Stinkin Ref
IBL Representative
[SIZE=medium]Pretty much at or just past the midway point of the fantasy season, and I don’t know about anybody else, but these days when pretty much everybody can get the same information, one of the things I find somewhat beneficial is to see where I hit and more importantly where I missed this year when it comes to my preseason opinions on players. And on top of that, not just where I missed, but why? I have campaigned for years for FBG to do more of this; more detailed reflection so that we can see where and why we missed. I think we all get man crushes on certain players before the season and some players are just dead to us. It’s pretty easy these days with the interwebs for everything to look about the same from draft to draft, and even guys that spend .01% of the time focusing on this hobby as most of us in here do….can still kick our ###. Self evaluation is important so that we don't keep making the same mistakes as the gap closes between true sharks and the casual player in this hobby.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]I’ll be honest, I used to spend a ton of time in the Shark Pool, but quite honestly I don’t swim in there much anymore. I consider the guys in the Mock Draft forum my “go to” place for information/feedback/opinions. I know we still need to pay attention to the experts here at FBG, and it’s awesome when they come in here and toss the ball around with us. But for me, this forum has really turned into my go to place prior to and during the season. Some good dudes in here with some great points of view.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Random thoughts:[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]QB: [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]I’m not surprised how things have gone so far when you look at the rankings. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]I thought Palmer would be a little higher and obviously he probably would be without the injury. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]I was and still am a little down on Rivers but up until this week I have to admit I am missing on that one. I thought he would settle in around QB 14-15 but they aren’t running the ball the way they wanted and Rivers is a pretty good QB even though I still think he is a #####. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]No huge hits or misses here as I have generally been a stud QB guy when it comes to drafts. But heading into next year, I want to keep my eye on how Tannehill finishes.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]RB:[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Ball: I #### the bed here but it has an * next to it. I’m still warm on him moving forward as I want to take the wait and see approach, but this has turned out to be a huge miss. Easy to blame the injury, but he didn’t look that impressive early anyway. But IMO, I think he may have turned it on sans injury. But by far my most costly investment in most leagues. I thought I had a good feel for the DEN backfield heading into the season, but I really didn’t. I underestimated the things I heard about how much work Hillman had been putting in.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Foster: was dead to me, so this has to be a miss. While I think it was justified to have him on my dead to me list and this latest injury may prove out, others have been reaping the benefits while I passed on him every time.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Charles: As a KC fan I just honestly didn’t think he would stay healthy, I thought his frame was too fragile for the pounding he was going to take, and the price you had to pay for him, but dude is pretty tough, I’m no longer a doubter.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Ingram: I missed. He looks the part of a solid NFL RB now and I didn’t see it coming.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Bradshaw: probably should have been higher on him than I was, but his injury history scared me. CLE unloading Richardson probably said more than we gave them credit for. They knew things.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Reggie Bush: I consider this a hit since I have never been a fan. Injury prone one trick pony (screen pass) IMO. I think he was over drafted with Bell around.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Andre Williams: miss, I drafted him a lot. I bought into the preseason hype and then the HOF game put me on full tilt as I didn’t think Jennings was all that and a bag of chips (which he isn’t), but I thought Williams had the goods to maybe be the SOD in many drafts.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Martin: Hit….I have always passed, he is not very good. Same with Gerhart, his price was just too high for the lack of talent every time I had a chance to snag him, glad I passed as he could have really screwed up some drafts.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Blount/Donald Brown: I thought both of these guys would eat into the pie a little more than they have even without injury to the guy in front of them, so I dialed in on them in many of the survivors. I was wrong. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]WR:[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Antonio Brown/Cobb/Hilton/Maclin: I lumped all these guys together to make up my biggest swing and miss package. Probably had the chance to draft all of these guys at a pretty decent price and I passed on them most of the time. I honestly didn’t think Brown had the goods and the size to maintain production, I was wrong. Kind of felt the same way about Cobb, wasn’t sure if it was really him or just playing with Rodgers in that system. Hilton, like Bush I kind of thought he was a one trick pony, but he has developed into a pretty complete receiver. And Maclin, man I just didn’t see him coming back that strong. Kinda like Richardson, when teams let a player go, in this case Jackson, I probably need to pay a little more attention to why they felt comfortable in doing so. In Richardson’s case, he just ain’t that good. In DeSean Jackson’s case, maybe PHI knew what they had coming back in Maclin and I didn’t pay close enough attention. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Keenan Allen: (hit IMO)I passed on him every time at his price and glad I did. He is still a good fantasy player, but I thought his price was too high. Things fell right for him last year and he had a few nice games in the fantasy playoffs that inflated his value as kind of a hangover affect for some owners chasing stats. And if he didn’t get into the end zone in some of the games where he only had a couple catches, things probably would have been different in terms of where he got drafted.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Kendall Wright: I am gonna call it a push but I should probably like him more than I do. I still think his ADP was a little high for the production you get. I missed on Justin Hunter, I thought he might be the second coming of Terrell Owens (and maybe things will get better) but he is really just teasing us like Jared Cook or Devin Aromashodu.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Pretty glad I passed on Tavon Austin and Kenny Stills.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]As a whole, I need to pay more attention and maybe gamble a little more on rookies. I tend to avoid and keep things pretty close to the vest and stick to the veteran route, but there is some value with rookies if you hit, that has been a pretty big miss for me.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]TE:[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Green: I thought he would be the real deal THIS year. I was wrong.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Gronk: should have snagged him more than I did, he is proving to be value where guys got him.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Vernon Davis: glad I stayed away for the most part and didn’t chase last year’s TD numbers.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Delanie Walker: miss…..he has become a pretty good football/fantasy player, and some value for where he was drafted. Should have given him more credit for a solid year last year. You could be doing worse if he is your TE1.