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Player Spotlight: Lee Evans (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2007 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Lee Evans, WR, Buffalo Bills

Player Page Link: Lee Evans Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 
Obviously one of the fastest receivers in the league today, and arguably one of the most talented. While Losman did show improvement, 1200+ yards with him at qb is quite the accomplishment. You have to figure Losman should show at least some improvement yet again this year, which has to mean a bump for Evans, because who else is gonna catch 'em?

Evans should also improve as a receiver. I certainly don't think we've seen the best from this kid just yet. I've heard many times that there's no legit WR2 to take attention away from him, which is going to hurt him this coming season, but, seriously, who did he have last year?

I honestly do not own Evans in any of my leagues, had him in one, but traded him in a package to get Gates. Would love to have him back, just not for Gates.

89 receptions

1412 yards

8 tds

 
The Buffalo offense is not one of the better ones in the league at the moment and he gets no help from anyone lining up opposite him. I think Lee Evans will be a great WR2 on most rosters, a better WR3/flex, and he just might take a small step back in terms of stats. Players don't have to improve every year and coming off 1,200 receiving it might be a little slide for him this season.

72 receptions, 1,100 yds and 7 TD.

 
Losman is getting better every game, and the O-line is improved. Evans also had a couple of deep ball near misses that would have been easy TDs last year. I think he is top 5. 1380 and 10

 
I view having no one on the opposite side as a huge positive for Lee Evans. He has proven that he can face the toughest competition a defense can throw at him and still produce last year. His catch% in the last three seasons is 64%, 53%, and 60% last year, so he has proven that he can catch enough passes to reach the elite level, even with J.P. Losman at the helm. Evans doesn't need another WR to draw coverages away from him- and he CERTAINLY doesn't need another WR stealing balls that would otherwise be headed his way.

When I start looking at WRs, I usually start with last season's targets and the WR's career catch%s. I especially like to compare production to targets to see who is being efficient with the opportunities they are given. In this respect, Lee Evans is like the anti-Chris Chambers. Where Chambers always did relatively little per target and made up for it through the sheer bulk of targets, Evans really does make the most of the opportunities he is given. Last season, Evans was the 7th ranked fantasy WR, despite ranking 15th in number of targets. His 1.29 points per target was great, ranking him above fantasy studs like Steve Smith (1.26), Chad Johnson (1.17), and Torry Holt (1.00), and on par with fantasy uberstuds like Terrell Owens (1.30), Marques Colston (1.32), and Reggie Wayne (1.35). In fact, the only WRs who were clearly more efficient than Lee Evans last year (min 100 targets) were Javon Walker (1.40), Marvin Harrison (1.41), and surprisingly enough, the chronically underrated Darrell Jackson (1.39). And it's also worth noting that Evans accomplished this feat despite playing with probably the worst QB of the bunch.

If you're a fan of more advanced statistical analysis, check out what the guys over at Football Outsiders have to say on the matter. According to them, Lee Evans had the third most value of any WR in the league. Most amazingly of all, Evans was the only WR in the entire top 5 who didn't have Peyton Manning or Carson Palmer throwing to him! I mean, he could have very easily been an All Pro last season (in my mind, he should have been).

In addition, Evans has had remarkable catch%s in his career. His rookie season (which, by the way, was phenominal, perhaps the 5th best rookie season of the past 15 years), he caught 64% of the balls thrown his way. His sophomore season, with a rookie J.P. Losman, that dropped to 53%- a still respectable value, especially for someone with 15+ yards per catch. Last year, as Losman matured, that rebounded to 60%, which is truly elite for someone averaging 15+ yards per reception. Evans averaged nearly 10 yards per target (9.3), which is a truly elite season. Evans is an elite, extremely efficient performer, no matter what metric you use to analyze him.

