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Player Spotlight: Jerious Norwood (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2007 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Jerious Norwood, RB, Atlanta Falcons

Player Page Link: Jerious Norwood Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 
IMO it will be a 50/50 split with Dunn. Dunn is too good of a RB to just give the job to Norwood and Norwood is too explosive to not get a good share of carries. This makes them both RB3s. He obviously has more upside than Dunn so Id rank him ahead of Dunn right now.

200 att, 900 yds, 6 tds, 25 rec, 200 yds, 0 tds

 
I expect Dunn to continue to be "the starter" throughout the season as long as the season as long as the Falcons are still in the hunt, however there will be many games as the season goes on that Norwood's ability will force Petrino to give him more carries and move Dunn to 3rd down back. May be similar to MJD's/Taylor in Jax last season.

250 carries, 1050 yds, 8 TD's, 25 rec, 170 yds, 1 TD

 
bjlmonster said:
I expect Dunn to continue to be "the starter" throughout the season as long as the season as long as the Falcons are still in the hunt, however there will be many games as the season goes on that Norwood's ability will force Petrino to give him more carries and move Dunn to 3rd down back. May be similar to MJD's/Taylor in Jax last season.250 carries, 1050 yds, 8 TD's, 25 rec, 170 yds, 1 TD
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Those are very good numbers for a non starting RB. I would be happy with those from my number 3 RB in a dynasty league
 
Thanks for bumping this. I would think Norwood would be of prime interest because he's going to have the CHANCE to offer significant value. Most leagues are going to view Dunn as the starter and draft him accordingly. Norwood, particularly in non-Shark leagues, will be available as a "handcuff" backup yet I think his upside is far, far more than that.

Bobby Petrino has eschewed the zone blocking scheme, which favors both Dunn and Norwood. What we're not clear about is how Petrino feels about incumbency and whether Norwood legitimately has the chance to win significant playing time.

This will be one of my most watched situations in camp, Norwood could be a monster particularly if he's confirmed as the starter toward the end of camp.

 
Norwood showed last year that he has a lot of big play potential. I see Norwood in a similar situation as MJD. Aging starter in front of them on a team that likes to run the ball a lot.

MJD - 5' 8" 205 5.7 ypc 61 targets 46 catches 75%JNor - 6' 204 6.4 ypc 16 targets 12 catches 75%Both had impressive ypc averages as a rookie, and similar conversion on targets. Granted, MJD scored a LOT more TDs than Norwood, but there are quite a few smilarities. Sure Vick will get his share of the rushing yards, but so will the RBs in Atlanta. I see this as the year when Dunn's workload falls below the "#2" back.

Norwood:

190 carries

950 yards

6 TDs

45 targets

33 receptions

270 yards

2 TD

 
I think Norwood's value will ultimately be determined on whether or not Michael Vick misses significant time due to Injury or Suspension WOOF WOOF. When Vick is under center as a threat to run, it just makes the defense so much more susceptible to the run. Since I believe Vick will get away with his crimes. I say Norwood is an awesome guy to target in the 8th round or so because this might be Dunn's last year in ATL.

260 1150 Yards

30 Catches 400 Yards

 
How his Dunn's shoulder doing anyway... he had it operated on during the offseason and there has been very little talk of it.

I like Norwood; I can easily see him w/ 200+ carries this season... and most importantly, the majority of those carries will come beginning mid-season; when you need them the most.

 
eefflrat said:
bjlmonster said:
I expect Dunn to continue to be "the starter" throughout the season as long as the season as long as the Falcons are still in the hunt, however there will be many games as the season goes on that Norwood's ability will force Petrino to give him more carries and move Dunn to 3rd down back. May be similar to MJD's/Taylor in Jax last season.250 carries, 1050 yds, 8 TD's, 25 rec, 170 yds, 1 TD
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Those are very good numbers for a non starting RB. I would be happy with those from my number 3 RB in a dynasty league
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Notice the quotation marks around "the starter." The person who starts and gets the first carry will not always get the most carries or be the finisher and be in the game the 2nd half. I see Dunn getting his carries in the first half and Norwood getting a series or two in the first and a majority of non 3rd down carries in the 2nd half.Just like in Denver a few games last year when Tatum was the starter, but Mike out gained him on the ground and in TD's.
 
