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Player Spotlight: Donald Driver (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2007 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Donald Driver, WR, Green Bay Packers

Player Page Link: Donald Driver Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 
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he's favres guy. he's money as long as #4 is throwing the ball

stays on par with the past 3 years

85 rec

1250 yds

7 tds

 
Agree with the others. Hes usually a great value as he always drops and he will put up WR1 numbers. Nothing will change.

85 rec, 1300 yds, 8 tds

 
For 3 seasons in a row, he's finished in the 1200 yard range, between 5 to 9 td's and about 85 receptions. Look for something similar.

1180 yards receiving, 6 td's and 81 receptions

 
He's the new Tim Brown or Joe Horn...fantasy drafters [myself included] will keep penciling him in for the same kind of season until he fails to deliver. Logically I see no reason why he would fail to deliver so, I'm seeing fantasy value yet again in 2007.

 
See last years three stats and take the average IMO.

1240 yards, 87 receptions, and 7 TD's.

I've had him two consecutive years as my #2 WR (drafted in fourth-fifth round) and every year represents great value.

 
Thru first 5 games of 2006:

Jennings: 43 targets - 20/364/3

Driver: 48 targets - 26/343/1

Then Jennings got hurt.

Discuss.

 
Thru first 5 games of 2006:Jennings: 43 targets - 20/364/3Driver: 48 targets - 26/343/1Then Jennings got hurt.Discuss.
Sigmund Bloom=Devil's AdvocateIf it were one season where Driver put up these numbers, the above comparison would scare me a bit. Driver's been consistent over time. He'll get his yardage regardless of who's opposite him at WR.The harder question here Mr. Bloom isn't where you project Driver.........it's where do you project Jennings at seasons end in 2007 with that start you have posted above.
 
Thru first 5 games of 2006:Jennings: 43 targets - 20/364/3Driver: 48 targets - 26/343/1Then Jennings got hurt.Discuss.
Sigmund Bloom=Devil's AdvocateIf it were one season where Driver put up these numbers, the above comparison would scare me a bit. Driver's been consistent over time. He'll get his yardage regardless of who's opposite him at WR.The harder question here Mr. Bloom isn't where you project Driver.........it's where do you project Jennings at seasons end in 2007 with that start you have posted above.
Well Jennings did this with only 4 months of pro experience and one camp under his belt. It's clear that he and Favre were "on the same page". I don't any reason that Jennings would take a step back between then and now. The main question is whether we have to worry that Jennings is injury prone (he broke his ankle in 02, otherwise was durable). I believe if Jennings is healthy for 16 games, we wont see more than a 10% gap between his stats and Drivers - especially in non-PPR leagues.I see something like Walker/Driver in 2004 developing here.
 
With the very real possibility as of yesterday that Key Johnson would be a Packer this year, I think Driver / Jennings discussions of future output should be tabled or put on hold until he signs or not.

 
I see something like Walker/Driver in 2004 developing here.
In 2004, Driver put up 1200 yards and 9 TDs, which is above what everyone is projecting him for here. I don't think you have to be worried; he's the closest thing to a lock for top 15 you'll get outside of the third round. (As always, assuming Favre plays 16 games).85 receptions, 1200 yards, 8 TD. Good for approximately WR#8 by FBG scoring.

 
Driver is a lock to be a Top 10 WR.

Value is the key with Driver, he went pretty early in my leagues last year.

 
It looks like Driver is going to be another great value pick AGAIN this year. Currently ranked as WR14, he will be a top 5-10 receiver again this year.

 
Thru first 5 games of 2006:

Jennings: 43 targets - 20/364/3

Driver: 48 targets - 26/343/1

Then Jennings got hurt.

Discuss.
Good data point to bring up Bloom. Let me give you my thoughts on why I discount it a bit...Driver has produced in nearly every situation:

In 2002 he had a young Javon Walker and a proven Terry Glenn alongside him...and the GB defense and run game were decent
In 2004 he had Javon Walker as a full fledged WR1 opposite him...and the GB defense was porous
In 2005 Favre struggled, they had no running game and no WR2, yet he still got his numbers
In 2006 the defense and Favre rebounded, but the running game was mediocre and he had no viable WR2 that played consistently wellFour different situations, and solid production regardless. :pickle:

 
Is anyone else worried about the impact a lack of running game will have here? Dodds has GB pegged for a dismal 3 rushing touchdowns and Favre for 19 through the air. It's hard to get into the redzone without a solid running game.

It'll be interesting to see how a healthy Jennings impacts the offense. In addition to a great start, Jennings also led the NFL in receiving during the preseason, fwiw.

 
I think the Packers will be better overall this year and use their improved running game and defense to lean on their opposition. Driver's number take a hit becuase of that and a healthy Jennings.

65 receptions

900 yards

4 TDs

 
Driver is the kind of receiver you hate facing because the guy always goes off for 150+ yards and a TD a few times per year. And of course it will be against your team every single time. If you are lucky enough to own him, then you come to appreciate that you can plug Driver into your lineup every single week and feel like you will get consistent production with the occasional flash of domination. Driver is a borderline WR1 and the ultimate WR2.

2007 Stat Projection:

86 Rec

1275 Yds

8 TD

 
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Thru first 5 games of 2006:

Jennings: 43 targets - 20/364/3

Driver: 48 targets - 26/343/1

Then Jennings got hurt.

Discuss.
Good data point to bring up Bloom. Let me give you my thoughts on why I discount it a bit...Driver has produced in nearly every situation:

In 2002 he had a young Javon Walker and a proven Terry Glenn alongside him...and the GB defense and run game were decent
In 2004 he had Javon Walker as a full fledged WR1 opposite him...and the GB defense was porous
In 2005 Favre struggled, they had no running game and no WR2, yet he still got his numbers
In 2006 the defense and Favre rebounded, but the running game was mediocre and he had no viable WR2 that played consistently wellFour different situations, and solid production regardless. :goodposting:
Nice counter punch :lmao: However this is not the same Favre of even a few years ago. I think Jennings will cut into his #s too. Still a good WR but a bit overpriced

 
James Jones is gonna eat up those numbers. :rolleyes: While Driver is still money, I traded him for Santana Moss and a 2nd round pick in 2008 in one of my dynasty leagues.

 

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