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Player Spotlight: T.J. Houshmandzadeh (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2007 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: T.J. Houshmandzadeh, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

Player Page Link: Plaxico Burress Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 
Houshmandzadeh finished 31st in 2004 (104 targets), and 14th in 2005 (115 targets in 14 games). He didn't reach 1000 yards in either year, and managed a total of 11 TDs. That's not bad for a player that is not the leading receiver on his own team, but 2006 looked a lot different. Despite missing the first two games, Houshmandzadeh went over 1000 yards for the first time. In fact, he was targeted 133 times in his 14 games, and posted 1081 yards and 9 TDs. That's a significant increase, and one which has been largely ignored so far by most FF players.

Let's take a detailed look at the 2006 production of Chad Johnson and Houshmandzadeh over the 14 games in which they both played:

Week 03: Johnson 2 targets, 1 reception, 11 yards, 0 TDs - 1.1 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 10 targets, 9 receptions, 94 yards, 2 TDs - 21.4 fantasy points

Week 04: Johnson 14 targets, 6 receptions, 64 yards, 0 TDs - 6.4 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 7 targets, 4 receptions, 95 yards, 0 TDs - 9.5 fantasy points

Week 05: Bye

Week 06: Johnson 12 targets, 6 receptions, 99 yards, 0 TDs - 9.9 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 14 targets, 10 receptions, 102 yards, 1 TD - 16.2 fantasy points

Week 07: Johnson 12 targets, 6 receptions, 73 yards, 0 TDs - 7.3 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 13 targets, 7 receptions, 61 yards, 1 TD - 12.1 fantasy points

Week 08: Johnson 13 targets, 6 receptions, 78 yards, 1 TD - 13.8 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 7 targets, 6 receptions, 70 yards, 0 TDs - 7.6 fantasy points

Week 09: Johnson 7 targets, 4 receptions, 31 yards, 0 TDs - 3.1 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 8 targets, 3 receptions, 66 yards, 1 TD - 12.6 fantasy points

Week 10: Johnson 12 targets, 11 receptions, 260 yards, 2 TDs - 38.0 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 10 targets, 7 receptions, 88 yards, 0 TDs - 8.8 fantasy points

Week 11: Johnson 10 targets, 6 receptions, 190 yards, 3 TDs - 37.3 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 5 targets, 2 receptions, 15 yards, 0 TDs - 1.5 fantasy points

Week 12: Johnson 11 targets, 7 receptions, 123 yards, 0 TDs - 12.9 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 8 targets, 7 receptions, 79 yards, 1 TD - 13.9 fantasy points

Week 13: Johnson 10 targets, 8 receptions, 91 yards, 0 TDs - 9.1 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 11 targets, 10 receptions, 106 yards, 1 TD - 16.6 fantasy points

Week 14: Johnson 9 targets, 5 receptions, 101 yards, 0 TDs - 10.1 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 10 targets, 8 receptions, 118 yards, 1 TD - 17.8 fantasy points

Week 15: Johnson 8 targets, 3 receptions, 37 yards, 0 TDs - 3.8 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 6 targets, 4 receptions, 49 yards, 0 TDs - 4.9 fantasy points

Week 16: Johnson 9 targets, 3 receptions, 32 yards, 0 TDs - 3.2 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 12 targets, 9 receptions, 94 yards, 1 TD - 15.4 fantasy points

Week 17: Johnson 6 targets, 4 receptions, 53 yards, 0 TDs - 5.3 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 12 targets, 4 receptions, 44 yards, 0 TDs - 4.4 fantasy points

Totals for weeks 3 through 17:

Johnson 135 targets, 76 receptions, 1243 yards, 6 TDs - 161.3 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 133 targets, 90 receptions, 1081 yards, 9 TDs - 162.7 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh outscored Johnson 10 times in 14 starts. Johnson had two immense games and you probably won that week if you started him. But he wasn't exactly consistent. FF is all about churning out a good score in as many weeks as possible, not winning two games by 50 points and losing most of the others. Johnson reached double-digit fantasy points six times in 16 starts, while Houshmandzadeh managed the same feat eight times in 14 starts.

