What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

***Week 10 Picks*** (1 Viewer)

Jeff Pasquino

Footballguy
First of all, take these all with a grain of salt.

Secondly, these are for educational purposes only.

Third - I think it is a major mistake to try and predict all games.

My ranking system is based on "Stars", which gauges how strongly I feel about each pick.



Last week I went 9-6 after going 7-3 the prior week, so I'm clearly getting cocky. That can only mean one thing - The :thumbup: of the Year is here, and it is 4 Stars....

Let's go:



*ONE STAR GAMES*



Philadelphia Eagles (+3) at Washington Redskins - (1 star)

The Eagles basically were eliminated last week with their 5th loss and the 3rd in the division last week, yet they always play the Redskins hard. Now Washington likely won't have Santana Moss (some would say he's not there when he is playing, but I digress...), and Campbell has been more "soup" than "good food". The 'skins have a good defense, but Washington will struggle to score through the air. The Eagles have been pretty good at holding up against the run and giving up FGs vs. TDs, except to the Cowboys. Prior to Dallas, they had held 4 teams in a row to 16 points or less. The Eagles should be good for 20 with Westbrook and probably LJ Smith finding the end zone. Not only does Philly cover, but they also win outright. Eagles 23, Redskins 16.

Cleveland Browns (+10) at Pittsburgh Steelers - (1 star)

This game shouldn't be close, were it played on paper. Yes, the Steelers don't give up many points. Yes, they just ripped the Ravens to shreds. But Cleveland can score, both on the ground and through the air. Derek Anderson, Braylon Edwards and KW2 are for real. While some are calling for the upset, I won't go that far, but I do believe that the Browns' offense is good enough to hang tough with the Steelers and keep it under two scores. Pittsburgh 31, Browns 24.

St. Louis Rams (+11.5) at New Orleans Saints - (1 star)

Ok, I'm taking an 0-8 team here, but have you seen the Saints defense? Neither have I. Everyone is still looking for a Bayou Barrier, and the 'aints ain't gonna stop the Rams too much here. The Rams should be healthy enough to score some points, and SJax, Holt, Bruce, Bulger and even Drew Bennett will get enough to keep this one within 10. Saints 30, Rams 20.

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (OVER 44) - (1 star)

I'll analyze this game in detail when I pick it in a few moments, but let's just say that I think the Bengals will approach this number by themselves. McGahee and Stover will make it OVER for the win here.



Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (OVER 48.5) - (1 star)

Week 1 this game was 45-35, Dallas. That's 80 points. Has either team's defense improved that much? I don't think so. While I can see that this game could be close and go either way, barring a major storm or wind gusts or Bill Parcells' opening some doors to a few tunnels, there will be enough scoring by both teams to get over 24 points each. 31-27 at a minimum.

**TWO STAR GAMES**

None. Not the best week for these.... but.....

***THREE STAR GAMES***

None. Hold tight.....

**** FOUR STAR GAME****

Yes, I'm going for a FOUR STAR GAME. I'm either too cocky or I've lost my mind, and possibly both.



I'm going third person and quoting Jeff Pasquino from over here:

OK, I rarely do this, but I'm going on a :lmao: of the YEAR here.

How is it possible that Baltimore is favored over Cincinnati?

Has anyone watched Monday Night Football ?

Um, this just in - their corners aren't good. Like, REALLY bad. Samari Rolle-over isn't even healthy enough to play and they are throwing out guys like Corey Ivy, which gives ivy a bad name in coverage. Well, he does move very slowly and might cover something if given several years, but you get the picture. The Baltimore D stops the run, but not the pass.... and Carson Palmer, Chris Henry, TJ Housh and Chad Johnson are a-comin'. Look out.

Yes the Bengals cannot shut down a passing game - IF ANY SEMBLANCE OF A PASSING GAME EXISTED. I'm talking to YOU McNair - who should be called "McN", because there is no "air" in his game any more.

Bengals win in Baltimore following the same game plan as the Steelers, but with a little less margin.

The only hope the Ravens have is McGahee scores 3 TDs, which isn't going to happen, or Billick throws Kyle Boller out there, which still isn't enough.

All 3 WRs score for Cincy and McGahee gets one too, but it isn't nearly enough. Stover can't make up this big of a difference.



CINCINNATI 34, BALTIMORE 23.


:lmao: of the Week Year - Cincinnati

Enjoy.

Oh... one last thing. I've mentioned these before, but I'll include it here so that everyone reads it.

SUCKER BET OF THE WEEK

Detroit Lions (+1.5) at Arizona Cardinals

The Lions should be favored and win this game, as you can tell from the line opening as an "Even / Pick 'em" game on Monday. Something is messing with the line here, and given that I cannot figure out what's the real deal with the Lions as well vs. the spread and the over/unders, I'm passing on this one - and I think you all should do the same.

Enjoy Week 10.

 
As I said in your other thread:

Bengals on the road this year:

Loss 45-51

Loss 21-24

Loss 13-34

Loss 13-24

Loss 21-33

Total: 0-5 record, average score of 22.6-33.2

Ravens at home this year:

Win 20-13

Win 26-23

Win 22-3

Total: 3-0 record, average score of 22.66-13

You then told me "This game is about matchups. I really don't care about the prior outcomes" and I responded by asking you "So how do you evaluate how good each player in 'the matchups' is? Is it not from watching their prior games?" and you never responded.

 
Assani Fisher said:
As I said in your other thread:Bengals on the road this year:Loss 45-51Loss 21-24Loss 13-34Loss 13-24Loss 21-33Total: 0-5 record, average score of 22.6-33.2Ravens at home this year:Win 20-13Win 26-23Win 22-3Total: 3-0 record, average score of 22.66-13You then told me "This game is about matchups. I really don't care about the prior outcomes" and I responded by asking you "So how do you evaluate how good each player in 'the matchups' is? Is it not from watching their prior games?" and you never responded.
Hey Assani,In case you haven't noticed, I post a lot on these boards, yet I'm not here 24/7.Sorry if you don't like that I didn't directly answer your question right away, but I'd spend way too much time if I did that for everyone.Your question comes off as sarcastic and as "asked and answered" in the thread. I gave my reasons why Cincy will beat Baltimore. The 4 games at home by Baltimore were not against the Bengals.The 5 games on the road by Cincy were not in Baltimore.Therefore, I don't care about those games.I see that Baltimore cannot stop a passing attack. The Bengals have a good passing attack and it got better with Henry. How much clearer can the explanation be?
 
Do you like anything with the game today? With Branch and Alexander out could be a nice bet on the 9ers

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Nice call on the Skins upset by Eagles. I missed my Parlay by a single bet, Cinci/Ravens over. Duhymmmmmmmm.... almost! Just wanted to let you know I am a subscriber of your weekly picks postings. I look forward to next week.

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top