That kind of efficiency is a very valuable commodity. Combined with his high catch%, it not only means that the WR will continue to produce even with limited opportunities, it also means that if the WR ever gets some more opportunities, he's a threat to absolutely blow up and enter into uberstud territory. That amazing, mind-boggling, elite efficiency means that Evans has a very high floor and a very high ceiling. I have loved Evans ever since his rookie season (one of the most underrated rookie campaigns of all time, IMO), and haven't seen anything to change my mind about him yet.

85/1300/10

 
May be a bit inconsistent but will ultimately put up phenomenal #s. A GREAT WR2 and he has great chemsitry with Losman who locks in on him.

80 rec, 1200 yds, 9 tds, 70 rush, 1 td

 
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Losman is improving.

Price is going to be a legit #2, taking some pressure off Evans.

Lynch will be Losman's short passing outlet, allowing Evans to get deep. However, until Lynch gets going, teams will continue to concentrate on Evans.

80/1150/12

 
:popcorn: Your statistical analysis is very compelling.

SSOG said:
I view having no one on the opposite side as a huge positive for Lee Evans. He has proven that he can face the toughest competition a defense can throw at him and still produce last year. His catch% in the last three seasons is 64%, 53%, and 60% last year, so he has proven that he can catch enough passes to reach the elite level, even with J.P. Losman at the helm. Evans doesn't need another WR to draw coverages away from him- and he CERTAINLY doesn't need another WR stealing balls that would otherwise be headed his way.

When I start looking at WRs, I usually start with last season's targets and the WR's career catch%s. I especially like to compare production to targets to see who is being efficient with the opportunities they are given. In this respect, Lee Evans is like the anti-Chris Chambers. Where Chambers always did relatively little per target and made up for it through the sheer bulk of targets, Evans really does make the most of the opportunities he is given. Last season, Evans was the 7th ranked fantasy WR, despite ranking 15th in number of targets. His 1.29 points per target was great, ranking him above fantasy studs like Steve Smith (1.26), Chad Johnson (1.17), and Torry Holt (1.00), and on par with fantasy uberstuds like Terrell Owens (1.30), Marques Colston (1.32), and Reggie Wayne (1.35). In fact, the only WRs who were clearly more efficient than Lee Evans last year (min 100 targets) were Javon Walker (1.40), Marvin Harrison (1.41), and surprisingly enough, the chronically underrated Darrell Jackson (1.39). And it's also worth noting that Evans accomplished this feat despite playing with probably the worst QB of the bunch.

If you're a fan of more advanced statistical analysis, check out what the guys over at Football Outsiders have to say on the matter. According to them, Lee Evans had the third most value of any WR in the league. Most amazingly of all, Evans was the only WR in the entire top 5 who didn't have Peyton Manning or Carson Palmer throwing to him! I mean, he could have very easily been an All Pro last season (in my mind, he should have been).

In addition, Evans has had remarkable catch%s in his career. His rookie season (which, by the way, was phenominal, perhaps the 5th best rookie season of the past 15 years), he caught 64% of the balls thrown his way. His sophomore season, with a rookie J.P. Losman, that dropped to 53%- a still respectable value, especially for someone with 15+ yards per catch. Last year, as Losman matured, that rebounded to 60%, which is truly elite for someone averaging 15+ yards per reception. Evans averaged nearly 10 yards per target (9.3), which is a truly elite season. Evans is an elite, extremely efficient performer, no matter what metric you use to analyze him.

That kind of efficiency is a very valuable commodity. Combined with his high catch%, it not only means that the WR will continue to produce even with limited opportunities, it also means that if the WR ever gets some more opportunities, he's a threat to absolutely blow up and enter into uberstud territory. That amazing, mind-boggling, elite efficiency means that Evans has a very high floor and a very high ceiling. I have loved Evans ever since his rookie season (one of the most underrated rookie campaigns of all time, IMO), and haven't seen anything to change my mind about him yet.

85/1300/10
Click to expand...
 
Losman is about as good as he is going to get, so with that in mind, and no #2 wr on the other side, and either a rookie rb, or the A-train in the backfield Evans should go 65 1050-7 tds, a decent FF #2 WR.

