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(Very) early ADP values for rounds 1-4: (1 Viewer)

KCC

Footballguy
Courtesy of Antsports (for league type see below):

Info : 12 HP Flex-TE-Req All-Mock-Drafts

First Name Last Name Pos Team ADP

Round 1

1. LaDainian Tomlinson RB SDC 1.01.13

2. Steven Jackson RB STL 1.02.47

3. Larry Johnson RB KCC 1.03.79

4. Shaun Alexander RB SEA 1.05.14

5. Frank Gore RB SFO 1.05.57

6. Brian Westbrook RB PHI 1.08.29

7. Joseph Addai RB IND 1.09.77

8. Willie Parker RB PIT 1.11.92

9. Rudi Johnson RB CIN 1.12.00

10. Laurence Maroney RB NEP 2.01.79

11. Peyton Manning QB IND 2.03.29

12. Reggie Bush RB NOS 2.04.64

1st round value: Maroney (I think he stays healthy) 1st round overvalued: Bush

Round 2

13. Edgerrin James RB ARI 2.05.89

14. Willis McGahee RB BUF 2.06.69

15. Marvin Harrison WR IND 2.08.80

16. Travis Henry RB TEN 2.09.36

17. Steve Smith WR CAR 2.11.75

18. Tom Brady QB NEP 3.01.78

19. Ronnie Brown RB MIA 3.01.83

20. Clinton Portis RB WAS 3.02.55

21. Chad Johnson WR CIN 3.03.58

22. Torry Holt WR STL 3.04.33

23. Reggie Wayne WR IND 3.09.00

24. Terrell Owens WR DAL 3.09.50

2nd round value: Wayne 2nd round overvalued: Portis

Round 3

25. Carson Palmer QB CIN 3.11.73

26. Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 4.01.91

27. Maurice Drew RB JAC 4.09.83

28. Brandon Jacobs RB NYG 4.10.67

29. Roy Williams WR DET 4.11.33

30. Cedric Benson RB CHI 5.02.10

31. Antonio Gates TE SDC 5.02.25

32. Anquan Boldin WR ARI 5.04.09

33. Marques Colston WR NOS 5.04.58

34. Deuce McAllister RB NOS 5.06.70

35. Thomas Jones RB CHI 5.07.09

36. Randy Moss WR OAK 5.07.40

3rd round value: Fitzgerald 3rd round overvalued: Colston

Round 4

37. Chester Taylor RB MIN 5.08.14

38. Plaxico Burress WR NYG 5.11.38

39. Drew Brees QB NOS 5.11.55

40. Carnell Williams RB TBB 5.11.70

41. Andre Johnson WR HOU 5.11.86

42. TJ Houshmandzadeh WR CIN 5.12.40

43. Javon Walker WR DEN 6.04.82

44. Marc Bulger QB STL 6.06.64

45. Ahman Green RB GBP 7.04.00

46. Marion III Barber RB DAL 7.04.20

47. Kevin Jones RB DET 7.05.50

48. Hines Ward WR PIT 7.05.67

4th round value: Houshmandzadeh 4th round overvalued: Green

 
Courtesy of Antsports (for league type see below):

