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Having a little perspective (1 Viewer)

GregR_2

Footballguy
Anytime an opinion of a player with years of history in the NFL can be completely made or reversed by the results of one game, I think anyone looking at things objectively would have to believe the only thing proven was a lack of objective analysis that went into the opinion.

In a sport where changing the role that one single player out of the 90 on both rosters had, on just a single play, can change the entire outcome of a game, I think an objective person would have to question how the outcome of the game could reflect so heavily on a different single player.

Our opinion of players should be a judgement of the body of work they have done. To say Dan Fouts or Dan Marino COULD NOT WIN a Super Bowl should be obvious to everyone who watched any football during there era as being illogical. To say Dan Fouts or Dan Marino DID NOT WIN the Super Bowl is obviously true, but given the sport we're talking about I'm surprised at how often people don't seem to understand the difference between "can" and "did".

The same is true of players today whether it's Peyton or Brady or anyone else. If the Ravens gave up more points in their SB and lost it, that shouldn't change our opinion of Dilfer because his ability didn't change. That the Pats have lost 3 in a row to the Colts doesn't change the quality of Brady as a QB, anymore than would it mean he'd be a worse QB if Ty Law had dropped his INT-for-a-TD in 2001 and the Pats had lost by 7 instead of kicking a game winning FG. Now when Kurt Warner can't hit the open player and can't beat the pass rush for a couple of seasons, there is a valid body of work on which to start changing an opinion of a player.

A player should be judged on the body of their work and their contribution to their team, and that doesn't equate directly with wins and losses. The worse team can win on any given day, and the player who played better can still have his team lose.

It's sad to me that so many people are looking at tomorrow's Super Bowl as if it is going to answer some question about Peyton Manning... like can he win the big game?

Of course he CAN win it. A five year old should be able to tell you that. The AFC championship game didn't change anything about Peyton, all it did was shed light on the fact that some people's opinions were not based on factors that actually reflected the quality of the player that they could be changed in one game. Others continue to cling to that same kind of opinion by defining their 'big game" differently.

Win or lose, he's the same QB on Monday that he was on Saturday. The only thing that may have changed is that opinions that it should have already been obvious weren't based on valid reasons, may be forced to be re-evaluated.

 
Nice effort to minimize the 'Validate Peyton Bowl'. However, it is a validation because of the player's post season record. He's helmed his Colts to a 6-6 record in the post season. His 61% completion rate is lower than his 64% regular season number. Further, his 17:14 TD:INT ratio stands out for a guy who's 275:139 for his regular season career.

Perspective? Ask a Vols fan if Tee Martin or Peyton made them happier ....

 
I'm a Bears fan, but I had a conversation about Manning today. I said I thought it was crazy that people say he can't win the big one. Last year he plays Pittsburgh and Indy has that great defense and by 10:00 minutes into the game he's down by 14. He had to play that whole game in catch up mode with a good defense knowing what he was going to have to do. I'm not making excuses for losing, but to put all the success or blame on one player means you don't know much about team sports. Manning is a great QB and even as a Bear fan I won't be upset if he gets a ring tomorrow, the only bad thing will be that they'll erect a statue in his honor as the greatest living QB ever to inhale a breath of air if he wins and ignore the fact that 21 other guys had a significant impact on the game as well. I will bet anyone alive any amount of money that Manning can't beat the Bears in a real NFL game. The Colts can beat the Bears, but Manning can't!

I think tomorrow is going to be a great game and if Manning wins he'll have a whole roster of guys who earned it right along beside him. And I'd be okay with that until the media starts being stupid like they do every year (see Jerome Bettis last year). Good luck Colts fans, we're two teams that have earned the right to be here and I hope the refs can stay out of the way and let the game be won or lost by the players.

 
Nice effort to minimize the 'Validate Peyton Bowl'. However, it is a validation because of the player's post season record. He's helmed his Colts to a 6-6 record in the post season. His 61% completion rate is lower than his 64% regular season number. Further, his 17:14 TD:INT ratio stands out for a guy who's 275:139 for his regular season career.Perspective? Ask a Vols fan if Tee Martin or Peyton made them happier ....
:thumbup: Quite surprising that a patriots fan said this. It's going to really hurt when you can't say "But Brady's better because Manning has never won a Superbowl."
 
Football is a team game, and that will never change.

It's all about preparation, playcalling and execution.

Do the Bears have the best QB? No.

Do the Colts have the best D Front 7? No.

I'd argue that this Colts team is worse than the teams they had the past two years.

It simply came down to preparation, playcalling and execution in the playoffs.

 
:rolleyes:

Quite surprising that a patriots fan said this. It's going to really hurt when you can't say "But Brady's better because Manning has never won a Superbowl."
Indy's whacked the Pats the last three times they've met. The last two trips into Foxboro were great performances - one mauling and one methodical win. The Championship Game was a legend maker for #18. If the Colts win tomorrow, you'll never hear a Marino or Fouts comparison for Peyton. AND, that's great because he's a classy guy with great numbers. He's not a guy that's easy to hate (reminds of Jeter, unfortunately).You'll never find me diminishing Manning's play. Period. However, to 'validate' his career in the public eye (read: media), he needs a ring and tomorrow's his chance.

Oh. And I'm rooting for the Colts. Its an AFC thing. (And, no. That doesn't translate to ever rooting for the Evil Empire)

 
I've given this a bunch of thought, and I think I know what the big "problem" is. People conflate how good a player was with how good his career was. Robert Horry's career was better than Charles Barkley's career. I'd imagine if you asked Barkley, he'd rather have had Horry's career, and most fans would have liked to have been Robert Horry instead, too. Horry won six championships and Barkley won zero, and that means Horry's career was much, much, much more enjoyable.

If I had to be one, I'd pick Horry. But that doesn't make Horry better than Barkley, it just makes his career more enjoyable.

If Manning wins tomorrow, his career becomes about a billion times better. If he loses, his career becomes a lot worse. But either way, his ability remains the same. When ranking players all time, we should be concerned with their ability, not how happy we would have been to be them.

