What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Middle 1st round rookie picks 2008 (1 Viewer)

dmac37

dmac37

Footballguy
If you have a pick in the middle of the 1st round, say 1.5 thru 1.8 after the big 4. Let's discuss who you are looking to draft or who have you been able to trade for. I have the 1.7 pick and trying to figure out if I should hang on to the pick or trade it.

As of now I like Rice but he probably won't fall to 1.7, after that I don't have a good feeling about Charles so I'm thinking Smith, Johnson, or Kelly.

Pick, I would think- Rice, Charles, Smith, Forte, Johnson, Choice, Ryan, Kelly

Trade, what type of players in this range ????

 
I think that in most leagues, the first five (maybe six) picks will be running backs. This means that the 1.06 or 1.07 will be the first QB or first WR off the board. Right now, I have the following picks valued in dynasty at:

1.04 = RB23

1.05 = RB27

1.06 = RB36

1.07 = QB18, RB51, or WR28

1.08 should be the same as 1.07, except the WR would be WR32 if 1.07 is a WR. I know valuation this might sound odd, but this is how I have them right now until we know more about the players' combine workouts and the situations.

 
In a rebuilding mode I have the 1.03, 1.08, and 1.09. With the first pick I am going with a RB, big surprise there. However I am excited because I desperatly need QB's and WR's on my team so I think with the 1.08 and 1.09 I have a chance of getting the top QB and WR possible.

 
I have the 1.05 in a 16 team dynasty, and I am definitely targeting a RB since my best RB right now is Benson. I know that is sad. :lmao: I'm hoping one of the big 4 somehow falls, but if not, I'm looking at Charles, Smith, Forte, or maybe Chris Johnson. It will all depend on where they end up.

 
Not implicating anyone, but this is the time of year that you can't believe anyone in these types of threads. Too much intentional misinformation trying to throw posters' leaguemates off the scent.

On that note, I'm hoping Stewart or Mendenhall fall to my 1.07 pick :hifive:

 
tex said:
I have the 1.05 in a 16 team dynasty, and I am definitely targeting a RB since my best RB right now is Benson. I know that is sad. :hifive: I'm hoping one of the big 4 somehow falls, but if not, I'm looking at Charles, Smith, Forte, or maybe Chris Johnson. It will all depend on where they end up.
Click to expand...
I'm highly impressed you managed to finish ahead of 4 teams with Benson as your best back.
 
I've got the 1.06 and 1.08 picks in my 16 team dynasty. Barring great situations from some of those 2nd tier RB's like Jamaal Charles, Ray Rice, Kevin Smith, etc., I'm going to try to package both of those picks for a top 3 or 4 pick. Not sure if anyone in the top 4 will bite but I would think mine to be a fair offer.

 
Jeff Tefertiller said:
I think that in most leagues, the first five (maybe six) picks will be running backs. This means that the 1.06 or 1.07 will be the first QB or first WR off the board. Right now, I have the following picks valued in dynasty at:1.04 = RB231.05 = RB271.06 = RB361.07 = QB18, RB51, or WR281.08 should be the same as 1.07, except the WR would be WR32 if 1.07 is a WR. I know valuation this might sound odd, but this is how I have them right now until we know more about the players' combine workouts and the situations.
Click to expand...
Anyone have any actual trades to compare our estimated values of the middle round picks. Jeff knows his stuff but I would think these rookie picks would draw better value than what is listed above. Also the rookie pick value seems to go up after the nfl draft and right before each FF draft.
 
tex said:
I have the 1.05 in a 16 team dynasty, and I am definitely targeting a RB since my best RB right now is Benson. I know that is sad. :shrug: I'm hoping one of the big 4 somehow falls, but if not, I'm looking at Charles, Smith, Forte, or maybe Chris Johnson. It will all depend on where they end up.
Click to expand...
Pending situation, Ray Rice is easily in my top 5. At the moment, I'd take him over everybody you've listed.
 
dmac37 said:
Jeff Tefertiller said:
I think that in most leagues, the first five (maybe six) picks will be running backs. This means that the 1.06 or 1.07 will be the first QB or first WR off the board. Right now, I have the following picks valued in dynasty at:1.04 = RB231.05 = RB271.06 = RB361.07 = QB18, RB51, or WR281.08 should be the same as 1.07, except the WR would be WR32 if 1.07 is a WR. I know valuation this might sound odd, but this is how I have them right now until we know more about the players' combine workouts and the situations.
Click to expand...
Anyone have any actual trades to compare our estimated values of the middle round picks. Jeff knows his stuff but I would think these rookie picks would draw better value than what is listed above. Also the rookie pick value seems to go up after the nfl draft and right before each FF draft.
Click to expand...
I traded 1.7 and Jeff King for 2.8 and Teddy Ginn in a 12 teamer.
 
