 trillion. And what we have right now still results in the government spending that money and not fixing the problem. You can argue why it doesn't fix the problem. But there is still poverty of a kind that a country as rich as ours really shouldn't have.

So instead of that pool that is a conglomeration of hundreds of government programs ripe with abuse, underfunding, overfunding, political gamesmanship, targeted to the wrong demographic and each and every other "problem" these programs have, let's get rid of them and spend that money in a different way. If we take every single person in this country from age 18 to death and pay them about 1500 per month from the government we spend about 4-6 trillion a year. The numbers are close to what the entire social safety net is already. So we aren't paying people not to work. We are restructuring the governmental entanglment into the daily lives of the polity by taking hundreds of programs and turning into 1 check per month.

It's not income. It's a recognition that the safety net isn't working but is necessary and that it can be done better at at least the same cost if not cheaper. You factor into that the change to GDP that it creates and maybe that is where you get the rest of the cost difference. Is there a dissincentive to work if you get 1500 a month before you lift a finger? Maybe. But the argument is that its no different than what is already there. And there are flip sides. If the single mom has money for the kid to eat maybe she can better herself with advanced job training instead of working a minimum wage job with no opportunity for growth. Maybe there are less single woman that live below the poverty line in this country because they have the means to live - not great but live - and can focus on getting better.

Maybe they take the check and do nothing. You can survive on 1500 a month in many parts of this country. You can't in NYC or LA. You absolutely can in much of the middle and midwest and south of the country. But instead of forcing yourself into the dead end low paying unsatisfactory job just to be able to get diapers maybe you can get just a couple steps up the totem poll.

Don't look at the BIG as an income. Look at it as a savings coupon for the government to get rid of hundres of programs mixed with what amounts to job training vounchers for low income low educated people.
I just don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our currently program. Let's suppose for the sake of argument that the person takes their income guarantee and blows it all on crack and hookers. They're still in poverty, right? Their kids probably still aren't getting the role model and/or education that they need to be competitive in today's society, right? The main reason we're still talking about this is because giving people a small amount of money and hoping they just fix themselves hasn't proven to work as well as we might have hoped.
Anecdotal hypo-story.

I deal with a lot of people that are roughly in the same boat so I'm going to take one specific client - a single mom. Got divorced because husband was a deadbeat while married and is now worse while divorced. 3 kids. The kids are going to school but are young so they can't be left at home and will be home all summer.

Day care so that she can work basically costs more than what she can earn. And then over the summer it's even worse. So she works as best she can - part time for minimum wage but only while the kids are in school. So the chance of her ever earning more in the job is almost nil. Because of her income problems, she qualifies for several government programs. She makes maybe 200 a week. She gets a couple hundred a month in food stamps. So maybe she gets about 1000 total a month. Her rent for a place that fits 3 kids in low income housing is 600 a month. 400 a month to pay for, in any particular order, gas, electric, food and medicine, clothes, gas, phone, stuff for the kids, and on and on and on and on is about impossible. So she has tried to qualify for every government program she can - energy assitance, rental assistance, post school costs waivers and on and on it goes. And she isn't making it which is hard because her kids are 3 of the nicest most beuatiful human beings that earth ever saw and would probably become wonderful people - and still may - but the system that is designed to help them isn't helping because she only qualifies for all of this help if she doesn't make any more money.

So even if she could work more and figure something out with the kids - she would lose more benefits than she could earn. Negative income to try to succeed.

Now, let me give her 1500 a month. No matter what. She doesnt get any of that assistance any more in any manner, but at 1500 a month she can pay rent - 600 a month (and maybe it goes up a little, say 800 a month) and she still has 700 a month more for the basics - the kids. Now - she can go to work part time or - even better - take a class or two while the kids are in school to be a pharm tech. They start at $31,000 a year in NJ on average if they work full time - which I can't assume she does right away but she probably would eventually - regardless it's more than she makes now.

So, at that point, she gets 50,000 a year. There is no more government program forcing her to stay in poverty - it's doing the exact opposite and allowing her to grow and earn more and be a more important provider to society as a whole and her kids specifically.

Again - 1 story. 1 set of facts. 1 person I know that doesn't want to live at the poverty line forever but is just stuck because of the system in place. If you can fix that you did a good. Would there still be problems? Sure. But I just helped a single mom pull herself up and in doing so help - again, not kidding - 3 of the nicest kids you will ever set your eyes on.

I'm for trying that.

 
Good posting by Y23.

Basically, with our current system, there is negative income pressure under a certain amount.

Why work for $200 a week if you are going to lose $200 (or more) in government benefits?

Offering "no-strings-attached" money removes that negative pressure. Now working actually adds value to the family, instead of just reducing HEAP benefits.

I also think that if we stayed with an income tax, marginal rates could easily raise to meet the increased expenses.