 
Nice effort to minimize the 'Validate Peyton Bowl'. However, it is a validation because of the player's post season record. He's helmed his Colts to a 6-6 record in the post season. His 61% completion rate is lower than his 64% regular season number. Further, his 17:14 TD:INT ratio stands out for a guy who's 275:139 for his regular season career.Perspective? Ask a Vols fan if Tee Martin or Peyton made them happier ....
Wait now. Read my post again for the main point, which is to raise the question of how valid is an opinion of a player if a single game's result can turn it around so.You point to Peyton's postseason record, completion percentage and TD:INT ratio as being what that opinion is based on. If those being lower than his regular season numbers is truthfully what said opinion is based on, then he'd have to come out of this SB with those numbers similar to his regular season to turn it around. Which would mean he'd have to go something akin to 40 for 40 with 10 passing touchdowns. Whether he won or not wouldn't affect those stats. The 6-6 postseason going to 7-6 would change, but I really hope no one is going to claim that going from .500 to .538 should turn around such an opinion, if it's even reasonable to base someone's quality on just 12 games in the first place.I'm glad you posted it because it's an exact example of what I'm talking about. If those stats are indeed the reason to view with such an opinion, then there's no realistic way that winning this SB should turn that around. Since there are plenty of people saying their opinion will be turned around, one would have to deduce their opinion is based on something other than what you said.And for what it's worth, I point out the same kind of behavior in regards to any player, like people saying Brady sucks because his team lost. I've contended many times that the playoff loss to Denver last year was an example of a great QB performance in the heat of a game full of all-out blitzes, and to have performed at the level he did with as much pressure as he was under made the game a positive for Brady and not a negative. So people can try to couch this as some Peyton lover if they'd like, but it doesn't matter to me who the player is that people are being unrealistic about. One of the things I love about the Shark Pool is it seems better than anywhere else I've been in terms of people who put aside their biases and homerisms and look at things objectively. But when it comes to either Peyton or Brady, it just gets ridiculous here.
 
I've given this a bunch of thought, and I think I know what the big "problem" is. People conflate how good a player was with how good his career was. Robert Horry's career was better than Charles Barkley's career. I'd imagine if you asked Barkley, he'd rather have had Horry's career, and most fans would have liked to have been Robert Horry instead, too. Horry won six championships and Barkley won zero, and that means Horry's career was much, much, much more enjoyable.If I had to be one, I'd pick Horry. But that doesn't make Horry better than Barkley, it just makes his career more enjoyable.If Manning wins tomorrow, his career becomes about a billion times better. If he loses, his career becomes a lot worse. But either way, his ability remains the same. When ranking players all time, we should be concerned with their ability, not how happy we would have been to be them.
Very well said, and exactly where I would hope people would end up if they actually think about this objectively and not get caught up in their personal likes and dislikes about individual players.
 
He's helmed his Colts to a 6-6 record in the post season. His 61% completion rate is lower than his 64% regular season number. Further, his 17:14 TD:INT ratio stands out for a guy who's 275:139 for his regular season career.
If digging (...and digging) thru stats has unearthed these "jaw-dropping" anomolies, I would say Peyton is pretty dang good.64% regular season completion % vs 61% postseason completion % ??? Come on. Fess up. You felt a little odd typing this, right??
 
If Manning wins tomorrow, his career becomes about a billion times better. If he loses, his career becomes a lot worse. But either way, his ability remains the same. When ranking players all time, we should be concerned with their ability, not how happy we would have been to be them.
Manning's incredible ability is what leads people to expect more out of him in the playoffs. Someone with such talent is expected to raise, or at least match, their level of play in the biggest games.Proponents ignore the fact that Manning has set the bar so high for himself, and his failure to meet expectations is a result of his own success. If he weren't a number one pick with amazing statisitics as a Pro, people would not hold him to such a high standard.The common excuse for Manning not getting a ring is that he doesn't have the talent around him to get it done. Well, 2 TD passes and 6 INT's later, he is on the verge of a ring, so that myth has been dispelled.Let's hope he gets his title tomorrow, I'm rooting for him to win...and play extremely well in the process.
 
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Nice effort to minimize the 'Validate Peyton Bowl'. However, it is a validation because of the player's post season record. He's helmed his Colts to a 6-6 record in the post season. His 61% completion rate is lower than his 64% regular season number. Further, his 17:14 TD:INT ratio stands out for a guy who's 275:139 for his regular season career.Perspective? Ask a Vols fan if Tee Martin or Peyton made them happier ....
Of course his numbers are going to drop. He's playing against the best in the AFC and he won't be able to inflate his numbers against the bottom of each conference. I'm sure nearly every football player's numbers drop in the post season.Marvin Harrison's post season numbers are significantly lower than his regular season numbers...does that mean he can't get it done in the playoffs? No. It just means that he's going against better defenses.
 
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Nice effort to minimize the 'Validate Peyton Bowl'. However, it is a validation because of the player's post season record. He's helmed his Colts to a 6-6 record in the post season. His 61% completion rate is lower than his 64% regular season number. Further, his 17:14 TD:INT ratio stands out for a guy who's 275:139 for his regular season career.Perspective? Ask a Vols fan if Tee Martin or Peyton made them happier ....
Of course his numbers are going to drop. He's playing against the best in the AFC and he won't be able to inflate his numbers against the bottom of each conference. I'm sure nearly every football player's numbers drop in the post season.
Tom Brady's do not. His TD-INT in the playoffs is more than 2:1 in the postseason (20 TD's, 9 INT's), while it is less than 2:1 in the regular season (147 TD's, 78 INT's).
 
I've given this a bunch of thought, and I think I know what the big "problem" is. People conflate how good a player was with how good his career was. Robert Horry's career was better than Charles Barkley's career. I'd imagine if you asked Barkley, he'd rather have had Horry's career, and most fans would have liked to have been Robert Horry instead, too. Horry won six championships and Barkley won zero, and that means Horry's career was much, much, much more enjoyable.

If I had to be one, I'd pick Horry. But that doesn't make Horry better than Barkley, it just makes his career more enjoyable.