Round 2

13. Edgerrin James RB ARI 2.05.89

14. Willis McGahee RB BUF 2.06.69

15. Marvin Harrison WR IND 2.08.80

16. Travis Henry RB TEN 2.09.36

17. Steve Smith WR CAR 2.11.75

18. Tom Brady QB NEP 3.01.78

19. Ronnie Brown RB MIA 3.01.83

20. Clinton Portis RB WAS 3.02.55

21. Chad Johnson WR CIN 3.03.58

22. Torry Holt WR STL 3.04.33

23. Reggie Wayne WR IND 3.09.00

24. Terrell Owens WR DAL 3.09.50

Round 3

25. Carson Palmer QB CIN 3.11.73

26. Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 4.01.91

27. Maurice Drew RB JAC 4.09.83

28. Brandon Jacobs RB NYG 4.10.67

29. Roy Williams WR DET 4.11.33

30. Cedric Benson RB CHI 5.02.10

31. Antonio Gates TE SDC 5.02.25

32. Anquan Boldin WR ARI 5.04.09

33. Marques Colston WR NOS 5.04.58

34. Deuce McAllister RB NOS 5.06.70

35. Thomas Jones RB CHI 5.07.09

36. Randy Moss WR OAK 5.07.40

Round 4

37. Chester Taylor RB MIN 5.08.14

38. Plaxico Burress WR NYG 5.11.38

39. Drew Brees QB NOS 5.11.55

40. Carnell Williams RB TBB 5.11.70

41. Andre Johnson WR HOU 5.11.86

42. TJ Houshmandzadeh WR CIN 5.12.40

43. Javon Walker WR DEN 6.04.82

44. Marc Bulger QB STL 6.06.64

45. Ahman Green RB GBP 7.04.00

46. Marion III Barber RB DAL 7.04.20

47. Kevin Jones RB DET 7.05.50

48. Hines Ward WR PIT 7.05.67
Five guys in the first four rounds with wrong team names?

 
Rd 1: Over-valued: None. Since it's PPR I think this looks good on Bush and Westbrook. Non-PPR I'd drop them both a bit. Under-valued: Rudi, but not by much.

Rd 2: Over: Edge. Under: TO.

Rd 3: Over: Jacobs. Under: Moss.

Rd 4: Over: Cadillac. Under: Housh.

 
Courtesy of Antsports (for league type see below):

Round 2

13. Edgerrin James RB ARI 2.05.89

14. Willis McGahee RB BUF 2.06.69

15. Marvin Harrison WR IND 2.08.80

16. Travis Henry RB TEN 2.09.36

17. Steve Smith WR CAR 2.11.75

18. Tom Brady QB NEP 3.01.78

19. Ronnie Brown RB MIA 3.01.83

20. Clinton Portis RB WAS 3.02.55

21. Chad Johnson WR CIN 3.03.58

22. Torry Holt WR STL 3.04.33

23. Reggie Wayne WR IND 3.09.00

24. Terrell Owens WR DAL 3.09.50

Round 3

25. Carson Palmer QB CIN 3.11.73

26. Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 4.01.91

27. Maurice Drew RB JAC 4.09.83

28. Brandon Jacobs RB NYG 4.10.67

29. Roy Williams WR DET 4.11.33

30. Cedric Benson RB CHI 5.02.10

31. Antonio Gates TE SDC 5.02.25

32. Anquan Boldin WR ARI 5.04.09

33. Marques Colston WR NOS 5.04.58

34. Deuce McAllister RB NOS 5.06.70

35. Thomas Jones RB CHI 5.07.09

36. Randy Moss WR OAK 5.07.40

Round 4

37. Chester Taylor RB MIN 5.08.14

38. Plaxico Burress WR NYG 5.11.38

39. Drew Brees QB NOS 5.11.55

40. Carnell Williams RB TBB 5.11.70

41. Andre Johnson WR HOU 5.11.86

42. TJ Houshmandzadeh WR CIN 5.12.40

43. Javon Walker WR DEN 6.04.82

44. Marc Bulger QB STL 6.06.64

45. Ahman Green RB GBP 7.04.00

46. Marion III Barber RB DAL 7.04.20

47. Kevin Jones RB DET 7.05.50

48. Hines Ward WR PIT 7.05.67
Five guys in the first four rounds with wrong team names?
Clearly Antsports didn't update players team affiliations that were changed because of FA moves & trades. The ADP values listed are from drafts starting as early as April 30 and up until today, so it's not a big issue for the players listed.
 
Courtesy of Antsports (for league type see below):