Personally, I'd rather see a national sales tax/VAT.

 
JMHO, I think the recent few posts are attacking the problem that they see in the wrong manner. The BIG is called an income and we associate income as what you get for doing something. For work. It's a hard association to break. But that isn't what the BIG really is - at least not the one that I am talking about in this thread and it seems like I am closing to what the idea would be.

So maybe stop calling it an "income" guarantee. Call it whatever name you want. Call it a prebate for all I care. The point is that if we take the entire pool of social safety net programs that are designed to help the least among us pay for basic necessities that pool costs us X amount a year. I don't know the exact number. I've floated numbers anywhere from 2-4 trillion a year depending on how you look at it. So what we have right now costs 2-4 trillion. And what we have right now still results in the government spending that money and not fixing the problem. You can argue why it doesn't fix the problem. But there is still poverty of a kind that a country as rich as ours really shouldn't have.

So instead of that pool that is a conglomeration of hundreds of government programs ripe with abuse, underfunding, overfunding, political gamesmanship, targeted to the wrong demographic and each and every other "problem" these programs have, let's get rid of them and spend that money in a different way. If we take every single person in this country from age 18 to death and pay them about 1500 per month from the government we spend about 4-6 trillion a year. The numbers are close to what the entire social safety net is already. So we aren't paying people not to work. We are restructuring the governmental entanglment into the daily lives of the polity by taking hundreds of programs and turning into 1 check per month.

It's not income. It's a recognition that the safety net isn't working but is necessary and that it can be done better at at least the same cost if not cheaper. You factor into that the change to GDP that it creates and maybe that is where you get the rest of the cost difference. Is there a dissincentive to work if you get 1500 a month before you lift a finger? Maybe. But the argument is that its no different than what is already there. And there are flip sides. If the single mom has money for the kid to eat maybe she can better herself with advanced job training instead of working a minimum wage job with no opportunity for growth. Maybe there are less single woman that live below the poverty line in this country because they have the means to live - not great but live - and can focus on getting better.

Maybe they take the check and do nothing. You can survive on 1500 a month in many parts of this country. You can't in NYC or LA. You absolutely can in much of the middle and midwest and south of the country. But instead of forcing yourself into the dead end low paying unsatisfactory job just to be able to get diapers maybe you can get just a couple steps up the totem poll.

Don't look at the BIG as an income. Look at it as a savings coupon for the government to get rid of hundres of programs mixed with what amounts to job training vounchers for low income low educated people.
I just don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our currently program. Let's suppose for the sake of argument that the person takes their income guarantee and blows it all on crack and hookers. They're still in poverty, right? Their kids probably still aren't getting the role model and/or education that they need to be competitive in today's society, right? The main reason we're still talking about this is because giving people a small amount of money and hoping they just fix themselves hasn't proven to work as well as we might have hoped.
Anecdotal hypo-story.

I deal with a lot of people that are roughly in the same boat so I'm going to take one specific client - a single mom. Got divorced because husband was a deadbeat while married and is now worse while divorced. 3 kids. The kids are going to school but are young so they can't be left at home and will be home all summer.

Day care so that she can work basically costs more than what she can earn. And then over the summer it's even worse. So she works as best she can - part time for minimum wage but only while the kids are in school. So the chance of her ever earning more in the job is almost nil. Because of her income problems, she qualifies for several government programs. She makes maybe 200 a week. She gets a couple hundred a month in food stamps. So maybe she gets about 1000 total a month. Her rent for a place that fits 3 kids in low income housing is 600 a month. 400 a month to pay for, in any particular order, gas, electric, food and medicine, clothes, gas, phone, stuff for the kids, and on and on and on and on is about impossible. So she has tried to qualify for every government program she can - energy assitance, rental assistance, post school costs waivers and on and on it goes. And she isn't making it which is hard because her kids are 3 of the nicest most beuatiful human beings that earth ever saw and would probably become wonderful people - and still may - but the system that is designed to help them isn't helping because she only qualifies for all of this help if she doesn't make any more money.

So even if she could work more and figure something out with the kids - she would lose more benefits than she could earn. Negative income to try to succeed.

Now, let me give her 1500 a month. No matter what. She doesnt get any of that assistance any more in any manner, but at 1500 a month she can pay rent - 600 a month (and maybe it goes up a little, say 800 a month) and she still has 700 a month more for the basics - the kids. Now - she can go to work part time or - even better - take a class or two while the kids are in school to be a pharm tech. They start at $31,000 a year in NJ on average if they work full time - which I can't assume she does right away but she probably would eventually - regardless it's more than she makes now.

So, at that point, she gets 50,000 a year. There is no more government program forcing her to stay in poverty - it's doing the exact opposite and allowing her to grow and earn more and be a more important provider to society as a whole and her kids specifically.