If Manning wins tomorrow, his career becomes about a billion times better. If he loses, his career becomes a lot worse. But either way, his ability remains the same. When ranking players all time, we should be concerned with their ability, not how happy we would have been to be them.
That may be the best paragraph I've ever read on this board. Nicely said.
 
DoubleG said:
Chase Stuart said:
I've given this a bunch of thought, and I think I know what the big "problem" is. People conflate how good a player was with how good his career was. Robert Horry's career was better than Charles Barkley's career. I'd imagine if you asked Barkley, he'd rather have had Horry's career, and most fans would have liked to have been Robert Horry instead, too. Horry won six championships and Barkley won zero, and that means Horry's career was much, much, much more enjoyable.

If I had to be one, I'd pick Horry. But that doesn't make Horry better than Barkley, it just makes his career more enjoyable.

If Manning wins tomorrow, his career becomes about a billion times better. If he loses, his career becomes a lot worse. But either way, his ability remains the same. When ranking players all time, we should be concerned with their ability, not how happy we would have been to be them.
That may be the best paragraph I've ever read on this board. Nicely said.
This post was about perspective. And, I guess its sad to say, Peyton's career gets a validation stamp, with a win today. Like it or not. The Horry/Barkley comparison is an interesting one. I'm sure you could do the same with Ernie Banks. Or, any athlete that put together a career worthy of being considered a Hall of Famer that didn't get a ring. Period.Good Luck, #18!

 
And here I thought this would be a post about Griese's work with his "Judi's House" charity. Oh well

 
Despyzer said:
The odd thing is I almost never hear this argument when it comes to Jim Kelly.
Interesting point. I think it goes to the fact that perception counts more in most people's minds than does reality.Kelly was 0/4 in Super Bowls, but for some reason that is not perceived as a failure on his part (whether rightly or wrongly).Perhaps the expectations for him were never as high as those that are held for Manning. Also, the mistakes that he made didn't seem (in most people's minds) to be that crucial in the games outcomes - quite often with the finger of blame pointed elsewhere (i.e., Norwood wide right). Certainly Kelly had some culpability in those losses, but the "can't win the big one" label never seemed to stick.
 
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Manning played very well considering the conditions. His legacy improved a ton tonight in many's eyes, although I'd be hard pressed to say I think he's a better or more talented QB now.

 
Manning played very well considering the conditions. His legacy improved a ton tonight in many's eyes, although I'd be hard pressed to say I think he's a better or more talented QB now.
I agree, he was more effective than I expected him to be. I thought the Bears would do a better job of getting pressure on him. I would like to watch the game again and pay special attention to the blitzes. I recall the announcers talking about how effective the Bears had been when they blitzed... but when they said it, I hadn't really paid attention but was thinking the Colts had handled the blitzes pretty well.
 
Manning is the greatest QB ever...didn't even need a stupid kicker to bail out his choking ###.

 
ryankj said:
Nice effort to minimize the 'Validate Peyton Bowl'. However, it is a validation because of the player's post season record. He's helmed his Colts to a 6-6 record in the post season. His 61% completion rate is lower than his 64% regular season number. Further, his 17:14 TD:INT ratio stands out for a guy who's 275:139 for his regular season career.Perspective? Ask a Vols fan if Tee Martin or Peyton made them happier ....
Of course his numbers are going to drop. He's playing against the best in the AFC and he won't be able to inflate his numbers against the bottom of each conference. I'm sure nearly every football player's numbers drop in the post season.Marvin Harrison's post season numbers are significantly lower than his regular season numbers...does that mean he can't get it done in the playoffs? No. It just means that he's going against better defenses.
This isn't true at all. Those who go down as the best of all time often have better numbers in important games.
 
Welcome to the Interwebs!

The raving tools do a great job of identifying themselves. They post only hyperbole and absolutes. There is never a gray area for them. Using this formula you can pick them out and then choose to ignore their insane rantings.

I agree with the intent of the OP. Formulating all-encompassing opinions based on the outcome of a single game is silly. The weak-minded and simpletons of the world speak in absolutes because they can't fathom anything else. Uttering "I don't know" is not within their scope of reasoning skills.

I appreciate all who bring a rational sense of objectivity to our Shark Pool. Anyone who brings quality analytical approaches to player and team evaluations will be respected by the majority of our members.

 
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Welcome to the Interwebs!The raving tools do a great job of identifying themselves. They post only hyperbole and absolutes. There is never a gray area for them. Using this formula you can pick them out and then choose to ignore their insane rantings.I agree with the intent of the OP. Formulating all-encompassing opinions based on the outcome of a single game is silly. The weak-minded and simpletons of the world speak in absolutes because they can't fathom anything else. Uttering "I don't know" is not within their scope of reasoning skills.I appreciate all who bring a rational sense of objectivity to our Shark Pool. Anyone who brings quality analytical approaches to player and team evaluations will be respected by the majority of our members.
:banned:
 
Exhibit A

Threads that rely on worst of all time or best of all time as a tag line are dead give aways. There's another peach near the end of that thread. Love affair that this board has with .... As if the entire board agrees on any singular player. Let's not bother with citing a specific poster. Just attribute it to everyone. I really appreciate members that do this sort of thing so I can place the proper weight on their opinions.

 
I understand what you're trying to say here, Greg, but I disagree. Winning playoff games requires a different set of skills than winning regular season games. That's not to say it's impossible to win a playoff game without those skills, or that someone who possesses those skills will win every playoff game. But there are specific things that will increase your chances of winning a playoff game. And I believe it's possible to improve at those skills.

For example, I think Manning learned from his first playoff game against the Patriots. He threw for one touchdown and four interceptions in that first game, after throwing for 8 TDs and 0 INTs in his previous two playoff games in 2003. So what happened in 2004? He looked scared to throw an interception. And he succeeded in avoiding the picks - but failed to score a touchdown. Did the defense change? Sure. But people who watched the game generally agreed that it looked like Manning was playing way too conservatively and seemed afraid to throw deep for fear of getting picked off.