KellysHeroes said:
How his Dunn's shoulder doing anyway... he had it operated on during the offseason and there has been very little talk of it.I like Norwood; I can easily see him w/ 200+ carries this season... and most importantly, the majority of those carries will come beginning mid-season; when you need them the most.
Click to expand...
Norwood has a chance to get 200+ carries, but that's only if Dunn is injured. The problem with the Falcons running game is that as long as Vick is there the number of carries by RB's is limited to about 400 a season. Norwood isn't going to top 200 carries as long as Dunn is healthy, but if you are willing to bet on Dunn getting hurt then Norwood could be huge down the stretch.
 
Jason Wood said:
Thanks for bumping this. I would think Norwood would be of prime interest because he's going to have the CHANCE to offer significant value. Most leagues are going to view Dunn as the starter and draft him accordingly. Norwood, particularly in non-Shark leagues, will be available as a "handcuff" backup yet I think his upside is far, far more than that. Bobby Petrino has eschewed the zone blocking scheme, which favors both Dunn and Norwood. What we're not clear about is how Petrino feels about incumbency and whether Norwood legitimately has the chance to win significant playing time.This will be one of my most watched situations in camp, Norwood could be a monster particularly if he's confirmed as the starter toward the end of camp.
Click to expand...
In every single mock I've done this year Norwood has gone ahead of Dunn, usually by a round or two.I like Norwood as a back and enjoyed watching him at Mississippi State where he was basically the entire offense for three years. A qucik, agile runner that can stand up to punishment, and found success with a subpar o-line at Mississippi State. Unfortunately he plays behind another subpar line in Atlanta, and for a coach who likes using 3 running backs, even when he had a dominant runner like Michael Bush. I expect Dunn to see the majority of time on the field. Norwood lacks the size that Petrino likes in a GL back, so he's probably just going to be the change of pace back this year and take over in 2008. Dunn is only 32 and despite his small stature one of the toughest runners in the league. I wouldn't expect him to see as much time as MJD did, though it will be close. I don't think he'll be the established GL back, which was the primary reason for MJD's success last year. Therefore his numbers won't approach those of MJD.165 for 775 and 3 rushing TDs20 for 160 and 1COP back, not startable unless in deep leagues
 
I wonder where, if at all, Snelling fits in at Atlanta. He's a big RB, and it seems not much is expected form him, but I think he is something of a dark horse in the race for carries, especially at the goal line. I think he could be very much in the mix. As has been mentioned, Petrino likes a big back, something neither Norwood or Dunn are not, given the caveat that both seem to be able to run inside fairly effectively. I think there is a fairly good chance that Snelling could be a TD hawk, similar to what Jacobs did for the Giants last year.

 
Rovers said:
I wonder where, if at all, Snelling fits in at Atlanta. He's a big RB, and it seems not much is expected form him, but I think he is something of a dark horse in the race for carries, especially at the goal line. I think he could be very much in the mix. As has been mentioned, Petrino likes a big back, something neither Norwood or Dunn are not, given the caveat that both seem to be able to run inside fairly effectively. I think there is a fairly good chance that Snelling could be a TD hawk, similar to what Jacobs did for the Giants last year.
Click to expand...
Very good chance for this :blackdot:
 
cstu said:
KellysHeroes said:
How his Dunn's shoulder doing anyway... he had it operated on during the offseason and there has been very little talk of it.I like Norwood; I can easily see him w/ 200+ carries this season... and most importantly, the majority of those carries will come beginning mid-season; when you need them the most.
Click to expand...
Norwood has a chance to get 200+ carries, but that's only if Dunn is injured. The problem with the Falcons running game is that as long as Vick is there the number of carries by RB's is limited to about 400 a season. Norwood isn't going to top 200 carries as long as Dunn is healthy, but if you are willing to bet on Dunn getting hurt then Norwood could be huge down the stretch.
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Dunn is 32 and as others have said this is most likely his last year. On top of that norwood is a bigger rb than dunn and has big play capability as is evidence by his 6.4 ypc average last season. Also petrino has already said he wants vick to run a lot less. I'm personally not predicting norwood to get 200+ carries but it's not out of the question for him to get that much work even with a healthy warrick dunn.185 carries for 962 yards(5.2 ypc) and 4 TDs, 25 catches for 208 yards and 1 TD
 
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Norwood is the bee's knees... I hope he can become the starter this season. I like Dunn (especially for his work off the field) but Norwood is the future.