Again - 1 story. 1 set of facts. 1 person I know that doesn't want to live at the poverty line forever but is just stuck because of the system in place. If you can fix that you did a good. Would there still be problems? Sure. But I just helped a single mom pull herself up and in doing so help - again, not kidding - 3 of the nicest kids you will ever set your eyes on.

I'm for trying that.
This seems like it's going to vary a lot by state. It's been a long time, but my wife used to work in day care and there were quite a few kids whose parents were on welfare since day care is something that is paid for as part of the program here. They could get classes paid for as well. But by the way some of these people were dressed when dropping off their kids, they had no intention of going to a job, looking for a job, or even going to a class that day. And those types were remarkably easy to get a hold of when there were problems with their kids - they were always home.

The system you've described definitely seems like a bit of a joke and I can see how this would be a pretty big improvement over that. But these programs haven't really proven to be all that successful anywhere, which is why dealing with poverty is as big of a topic as it's always been.

 
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Yankee's story reminds me of another benefit -- the lady's deadbeat husband is also getting a BIG, some of which can be easily attached and funneled to the support of his kids.

 
Yankee's story reminds me of another benefit -- the lady's deadbeat husband is also getting a BIG, some of which can be easily attached and funneled to the support of his kids.
That doesn't seem to make much sense. If this is what he needs to survive, how can you take this from him and still have him survive? It seems you'd have to add income to people for support of their children, which will give incentive to have children you really can't afford or have all that much interest in raising like the current system.

 
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I still don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our current program.
For someone who really wants to leech off the system and blow their money on crack and hookers, it won't be. (One might argue at the margins that the proposed system is still better because of lower administrative costs)

For someone in dire straights who actually does want to better themselves, this is a far superior system. Each dollar that this person makes is a dollar of extra income, versus the current system, each additional dollar they earn is one dollar less that they receive in assistance. In other words, under the current system, there's zero utility added by working unless you can earn more than N dollars (N being the amount where assistance drops to zero). Under this system, there's additional utility added by working even if you earn ten bucks.

 
I still don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our current program.
For someone who really wants to leech off the system and blow their money on crack and hookers, it won't be. (One might argue at the margins that the proposed system is still better because of lower administrative costs)

For someone in dire straights who actually does want to better themselves, this is a far superior system. Each dollar that this person makes is a dollar of extra income, versus the current system, each additional dollar they earn is one dollar less that they receive in assistance. In other words, under the current system, there's zero utility added by working unless you can earn more than N dollars (N being the amount where assistance drops to zero). Under this system, there's additional utility added by working even if you earn ten bucks.
Your 2nd part is only true if the amount of money available in this system is more than would otherwise be available. If they're getting day care, classes, housing, food, and even an check on top of that it might not be more. And if it is more, this system is probably better for crack and hooker guy too.

 
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I still don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our current program.
For someone who really wants to leech off the system and blow their money on crack and hookers, it won't be. (One might argue at the margins that the proposed system is still better because of lower administrative costs)

For someone in dire straights who actually does want to better themselves, this is a far superior system. Each dollar that this person makes is a dollar of extra income, versus the current system, each additional dollar they earn is one dollar less that they receive in assistance. In other words, under the current system, there's zero utility added by working unless you can earn more than N dollars (N being the amount where assistance drops to zero). Under this system, there's additional utility added by working even if you earn ten bucks.
Your 2nd part is only true if the amount of money available in this system is more than would otherwise be available. If that's the case, it's better for crack and hooker guy too.
So what? I mean seriously so what? It's better for single moms and their kids. Especially minority and at risk populations. It's better for older folks that are having trouble finding a real job anymore and have to work part time. It's better for those that are incapacitated and can't work. So it's better for a lot more than just crack and hookers guy. It isn't really about him and he will exist in any system.

 
Dr J, I'm having trouble following you- have you backed off your "this would be a huge disincentive to work and would crush the global economy" and are now saying "doesn't seem like it would be much better than our current system"?

 
To add to Y23s personal report. My brother in law can't work for medical reasons. He could do something like phone work part time and he would like to. But if he does he loses food stamps, housing assistance, medicare, the whole bit. But a BIG would make it so he could work part time and feel like a person again,

 
I still don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our current program.
For someone who really wants to leech off the system and blow their money on crack and hookers, it won't be. (One might argue at the margins that the proposed system is still better because of lower administrative costs)

For someone in dire straights who actually does want to better themselves, this is a far superior system. Each dollar that this person makes is a dollar of extra income, versus the current system, each additional dollar they earn is one dollar less that they receive in assistance. In other words, under the current system, there's zero utility added by working unless you can earn more than N dollars (N being the amount where assistance drops to zero). Under this system, there's additional utility added by working even if you earn ten bucks.
Your 2nd part is only true if the amount of money available in this system is more than would otherwise be available. If that's the case, it's better for crack and hooker guy too.
So what? I mean seriously so what? It's better for single moms and their kids. Especially minority and at risk populations. It's better for older folks that are having trouble finding a real job anymore and have to work part time. It's better for those that are incapacitated and can't work. So it's better for a lot more than just crack and hookers guy. It isn't really about him and he will exist in any system.
You're right - that's more of a side point. The main point is that none of the systems where we try and attack poverty by giving people a few bucks and hope they fix themselves have ever worked. You can pay for their day care, schooling, housing, food, etc and it still doesn't seem to work. Poverty never seems to shrink. So there's no reason to believe this one actually would work, since it's just more of the same. The anecdotal hypo-story successfully distracted from that point.