This year, it seems like he changed styles again - leading more of a ball control offense, going deep when necessary but making high percentage passes when they were there. It didn't always work out - his 438 yards, 1 TD and 5 INTs in his first two games is in stark contrast to his 596 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs in his next two against a tougher pair of defenses. But I think it was a better style of football, especially with his defense's weaknesses. Yes, his defense played better, but they were also better rested from the time of possession advantage. This isn't the only noticable difference, but it's a good one to start with.

Another good example is that, while I had seen him make an incredible comeback against Tampa, I had never seen him rally like he did against the Patriots. Down three scores, after making early game mistakes, against your arch rival, against a defense that had been playing well early in the game, he not only brought them back, but outdueled a quarterback who is known for his ability to match his opponents score-for-score at the end of a game. I'd never seen that side of Manning before, and had no reason to expect that he had the mental toughness to do it. I did, on the other hand, have a resume showing that he had not previously been able to even start a comeback drive like that, like in the 41-0 game against the Jets, or the 20-3 loss against the Pats the season he had thrown 49 TDs. Whether he won or lost against the Pats, the fact that he bounced back from early adversity showed me something I had never seen before. So that one game really showed me a lot about the player.

If you believe that a player can learn skills, and you believe that you cannot perfectly predict whether he will be able to successfully apply those skills, and you believe that showing those skills in one game is enough to say that he has at least learned something, then it's very reasonable to change your opinion on a player after one game. If you believe that a player may not be able to do something, and you believe that thing is important, then when you see him do it, it is very reasonable to change your opinion on that player after one game.

 
Great points Fred, but I think it boils down to Manning is no more a choker than Brady being as clutch as others claimed him to be. They're both terrific QBs. There's a very limited number of stages (or opportunities ) to attempt to show that you can perform at the top of your game in front of the world.

They've both shown to be good and bad in these types of situations. Brady had a better supporting cast early in his career. Manning did not. Finally Manning's supporting cast has enabled him and the rest of his offense to cash in on the biggest game they'll ever know.

I'm not a Colts fan but a fan of not committing too much to limited sample sizes. Once again, Manning will get too much of the credit for this team winning even though it was really won by the defense.

 
Great points Fred, but I think it boils down to Manning is no more a choker than Brady being as clutch as others claimed him to be. They're both terrific QBs. There's a very limited number of stages (or opportunities ) to attempt to show that you can perform at the top of your game in front of the world. They've both shown to be good and bad in these types of situations. Brady had a better supporting cast early in his career. Manning did not. Finally Manning's supporting cast has enabled him and the rest of his offense to cash in on the biggest game they'll ever know.I'm not a Colts fan but a fan of not committing too much to limited sample sizes. Once again, Manning will get too much of the credit for this team winning even though it was really won by the defense.
I understand the small sample size argument. I just disagree with your definition of the sample size. I don't think it's that small. A football game is not a coin flip. It's more like rolling dice again, and again, and again. The Bears got to the Superbowl because most times when they rolled the dice, they didn't score, but once in a while, they got a huge play. Over the course of enough trials, they racked up enough big plays to win most games. The Colts got to the Superbowl because most times when they rolled the dice, they were favored to win. Add up those edges over enough trials, and the better team will win every time. Over a 60 minute football game, there aren't enough trials to be sure the best team will win, but there are enough to ensure that it's more likely that they'll win. And it's the individual players that determine what the dice rolls will look like. How many drives did Manning lead in the Jets game where they lost 41-0? What about when he threw four picks in the Patriots game. He effectively lost the Steelers game on three straight drives. But at the same time, while it's "only one game", he led his team to scores on six of his last eight drives in the Patriots game. You talk about that and you say, meh, it's a small sample size of four games. I look at it and say, that's over 25 drives, each of which had a series of plays, each of which consisted of a series of decisions by the quarterback. Over the course of one drive, there might be dozens of individual decisions that a quarterback like Manning, who is heavily involved in play calling and audibling, will make. During the course of a game, there are hundreds of decisions, and if, over the long haul, he generally makes good decisions, he'll probably win more games. If not, he'll probably lose more games. Stated another way, if Manning came out of the game, and you came in and stood under center and took the snap, we would probably immediately see you take a sack or throw an interception. Over the course of the game, we'd probably see that again and again. And by the end of the game, there would be no doubt in my mind that you're not as good a quarterback as Manning. I could understand that first sack, or maybe a couple. But over the course of 60 minutes, I'd be surprised if you could have thrown even one complete pass against the Bears defense. And if you said you were going to try again next week, or even next year, I would be correct in expecting you to fare pretty badly then, too. As for your assertion that he won the Superbowl because of the defense, I don't think that's true. He won the first two playoff games because the defense played well. He might even have won the Superbowl itself because of the defense. But in the Patriots game, he had to score on six of the last eight drives to win that game. It took an incredible amount of mental toughness that we had not seen from Manning before in the playoffs to not only score repeatedly against his arch nemesis, but to do so after starting the game in a 21-3 hole. In the past, the odds of him even playing well enough to make the game competitive in this situation were pretty slim. But in the Patriots game, he elevated his level of play to the point that he led not one or two but six scoring drives. That's a lot of completed passes, a lot of didn't throw an interceptions, a lot of audibled to a runs, and a lot of didn't show the Manning faces. It's not one trial, but many.
 
