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Is Housemanzada > Lee Evans? (1 Viewer)

Buttmonkey

Footballguy
Tried to trade V. Young for House and the owner flat out refused. Then he traded me Lee Evans straight up for Young. Just wondering, because Evans outscored House and I believe House over performed - i.e. his ceailing is about where he peaked this year (with CJ around); where Evans is starting to come into his own.

Is it more about the team they play for rather than raw stats? Or does House have way more upside than I'm giving him credit for?

 
Tried to trade V. Young for House and the owner flat out refused. Then he traded me Lee Evans straight up for Young. Just wondering, because Evans outscored House and I believe House over performed - i.e. his ceailing is about where he peaked this year (with CJ around); where Evans is starting to come into his own. Is it more about the team they play for rather than raw stats? Or does House have way more upside than I'm giving him credit for?
Housh's upside is right where he's at right now. Evans' is higher than what he's shown. Evans is coming into his own and has more value than Housh right now...not to mention significantly more future value.I'd put Evans in the 8-12 range. I'd put Housh in the 15-20 range.
 
Also remember Housh missed 2 games. His PPG were top 5. I have both in a dynasty league. I like both the same. Evans is alittle more all or nothing though. In our PPR league he scored 49 pts one week so there is 1/7 of his #'s in one week. He has more talent IMO and in the long run SHOULD be a better fantasy WR..

 
In my book, it's very difficult to value a #2 (Housh) higher than a #1 (Evans). Housh definitely plays for a better team and has a better QB, but Evans is a superior athlete and has more opportunity.

Evans > Housh

 
I think it really depends on the makeup of your team and your team needs. If possible, I try to get a couple "consistent" numbers guys along with at least one "homerun" guy.

My original thought was that Housh would be a more "consistent" scorer with Evans getting you weekly numbers, but with more explosive potential. Then I looked at the game data.

Housh Weekly scores, PPR, 1 point per 10 yards rush/rec

INJURED

INJURED

30 - 9 rec - 94 yards - 2 TD

13 - 4 rec - 95 yards

BYE

26 - 10 rec - 102 yards - TD

19 - 7 rec - 61 yards - TD

13 - 6 rec - 70 yards

15 - 3 rec - 66 yards - TD

15 - 7 rec - 88 yards

3 - 2 rec - 15 yards

20 - 7 rec - 79 yards - TD

26 - 10 rec - 106 yards - TD

25 - 8 rec - 118 yards - TD

8 - 4 rec - 49 yards

24 - 9 rec - 94 yards - TD

8 - 4 rec - 44 yards

8.5 targets per game

Housh actually had the 2nd highest ppg in my league's scoring system.

Evans Weekly scores, PPR, 1 point per 10 yards rush/rec

4 - 2 rec-19 yards

3 - 2 rec. 19 yards

18 - 8 rec -107 yards

16 - 7 rec - 90 yards

24 - 9 rec - 94 yards - TD

16 - 8 rec - 82 yards

2 - 1 rec - 11 yards

BYE

13 - 2 rec - 58 yards - TD

12 - 5 rec - 70 yards

49 - 11 rec - 265 yards - 2 TD

10 - 5 rec - 58 yards

9 - 5 rec - 45 yards

17 - 2 rec - 91 yards - TD

15 - 3 rec - 67 yards - TD

17 - 5 rec - 64 yards - TD

27 - 7 rec - 145 yards - TD

8.8 targets per game

I think Evans with a more seasoned Losman has a much, much higher ceiling than Housh just because of the lack of competition in BUF and his big-play potential. Either would be a quality addition to any roster.

Evans, aside from 3 real clunkers was actually very consistent and was on a serious hot streak to finish the season. I like guys who finish the season strong to do well the following season. Over the season Losman and Evans grew together, so I expect Evans to perform in similar fashion next season.

That being said, with his late-season flurry I can see Evans being slightly over-valued going into drafts next season and Housh slightly undervalued if people don't look at his numbers closely and assume that CJ will take most of his looks. A potential detractor for Housh mind you is Chris Henry. If he keeps his nose clean and isn't suspended throughout the season, he could eat into some of Housh's numbers.

 
Wow, thanks for the analysis and it really confirmed what I was already thinking. Why a guy would scoff at trading House and then jump at trading Evans made me think I wasn't evaluating the situation correctly; but from you guys' post, their fairly even, if not Evans is slightly ahead of House.

 

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