 
Gopher State said:
Losman is about as good as he is going to get, so with that in mind, and no #2 wr on the other side, and either a rookie rb, or the A-train in the backfield Evans should go 65 1050-7 tds, a decent FF #2 WR.
Click to expand...
How is it possible to think Losman won't get better???Losman has started a grand total of 1 full season in the NFL and has only started 24 games in his career. The guy is only 26 years of age and improved immensely last year in comparison to his 8 starts in 2005. In 2005 49.5 completion% and 5.88 ypa vs 2006 62.5% and 7.11 ypa. Losman will be allowed to throw more this year as he ranked in the bottom of the leauge with pass attemps per game but had the 10th highest completion percentage with QB's playing a minimum of 5 games. Buffalo will trust him more this year with experience under his belt.

I think Lynch will help Losman as a bail out option this season, and Lynch will also help open up the Bills offense with his pass catching ability.

I think Losman has fit the curve just right for a quarter back becoming a consistent stater in this leauge. He lead a team to 7 wins in his first full year as a starter. That is not terrible.

 
I'm not a "projections" guy, but two important points that go along with SSOG's post are that the Bills are expecting improved play from their offensive line, bringing in two free agents.

I am also anticipating a worse defense, with the losses of Clements, Spikes and Fletcher.

Both of these lead to the potential for an increase in targets to your #1 WR.

 
Great statistical analysis from SSOG. I'm a Bills fan, and didn't appreciate just how well Lee stacks up against the elite WRs.

I agree with the "macro" analyses by The Duff Man and Carter_Can_Fly. I see Buffalo's O-line taking a big step forward this year, with Jason Peters and Derrick Dockery anchoring a solid left side of the O-line. FA addition Langston Walker will man either RG or RT and one of Brad Butler, Duke Preston, or Terrence Pennington will fill the other slot. Melvin Fowler will return at center, where he was a notable improvement from previous starter Trey Teague.

The key here is that all the potential starters, with the exception of Butler, are young but still will have had significant starting experience at their position. The same could not be said of last year's line, when ineffective, aging players were removed or shuffled around and rookie Terrence Pennington started at RT and second year man Duke Preston at RG. The uptick in the offensive play during the last half of the season started when Peters went to LT and these youngsters were inserted into the lineup. Another offseason of practice at the position will only help. Add in another offseason of training for incumbent JP and I would predict much improvement from the passing game. I don't expect those numbers to all go to Lee though, as more time should allow JP to better read the defenses and spread the ball more. Also, I expect the RB/H-Back position to be much more of a factor in the passing game.

So, Lee Evans in 2007:

85 receptions, 1300 yds, 11 TDs

 
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D_House said:
Great statistical analysis from SSOG. I'm a Bills fan, and didn't appreciate just how well Lee stacks up against the elite WRs. I agree with the "macro" analyses by The Duff Man and Carter_Can_Fly. I see Buffalo's O-line taking a big step forward this year, with Jason Peters and Derrick Dockery anchoring a solid left side of the O-line. FA addition Langston Walker will man either RG or RT and one of Brad Butler, Duke Preston, or Terrence Pennington will fill the other slot. Melvin Fowler will return at center, where he was a notable improvement from previous starter Trey Teague.The key here is that all the potential starters, with the exception of Butler, are young but still will have had significant starting experience at their position. The same could not be said of last year's line, when ineffective, aging players were removed or shuffled around and rookie Terrence Pennington started at RT and second year man Duke Preston at RG. The uptick in the offensive play during the last half of the season started when Peters went to LT and these youngsters were inserted into the lineup. Another offseason of practice at the position will only help. Add in another offseason of training for incumbent JP and I would predict much improvement from the passing game. I don't expect those numbers to all go to Lee though, as more time should allow JP to better read the defenses and spread the ball more. Also, I expect the RB/H-Back position to be much more of a factor in the passing game.So, Lee Evans in 2007:85 receptions, 1300 yds, 11 TDs
Click to expand...
The biggest factor impacting Evans from the OL additions and Lynch will be the much improved efficiency on converting 3rd downs. The Bills were in the bottom 5 in the NFL last year. Any improvement at all will extend drives and provide more opportunities for Losman to connect with Evans. However, the trade off may be with more confidence and ability to grind out drives, Losman will not be throwing it up on 3rd and long to Evans as many times.
 