 
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My biggest concern with this sort of system is the temptation to do the BIG plus something else down the road.

Politician: "So and so is down on their luck, they need a food assistance program or they'll starve!"

The Masses: "Isn't that what the BIG is for?"

Politician: "Why do you hate so and so?"

But the general idea is solid, IMHO. Though the devil may still be in the details, as always.

 
I still don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our current program.
For someone who really wants to leech off the system and blow their money on crack and hookers, it won't be. (One might argue at the margins that the proposed system is still better because of lower administrative costs)

For someone in dire straights who actually does want to better themselves, this is a far superior system. Each dollar that this person makes is a dollar of extra income, versus the current system, each additional dollar they earn is one dollar less that they receive in assistance. In other words, under the current system, there's zero utility added by working unless you can earn more than N dollars (N being the amount where assistance drops to zero). Under this system, there's additional utility added by working even if you earn ten bucks.
Your 2nd part is only true if the amount of money available in this system is more than would otherwise be available. If that's the case, it's better for crack and hooker guy too.
So what? I mean seriously so what? It's better for single moms and their kids. Especially minority and at risk populations. It's better for older folks that are having trouble finding a real job anymore and have to work part time. It's better for those that are incapacitated and can't work. So it's better for a lot more than just crack and hookers guy. It isn't really about him and he will exist in any system.
You're right - that's more of a side point. The main point is that none of the systems where we try and attack poverty by giving people a few bucks and hope they fix themselves have ever worked. You can pay for their day care, schooling, housing, food, etc and it still doesn't seem to work. Poverty never seems to shrink. So there's no reason to believe this one actually would work, since it's just more of the same. The anecdotal hypo-story successfully distracted from that point.
Actually you have been presented with a lot of reasons why this is different than what we are doing. Not to mention many economists think it would be the best anti-poverty thing we could do.

 
To add to Y23s personal report. My brother in law can't work for medical reasons. He could do something like phone work part time and he would like to. But if he does he loses food stamps, housing assistance, medicare, the whole bit. But a BIG would make it so he could work part time and feel like a person again,
Could he donate some time to a charitable non-profit organization doing phone work or something?

 
My biggest concern with this sort of system is the temptation to do the BIG plus something else down the road.

Politician: "So and so is down on their luck, they need a food assistance program or they'll starve!"

The Masses: "Isn't that what the BIG is for?"

Politician: "Why do you hate so and so?"

But the general idea is solid, IMHO. Though the devil may still be in the details, as always.
If we have the BIG and it is enough to provide the basics then I become very libertarian. Children may be an exception to that as I have stated.

 
I still don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our current program.
For someone who really wants to leech off the system and blow their money on crack and hookers, it won't be. (One might argue at the margins that the proposed system is still better because of lower administrative costs)

For someone in dire straights who actually does want to better themselves, this is a far superior system. Each dollar that this person makes is a dollar of extra income, versus the current system, each additional dollar they earn is one dollar less that they receive in assistance. In other words, under the current system, there's zero utility added by working unless you can earn more than N dollars (N being the amount where assistance drops to zero). Under this system, there's additional utility added by working even if you earn ten bucks.
Your 2nd part is only true if the amount of money available in this system is more than would otherwise be available. If that's the case, it's better for crack and hooker guy too.
So what? I mean seriously so what? It's better for single moms and their kids. Especially minority and at risk populations. It's better for older folks that are having trouble finding a real job anymore and have to work part time. It's better for those that are incapacitated and can't work. So it's better for a lot more than just crack and hookers guy. It isn't really about him and he will exist in any system.
You're right - that's more of a side point. The main point is that none of the systems where we try and attack poverty by giving people a few bucks and hope they fix themselves have ever worked. You can pay for their day care, schooling, housing, food, etc and it still doesn't seem to work. Poverty never seems to shrink. So there's no reason to believe this one actually would work, since it's just more of the same. The anecdotal hypo-story successfully distracted from that point.
Actually you have been presented with a lot of reasons why this is different than what we are doing. Not to mention many economists think it would be the best anti-poverty thing we could do.
Not really. There have been some examples of how it might change the dollar amounts distributed in some cases, which maybe even in a negative direction depending on what benefits you're getting in the state you're currently living in. But really it's the same solution - throw a minimum amount of dollars at something and hope it just fixes itself.