 
I think Dunn is in line to be the starter in Atlanta, but Norwood has the chance to surpass him by the time the season is done. Similar to Indy last year with Rhodes and Addai. Yet unlike the Rhodes and Addai situation, people are not overvaluing Norwood due to the rookie/unknown factor. It's pretty surprising to me, considering how well Norwood performed last year both in the preseason and during spot duty in real games. The guy is a definite player and homerun threat ala Reggie Bush. The seller for me is that don't have to drop a 4th round pick on the guy in most redraft leagues, and I believe he can easily perform at that level. If something happens to Dunn or the new coaching staff decides to run with Norwood, there is a HUGE latent potential there as well. Major value as a RB3/4 in a middle round. Only other guys I would select over him in a similar range are Julius Jones and Ahman Green.

I'll go:

Norwood 220/1000/6, 25/200/1

Dunn 220/950/5, 40/300/1

 
Jason Wood said:
Thanks for bumping this. I would think Norwood would be of prime interest because he's going to have the CHANCE to offer significant value. Most leagues are going to view Dunn as the starter and draft him accordingly. Norwood, particularly in non-Shark leagues, will be available as a "handcuff" backup yet I think his upside is far, far more than that. Bobby Petrino has eschewed the zone blocking scheme, which favors both Dunn and Norwood. What we're not clear about is how Petrino feels about incumbency and whether Norwood legitimately has the chance to win significant playing time.This will be one of my most watched situations in camp, Norwood could be a monster particularly if he's confirmed as the starter toward the end of camp.
Click to expand...
:thumbup: plus given dunn's age he could get hurt early in the season giving norwood 10-12 games of top 10 back production. if you can get your top 2 RBs with late bye weeks, you could do a lot worse with norwood as your RB3 (but you can probably get him at RB4 price).
 
sholditch said:
Jason Wood said:
Thanks for bumping this. I would think Norwood would be of prime interest because he's going to have the CHANCE to offer significant value. Most leagues are going to view Dunn as the starter and draft him accordingly. Norwood, particularly in non-Shark leagues, will be available as a "handcuff" backup yet I think his upside is far, far more than that. Bobby Petrino has eschewed the zone blocking scheme, which favors both Dunn and Norwood. What we're not clear about is how Petrino feels about incumbency and whether Norwood legitimately has the chance to win significant playing time.This will be one of my most watched situations in camp, Norwood could be a monster particularly if he's confirmed as the starter toward the end of camp.
Click to expand...
In every single mock I've done this year Norwood has gone ahead of Dunn, usually by a round or two.
Click to expand...
:thumbup: ADP through most of june has dunn going in the 7th and norwood in the 10th.
 
bagger said:
sholditch said:
Jason Wood said:
Thanks for bumping this. I would think Norwood would be of prime interest because he's going to have the CHANCE to offer significant value. Most leagues are going to view Dunn as the starter and draft him accordingly. Norwood, particularly in non-Shark leagues, will be available as a "handcuff" backup yet I think his upside is far, far more than that. Bobby Petrino has eschewed the zone blocking scheme, which favors both Dunn and Norwood. What we're not clear about is how Petrino feels about incumbency and whether Norwood legitimately has the chance to win significant playing time.This will be one of my most watched situations in camp, Norwood could be a monster particularly if he's confirmed as the starter toward the end of camp.
Click to expand...
In every single mock I've done this year Norwood has gone ahead of Dunn, usually by a round or two.
Click to expand...
:banned: ADP through most of june has dunn going in the 7th and norwood in the 10th.
Click to expand...
FBGs ADP has Norwood at 55 and Dunn at 58.
 