Lee Evans is a very difficult projection for me. There are several very nice positive factors for a high projection, yet also several negative factors as well. First, there's Lee Evans himself, a very big positive factor. He has had three consecutive solid years, with each one better than the previous. I also like the connection he has with Losman, who has also gotten better the past two seasons. The greatest positive factor is that Lee Evans remains without question, the first target for Losman.

Negatives include improved defenses within the AFC East, the lack of additional receiving options, and a potentially poorer running game, which allows opposing defense to increase their focus on Evans. I am also not a huge fan of Losman, although he has shown improvement.

I think that Lee Evans will possibly show improvement again this year as an NFL receiver, but it will likely not be indicated by his stats.

Lee Evans 75 receptions for 1175 yards and 7 TDs.

 
rzrback77 said:
Lee Evans is a very difficult projection for me. There are several very nice positive factors for a high projection, yet also several negative factors as well. First, there's Lee Evans himself, a very big positive factor. He has had three consecutive solid years, with each one better than the previous. I also like the connection he has with Losman, who has also gotten better the past two seasons. The greatest positive factor is that Lee Evans remains without question, the first target for Losman.Negatives include improved defenses within the AFC East, the lack of additional receiving options, and a potentially poorer running game, which allows opposing defense to increase their focus on Evans. I am also not a huge fan of Losman, although he has shown improvement.I think that Lee Evans will possibly show improvement again this year as an NFL receiver, but it will likely not be indicated by his stats.
Click to expand...
Pretty much agree w/this. He might improve stat-wise a little, but I doubt it.
 
2004 48 843 9

2005 48 743 7

2006 82 1292 8

Evans is a guy with Holt-like upside. After taking a huge step forward in the 2006 season, he proved he can produce as the #1WR against the focused attention of opposing secondaries. The only thing preventing Evans from truly elite production continues to be the lack of a stable offense and a viable WR2 option in the Bills passing attack, though the improvement of Roscoe Parrish, the growth of Losman, and the addition of Lynch should greatly help in this area. I look for Evans to continue creating big plays, but also to emerge as an elite, possession receiver. Yet, I don't expect 100 catches from him until 2008.

89/1350/11

 
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Rev said:
The only thing preventing Evans from truly elite production
Click to expand...
? 1300/8 is already pretty elite. Last year in our league he was tied w/Steve Smith while guys like Holt and Chad Johnson were barely ahead of him.
 
The guy just keeps getting better and better every year with a less than average (but improving) QB and no real threat on the other side to take attention away from him.

91/1290/10

 
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Bump.

I am seeing a lot of talk on Evans, some even top 7 WR but this thread gives me no indication of reason for the manlove going on?

 
Restricted said:
Bump.

I am seeing a lot of talk on Evans, some even top 7 WR but this thread gives me no indication of reason for the manlove going on?
Click to expand...
SSOG said:
I view having no one on the opposite side as a huge positive for Lee Evans. He has proven that he can face the toughest competition a defense can throw at him and still produce last year. His catch% in the last three seasons is 64%, 53%, and 60% last year, so he has proven that he can catch enough passes to reach the elite level, even with J.P. Losman at the helm. Evans doesn't need another WR to draw coverages away from him- and he CERTAINLY doesn't need another WR stealing balls that would otherwise be headed his way.