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]With the way things have gone this year I think there is still something to be said for taking a stud QB early for the most part in the leagues in here. Lot of season left, so many things can change. Good luck in the second half boys (just in your home leagues, not the ones in here). [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium] [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]I’ll be honest, I used to spend a ton of time in the Shark Pool, but quite honestly I don’t swim in there much anymore. I consider the guys in the Mock Draft forum my “go to” place for information/feedback/opinions. I know we still need to pay attention to the experts here at FBG, and it’s awesome when they come in here and toss the ball around with us. But for me, this forum has really turned into my go to place prior to and during the season. Some good dudes in here with some great points of view.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Random thoughts:[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]QB: [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]I’m not surprised how things have gone so far when you look at the rankings. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]I thought Palmer would be a little higher and obviously he probably would be without the injury. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]I was and still am a little down on Rivers but up until this week I have to admit I am missing on that one. I thought he would settle in around QB 14-15 but they aren’t running the ball the way they wanted and Rivers is a pretty good QB even though I still think he is a #####. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]No huge hits or misses here as I have generally been a stud QB guy when it comes to drafts. But heading into next year, I want to keep my eye on how Tannehill finishes.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]RB:[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Ball: I #### the bed here but it has an * next to it. I’m still warm on him moving forward as I want to take the wait and see approach, but this has turned out to be a huge miss. Easy to blame the injury, but he didn’t look that impressive early anyway. But IMO, I think he may have turned it on sans injury. But by far my most costly investment in most leagues. I thought I had a good feel for the DEN backfield heading into the season, but I really didn’t. I underestimated the things I heard about how much work Hillman had been putting in.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Foster: was dead to me, so this has to be a miss. While I think it was justified to have him on my dead to me list and this latest injury may prove out, others have been reaping the benefits while I passed on him every time.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Charles: As a KC fan I just honestly didn’t think he would stay healthy, I thought his frame was too fragile for the pounding he was going to take, and the price you had to pay for him, but dude is pretty tough, I’m no longer a doubter.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Ingram: I missed. He looks the part of a solid NFL RB now and I didn’t see it coming.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Bradshaw: probably should have been higher on him than I was, but his injury history scared me. CLE unloading Richardson probably said more than we gave them credit for. They knew things.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Reggie Bush: I consider this a hit since I have never been a fan. Injury prone one trick pony (screen pass) IMO. I think he was over drafted with Bell around.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Andre Williams: miss, I drafted him a lot. I bought into the preseason hype and then the HOF game put me on full tilt as I didn’t think Jennings was all that and a bag of chips (which he isn’t), but I thought Williams had the goods to maybe be the SOD in many drafts.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Martin: Hit….I have always passed, he is not very good. Same with Gerhart, his price was just too high for the lack of talent every time I had a chance to snag him, glad I passed as he could have really screwed up some drafts.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Blount/Donald Brown: I thought both of these guys would eat into the pie a little more than they have even without injury to the guy in front of them, so I dialed in on them in many of the survivors. I was wrong. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]WR:[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Antonio Brown/Cobb/Hilton/Maclin: I lumped all these guys together to make up my biggest swing and miss package. Probably had the chance to draft all of these guys at a pretty decent price and I passed on them most of the time. I honestly didn’t think Brown had the goods and the size to maintain production, I was wrong. Kind of felt the same way about Cobb, wasn’t sure if it was really him or just playing with Rodgers in that system. Hilton, like Bush I kind of thought he was a one trick pony, but he has developed into a pretty complete receiver. And Maclin, man I just didn’t see him coming back that strong. Kinda like Richardson, when teams let a player go, in this case Jackson, I probably need to pay a little more attention to why they felt comfortable in doing so. In Richardson’s case, he just ain’t that good. In DeSean Jackson’s case, maybe PHI knew what they had coming back in Maclin and I didn’t pay close enough attention. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Keenan Allen: (hit IMO)I passed on him every time at his price and glad I did. He is still a good fantasy player, but I thought his price was too high. Things fell right for him last year and he had a few nice games in the fantasy playoffs that inflated his value as kind of a hangover affect for some owners chasing stats. And if he didn’t get into the end zone in some of the games where he only had a couple catches, things probably would have been different in terms of where he got drafted.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Kendall Wright: I am gonna call it a push but I should probably like him more than I do. I still think his ADP was a little high for the production you get. I missed on Justin Hunter, I thought he might be the second coming of Terrell Owens (and maybe things will get better) but he is really just teasing us like Jared Cook or Devin Aromashodu.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Pretty glad I passed on Tavon Austin and Kenny Stills.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]As a whole, I need to pay more attention and maybe gamble a little more on rookies. I tend to avoid and keep things pretty close to the vest and stick to the veteran route, but there is some value with rookies if you hit, that has been a pretty big miss for me.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]TE:[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Green: I thought he would be the real deal THIS year. I was wrong.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Gronk: should have snagged him more than I did, he is proving to be value where guys got him.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Vernon Davis: glad I stayed away for the most part and didn’t chase last year’s TD numbers.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]Delanie Walker: miss…..he has become a pretty good football/fantasy player, and some value for where he was drafted. Should have given him more credit for a solid year last year. You could be doing worse if he is your TE1.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium]With the way things have gone this year I think there is still something to be said for taking a stud QB early for the most part in the leagues in here. Lot of season left, so many things can change. Good luck in the second half boys (just in your home leagues, not the ones in here). [/SIZE]
[SIZE=medium] [/SIZE]