Great points Fred, but I think it boils down to Manning is no more a choker than Brady being as clutch as others claimed him to be. They're both terrific QBs. There's a very limited number of stages (or opportunities ) to attempt to show that you can perform at the top of your game in front of the world. They've both shown to be good and bad in these types of situations. Brady had a better supporting cast early in his career. Manning did not. Finally Manning's supporting cast has enabled him and the rest of his offense to cash in on the biggest game they'll ever know.I'm not a Colts fan but a fan of not committing too much to limited sample sizes. Once again, Manning will get too much of the credit for this team winning even though it was really won by the defense.
I understand the small sample size argument. I just disagree with your definition of the sample size. I don't think it's that small. A football game is not a coin flip. It's more like rolling dice again, and again, and again. The Bears got to the Superbowl because most times when they rolled the dice, they didn't score, but once in a while, they got a huge play. Over the course of enough trials, they racked up enough big plays to win most games. The Colts got to the Superbowl because most times when they rolled the dice, they were favored to win. Add up those edges over enough trials, and the better team will win every time. Over a 60 minute football game, there aren't enough trials to be sure the best team will win, but there are enough to ensure that it's more likely that they'll win. And it's the individual players that determine what the dice rolls will look like. How many drives did Manning lead in the Jets game where they lost 41-0? What about when he threw four picks in the Patriots game. He effectively lost the Steelers game on three straight drives. But at the same time, while it's "only one game", he led his team to scores on six of his last eight drives in the Patriots game. You talk about that and you say, meh, it's a small sample size of four games. I look at it and say, that's over 25 drives, each of which had a series of plays, each of which consisted of a series of decisions by the quarterback. Over the course of one drive, there might be dozens of individual decisions that a quarterback like Manning, who is heavily involved in play calling and audibling, will make. During the course of a game, there are hundreds of decisions, and if, over the long haul, he generally makes good decisions, he'll probably win more games. If not, he'll probably lose more games. Stated another way, if Manning came out of the game, and you came in and stood under center and took the snap, we would probably immediately see you take a sack or throw an interception. Over the course of the game, we'd probably see that again and again. And by the end of the game, there would be no doubt in my mind that you're not as good a quarterback as Manning. I could understand that first sack, or maybe a couple. But over the course of 60 minutes, I'd be surprised if you could have thrown even one complete pass against the Bears defense. And if you said you were going to try again next week, or even next year, I would be correct in expecting you to fare pretty badly then, too. As for your assertion that he won the Superbowl because of the defense, I don't think that's true. He won the first two playoff games because the defense played well. He might even have won the Superbowl itself because of the defense. But in the Patriots game, he had to score on six of the last eight drives to win that game. It took an incredible amount of mental toughness that we had not seen from Manning before in the playoffs to not only score repeatedly against his arch nemesis, but to do so after starting the game in a 21-3 hole. In the past, the odds of him even playing well enough to make the game competitive in this situation were pretty slim. But in the Patriots game, he elevated his level of play to the point that he led not one or two but six scoring drives. That's a lot of completed passes, a lot of didn't throw an interceptions, a lot of audibled to a runs, and a lot of didn't show the Manning faces. It's not one trial, but many.
How's that "cancer" thing working out for you, fred? You still standing by all that garbage?
 
How's that "cancer" thing working out for you, fred? You still standing by all that garbage?
Why are you quoting this post, in this thread, to ask about a thread you've already posted in? Yes, I stand by my assertion that, up until this year, Manning's individual performance lost his team a lot of important games. For all the cancer talk, Owens has not. And when it comes down to it, if I'm choosing between two superstars, I'll take the one who helps me win important games over the one who doesn't. But no, I have become a Manning believer. Not as a result of the Superbowl, but the AFC Championship Game. And not because the Colts won the game, but because of the comeback he made. That's something we'd never seen from Manning in the playoffs before. Based on his performance in that game, my opinion of his ability to do it in the future has changed. My evaluation of his performance in the past has not. I'll assume because you came to this thread to talk about a topic from a different thread, that you're either drunk (it's late on Superbowl Sunday) or looking to pick a fight about this because, at 3:30 AM, I didn't respond to the other thread fast enough. Good luck with all that.
 
How's that "cancer" thing working out for you, fred? You still standing by all that garbage?
Why are you quoting this post, in this thread, to ask about a thread you've already posted in? Yes, I stand by my assertion that, up until this year, Manning's individual performance lost his team a lot of important games. For all the cancer talk, Owens has not. And when it comes down to it, if I'm choosing between two superstars, I'll take the one who helps me win important games over the one who doesn't. But no, I have become a Manning believer. Not as a result of the Superbowl, but the AFC Championship Game. And not because the Colts won the game, but because of the comeback he made. That's something we'd never seen from Manning in the playoffs before. Based on his performance in that game, my opinion of his ability to do it in the future has changed. My evaluation of his performance in the past has not. I'll assume because you came to this thread to talk about a topic from a different thread, that you're either drunk (it's late on Superbowl Sunday) or looking to pick a fight about this because, at 3:30 AM, I didn't respond to the other thread fast enough. Good luck with all that.
I'm on the West Coast for this SB. Still late. But, not so bad.I was just wondering how that cancer thing was working out for you. Apparently, he's shed the label in your eyes. Maybe one of these days I'll forget that you actually compared the two. Until then, :thumbup:
 
I understand what you're trying to say here, Greg, but I disagree. Winning playoff games requires a different set of skills than winning regular season games. That's not to say it's impossible to win a playoff game without those skills, or that someone who possesses those skills will win every playoff game. But there are specific things that will increase your chances of winning a playoff game. And I believe it's possible to improve at those skills. ...
I completely disagree with the basis for your entire stance, that it takes a different set of skills to win in the postseason. And it isn't even internally consistent just within the framework of arguments made in the last 2 hours.In another thread you had just defended your opinions about Peyton not having those playoff skills previously, as recently as the first two games of this postseason and even up into the first half of the Pats game. Then you defend as being correct the reversal of that opinion because of the Pats 2nd half? For your prior opinion to have not bee nwrong, there had to have been something crazy in the water at half-time for him to have suddenly picked up those skills. I sure wish I could get some for David Carr.The only way to reach your position is to focus on his worst playoff performances and use them to downplay the skill he's shown on the field during the season and also downplaying his average, good and great playoff performances as well. Which is a lot more believable to have happened than that Peyton drank the magic playoff skill water at half-time, making both your pre-half-time opinion and post-half-time opinion valid.What would have happened in the Pats game if Harrison had bobbled a pass and a Pat had grabbed it out of the air and ran it the other way for a touchdown? Same exact throw by Peyton as the way things played out, same exact ability, but you know the truth is that your opinion of him would not have swung around 180 degrees then. Not because of any change in Peyton's ability or skills, playoff or otherwise, but because his team didn't achieve success.It's just too much credit being given to QBs in a win and too much blame being given in a loss versus what is truly the result of the entire team. Combined with people focusing on an extremely small subset of a player's body of work. Sorry Fred, I will agree an opinion can be valid to have reached but still not end up being true. But the problem here is that reaching that opinion was by having chosen to focus on about 3 bad games out of 150+ and ignore the good games, including playoff games, between now and when those happened.
 