Pick said:
bagger said:
sholditch said:
Jason Wood said:
Thanks for bumping this. I would think Norwood would be of prime interest because he's going to have the CHANCE to offer significant value. Most leagues are going to view Dunn as the starter and draft him accordingly. Norwood, particularly in non-Shark leagues, will be available as a "handcuff" backup yet I think his upside is far, far more than that. Bobby Petrino has eschewed the zone blocking scheme, which favors both Dunn and Norwood. What we're not clear about is how Petrino feels about incumbency and whether Norwood legitimately has the chance to win significant playing time.This will be one of my most watched situations in camp, Norwood could be a monster particularly if he's confirmed as the starter toward the end of camp.
Click to expand...
In every single mock I've done this year Norwood has gone ahead of Dunn, usually by a round or two.
Click to expand...
:thumbup: ADP through most of june has dunn going in the 7th and norwood in the 10th.
Click to expand...
FBGs ADP has Norwood at 55 and Dunn at 58.
Click to expand...
that is dated 5/24. :shrug:
 
bagger said:
Pick said:
bagger said:
sholditch said:
Jason Wood said:
Thanks for bumping this. I would think Norwood would be of prime interest because he's going to have the CHANCE to offer significant value. Most leagues are going to view Dunn as the starter and draft him accordingly. Norwood, particularly in non-Shark leagues, will be available as a "handcuff" backup yet I think his upside is far, far more than that. Bobby Petrino has eschewed the zone blocking scheme, which favors both Dunn and Norwood. What we're not clear about is how Petrino feels about incumbency and whether Norwood legitimately has the chance to win significant playing time.This will be one of my most watched situations in camp, Norwood could be a monster particularly if he's confirmed as the starter toward the end of camp.
Click to expand...
In every single mock I've done this year Norwood has gone ahead of Dunn, usually by a round or two.
Click to expand...
:confused: ADP through most of june has dunn going in the 7th and norwood in the 10th.
Click to expand...
FBGs ADP has Norwood at 55 and Dunn at 58.
Click to expand...
that is dated 5/24. :shrug:
Click to expand...
At Fantasy Football Calculator mock drafts Norwood vs Dunn has been going 6.04 vs 8.02 which I think is a very accurate representation of what Mockers are valueing them at right now. CBS sportsline it is reversed at about 7.02 for Dunn and 8.11 for Norwood. I think barring any wash out in training camp they will be about equal as far as ADP somewhere between the 6th and 9th.
 
At Fantasy Football Calculator mock drafts Norwood vs Dunn has been going 6.04 vs 8.02 which I think is a very accurate representation of what Mockers are valueing them at right now. CBS sportsline it is reversed at about 7.02 for Dunn and 8.11 for Norwood. I think barring any wash out in training camp they will be about equal as far as ADP somewhere between the 6th and 9th.

Sorry: CBS should be 8.02 and 9.11

 
Hammerage said:
At Fantasy Football Calculator mock drafts Norwood vs Dunn has been going 6.04 vs 8.02 which I think is a very accurate representation of what Mockers are valueing them at right now. CBS sportsline it is reversed at about 7.02 for Dunn and 8.11 for Norwood. I think barring any wash out in training camp they will be about equal as far as ADP somewhere between the 6th and 9th.
Click to expand...
:thumbdown: Some No Mercy drafts:5.10 Norwood7.09 Dunn7.06 Norwood7.04 Dunn6.10 Norwood7.01 Dunn6.12 Dunn7.01 Norwood(A sharky move by an owner on the turn)
 
The ADP on Dunn and Norwood will definitely be volatile for redrafts all through the summer. Warrick Dunn is rehabbing from shoulder surgery that he had in January 2007. It is difficult for RBs to return to form immediately after shoulder surgery and you would think it would be especially so for a 32-year old.