Here's another interesting statistic. Houshmandzadeh was targeted 22 times in the red zone last year, compared to Johnson's 11 targets. Houshmandzadeh hardly ever drops the ball, and he doesn't leave the field due to cramp.

REMEMBER WHAT I SAID - STATS DO NOT LIE. PEOPLE RANK CHAD AHEAD OF TJ HOOSH, HE MAY BE THE SEXIER PICK BUT IS NOT THE BETTER FANTASY PICK!

95 catches, 1200 yards and 10 TD's

 
Houshmandzadeh finished 31st in 2004 (104 targets), and 14th in 2005 (115 targets in 14 games). He didn't reach 1000 yards in either year, and managed a total of 11 TDs. That's not bad for a player that is not the leading receiver on his own team, but 2006 looked a lot different. Despite missing the first two games, Houshmandzadeh went over 1000 yards for the first time. In fact, he was targeted 133 times in his 14 games, and posted 1081 yards and 9 TDs. That's a significant increase, and one which has been largely ignored so far by most FF players.

Let's take a detailed look at the 2006 production of Chad Johnson and Houshmandzadeh over the 14 games in which they both played:

Week 03: Johnson 2 targets, 1 reception, 11 yards, 0 TDs - 1.1 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 10 targets, 9 receptions, 94 yards, 2 TDs - 21.4 fantasy points

Week 04: Johnson 14 targets, 6 receptions, 64 yards, 0 TDs - 6.4 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 7 targets, 4 receptions, 95 yards, 0 TDs - 9.5 fantasy points

Week 05: Bye

Week 06: Johnson 12 targets, 6 receptions, 99 yards, 0 TDs - 9.9 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 14 targets, 10 receptions, 102 yards, 1 TD - 16.2 fantasy points

Week 07: Johnson 12 targets, 6 receptions, 73 yards, 0 TDs - 7.3 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 13 targets, 7 receptions, 61 yards, 1 TD - 12.1 fantasy points

Week 08: Johnson 13 targets, 6 receptions, 78 yards, 1 TD - 13.8 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 7 targets, 6 receptions, 70 yards, 0 TDs - 7.6 fantasy points

Week 09: Johnson 7 targets, 4 receptions, 31 yards, 0 TDs - 3.1 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 8 targets, 3 receptions, 66 yards, 1 TD - 12.6 fantasy points

Week 10: Johnson 12 targets, 11 receptions, 260 yards, 2 TDs - 38.0 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 10 targets, 7 receptions, 88 yards, 0 TDs - 8.8 fantasy points

Week 11: Johnson 10 targets, 6 receptions, 190 yards, 3 TDs - 37.3 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 5 targets, 2 receptions, 15 yards, 0 TDs - 1.5 fantasy points

Week 12: Johnson 11 targets, 7 receptions, 123 yards, 0 TDs - 12.9 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 8 targets, 7 receptions, 79 yards, 1 TD - 13.9 fantasy points

Week 13: Johnson 10 targets, 8 receptions, 91 yards, 0 TDs - 9.1 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 11 targets, 10 receptions, 106 yards, 1 TD - 16.6 fantasy points

Week 14: Johnson 9 targets, 5 receptions, 101 yards, 0 TDs - 10.1 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 10 targets, 8 receptions, 118 yards, 1 TD - 17.8 fantasy points

Week 15: Johnson 8 targets, 3 receptions, 37 yards, 0 TDs - 3.8 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 6 targets, 4 receptions, 49 yards, 0 TDs - 4.9 fantasy points

Week 16: Johnson 9 targets, 3 receptions, 32 yards, 0 TDs - 3.2 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 12 targets, 9 receptions, 94 yards, 1 TD - 15.4 fantasy points