Beaumont said:
dmac37 said:
Jeff Tefertiller said:
I think that in most leagues, the first five (maybe six) picks will be running backs. This means that the 1.06 or 1.07 will be the first QB or first WR off the board. Right now, I have the following picks valued in dynasty at:1.04 = RB231.05 = RB271.06 = RB361.07 = QB18, RB51, or WR281.08 should be the same as 1.07, except the WR would be WR32 if 1.07 is a WR. I know valuation this might sound odd, but this is how I have them right now until we know more about the players' combine workouts and the situations.
Click to expand...
Anyone have any actual trades to compare our estimated values of the middle round picks. Jeff knows his stuff but I would think these rookie picks would draw better value than what is listed above. Also the rookie pick value seems to go up after the nfl draft and right before each FF draft.
Click to expand...
I traded 1.7 and Jeff King for 2.8 and Teddy Ginn in a 12 teamer.
Click to expand...
This is the information I was hoping to see.Maybe it's me, but I don't really like that move for you. 1.7 should get you a tier 2 rookie RB or the top QB or WR and Ginn is about a WR#4 or a low WR#3, JMHO.
 
dmac37 said:
Beaumont said:
I traded 1.7 and Jeff King for 2.8 and Teddy Ginn in a 12 teamer.
Click to expand...
This is the information I was hoping to see.Maybe it's me, but I don't really like that move for you. 1.7 should get you a tier 2 rookie RB or the top QB or WR and Ginn is about a WR#4 or a low WR#3, JMHO.
Click to expand...
I don't think it's bad - essentially, he's thinking that Ginn is better than whomever he gets at 1.7. Not a reach, since Ginn came on decent at the end of last year, and is in line for #1 or #2 job.
 
I took over a team that owned 1.01 / 1.07 / 1.08... 12 teamer

So far I moved 1.08 for Lienart. I'm currently attempting to move 1.07 for a lower pick... some where around 3 or 4.

 
Tried to move the 1.5 and the 1.12 (14 team league) for the 1.3......was shot down. May try to move to 4 but I have a feeling 5 might be ok anyway.

 
Neo said:
Tried to move the 1.5 and the 1.12 (14 team league) for the 1.3......was shot down. May try to move to 4 but I have a feeling 5 might be ok anyway.
Click to expand...
was trying to move 1.08, 1.10, 2.04 and Ahmad Bradshaw for 1.02. I think i'm overpaying a bit, so i revoked for now.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
TaxMan said:
Neo said:
Tried to move the 1.5 and the 1.12 (14 team league) for the 1.3......was shot down. May try to move to 4 but I have a feeling 5 might be ok anyway.
Click to expand...
was trying to move 1.08, 1.10, 2.04 and Ahmad Bradshaw for 1.02. I think i'm overpaying a bit, so i revoked for now.
Click to expand...
I'd actually think you were not paying nearly enough. I think 1.1-1.3 go for ton this year. At least that is what I am seeing trying to get one of them.
 
kook178 said:
TaxMan said:
Neo said:
Tried to move the 1.5 and the 1.12 (14 team league) for the 1.3......was shot down. May try to move to 4 but I have a feeling 5 might be ok anyway.
Click to expand...
was trying to move 1.08, 1.10, 2.04 and Ahmad Bradshaw for 1.02. I think i'm overpaying a bit, so i revoked for now.
Click to expand...
I'd actually think you were not paying nearly enough. I think 1.1-1.3 go for ton this year. At least that is what I am seeing trying to get one of them.
Click to expand...
I wouldn't trade the 1.02 for that either.
 
TaxMan said:
Neo said:
Tried to move the 1.5 and the 1.12 (14 team league) for the 1.3......was shot down. May try to move to 4 but I have a feeling 5 might be ok anyway.
Click to expand...
was trying to move 1.08, 1.10, 2.04 and Ahmad Bradshaw for 1.02. I think i'm overpaying a bit, so i revoked for now.
Click to expand...
I was thinking of offering 1.06 and Bradshaw for 1.03 or 1.04. Having second thoughts now that it won't be nearly enough.
 
I offered 1.5 and 1.12 FOR 1.4 in a 12 team normal dynasty league but was not accepted.

I agree with Jeff above that this year the first 5 or maybe 6 picks are RBs this year. I just don't see a qb or wr that really jumps out to be taken earlier.