Jerious Norwood was drafted in the third round in 2006 primarily based on his lack of size. He is 6'-0" and weighs only 204. He is said to be chicken legged. He was extremely successful playing for Mississippi State, where he stood out even without much help on offense and a sub-standard for the Southeastern Conference, offensive line. He carried a full college load with 195 carries for 1050 yards (5.4 ypc) in 11 games as a junior and followed up with 191 rushes for 1136 yards (5.9 ypc) in 11 games in his senior campaign. He scored 7 and 6 TDs in those two seasons.

He was extremely effective in his rookie season with Atlanta spelling Warrick Dunn carrying 99 times for 633 yards (6.4 ypc) and scoring 2 TDs. He was electric when he got out in space. However, he was injured a time or two and missed two games. I definitely think that there will be some type of RBBC between Dunn and Norwood, but if Dunn is not ready, or he has an injury, then Norwood COULD present very nice value, depending on whether Dunn looks like he will play or not. Because, Norwood's ADP could rise significantly if Dunn appears to be out or playing a reduced role.

It is one of those situations that you will have to watch closely through training camp and the preseason games to determine.

Norwood 200 carries 1050 yds (5.25 ypc) and 6 TDs and adding 45 catches for 380 yds and 1 TD

 
Pick said:
Hammerage said:
At Fantasy Football Calculator mock drafts Norwood vs Dunn has been going 6.04 vs 8.02 which I think is a very accurate representation of what Mockers are valueing them at right now. CBS sportsline it is reversed at about 7.02 for Dunn and 8.11 for Norwood. I think barring any wash out in training camp they will be about equal as far as ADP somewhere between the 6th and 9th.
Click to expand...
:X Some No Mercy drafts:

5.10 Norwood

7.09 Dunn

7.06 Norwood

7.04 Dunn

6.10 Norwood

7.01 Dunn

6.12 Dunn

7.01 Norwood

(A sharky move by an owner on the turn)
Click to expand...
I was the one in the bold print and was hoping to pull off the Dunn/Norwood double team like the last team listed.While I do think Dunn may end up with better totals on the season, I do think Norwood will be fresher and getting a lot more touches and production by the end of the season. ATL has an attractive fantasy playoff schedule (NO, TB, ARI) and I was more interested in having the guy that might be more productive when it counts.

 
David Yudkin said:
Pick said:
Hammerage said:
At Fantasy Football Calculator mock drafts Norwood vs Dunn has been going 6.04 vs 8.02 which I think is a very accurate representation of what Mockers are valueing them at right now. CBS sportsline it is reversed at about 7.02 for Dunn and 8.11 for Norwood. I think barring any wash out in training camp they will be about equal as far as ADP somewhere between the 6th and 9th.
Click to expand...
:bye: Some No Mercy drafts:

5.10 Norwood

7.09 Dunn

7.06 Norwood

7.04 Dunn

6.10 Norwood

7.01 Dunn

6.12 Dunn

7.01 Norwood

(A sharky move by an owner on the turn)
Click to expand...
I was the one in the bold print and was hoping to pull off the Dunn/Norwood double team like the last team listed.
Click to expand...
I figured so. That sucks.
While I do think Dunn may end up with better totals on the season, I do think Norwood will be fresher and getting a lot more touches and production by the end of the season. ATL has an attractive fantasy playoff schedule (NO, TB, ARI) and I was more interested in having the guy that might be more productive when it counts.
Click to expand...
Ya, it'd be great to land both but if you can only have one, Norwood is the guy.
 
David Yudkin said:
Pick said:
Hammerage said:
At Fantasy Football Calculator mock drafts Norwood vs Dunn has been going 6.04 vs 8.02 which I think is a very accurate representation of what Mockers are valueing them at right now. CBS sportsline it is reversed at about 7.02 for Dunn and 8.11 for Norwood. I think barring any wash out in training camp they will be about equal as far as ADP somewhere between the 6th and 9th.
Click to expand...
:thumbup: Some No Mercy drafts:

5.10 Norwood

7.09 Dunn

7.06 Norwood

7.04 Dunn

6.10 Norwood

7.01 Dunn

6.12 Dunn

7.01 Norwood

(A sharky move by an owner on the turn)
Click to expand...
I was the one in the bold print and was hoping to pull off the Dunn/Norwood double team like the last team listed.While I do think Dunn may end up with better totals on the season, I do think Norwood will be fresher and getting a lot more touches and production by the end of the season. ATL has an attractive fantasy playoff schedule (NO, TB, ARI) and I was more interested in having the guy that might be more productive when it counts.
Click to expand...
The red bold pick was me. I wanted to get them both too, but Reggie Brown fell to me at 6.7 after going in the 5th in all the other No Mercy drafts. A couple guys between my next pick needed WRs, and my RB tier at the time was a little deeper than my current WR tier, so Brown made more sense. I also didn't think the other would make it back to me, but getting them both around the 6/7 turn is something I will be targeting in most drafts this year.
 
Probably already common knowledge, but this was posted on Rotoworld according to the Atlanta newspaper:

Jerious Norwood "figures to get" just as many touches as Warrick Dunn this season, according to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.No surprise here; we'd take Norwood before Dunn in fantasy drafts. If he can show his worth as a receiver, Norwood will have a good chance to take over as Atlanta's starter and establish himself as a long-term building block.
Click to expand...
 
I'm already seeing Norwood drop about 3 rounds per draft in mocks. From 5th to 8th. The ATL offense just dropped off quite a bit IMO.

 
sholditch said:
Rovers said:
I wonder where, if at all, Snelling fits in at Atlanta. He's a big RB, and it seems not much is expected form him, but I think he is something of a dark horse in the race for carries, especially at the goal line. I think he could be very much in the mix. As has been mentioned, Petrino likes a big back, something neither Norwood or Dunn are not, given the caveat that both seem to be able to run inside fairly effectively. I think there is a fairly good chance that Snelling could be a TD hawk, similar to what Jacobs did for the Giants last year.
Click to expand...
Very good chance for this :goodposting:
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I concur . . .
 
Routilla said:
I'm already seeing Norwood drop about 3 rounds per draft in mocks. From 5th to 8th. The ATL offense just dropped off quite a bit IMO.
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That doesn't seem to make sense to me. I would think that the carries that Vick took would be distributed among Norwood and Dunn, making both MORE valuable. Harrington isn't running anywhere.
 
"Harrington isn't running anywhere."

Sure he is...... FOR HIS LIFE!!!! He has horrible WR's, worse than he EVER had in Detroit. Blitzmania

 
Sultan of Smut said:
I think Norwood's value will ultimately be determined on whether or not Michael Vick misses significant time due to Injury or Suspension WOOF WOOF. When Vick is under center as a threat to run, it just makes the defense so much more susceptible to the run. Since I believe Vick will get away with his crimes. I say Norwood is an awesome guy to target in the 8th round or so because this might be Dunn's last year in ATL.260 1150 Yards30 Catches 400 Yards
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8th round? Hit the mock circuit. I haven't seen him fall past the 6th.
 
anyone dropping dunn or norwood in their drafts because of vick's indictment doesn't know what their doing. As others have said vick not being out helps the running game not hurt it. A passing game that keeps defenses honest helps out rb much more than a mobile qb does not only does that mean less carries will be taken away but also defenses won't keep a lb up close as they normally do. That said I expect vick to play in 2007

 
bagger said:
Jason Wood said:
Thanks for bumping this. I would think Norwood would be of prime interest because he's going to have the CHANCE to offer significant value. Most leagues are going to view Dunn as the starter and draft him accordingly. Norwood, particularly in non-Shark leagues, will be available as a "handcuff" backup yet I think his upside is far, far more than that. Bobby Petrino has eschewed the zone blocking scheme, which favors both Dunn and Norwood. What we're not clear about is how Petrino feels about incumbency and whether Norwood legitimately has the chance to win significant playing time.This will be one of my most watched situations in camp, Norwood could be a monster particularly if he's confirmed as the starter toward the end of camp.
Click to expand...
:lol: plus given dunn's age he could get hurt early in the season giving norwood 10-12 games of top 10 back production. if you can get your top 2 RBs with late bye weeks, you could do a lot worse with norwood as your RB3 (but you can probably get him at RB4 price).
Click to expand...
:bs:
 
bagger said:
bagger said:
Jason Wood said:
Thanks for bumping this. I would think Norwood would be of prime interest because he's going to have the CHANCE to offer significant value. Most leagues are going to view Dunn as the starter and draft him accordingly. Norwood, particularly in non-Shark leagues, will be available as a "handcuff" backup yet I think his upside is far, far more than that.