In the fourth quarter of the AFCCG, I made the statement that, win or lose, I had a newfound respect for Manning. The fact that the Colts won the game wasn't the point. It's that, when the Colts got the ball, you felt like they were going to score no matter what, and your best hope was to hold them to a field goal.

Mind you, part of the reason he looked so good is that several Patriots had the flu, countless starters missed time or left the game altogether, and the time of possession battle had swung the Colts' way big time. But Manning wasn't just chucking it deep to take advantage of the Pats' weakened secondary. He was leading time consuming ball control drives. That's a major difference.

And no, I don't think he learned that skill this year. I don't think that, somewhere around halftime, he suddenly picked up a book, read it, and said, by George, I think I've got it. But this is the first time he displayed some of those skills.

You're right that if Harrison drops a ball along the way and the Colts lose, it might not have had the same effect, but the same could be said for Brady and Caldwell in that game. Caldwell dropped a ton of balls, but none more egregious than the one where there was no corner anyway near him split far wide, and when he finally realized that, Caldwell ended up running a 5 yard route instead of going deep, then dropped an easy pass on the sideline instead of making an easy catch and run. Did that play make Brady better or worse? Of course not. And I've never critiqued Manning for losing a game on one or two plays, either. No matter how good they are, no player makes ever play.

But in the past, Manning has made the critical, game losing mistake more often than not. This year, he changed his style, kept drives alive, threw short, high percentage passes to the running back instead of forcing the ball deep to his wideouts, and tried to win the game by grinding it out instead of trying to put the team on his back.

Look at the time of possession difference for the Colts in this year's playoffs:

IND 39:23 KCC 20:37

IND 31:24 BAL 28:36

IND 31:15 NWE 28:45*

IND 38:04 CHI 21:56

* In the first 4 possessions, the Pats led 16:07 to 10:47. Over the rest of the game, once Manning started the comeback, the Colts led the TOP battle 20:28 to 12:38.

In the KC game, Manning had a >75% completion percentage, but threw three picks. Once again, he was making the game losing mistake. In the Baltimore game, he was just 50%, and threw another two picks, but was bailed out by his defense and Vinatieri, who went 5/5 on field goals. In the Pats game, he was not playing well to start the game, throwing a long pass to Addai on third and three, then leading a nice ball control drive for a field goal, throwing an interception early in the next drive, and going three and out on a drive that went sack, sack, delay of game, deep pass incomplete. Then he settled down, changed his style, and for the rest of the game he didn't throw another interception, he never attempted a deep pass again on third down, and he mostly threw short passes the rest of the way. In the Chicago game, he did the same thing, ending the game with just 10 yards per completion, the lowest of any playoff win. 18 of his 25 completions went to his tight ends and running backs, and he led the team to an almost perfectly 50/50 run/pass split. That's not the Manning we've seen in the past. Something did change. I applaud him for it.

 
I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.

 
I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.
I don't know what to say. If you don't think he played differently in the playoffs this year than he had in the past, then you weren't watching the games.
 
I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.
I don't know what to say. If you don't think he played differently in the playoffs this year than he had in the past, then you weren't watching the games.
You can say that there is more to judging a player's ability than the playoffs. You can say that he played worse this year in some playoff games than he has in past playoff games of his, and better than he has in others. All of which are completely true.You know... have perspective.
 
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I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.
I don't know what to say. If you don't think he played differently in the playoffs this year than he had in the past, then you weren't watching the games.
:wub: Typical.I'm pretty sure GregR was watching the games. I think we all watched many--if not most--of the games past and present. Why you gotta' be like this all the time?Peyton's stats certainly don't suggest that he played that differently. A lot of things contribute to wins and losses, and Peyton benefited from the performance of his teammates far more this year than any in the past. You act like this is a brand new Peyton. Are you also saying that this is a brand new Tom Brady this year? Or, were you not watching the games, either?
 
I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.
I don't know what to say. If you don't think he played differently in the playoffs this year than he had in the past, then you weren't watching the games.
You can say that there is more to judging a player's ability than the playoffs. You can say that he played worse this year in some playoff games than he has in past playoff games of his, and better than he has in others. All of which are completely true.You know... have perspective.
There's two very different perspectives on Manning's career. One is that he never had a problem playing in the playoffs, and that a playoff game was no different to Manning than any of the other 150+ games he'd played. The other is to say that Manning has always played well, but struggled with the pressure of playoff football for a while. It took him a while to get past it, but he eventually did. You seem to think that only one of those perspectives is valid. I do too. We just disagree on which one.
 
I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.
I don't know what to say. If you don't think he played differently in the playoffs this year than he had in the past, then you weren't watching the games.
You can say that there is more to judging a player's ability than the playoffs. You can say that he played worse this year in some playoff games than he has in past playoff games of his, and better than he has in others. All of which are completely true.You know... have perspective.
It's called cognitive dissonance. Fred has been the biggest Manning hater out there. I mean, who calls Peyton Manning a "cancer"? Fred. Compares him to TO, saying he's actually worse. So, he's hung his hat on this shtick. He can't really go back on it.But, what he can do is say that Peyton is no longer Peyton. "I was talking about that other guy, Peyton," says Fred now. "This guy is completely different."And, the rest of us all know that it's the same Peyton, who, LIKE EVERY GREAT QUARTERBACK, doesn't always win the big one, doesn't always perform in the clutch, etc. But, like every other great QB, he needs a little (or a lot of) luck and the rest of his teammates around him to win a Super Bowl. This year is like any/every other year, and Peyton is the same QB. He had no significant variation in his playoff performance this year compared to years past. Arguably, he was worse. But, he played against an ineffective Brady this year, he had Grossman yesterday opposite him...he had a lot of good fortune. Doesn't change what he is and was: a great QB.
 
