What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Player Spotlight: Roy Williams (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2007 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Roy Williams, WR, Detroit Lions

Player Page Link: Roy Williams Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 
big year ahead for roy. 2nd season under martz and a (slightly) better o-line to give kitna more time. CJ will help prevent so many double teams as well.

93 rec

1421 yds

11 tds

 
66 receptions 990 yards 10 tds

He will lose some receptions to CJ. Over his career, he has been pretty steady around 15-16 yards per catch. That puts him right around 1000 and I figure the Lions to score even more this year, so he will get double digit TDs.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Ilov80s said:
He will lose some receptions to CJ. Over his career, he has been pretty steady around 15-16 yards per catch. That puts him right around 1000 and I figure the Lions to score even more this year, so he will get double digit TDs.
Click to expand...
You see Roy losing catches to Johnson? Mike Furrey had 98 catches in Detroit last year. Isn't it more likely that Furrey is the one losing catches to make room for Calvin?I think that Calvin's presence actually helps Roy, as he won't be the sole focus of the secondary. The only question with Roy is his ability to stay 100% healthy.90 catches for 1400 yards and 10 TDs
 
I believe that there will be fewer double teams on Williams this year. The safeties will have to respect Mike Furrey after he led the NFC in receptions a year ago and hype alone will make them respect Calvin Johnson. But Johnson is not all hype. He is going to make big plays which is likely to mean more teams will approach Detroit in a cover-2 scheme to give them top protection for both sides of the field. This will open the middle to the backs and tight ends and to Furrey. Still, Williams and CJ on the outside are going to be hard to stop. If Kitna can read the coverage, I don't see Williams losing any receptions and he may even gain a few. I would suggest a low end estimate of 75 catches for 1100 yards and seven TDs. I would not project over 90 receptions for 1300 yards and 12 TDs. But my mid-range expectation is 85 receptions for 1400 yards and 10 TDs (up slightly from a year ago). The real key to the production of the Detroit receivers is Jon Kitna. If he doesn't improve his turnovers, none of them will do as well as expected. Let us not forget that in 2006 Kitna had 22 interceptions and nine lost fumbles. That is over 30 drives ended by the quarterback not protecting the ball. If Kitna can cut his turnovers in half, I see big things for the Detroit offense. If not I can easily see this team imploding during the season.

 
komments said:
I believe that there will be fewer double teams on Williams this year. The safeties will have to respect Mike Furrey after he led the NFC in receptions a year ago and hype alone will make them respect Calvin Johnson. But Johnson is not all hype. He is going to make big plays which is likely to mean more teams will approach Detroit in a cover-2 scheme to give them top protection for both sides of the field. This will open the middle to the backs and tight ends and to Furrey. Still, Williams and CJ on the outside are going to be hard to stop. If Kitna can read the coverage, I don't see Williams losing any receptions and he may even gain a few. I would suggest a low end estimate of 75 catches for 1100 yards and seven TDs. I would not project over 90 receptions for 1300 yards and 12 TDs. But my mid-range expectation is 85 receptions for 1400 yards and 10 TDs (up slightly from a year ago). The real key to the production of the Detroit receivers is Jon Kitna. If he doesn't improve his turnovers, none of them will do as well as expected. Let us not forget that in 2006 Kitna had 22 interceptions and nine lost fumbles. That is over 30 drives ended by the quarterback not protecting the ball. If Kitna can cut his turnovers in half, I see big things for the Detroit offense. If not I can easily see this team imploding during the season.
Click to expand...
Nice analysis, but most of the blame goes to the OL . . .give Williams 101/1350/11

 
70

1150

7

Receptions a little down but the yards will be there simply with Roy's talent. Like him to score right about how he has in each of his first 3 seasons with any improvement in the Lions offense being spread out to KJ, Furrey and CJ.

 
A guy plays more than 12 games once in three years, and that's also the only year he's had more than 817 yards in a season and now he's someone who'll have 1,400-1,600 yards? You guys are crazy

 
I posted this in the CJ spotlight thread...

Last season, the Lions top four WRs had the following stats

Williams - 82/1310/7

Furrey - 98/1086/6

Bradford - 14/164/0

Hakim - 17/147/0

Kevin Jones also played a big part in the passing game (61/520/2).

I'm assuming that Jones will not be 100% at the beginning of the season, so I would expect some of the team's RB receptions to be re-distributed among the WR (~20).

I'm also going to assume that the Lions are not going to totally phase Mike Furrey out of the offense just because they brought in CJ.

The problem with projecting CJ's numbers too high are that at least one or more of the following would have to occur for Johnson to have a 1000+ yard, high TD season.

1. Johnson would have to overtake both Williams and Furrey as the top pass-catcher on the Lions.

2. Johnson would have to completely supplant most of the receiving production from the RB position.

2. Johnson would have to completely supplant most of the receiving production from Mike Furrey.

In all, here's what I would expect to see from the Lions top three WRs this season.

Williams - 80/1200/8

Johnson - 65/850/6

Furrey - 60/700/4

I think most of CJ's receptions will come from Furrey, the RB's and the fact the Lions didn't have a true #3 WR last season.

I don't see much change for Roy.

I love Roy, but I think both he, and the Detriot Lions offense, are too inconsistent for him to put up top-five numbers. This team is not the 1999 Rams or the 2005 Colts.