Week 17: Johnson 6 targets, 4 receptions, 53 yards, 0 TDs - 5.3 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 12 targets, 4 receptions, 44 yards, 0 TDs - 4.4 fantasy points

Totals for weeks 3 through 17:

Johnson 135 targets, 76 receptions, 1243 yards, 6 TDs - 161.3 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh 133 targets, 90 receptions, 1081 yards, 9 TDs - 162.7 fantasy points

Houshmandzadeh outscored Johnson 10 times in 14 starts. Johnson had two immense games and you probably won that week if you started him. But he wasn't exactly consistent. FF is all about churning out a good score in as many weeks as possible, not winning two games by 50 points and losing most of the others. Johnson reached double-digit fantasy points six times in 16 starts, while Houshmandzadeh managed the same feat eight times in 14 starts.

Here's another interesting statistic. Houshmandzadeh was targeted 22 times in the red zone last year, compared to Johnson's 11 targets. Houshmandzadeh hardly ever drops the ball, and he doesn't leave the field due to cramp.

REMEMBER WHAT I SAID - STATS DO NOT LIE. PEOPLE RANK CHAD AHEAD OF TJ HOOSH, HE MAY BE THE SEXIER PICK BUT IS NOT THE BETTER FANTASY PICK!

95 catches, 1200 yards and 10 TD's
Nice post :rolleyes: http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...howtopic=317016

 
I have to admit 2 years ago I thought TJs year was a fluke so I wasnt high on him. But last year he proved me wrong. Hes Palmer's possession WR. And with Henry out it will just help his numbers with people usually double teaming CJ. Plus he is a redzone threat as well. Last year he wouldve been a WR1 if he didnt miss a few games. I think he will be low WR1, GREAT WR2 this year.

90 rec, 1200 yds, 8 tds

 
In just 14 games he finished as the 11th ranked WR according to FBG player stats. Carson Palmer also started the year off slow due to coming back from his injury.

I don't see how Houshmandzadeh doesn't finish in the top 10 as WR this year.

1210 yards receiving

88 receptions and 10 td's

 
I definitely see this as the year that there is 1a\1b in cincy with Chad getting more receptions but with yards and TD's pretty much equal

85 for 1200 and 12 TD's

 
88 - 1100 - 10

Pretty much what everyone has said, I just think so far most people have raised ypc to much. Last two years he has been at 12.3 and 12, I am wondering what has changed that will increase his ypc to the high 13-14 range.

 
I usually take WRs late, and landed Housh a year ago in some later rounds. This year he will probably get taken long before I will be looking for a WR since he had a strong 2006.

75 - 990 -9

 
"Plaxico Burress page?" :goodposting:

I think he continues to improve, Carson has a completely healthy season, and their schedule is much easier.

100/1200/10 + 4/30/1 rushing.

 
TJ Housh (can I call him that? I'm a terrible typist) has continued to improve his stats over the past three seasons. Last year, even while Henry scored a few big games, TJ improved. This season Palmer is healthy out of the gate and Henry is suspended. I think that the Cinci offense will not miss a beat, especially in the passing game, so there should be more opportunities for both Chad Johnson and TJ.

The only problem is everybody knows about TJ now. His targets have gone from 69 in 03 to 104 in 04 to 115 in 05 and finally to 133 last year. But the numbers are even better than that as the per game targets have gone up 4.3, 6.5, 8.7, and 9.5. That's huge. And then there's the extremely popular fantasy football commercial that will again get lots of play late this summer. He's the trendy pick. According to FBGs, his ADP is currently WR 14 and 45 overall. Wow, he is still a bargain. Still a solid WR to get there.

The best format for TJ Housh is ppr. His ypc has actually dropped the last three years from 13.4 to 12.3 and then 12.0 last year, as his receptions and yardage went up.

TJ Housh 140 targets 95 catches 1092 (11.5 ypc) and 8 TDs

 

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