I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.
I don't know what to say. If you don't think he played differently in the playoffs this year than he had in the past, then you weren't watching the games.
:rolleyes: Typical.I'm pretty sure GregR was watching the games. I think we all watched many--if not most--of the games past and present. Why you gotta' be like this all the time?Peyton's stats certainly don't suggest that he played that differently. A lot of things contribute to wins and losses, and Peyton benefited from the performance of his teammates far more this year than any in the past. You act like this is a brand new Peyton. Are you also saying that this is a brand new Tom Brady this year? Or, were you not watching the games, either?
Of course not. I'm not saying this is a brand new Peyton. I'm saying he did something in this year's playoffs that I'd never seen him do before. On the verge of missing out in the Superbowl, playing against his archrival, down 18, he led them on six scoring drives in the next eight possessions and not only made an incredible comeback, but outscored the Pats in the last quarter. Until this year, I thought he was physically capable of that kind of play, but I didn't think he was mentally capable of it. Over the course of 40 plays or so during that comeback, I would have expected at least one to be an interception, or an unnecessary sack, or some kind of game changing play. But it wasn't. He played lights out. We all knew he was capable of it. But there was no track record to suggest he could do it under that kind of pressure. Maybe you thought that it was just bad luck that he hadn't had a good game in the playoffs. I don't. As for Brady, yes, I do think we saw something different from him this year. I do think that his interception against San Diego on fourth down was uncharacteristic, and that his interception to end the Colts game was tough, too. In both those cases, those were do or die passes to poor receivers, so I don't think you can look at him and say he's lost it just because his team won or lost the game. But I do think that, if you're trying to predict his performance in future games, you look at the Patriots' passing offense a little differently after this year. Don't you?
 
I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.
I don't know what to say. If you don't think he played differently in the playoffs this year than he had in the past, then you weren't watching the games.
You can say that there is more to judging a player's ability than the playoffs. You can say that he played worse this year in some playoff games than he has in past playoff games of his, and better than he has in others. All of which are completely true.You know... have perspective.
There's two very different perspectives on Manning's career. One is that he never had a problem playing in the playoffs, and that a playoff game was no different to Manning than any of the other 150+ games he'd played. The other is to say that Manning has always played well, but struggled with the pressure of playoff football for a while. It took him a while to get past it, but he eventually did. You seem to think that only one of those perspectives is valid. I do too. We just disagree on which one.
Fred, again, you can't make an argument without setting up false premises, so let me hold your hand through an alternative explanation that adds to the two perspectives you think are possible.The other explanation is that Manning is an exceptional QB who runs a very complicated offensive scheme that, against elite competition, becomes more difficult to execute because the talent level on the opposite side is much better. The margin of error is far slimmer within this system than others. Read The Blind Side and get Bill Walsh's perspective on how offensive schemes can dramatically impact QB performances. Manning would get confused in years' past, in part, because the blocking schemes fell apart, the check downs got miscommunicated, and he made poor decisions. No different than this year, but he certainly benefited from the guys around him, notably his O-line and defense, stepping up in ways they hadn't in the past. He got a choke game out of Brady, something he's not had before. Baltimore didn't show up on offense. And, Grossman was the MVP yesterday.

You call it the "pressure" of playoff football, which suggests a psychological component that wasn't there with him. I argue that it was there, but the competition level and luck/circumstance have an equal place in this discussion as likely reasons why Peyton didn't win a SB before this year but won it yesterday.

 
I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.
I don't know what to say. If you don't think he played differently in the playoffs this year than he had in the past, then you weren't watching the games.
You can say that there is more to judging a player's ability than the playoffs. You can say that he played worse this year in some playoff games than he has in past playoff games of his, and better than he has in others. All of which are completely true.You know... have perspective.
It's called cognitive dissonance. Fred has been the biggest Manning hater out there. I mean, who calls Peyton Manning a "cancer"? Fred. Compares him to TO, saying he's actually worse. So, he's hung his hat on this shtick. He can't really go back on it.But, what he can do is say that Peyton is no longer Peyton. "I was talking about that other guy, Peyton," says Fred now. "This guy is completely different."

And, the rest of us all know that it's the same Peyton, who, LIKE EVERY GREAT QUARTERBACK, doesn't always win the big one, doesn't always perform in the clutch, etc. But, like every other great QB, he needs a little (or a lot of) luck and the rest of his teammates around him to win a Super Bowl. This year is like any/every other year, and Peyton is the same QB. He had no significant variation in his playoff performance this year compared to years past. Arguably, he was worse. But, he played against an ineffective Brady this year, he had Grossman yesterday opposite him...he had a lot of good fortune. Doesn't change what he is and was: a great QB.
That's certainly one interpretation. Like I said to Greg, there's two valid perspectives on this. I take one, you take another. I'm pretty well convinced of mine. I understand that you are, too. But I have to disagree with the bolded statement above. His play in the Pats game was exceptional. I just don't understand how you could say it wasn't.

 
Maybe you thought that it was just bad luck that he hadn't had a good game in the playoffs. I don't.
Oh, he hasn't? That's funny. *I was under the impression his 5td 377yd game against Denver was pretty good.*Maybe that 3td 304yd game against KC wasn't good either. *That 4td 457yd Denver II game was pretty mediocre, too, I guess. *I always thought that stupid Vanderjagt kicker kind of ruined a good game against a tough Pitt Defense (who eventually won the SB), but according to you, Peyton hasn't had a good game in the playoffs, so this probably didn't count either.Luck is a part of every outcome, sometimes more a factor than others. Peyton had presence to perform at an elite level in some playoff games, but not others. Same with his teammates.
 
