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Doctor Detroit

Please remove your headgear
:hey:

5th year of the five year plan.

I had a very average looking team on paper that was built for roto success. I spent $56 on pitching, but got 48 of 60 points in pitching cats. Traded Buxton and Sano for expiring Trout in July, and got big seasons from cheap guys like Seager and Alexei Ramirez. 58 out of 60 in hitting and I also won nine of 26 weeks.

MVP: Adrian Gonzalez (take a look at what this guy quietly did in fantasy)

Best value: Tyson Ross, $3

Biggest chance that worked: Cole Hamels

Biggest mistake: Michael Bourn

:confetti:

 
Only one of the four. A second and two thirds in the others. A little salty about the second place finish though, second time I've finished with more than 100 and not won this league. Pujols, Abreu, Dee Gordon, Brantley, Dickerson, Morneau, Yan, Mesoraco, Kluber, Tyson Ross, Doolittle, and Rondon were the biggest reasons for the win. Strong finishes from Shoemaker and Fiers helped, as did and in-season hot stretch from Beckett.

Like most of my teams, Segura was the big miss.

 
5 man keeper, total points league, 12 teams

Lost Goldy and Tulo (you go in planning to lose him) and still held on to win. Worked the WW as well as I ever have. JD Mart, Mesoraco, Britton, Blackmon

MVP - Jhonny Peralta. Like I said, you go in planning to lose Tulo. Ranked #2 SS by end of year

Best value - might sound weird, but Michael Pineda as a 20th round pick. Sure he missed a lot of time, but I was able to stash him all year and he was clutch down the stretch. When it was all said and done, he averaged the 5th most points per innings pitched for true SPs (for example, Britton scored more per inning, but didn't start a game all year)

Biggest Chance that worked - thinking Chase Utley had one good year in him. He sputtered down the stretch, but still

Biggest mistake - two of them. Keeping a 31yo Shin-Soo Choo instead of Ian Desmond. Mortgaging 2015 draft picks for Garrett Richards about 3 weeks before he went down.

 
Like most of my teams, Segura was the big miss.
Really? For someone that proclaims to love to study the numbers, What exactly about the 2013 2nd half OPS of .583 screamed 'I have to have this guy' in your head?
I bought into the 2nd half fatigue narrative, with his low K #'s I figured a 280ish avg and even if he hit a lull would still hit well enough to stick in the top two of the order because of his wheels and prospect status. Top prospects get a lot more rope to hang themselves and aren't as susceptible to lineup demotions/benching's if they slump. Wasn't expecting > 12 bombs, but did expect > 40 steals. A worst case of what Alcides Escobar did this year, which was 5th among SS according to ESPN's player rater. Best case, Dee Gordon (top rated SS) less some steals.

The problem is his speed fell off the map and it had a domino effect on everything else. A 59% GB rate isn't pretty, but if you're fast and making contact there's going to be some infield singles. His speed score fell by more than a point according to fangraphs. Less steals, less infield hits, demoted to the bottom of the order (when he even played) --> less AB's and less opportunities to run batting in front of the pitcher. I definitely miscalculated his floor because I never considered that he'd get slower. Ultimately, that's what cost me 1st place in that other league too.

He was a mess beforehand but he really bottomed out after his kid died too. His July numbers were groin grabbingly pathetic. August and September offer some room for optimism going forward, but only if he finds his speed again.

 
While he was clearly still in free fall this season in terms of his numbers, I'd disregard nearly 100 percent of anything Segura did after his son's death. No way anyone is playing in their right mind after that.

 

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