Round 2

13. Edgerrin James RB ARI 2.05.89

14. Willis McGahee RB BUF 2.06.69

15. Marvin Harrison WR IND 2.08.80

16. Travis Henry RB TEN 2.09.36

17. Steve Smith WR CAR 2.11.75

18. Tom Brady QB NEP 3.01.78

19. Ronnie Brown RB MIA 3.01.83

20. Clinton Portis RB WAS 3.02.55

21. Chad Johnson WR CIN 3.03.58

22. Torry Holt WR STL 3.04.33

23. Reggie Wayne WR IND 3.09.00

24. Terrell Owens WR DAL 3.09.50

Round 3

25. Carson Palmer QB CIN 3.11.73

26. Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 4.01.91

27. Maurice Drew RB JAC 4.09.83

28. Brandon Jacobs RB NYG 4.10.67

29. Roy Williams WR DET 4.11.33

30. Cedric Benson RB CHI 5.02.10

31. Antonio Gates TE SDC 5.02.25

32. Anquan Boldin WR ARI 5.04.09

33. Marques Colston WR NOS 5.04.58

34. Deuce McAllister RB NOS 5.06.70

35. Thomas Jones RB CHI 5.07.09

36. Randy Moss WR OAK 5.07.40

Round 4

37. Chester Taylor RB MIN 5.08.14

38. Plaxico Burress WR NYG 5.11.38

39. Drew Brees QB NOS 5.11.55

40. Carnell Williams RB TBB 5.11.70

41. Andre Johnson WR HOU 5.11.86

42. TJ Houshmandzadeh WR CIN 5.12.40

43. Javon Walker WR DEN 6.04.82

44. Marc Bulger QB STL 6.06.64

45. Ahman Green RB GBP 7.04.00

46. Marion III Barber RB DAL 7.04.20

47. Kevin Jones RB DET 7.05.50

48. Hines Ward WR PIT 7.05.67
Five guys in the first four rounds with wrong team names?
Clearly Antsports didn't update players team affiliations that were changed because of FA moves & trades. The ADP values listed are from drafts starting as early as April 30 and up until today, so it's not a big issue for the players listed.
That's what makes it so surprising, each one of those deals went down before the 2007 NFL draft with the exception of Moss. Clearly the draft has been factored in here, otherwise C.Taylor would not have an ADP of 5.08 so why wasn't the database updated to reflect free agent signings & trades updated?
 
11. Peyton Manning QB IND 2.03.29 - over

12. Reggie Bush RB NOS 2.04.64 - under

Round 2

18. Tom Brady QB NEP 3.01.78 - over

20. Clinton Portis RB WAS 3.02.55 - under

Round 3

27. Maurice Drew RB JAC 4.09.83 - under

28. Brandon Jacobs RB NYG 4.10.67 - over

Round 4

37. Chester Taylor RB MIN 5.08.14 - over

45. Ahman Green RB GBP 7.04.00 - under

 
overvalued:

AJ, Round 4, #41 overall..am I the only person who thinks AJ is a top 20 fantasy player? I'm beginning to think so. The guy led the NFL in receptions last season,with David friggin' Carr throwing to him!

anyone is an upgrade over Carr! Shaub will make AJ much better.

 
Courtesy of Antsports (for league type see below):

Round 2

13. Edgerrin James RB ARI 2.05.89

14. Willis McGahee RB BUF 2.06.69

15. Marvin Harrison WR IND 2.08.80

16. Travis Henry RB TEN 2.09.36

17. Steve Smith WR CAR 2.11.75

18. Tom Brady QB NEP 3.01.78

19. Ronnie Brown RB MIA 3.01.83

20. Clinton Portis RB WAS 3.02.55

21. Chad Johnson WR CIN 3.03.58

22. Torry Holt WR STL 3.04.33

23. Reggie Wayne WR IND 3.09.00

24. Terrell Owens WR DAL 3.09.50

Round 3

25. Carson Palmer QB CIN 3.11.73

26. Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 4.01.91

27. Maurice Drew RB JAC 4.09.83

28. Brandon Jacobs RB NYG 4.10.67

29. Roy Williams WR DET 4.11.33

30. Cedric Benson RB CHI 5.02.10

31. Antonio Gates TE SDC 5.02.25

32. Anquan Boldin WR ARI 5.04.09

33. Marques Colston WR NOS 5.04.58

34. Deuce McAllister RB NOS 5.06.70

35. Thomas Jones RB CHI 5.07.09

36. Randy Moss WR OAK 5.07.40

Round 4

37. Chester Taylor RB MIN 5.08.14

38. Plaxico Burress WR NYG 5.11.38

39. Drew Brees QB NOS 5.11.55

40. Carnell Williams RB TBB 5.11.70

41. Andre Johnson WR HOU 5.11.86

42. TJ Houshmandzadeh WR CIN 5.12.40

43. Javon Walker WR DEN 6.04.82

44. Marc Bulger QB STL 6.06.64

45. Ahman Green RB GBP 7.04.00

46. Marion III Barber RB DAL 7.04.20

47. Kevin Jones RB DET 7.05.50

48. Hines Ward WR PIT 7.05.67
Five guys in the first four rounds with wrong team names?
Clearly Antsports didn't update players team affiliations that were changed because of FA moves & trades. The ADP values listed are from drafts starting as early as April 30 and up until today, so it's not a big issue for the players listed.
That's what makes it so surprising, each one of those deals went down before the 2007 NFL draft with the exception of Moss. Clearly the draft has been factored in here, otherwise C.Taylor would not have an ADP of 5.08 so why wasn't the database updated to reflect free agent signings & trades updated?
Antsports = :goodposting:
 
overvalued:

AJ, Round 4, #41 overall..am I the only person who thinks AJ is a top 20 fantasy player? I'm beginning to think so. The guy led the NFL in receptions last season,with David friggin' Carr throwing to him!

anyone is an upgrade over Carr! Shaub will make AJ much better.
So...you mean he's undervalued?
 

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