I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.
I don't know what to say. If you don't think he played differently in the playoffs this year than he had in the past, then you weren't watching the games.
You can say that there is more to judging a player's ability than the playoffs. You can say that he played worse this year in some playoff games than he has in past playoff games of his, and better than he has in others. All of which are completely true.You know... have perspective.
It's called cognitive dissonance. Fred has been the biggest Manning hater out there. I mean, who calls Peyton Manning a "cancer"? Fred. Compares him to TO, saying he's actually worse. So, he's hung his hat on this shtick. He can't really go back on it.But, what he can do is say that Peyton is no longer Peyton. "I was talking about that other guy, Peyton," says Fred now. "This guy is completely different."

And, the rest of us all know that it's the same Peyton, who, LIKE EVERY GREAT QUARTERBACK, doesn't always win the big one, doesn't always perform in the clutch, etc. But, like every other great QB, he needs a little (or a lot of) luck and the rest of his teammates around him to win a Super Bowl. This year is like any/every other year, and Peyton is the same QB. He had no significant variation in his playoff performance this year compared to years past. Arguably, he was worse. But, he played against an ineffective Brady this year, he had Grossman yesterday opposite him...he had a lot of good fortune. Doesn't change what he is and was: a great QB.
That's certainly one interpretation. Like I said to Greg, there's two valid perspectives on this. I take one, you take another. I'm pretty well convinced of mine. I understand that you are, too. But I have to disagree with the bolded statement above. His play in the Pats game was exceptional. I just don't understand how you could say it wasn't.
And, what you're not understanding is that there are more than just two perspectives on this. I added a third to the two elementary ones you proposed, and there are likely many others. Given your reductionist approach to this, I can understand how your dissonance is so entrenched. I'm trying to help you expand beyond the limited scope that you choose to view this.His play against the Chiefs, Denver II and II, and Pittsburgh were also exceptional in the past, so I don't know what revisionist history you're subscribing to.

 
Maybe you thought that it was just bad luck that he hadn't had a good game in the playoffs. I don't.
Oh, he hasn't? That's funny. *I was under the impression his 5td 377yd game against Denver was pretty good.*Maybe that 3td 304yd game against KC wasn't good either. *That 4td 457yd Denver II game was pretty mediocre, too, I guess. *I always thought that stupid Vanderjagt kicker kind of ruined a good game against a tough Pitt Defense (who eventually won the SB), but according to you, Peyton hasn't had a good game in the playoffs, so this probably didn't count either.Luck is a part of every outcome, sometimes more a factor than others. Peyton had presence to perform at an elite level in some playoff games, but not others. Same with his teammates.
Point conceded. It was a badly worded post. You know from talking to me in the past that this was not the centerpiece of my argument.
 
I don't know what to say. If still you want to believe that he never displayed the skill necessary to win a playoff game in his 150+ games of his career, until half-time of the Pats game, that's exactly the kind of lack of perspective I made this post to address.
I don't know what to say. If you don't think he played differently in the playoffs this year than he had in the past, then you weren't watching the games.
You can say that there is more to judging a player's ability than the playoffs. You can say that he played worse this year in some playoff games than he has in past playoff games of his, and better than he has in others. All of which are completely true.You know... have perspective.
It's called cognitive dissonance. Fred has been the biggest Manning hater out there. I mean, who calls Peyton Manning a "cancer"? Fred. Compares him to TO, saying he's actually worse. So, he's hung his hat on this shtick. He can't really go back on it.But, what he can do is say that Peyton is no longer Peyton. "I was talking about that other guy, Peyton," says Fred now. "This guy is completely different."

And, the rest of us all know that it's the same Peyton, who, LIKE EVERY GREAT QUARTERBACK, doesn't always win the big one, doesn't always perform in the clutch, etc. But, like every other great QB, he needs a little (or a lot of) luck and the rest of his teammates around him to win a Super Bowl. This year is like any/every other year, and Peyton is the same QB. He had no significant variation in his playoff performance this year compared to years past. Arguably, he was worse. But, he played against an ineffective Brady this year, he had Grossman yesterday opposite him...he had a lot of good fortune. Doesn't change what he is and was: a great QB.
That's certainly one interpretation. Like I said to Greg, there's two valid perspectives on this. I take one, you take another. I'm pretty well convinced of mine. I understand that you are, too. But I have to disagree with the bolded statement above. His play in the Pats game was exceptional. I just don't understand how you could say it wasn't.
And, what you're not understanding is that there are more than just two perspectives on this. I added a third to the two elementary ones you proposed, and there are likely many others. Given your reductionist approach to this, I can understand how your dissonance is so entrenched. I'm trying to help you expand beyond the limited scope that you choose to view this.His play against the Chiefs, Denver II and II, and Pittsburgh were also exceptional in the past, so I don't know what revisionist history you're subscribing to.
OK, there are more than two perspectives on this. Greg has one, I have another. That's two. You've jumped in with a third, and maybe more. That's cool. The number of possible perspectives isn't the point. The point is that there is more than one valid perspective at this time. I thought Manning had a tendency to make game changing mistakes under pressure. I used the fact that he had made those mistakes in playoff games at a rate that was standards of deviations worse than in the regular season to support my claim. You disagreed. I understand that. We've had that argument.

I think Manning made a significant leap with his performance in the AFCCG this year. If you had told me a month ago that Manning would be in a playoff game, down 7 early, and that his first drive ended with an interception, I would have said his odds of winning that game were pretty slim. If you told me that he'd come back to score a TD, but then there was a fumble on the handoff, then, while the opponent scored a touchdown, he had two more three and outs, I'd have said that his odds of bouncing back from that to lead the team to two more TDs and four more field goal attempts were pretty slim. But after the AFCCG, my perspective changed.

The question is what it should change to. One case is to say that his past history in the playoffs was an aberration - his highs were extraordinarily high and his lows were extraordinarily low, but it was all ordinary variance. I'm not ready to accept that.

I think a more reasonable answer is that he changed his style of play - go back to the play by plays and you'll see a big dropoff in the number of deep passes he attempted - and that he stopped trying to avoid mistakes and started playing his game.

I am more than willing to concede that there are other valid viewpoints, but I haven't seen a good reason to adopt one.

 

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