Last season, Williams had 5 games of under 50 yards receiving, and had 2 games of 11 yards or less.

I think he will get his catches, and his yards (big-play ability), but I don't see TDs topping 7-9 until this team becomes better all-around.

 
JimboJim said:
I posted this in the CJ spotlight thread...

Last season, the Lions top four WRs had the following stats

Williams - 82/1310/7

Furrey - 98/1086/6

Bradford - 14/164/0

Hakim - 17/147/0

Kevin Jones also played a big part in the passing game (61/520/2).

I'm assuming that Jones will not be 100% at the beginning of the season, so I would expect some of the team's RB receptions to be re-distributed among the WR (~20).

I'm also going to assume that the Lions are not going to totally phase Mike Furrey out of the offense just because they brought in CJ.

The problem with projecting CJ's numbers too high are that at least one or more of the following would have to occur for Johnson to have a 1000+ yard, high TD season.

1. Johnson would have to overtake both Williams and Furrey as the top pass-catcher on the Lions.

2. Johnson would have to completely supplant most of the receiving production from the RB position.

2. Johnson would have to completely supplant most of the receiving production from Mike Furrey.

In all, here's what I would expect to see from the Lions top three WRs this season.

Williams - 80/1200/8

Johnson - 65/850/6

Furrey - 60/700/4

I think most of CJ's receptions will come from Furrey, the RB's and the fact the Lions didn't have a true #3 WR last season.

I don't see much change for Roy.

I love Roy, but I think both he, and the Detriot Lions offense, are too inconsistent for him to put up top-five numbers. This team is not the 1999 Rams or the 2005 Colts.

Last season, Williams had 5 games of under 50 yards receiving, and had 2 games of 11 yards or less.

I think he will get his catches, and his yards (big-play ability), but I don't see TDs topping 7-9 until this team becomes better all-around.
Click to expand...
:lmao:
 
No player will benefit from the Lions off-season more than Williams, in a fantasy sense.

90 reception, 1365 yds, 11 TDs

 
I think that Roy Williams will post solid numbers again, but will not greatly benefit from Detroit's selection of Calvin Johnson in the first round. Bulger's Ram passing had similar results after Martz left compared to when Martz was in St. Louis. Even projecting Bulger's yardage proportionately for his missed games, he would have had 4101 in 03, 4530 in 04, and 4594 in 05, He had 4301 in 06. Not much difference. Similarly, Kitna had 4208 yards last year. I think that is close to optimum for Detroit's passing stats.

Kitna has more weapons in 07 with rookie Calvin Johnson probably starign opposite Roy Williams, and they also have Furrey, M Robinson, and Shaun McDonald who is very familiar with the Martz system. The thing is that these guys are good options and their individual numbers may all take a hit since I don't think Kitna's total passing yardage increases much.

FBG lists Roy William's ADP at WR8 and 28 overall. Roy Williams will have a solid year and will continue to be a prime option for the Lions, but there are other options there also. I think that he will barely match last years' totals.

Roy Williams 80 receptions 1300 yards 7 TDs.

 
JimboJim said:
I posted this in the CJ spotlight thread...

Last season, the Lions top four WRs had the following stats

Williams - 82/1310/7

Furrey - 98/1086/6

Bradford - 14/164/0

Hakim - 17/147/0

Kevin Jones also played a big part in the passing game (61/520/2).

I'm assuming that Jones will not be 100% at the beginning of the season, so I would expect some of the team's RB receptions to be re-distributed among the WR (~20).

I'm also going to assume that the Lions are not going to totally phase Mike Furrey out of the offense just because they brought in CJ.

The problem with projecting CJ's numbers too high are that at least one or more of the following would have to occur for Johnson to have a 1000+ yard, high TD season.

1. Johnson would have to overtake both Williams and Furrey as the top pass-catcher on the Lions.

2. Johnson would have to completely supplant most of the receiving production from the RB position.

2. Johnson would have to completely supplant most of the receiving production from Mike Furrey.

In all, here's what I would expect to see from the Lions top three WRs this season.

Williams - 80/1200/8

Johnson - 65/850/6

Furrey - 60/700/4

I think most of CJ's receptions will come from Furrey, the RB's and the fact the Lions didn't have a true #3 WR last season.

I don't see much change for Roy.

I love Roy, but I think both he, and the Detriot Lions offense, are too inconsistent for him to put up top-five numbers. This team is not the 1999 Rams or the 2005 Colts.

Last season, Williams had 5 games of under 50 yards receiving, and had 2 games of 11 yards or less.

I think he will get his catches, and his yards (big-play ability), but I don't see TDs topping 7-9 until this team becomes better all-around.
Click to expand...
Good posting here. I can see Roy posting some gaudy final numbers, but how will they be distribtued across 16 games? To have 1/3 of your games under 50 yards is a bit worrying.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

Scoresman
2025 Shark Pool Rankings Contest - Taking Submissions - Consensus Rankings are here! Sort of...
Replies
11
Views
358
Scoresman
Scoresman
T
Travdogg's positional rankings (summer edition)
2
Replies
67
Views
2K
wgoldsph
wgoldsph
Instinctive
2024 Instinctive's "Take a Second Look" - guys way different from consensus
Replies
45
Views
3K
Desert_Power
Desert_Power

Users who are viewing this thread

Total: 1 (members: 0, guests: 1)
Back
Top