 
The main point is that none of the systems where we try and attack poverty by giving people a few bucks and hope they fix themselves have ever worked.
You're looking at this as pretty much exclusively a program for the poor. It's not -- everyone participates.

You can pay for their day care, schooling, housing, food, etc and it still doesn't seem to work. Poverty never seems to shrink. So there's no reason to believe this one actually would work, since it's just more of the same.
It's not more of the same -- see above.

 
To add to Y23s personal report. My brother in law can't work for medical reasons. He could do something like phone work part time and he would like to. But if he does he loses food stamps, housing assistance, medicare, the whole bit. But a BIG would make it so he could work part time and feel like a person again,
Could he donate some time to a charitable non-profit organization doing phone work or something?
I think he does volunteer a bit with a local church. But he'd like to be able to make some money so he could have a better life. He can't make more than a couple hundred dollars in any month or he loses his benefits. He can't own his own home. The system isn't helping him out of poverty it is ensuring he stays in it. That isn't working.

 
The main point is that none of the systems where we try and attack poverty by giving people a few bucks and hope they fix themselves have ever worked.
You're looking at this as pretty much exclusively a program for the poor. It's not -- everyone participates.

You can pay for their day care, schooling, housing, food, etc and it still doesn't seem to work. Poverty never seems to shrink. So there's no reason to believe this one actually would work, since it's just more of the same.
It's not more of the same -- see above.
What's the point of the program if it's not to alleviate poverty? The government could give nothing to anyone, it would be a lot more efficient, cost nothing, and be entirely fair.

 
My biggest concern with this sort of system is the temptation to do the BIG plus something else down the road.

Politician: "So and so is down on their luck, they need a food assistance program or they'll starve!"

The Masses: "Isn't that what the BIG is for?"

Politician: "Why do you hate so and so?"

But the general idea is solid, IMHO. Though the devil may still be in the details, as always.
If we have the BIG and it is enough to provide the basics then I become very libertarian. Children may be an exception to that as I have stated.
Yes, it is really tough with kids.

It is one thing when mom blows the BIG on drugs or dad blows it on gambling and they lack food as a result. But it is something else entirely if the kids don't eat either...

 
My biggest concern with this sort of system is the temptation to do the BIG plus something else down the road.

Politician: "So and so is down on their luck, they need a food assistance program or they'll starve!"

The Masses: "Isn't that what the BIG is for?"

Politician: "Why do you hate so and so?"

But the general idea is solid, IMHO. Though the devil may still be in the details, as always.
Yeah, this is one of a few reasons why I doubt this gets traction here anytime soon. I'm also skeptical that we could form any kind of consensus on those "details" to begin with.

 
But really it's the same solution - throw a minimum amount of dollars at something and hope it just fixes itself.
The money's going to be thrown at problems, anyway. MIght as well do it with as little red tape (and costly overhead) as possible.

Also, might as well make the thrown money independent from what people earn -- remember, many current welfare programs disincentivize work. That right there is a big difference from what's been tried in the past.

 
The main point is that none of the systems where we try and attack poverty by giving people a few bucks and hope they fix themselves have ever worked. You can pay for their day care, schooling, housing, food, etc and it still doesn't seem to work. Poverty never seems to shrink. So there's no reason to believe this one actually would work, since it's just more of the same. The anecdotal hypo-story successfully distracted from that point.
And what everyone else is saying is that the reason those systems have never worked is specifically because they are built such that if the system starts to work just a little bit (i.e. the person starts to earn their own money), the system kicks out the legs from under itself. What if the system stayed stable when it did start to work? Maybe it would continue to work.

Think of it this way:

System A: We give you $20K per year, minus whatever you earn by working. You need to be able to earn $20,001 by working in order for working to be of any benefit whatsoever.

System B: We give you $20 per year. You only need to earn $1 by working in order for working to be beneficial to you.

 
This idea makes so much sense. That's why it will never happen. Nothing that makes sense happens in this country anymore.

 
If this gets rid of Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, I'm in.

Otherwise, adding this to the above plus the separate safety net everyone will still be clamoring for to cover the "kids" just accelerates the fiscal death spiral.

 
I think the best part of the BIG is that it strikes at the concept of "unfairness" that some people see in people getting welfare/food stamps and the like.

We see the argument, "why should I have to work if this person gets a phone (or what not)?"

The BIG gives everyone that basic level of cash, so the basic sense of "fairness" is met.
This is an interesting point, as it could curtail some of the resentment that currently exists - people have much less of a problem with "handouts" when they are getting them too.

The points about disincentives to find work in the current system are very compelling as well.