When I start looking at WRs, I usually start with last season's targets and the WR's career catch%s. I especially like to compare production to targets to see who is being efficient with the opportunities they are given. In this respect, Lee Evans is like the anti-Chris Chambers. Where Chambers always did relatively little per target and made up for it through the sheer bulk of targets, Evans really does make the most of the opportunities he is given. Last season, Evans was the 7th ranked fantasy WR, despite ranking 15th in number of targets. His 1.29 points per target was great, ranking him above fantasy studs like Steve Smith (1.26), Chad Johnson (1.17), and Torry Holt (1.00), and on par with fantasy uberstuds like Terrell Owens (1.30), Marques Colston (1.32), and Reggie Wayne (1.35). In fact, the only WRs who were clearly more efficient than Lee Evans last year (min 100 targets) were Javon Walker (1.40), Marvin Harrison (1.41), and surprisingly enough, the chronically underrated Darrell Jackson (1.39). And it's also worth noting that Evans accomplished this feat despite playing with probably the worst QB of the bunch.

If you're a fan of more advanced statistical analysis, check out what the guys over at Football Outsiders have to say on the matter. According to them, Lee Evans had the third most value of any WR in the league. Most amazingly of all, Evans was the only WR in the entire top 5 who didn't have Peyton Manning or Carson Palmer throwing to him! I mean, he could have very easily been an All Pro last season (in my mind, he should have been).

In addition, Evans has had remarkable catch%s in his career. His rookie season (which, by the way, was phenominal, perhaps the 5th best rookie season of the past 15 years), he caught 64% of the balls thrown his way. His sophomore season, with a rookie J.P. Losman, that dropped to 53%- a still respectable value, especially for someone with 15+ yards per catch. Last year, as Losman matured, that rebounded to 60%, which is truly elite for someone averaging 15+ yards per reception. Evans averaged nearly 10 yards per target (9.3), which is a truly elite season. Evans is an elite, extremely efficient performer, no matter what metric you use to analyze him.

That kind of efficiency is a very valuable commodity. Combined with his high catch%, it not only means that the WR will continue to produce even with limited opportunities, it also means that if the WR ever gets some more opportunities, he's a threat to absolutely blow up and enter into uberstud territory. That amazing, mind-boggling, elite efficiency means that Evans has a very high floor and a very high ceiling. I have loved Evans ever since his rookie season (one of the most underrated rookie campaigns of all time, IMO), and haven't seen anything to change my mind about him yet.

85/1300/10
Click to expand...
Carter_Can_Fly said:
Losman has started a grand total of 1 full season in the NFL and has only started 24 games in his career. The guy is only 26 years of age and improved immensely last year in comparison to his 8 starts in 2005. In 2005 49.5 completion% and 5.88 ypa vs 2006 62.5% and 7.11 ypa. Losman will be allowed to throw more this year as he ranked in the bottom of the leauge with pass attemps per game but had the 10th highest completion percentage with QB's playing a minimum of 5 games. Buffalo will trust him more this year with experience under his belt.

I think Lynch will help Losman as a bail out option this season, and Lynch will also help open up the Bills offense with his pass catching ability.

I think Losman has fit the curve just right for a quarter back becoming a consistent stater in this leauge. He lead a team to 7 wins in his first full year as a starter. That is not terrible.
Click to expand...
D_House said:
Great statistical analysis from SSOG. I'm a Bills fan, and didn't appreciate just how well Lee stacks up against the elite WRs.

I agree with the "macro" analyses by The Duff Man and Carter_Can_Fly. I see Buffalo's O-line taking a big step forward this year, with Jason Peters and Derrick Dockery anchoring a solid left side of the O-line. FA addition Langston Walker will man either RG or RT and one of Brad Butler, Duke Preston, or Terrence Pennington will fill the other slot. Melvin Fowler will return at center, where he was a notable improvement from previous starter Trey Teague.

The key here is that all the potential starters, with the exception of Butler, are young but still will have had significant starting experience at their position. The same could not be said of last year's line, when ineffective, aging players were removed or shuffled around and rookie Terrence Pennington started at RT and second year man Duke Preston at RG. The uptick in the offensive play during the last half of the season started when Peters went to LT and these youngsters were inserted into the lineup. Another offseason of practice at the position will only help. Add in another offseason of training for incumbent JP and I would predict much improvement from the passing game. I don't expect those numbers to all go to Lee though, as more time should allow JP to better read the defenses and spread the ball more. Also, I expect the RB/H-Back position to be much more of a factor in the passing game.