Bobby Petrino has eschewed the zone blocking scheme, which favors both Dunn and Norwood. What we're not clear about is how Petrino feels about incumbency and whether Norwood legitimately has the chance to win significant playing time.

This will be one of my most watched situations in camp, Norwood could be a monster particularly if he's confirmed as the starter toward the end of camp.
Click to expand...
:shrug: plus given dunn's age he could get hurt early in the season giving norwood 10-12 games of top 10 back production. if you can get your top 2 RBs with late bye weeks, you could do a lot worse with norwood as your RB3 (but you can probably get him at RB4 price).
Click to expand...
:no:
Click to expand...
Not anymore...
 
Routilla said:
I'm already seeing Norwood drop about 3 rounds per draft in mocks. From 5th to 8th. The ATL offense just dropped off quite a bit IMO.
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This is just what I was hoping for, even with a healthy Dunn. I really believed this was the RB that was going to far exceed his draft position. To have gotten him in the 6th or 7th would have been a steal. Now Dunn is going to miss camp and Norwwod is no longer a steal. Oh well, I guess it's time to see who else is going to get a chance to steal carries because he is the younger, healthier RB.
 
Alluro said:
With the latest news on Dunn's back, bump up Mr. Norwood to 1200 yds rushing and 9 TDs.
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:thumbup: Dunn is out 3-4 weeks, not 3-4 months. This has RBBC written all over it and aint exactly Nawlins. Next year is all Norwood, but I doubt he just totally takes over while Dunn gets only a token carry here or there.
 
mcjc4 said:
Routilla said:
I'm already seeing Norwood drop about 3 rounds per draft in mocks. From 5th to 8th. The ATL offense just dropped off quite a bit IMO.
Click to expand...
This is just what I was hoping for, even with a healthy Dunn. I really believed this was the RB that was going to far exceed his draft position. To have gotten him in the 6th or 7th would have been a steal. Now Dunn is going to miss camp and Norwwod is no longer a steal. Oh well, I guess it's time to see who else is going to get a chance to steal carries because he is the younger, healthier RB.
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I tried spreading the downgrade when the Vick news hit but now Dunn's surgery has eliminated Norwood from my draft plans. Someone in my league will overpay for him I'm sure of it.
 
Routilla said:
mcjc4 said:
Routilla said:
I'm already seeing Norwood drop about 3 rounds per draft in mocks. From 5th to 8th. The ATL offense just dropped off quite a bit IMO.
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This is just what I was hoping for, even with a healthy Dunn. I really believed this was the RB that was going to far exceed his draft position. To have gotten him in the 6th or 7th would have been a steal. Now Dunn is going to miss camp and Norwwod is no longer a steal. Oh well, I guess it's time to see who else is going to get a chance to steal carries because he is the younger, healthier RB.
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I tried spreading the downgrade when the Vick news hit but now Dunn's surgery has eliminated Norwood from my draft plans. Someone in my league will overpay for him I'm sure of it.
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/agreeI got him late in a draft last year and he filled in once or twice ok - I was hoping I could grab him in mid rounds and he'd do even better.Now, you're likely right - he will go too early.
 
Is late 4th in a 14 team dynasty league too late... thats where he was drafted in my league in April; 2 weeks prior to the NFL draft. Everyone said it was way too early... I traded for him during the NFL draft.. I'm pretty happy today.

 
any Norwood homers/ or non-homers have updates on this situation? Norwood still flying up draft boards? Will he see bulk of carries with dunn back? Will his PPR value be significant?

Thanks!

 
I watched a little of the preseason game, and he was looking NICE!!! He hits the hole with authority and has speed to spare. FWP with more involvement in the passing game, although Mughelli will probably vulture TDs.

Big fan.

 
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