 
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What's the point of the program if it's not to alleviate poverty? The government could give nothing to anyone, it would be a lot more efficient, cost nothing, and be entirely fair.
The point is to change personal economic decision'-making at several levels, not just at the level of the poverty-stricken.

One big effect is that the underemployment parameters change. If the US economy can only support a million middle managers, and you are Middle Manager 1,000,0001 ... it doesn't wreck you financially to discover that you enjoyed working at the local bookstore (poster shop / silkscreener / etc.) and would like to stay there.

I'd expect that even entrepreneurship gets a boost, as the fall to the bottom is not so precipitous. The lady who was working three jobs to get by might now be able to dedicate some time to making home-made pastries for sale.

 
The main point is that none of the systems where we try and attack poverty by giving people a few bucks and hope they fix themselves have ever worked. You can pay for their day care, schooling, housing, food, etc and it still doesn't seem to work. Poverty never seems to shrink. So there's no reason to believe this one actually would work, since it's just more of the same. The anecdotal hypo-story successfully distracted from that point.
And what everyone else is saying is that the reason those systems have never worked is specifically because they are built such that if the system starts to work just a little bit (i.e. the person starts to earn their own money), the system kicks out the legs from under itself. What if the system stayed stable when it did start to work? Maybe it would continue to work.

Think of it this way:

System A: We give you $20K per year, minus whatever you earn by working. You need to be able to earn $20,001 by working in order for working to be of any benefit whatsoever.

System B: We give you $20 per year. You only need to earn $1 by working in order for working to be beneficial to you.
I get that part. I guess the part that I don't get is how any job that changes this equation actually translates to this person getting out of poverty. We could just raise minimum wage to $15.00 or whatever and accomplish the same thing. Now there's no jobs they could take that wouldn't be of benefit to them. I don't get how them taking this minimum wage job is going to change much for them long term though. They need to be trained to where they aren't competing for these sorts of jobs if we're to stand any chance of that long term.

 
The main point is that none of the systems where we try and attack poverty by giving people a few bucks and hope they fix themselves have ever worked. You can pay for their day care, schooling, housing, food, etc and it still doesn't seem to work. Poverty never seems to shrink. So there's no reason to believe this one actually would work, since it's just more of the same. The anecdotal hypo-story successfully distracted from that point.
And what everyone else is saying is that the reason those systems have never worked is specifically because they are built such that if the system starts to work just a little bit (i.e. the person starts to earn their own money), the system kicks out the legs from under itself. What if the system stayed stable when it did start to work? Maybe it would continue to work.

Think of it this way:

System A: We give you $20K per year, minus whatever you earn by working. You need to be able to earn $20,001 by working in order for working to be of any benefit whatsoever.

System B: We give you $20 per year. You only need to earn $1 by working in order for working to be beneficial to you.
I get that part. I guess the part that I don't get is how any job that changes this equation actually translates to this person getting out of poverty. We could just raise minimum wage to $15.00 or whatever and accomplish the same thing. Now there's no jobs they could take that wouldn't be of benefit to them. I don't get how them taking this minimum wage job is going to change much for them long term though. They need to be trained to where they aren't competing for these sorts of jobs if we're to stand any chance of that long term.
How does raising minimum wage to $15 help the poorest and least skilled? The only causes employers to stop hiring.

The BIG helps with training too. In a BIG system, someone in a low wage, dead-end job can simply quit (or cut back hours) and take a class instead.

 
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The point isn't that a BIG will solve all of the country's problems, or all of the world's problems, or even all the problems of poor people.

The point is that a BIG solves some of the existing problems without making any existing problems worse. That is, it's at least equal to the existing systems in every way, and better than the existing systems in some ways.

 
I still don't get why it will be all too much more successful than our current program.
For someone who really wants to leech off the system and blow their money on crack and hookers, it won't be. (One might argue at the margins that the proposed system is still better because of lower administrative costs)

For someone in dire straights who actually does want to better themselves, this is a far superior system. Each dollar that this person makes is a dollar of extra income, versus the current system, each additional dollar they earn is one dollar less that they receive in assistance. In other words, under the current system, there's zero utility added by working unless you can earn more than N dollars (N being the amount where assistance drops to zero). Under this system, there's additional utility added by working even if you earn ten bucks.
Your 2nd part is only true if the amount of money available in this system is more than would otherwise be available. If that's the case, it's better for crack and hooker guy too.
So what? I mean seriously so what? It's better for single moms and their kids. Especially minority and at risk populations. It's better for older folks that are having trouble finding a real job anymore and have to work part time. It's better for those that are incapacitated and can't work. So it's better for a lot more than just crack and hookers guy. It isn't really about him and he will exist in any system.
You're right - that's more of a side point. The main point is that none of the systems where we try and attack poverty by giving people a few bucks and hope they fix themselves have ever worked. You can pay for their day care, schooling, housing, food, etc and it still doesn't seem to work. Poverty never seems to shrink. So there's no reason to believe this one actually would work, since it's just more of the same. The anecdotal hypo-story successfully distracted from that point.
I agree - poverty hasn't been solved. I am one of the people that believes the War on Poverty was one of the greatest if not the greatest blunder in domestic policy history. And the offshoots of programs that exist now because of that clarion call to be good stewards by President Johnson have increased the mutation of the system that affects us all because in the end there is more government, more government spending, more government taking and on and on and on.