So, Lee Evans in 2007:

85 receptions, 1300 yds, 11 TDs
Click to expand...
Rev said:
2004 48 843 9

2005 48 743 7

2006 82 1292 8

After taking a huge step forward in the 2006 season, Evans proved he can produce as the #1WR against the focused attention of opposing secondaries. The only thing preventing Evans from truly elite production continues to be the lack of a viable WR2 option in the Bills passing attack, though the addition of Lynch should help in this area. Look for Evans to continue coming up with big plays, and to continue developing as a consistent possession receiver, but don't expect 100 catches.

89/1350/10
Click to expand...
:welcome:
 
AnonymousBob said:
nygiants56 said:
very streaky
Click to expand...
Lee Evans had ten weeks with 8+ points. Torry Holt had seven weeks with 8+ points. Terrell Owens had 12 weeks with 8+ points.Chad Johnson had 6 weeks with 8+ points.Marvin Harrison had 12 weeks with 8+ points.
Click to expand...
:tfp: Lee Evans had 9 weeks without a TD.Torry Holt had 9 weeks without a TD. Terrell Owens had 6 weeks without a TD.Chad Johnson had 12 weeks without a TD.Marvin Harrison had 9 weeks without a TD.Lee Evans had 4 weeks with 50 or less yards.Torry Holt had 5 weeks with 50 or less yards. Terrell Owens had 4 weeks with 50 or less yards.Chad Johnson had 5 weeks with 50 or less yards.Marvin Harrison had 4 weeks with 50 or less yards.
 
Got a bit of the willies with Evans this year. Mostly due to the tough schedule.

I've tried to find a compelling reason to choose him over, say a Colston or an AJ (who's the same age). It's a tough call this season.

 
pyite76 said:
The guy just keeps getting better and better every year with a less than average (but improving) QB and no real threat on the other side to take attention away from him. 91/1290/10
Click to expand...
:thumbup: A good WR2 is a good thing, not a bad thing. It doesn't "take attention" away as much as it helps the O overall, which helps all the O's stats.I like Evans' possibilities this year.
 
He does face some very hard corners this year. As a Buffalo homer if Roscoe can stay healthy he can take some attention away from Lee by going deep.

I am high on Lee as a Bills fan without being bias

I hope for him to reach

85-1210-11

 
Evans has big play capability and is the unquestioned go-to guy for Losman, who is improving as a quarterback. The fact that Buffalo is behind quite a bit helps. He had a majority of his catches and TDs in the third and fourth quarters last season, and looked as though he was beginning to get comfortable, averaging nearly 19 yards per catch in the second half of the season.

He has great hands, is elusive after the catch and isn't afraid to go get the ball in traffic, either. He has all the skills of a big-play threat but can also run the sideline routes like a possession receiver. Look for Losman to feed him a steady diet of passes, and for Evans to finish in the top 8 among WRs in fantasy football this season.

88 catches

1290 yards

10 TDs

 
BigRed said:
pyite76 said:
The guy just keeps getting better and better every year with a less than average (but improving) QB and no real threat on the other side to take attention away from him. 91/1290/10
Click to expand...
:confused: A good WR2 is a good thing, not a bad thing. It doesn't "take attention" away as much as it helps the O overall, which helps all the O's stats.I like Evans' possibilities this year.
Click to expand...
A good WR2 helps the offense as a whole, but definitely hurts the WR1. For instance, compare Muhsin Muhammad + Steve Smith. See how they did when both were in town, then compare it to how they each did when there was only one. Look at Marvin Harrison's career- see how he did when he was the undisputed #1, and compare it to when he and Wayne were 1a/1b. See Terrell Owens' per-game averages when he was playing with Rice or Glenn as his #2, and compare it to Owens' per game averages with Tai Streets, J.J. Stokes, or Todd Pinkston. And don't let Donald Driver's 2003 season fool you- he's been averaging more points per game since Walker and Glenn left town than he did in the three years before. Go ahead and calculate the per-game numbers if you don't believe me. A good WR2 might mean more points per target for the WR1 (thanks to the lighter coverage), but the loss of targets usually isn't enough to make up for it. Good WR2 = great for the offense, bad for the WR1.
 