I see the prebate option as a way to cut through all of that. Maybe it doesn't work perfectly - in fact I know it won't. No program ever would. But even if it works exactly the same as the current systems we have now I prefer it. Becuase it cuts down on government programs and waste inherent in the system. Again, handing out 100 pennies costs more than handing out 1 dollar bill. You are giving the same, but there is more work for the government with the pennies.

But having said that if you can get the right funding mechanism for this kind of governmental benefit then what you have done is changed the nature of our national government and I think that change is good. But in the end, you are right there is not ever going to be a single government program that solves poverty. Because poverty is always about so much more than money and income. It is about class, education, location, heritage, history and environment. There is not a panacea to solve poverty because there will always be people that have more than others, there will always be people that squander what they have, and there will always be a lower level of society. It is an inherent result of government of any form. If there is government, there is power. With power comes the powerful, and if there are powerful there are those that aren't.

So this system wouldn't be a cure. It would be a simple and much easier and streamlined manner in which to deliver to people that which the country as a whole can provide for its own betterment. Again though, the key is the funding system and how to go about paying for it and the government itself. Someone mentioned a national sales tax above. That is a perfect type of system. Withholding taxes to pay for other people's prebate is confiscatory and an affront to what the national goverment should be doing - but a national sales tax? You are basically making the prebate its own funding system. It's about as close to perfect a funding system you can get because there will always be commerce in its many forms.

 
My biggest concern with this sort of system is the temptation to do the BIG plus something else down the road.

Politician: "So and so is down on their luck, they need a food assistance program or they'll starve!"

The Masses: "Isn't that what the BIG is for?"

Politician: "Why do you hate so and so?"

But the general idea is solid, IMHO. Though the devil may still be in the details, as always.
Agreed. Much of the social safety net has to be eradicated for this to work. But it can be done.

 
The main point is that none of the systems where we try and attack poverty by giving people a few bucks and hope they fix themselves have ever worked. You can pay for their day care, schooling, housing, food, etc and it still doesn't seem to work. Poverty never seems to shrink. So there's no reason to believe this one actually would work, since it's just more of the same. The anecdotal hypo-story successfully distracted from that point.
And what everyone else is saying is that the reason those systems have never worked is specifically because they are built such that if the system starts to work just a little bit (i.e. the person starts to earn their own money), the system kicks out the legs from under itself. What if the system stayed stable when it did start to work? Maybe it would continue to work.

Think of it this way:

System A: We give you $20K per year, minus whatever you earn by working. You need to be able to earn $20,001 by working in order for working to be of any benefit whatsoever.

System B: We give you $20 per year. You only need to earn $1 by working in order for working to be beneficial to you.
I get that part. I guess the part that I don't get is how any job that changes this equation actually translates to this person getting out of poverty. We could just raise minimum wage to $15.00 or whatever and accomplish the same thing. Now there's no jobs they could take that wouldn't be of benefit to them. I don't get how them taking this minimum wage job is going to change much for them long term though. They need to be trained to where they aren't competing for these sorts of jobs if we're to stand any chance of that long term.
How does raising minimum wage to $15 help the poorest and least skilled? The only causes employers to stop hiring.

The BIG helps with training too. Now someone in a low wage, dead-end job can simply quit (or cut back hours) and take a class instead.
It probably helps about as much as the person taking a low wage, dead-end job to begin with.

 
Yankee23Fan said:
Don't need some idea of hard numbers?

There are roughly what 230 million people over the age of 18 in this country. If you paid them all, directly, 20,000 per year you would spend 4.6 trillion - the government would need to take in just to pay salary of citizens.

So the first "obstacle" to both showing this could work and actually trying to make it work is cut as much of that 4.6 trillion out of the federal budget per year. The social safety net programs that would probably go away (those that are non SSI, MediCaid, MediCare etc) only really make up about $400 billion annually. Maybe a little more. But just for mental gymnastics, cut that 400 billion out. You are at 4.2 trillion needed for the government to pay its citizens their salary at 20 grand a year per person.

That's a lot of money to find to cut.
This might make things a bit more redistributive than some would like, but you would have a lot of leeway to raise taxes with a BIG in place. With a 20k/yr BIG, you could institute a flat 40% tax bracket on every dollar of income above that (or an equivalent consumption tax) and everyone making less than 100k or so would actually end up with more net income than they do in the current system.

 
Would the BIG be protected from debt collectors and bankruptcy proceedings?
Seems like BIG would have to be immune from that kind of collection. The way this might work is to not allow BIG income to be included in credit qualification.

 
Would the BIG be protected from debt collectors and bankruptcy proceedings?
Seems like BIG would have to be immune from that kind of collection. The way this might work is to not allow BIG income to be included in credit qualification.
I could see that. Social Security is exempt from levy. There are some other benefits that are as well.

You know who else the prebate would help? Developmental disabled persons and people under guardianships. In order for them to qualify for the myriad of health care services they need for the entirety of their lives they have to have almost no assets. As a result many end up becoming wards of the state at some point and aren't exactly given the greatest care in the world - or on the flip side they really put a mssive financial strain on the family that cares for them.

Well, now that "child" is getting 1500 a month. It's not going to give them the medical care of King Solomon. But it is going to help. A helluva lot.

The more and more I write about this prebate the more and more I like it.

 
Thanks to all the contributors for a very informative thread. :thumbup:

I always love the discussion on this topic. I could easily see myself supporting it, it just makes a lot of sense.

 
My biggest concern with this sort of system is the temptation to do the BIG plus something else down the road.

Politician: "So and so is down on their luck, they need a food assistance program or they'll starve!"

The Masses: "Isn't that what the BIG is for?"

Politician: "Why do you hate so and so?"

But the general idea is solid, IMHO. Though the devil may still be in the details, as always.
I'm kinda tired of slippery slope scenarios being the reason we don't do things that make sense. Politicians will always be ####bags. It's what the profession calls for. Given enough rope they will #### anything up.

 
Dr J, I'm having trouble following you- have you backed off your "this would be a huge disincentive to work and would crush the global economy" and are now saying "doesn't seem like it would be much better than our current system"?
The collapsing of the global economy and terminator stuff is more a bit of tongue in cheek nonsense related to the idea that we're all getting automated out of jobs.

My original post regarding this actual idea itself was this:

We need to address the root problem rather than just treat the symptoms. The idea that you select a career at age 18, get an entry level job, and then reap ever increasing rewards as your experience in this area increases is becoming antiquated. Careers are now going to be fluid and we need a population that can adapt readily. Training and re training is now a continual process. Making sure that people can continue to survive no matter how little they're willing to adapt is kind of counterproductive.
There's a giant skill gap in this country. Our current systems have been horrible at addressing this and it is continuing to widen. I don't really see how this system is any better since it is pretty much a lot of the same with maybe a few minor tweaks that might make it slightly less bad.

 
Dr J, I'm having trouble following you- have you backed off your "this would be a huge disincentive to work and would crush the global economy" and are now saying "doesn't seem like it would be much better than our current system"?
The collapsing of the global economy and terminator stuff is more a bit of tongue in cheek nonsense related to the idea that we're all getting automated out of jobs.

My original post regarding this actual idea itself was this:

We need to address the root problem rather than just treat the symptoms. The idea that you select a career at age 18, get an entry level job, and then reap ever increasing rewards as your experience in this area increases is becoming antiquated. Careers are now going to be fluid and we need a population that can adapt readily. Training and re training is now a continual process. Making sure that people can continue to survive no matter how little they're willing to adapt is kind of counterproductive.
There's a giant skill gap in this country. Our current systems have been horrible at addressing this and it is continuing to widen. I don't really see how this system is any better since it is pretty much a lot of the same with maybe a few minor tweaks that might make it slightly less bad.
This is the where I say we can start a new thread on my idea to significantly alter the public education system in this country and allow companies like Nike, Google and Pepsi to build their own schools and focus the students in those schools in the skills those companies need on top of the basic liberal arts. And I don't mean college, I mean K-12 education.

 
Dr J, I'm having trouble following you- have you backed off your "this would be a huge disincentive to work and would crush the global economy" and are now saying "doesn't seem like it would be much better than our current system"?
The collapsing of the global economy and terminator stuff is more a bit of tongue in cheek nonsense related to the idea that we're all getting automated out of jobs.

My original post regarding this actual idea itself was this:

We need to address the root problem rather than just treat the symptoms. The idea that you select a career at age 18, get an entry level job, and then reap ever increasing rewards as your experience in this area increases is becoming antiquated. Careers are now going to be fluid and we need a population that can adapt readily. Training and re training is now a continual process. Making sure that people can continue to survive no matter how little they're willing to adapt is kind of counterproductive.
There's a giant skill gap in this country. Our current systems have been horrible at addressing this and it is continuing to widen. I don't really see how this system is any better since it is pretty much a lot of the same with maybe a few minor tweaks that might make it slightly less bad.
It's coming and relatively quickly in a historical context. We ignore it at our own risk.

 

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