Where do you guys see Lee Evans going in drafts? I am praying he falls to me at 4.07 but I think his ADP is a bit earlier. I may have to trade up to get him.

 
I personally am a bg fan of WR's who are EXCELLENT on a team that has no other WRs to speak of. The 'he'll get double covered' issue falls deaf to my ears... as it didn't matter last year, it didn't matter when mushin muhammad was on a terrible carolina team and the only weapon on a team with a rookie quarterback! .... and it hasn't mattered much since then...

After my inital projections (done about 3 weeks ago) i had Evans ranked as the #1 WR. I've since moved Torry Holt and Roy Williams ahead of him (my league is 2 pts. per reception league and that above everything else determines how good a WR will do)

but i think 90-1300-13 is about right for him...

i plan on taking him at 3:03

i got him last year at 5:11.... some people at the draft said i was reaching for a guy who was going to be 'double covered' all year... hmm

 
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tamales said:
Where do you guys see Lee Evans going in drafts? I am praying he falls to me at 4.07 but I think his ADP is a bit earlier. I may have to trade up to get him.
Click to expand...
I took him at 3.11 in a 14 team league, pick #39. 11th WR taken. After Steve Smith, Chad Johnson, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, Terrell Owens, Torry Holt, Larry Fitzgerald, Roy Williams, Andre Johnson, Anquan BoldinIt's quite possible he could fall to 4.07 in your league.
 
Gopher State said:
Losman is about as good as he is going to get
Click to expand...
:unsure: Lots of upside for both Losman and Evans especially if they continue to be team mates for years to come, Developing a rapport over time will only improve their numbers. 1300 and 10 for Evans this season. 3200 and 24 for Losman. :cool:
 
Losman and Evans will both improve this year. They are two young up-and-coming players.

Evans:

92/1340/10

Very good season for Evans.

 
A win again ov said:
He does face some very hard corners this year. As a Buffalo homer if Roscoe can stay healthy he can take some attention away from Lee by going deep.I am high on Lee as a Bills fan without being bias I hope for him to reach85-1210-11
Click to expand...
Maybe this is just positive thinking, but I have Evans in every league I'm in and this doesn't bother me in the least. Evans BEATS tough corners. And when defenses have access to elite corners they will often NOT double up on a receiver they hope their corner can contain. I'd rather Evans have single coverage by a good/great corner than double coverage.
 
BigRed said:
pyite76 said:
The guy just keeps getting better and better every year with a less than average (but improving) QB and no real threat on the other side to take attention away from him. 91/1290/10
Click to expand...
:thumbup: A good WR2 is a good thing, not a bad thing. It doesn't "take attention" away as much as it helps the O overall, which helps all the O's stats.I like Evans' possibilities this year.
Click to expand...
Exactly. Maybe you misread this. He hasn't had anyone on the other side to help take attention away from him and he has STILL put up great numbers. This is one sign for me that says he will continue to improve. I wasn't at all thinking of someone stealing targets/looks. If he has done it in the past, when someone like Parrish steps in and starts demanding attention from the defense it will only improve Evans' numbers.
 
I was originally very high on Evans and was going to take him at the turn in the 3/4th round to couple with another wr like Walker or Driver. I am now a little worried he is overvalued. The guy is very good but is streaky. I admit Buffalo is a team on the rise but they have a tremendously hard schedule. Evans will have to face Champ Bailey, Mathis, McAllister, Newman, Samuel (twice), Ike Taylor, O'Neill.

 
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