Of course this could vary with league differences.

 
sheerterror said:
TaxMan said:
Neo said:
Tried to move the 1.5 and the 1.12 (14 team league) for the 1.3......was shot down. May try to move to 4 but I have a feeling 5 might be ok anyway.
Click to expand...
was trying to move 1.08, 1.10, 2.04 and Ahmad Bradshaw for 1.02. I think i'm overpaying a bit, so i revoked for now.
Click to expand...
I was thinking of offering 1.06 and Bradshaw for 1.03 or 1.04. Having second thoughts now that it won't be nearly enough.
Click to expand...
not to go off-topic here, but Bradshaw is legit from what i've seen during the last few weeks of the season/playoffs. I see Bradshaw comparable to 1.06 in this rookie class.so him and 1.06 for 1.04 or 1.03 is not a bad offer.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
kook178 said:
TaxMan said:
Neo said:
Tried to move the 1.5 and the 1.12 (14 team league) for the 1.3......was shot down. May try to move to 4 but I have a feeling 5 might be ok anyway.
Click to expand...
was trying to move 1.08, 1.10, 2.04 and Ahmad Bradshaw for 1.02. I think i'm overpaying a bit, so i revoked for now.
Click to expand...
I'd actually think you were not paying nearly enough. I think 1.1-1.3 go for ton this year. At least that is what I am seeing trying to get one of them.
Click to expand...
In one dynasty league I'm in (Zealots format) in which I have the 1.01 pick, I've suprisingly receive ZERO offers for it.
 
Neo said:
benson_will_lead_the_way said:
I have 1.05 and 1.06 in one league and plan on taking Ray Rice/Kevin Smith/Jamaal Charles (two of the 3)
Click to expand...
I'm starting to like the number 5 pick...depends where some of these guys land to really sort through.
Click to expand...
I'm starting to like Rice more and more, good for the 1.5 but may not be there at my 1.7. Not sold yet on Smith and Charles but that may very well be what will be staring me in the face at 1.7.
 
TaxMan said:
sheerterror said:
TaxMan said:
Neo said:
Tried to move the 1.5 and the 1.12 (14 team league) for the 1.3......was shot down. May try to move to 4 but I have a feeling 5 might be ok anyway.
Click to expand...
was trying to move 1.08, 1.10, 2.04 and Ahmad Bradshaw for 1.02. I think i'm overpaying a bit, so i revoked for now.
Click to expand...
I was thinking of offering 1.06 and Bradshaw for 1.03 or 1.04. Having second thoughts now that it won't be nearly enough.
Click to expand...
not to go off-topic here, but Bradshaw is legit from what i've seen during the last few weeks of the season/playoffs. I see Bradshaw comparable to 1.06 in this rookie class.so him and 1.06 for 1.04 or 1.03 is not a bad offer.
Click to expand...
I have a lot of love for Bradshaw, took a flyer on him during my start up dynasty last year. My fear is that the NYG backfield will be a 2 or 3 headed RBBC monster for next few years. I do think Bradshaw should be on the plus side of a 50/50 split, after watching the Giant playoff games. I think I would move my 1.7 and Bradshaw for the 1.3, not sure about the 1.4, depending on the draft.
 
Monty Burns said:
offered the 1.06 for E Graham.....no dice
Click to expand...
Surprised that your offer was turned down, this was listed on another post in regards to Graham!
THE UNDERCOVER BROTHA said:
I will say this, i landed alot of these guys recently in deals.

But the one the HARDEST to trade for is A.BRADSHAW.

Some people asked me for a mid/late 1st in some leagues, which maybe close to his value seeing as he may be as good as of an option than the later tier of rookie rb's.

Been landing GRAHAM for high 2nd to mid 2nds with something threw in.

Fargas people been holdin onto from what it seems to see where he lands, but now alot view him as a starter, i havent tried to trade for him yet since he signed.

Jamal Lewis, I hadnt attempted to offer a deal for yet.
Click to expand...
 
TaxMan said:
sheerterror said:
TaxMan said:
Neo said:
Tried to move the 1.5 and the 1.12 (14 team league) for the 1.3......was shot down. May try to move to 4 but I have a feeling 5 might be ok anyway.
Click to expand...
was trying to move 1.08, 1.10, 2.04 and Ahmad Bradshaw for 1.02. I think i'm overpaying a bit, so i revoked for now.
Click to expand...
I was thinking of offering 1.06 and Bradshaw for 1.03 or 1.04. Having second thoughts now that it won't be nearly enough.
Click to expand...
not to go off-topic here, but Bradshaw is legit from what i've seen during the last few weeks of the season/playoffs. I see Bradshaw comparable to 1.06 in this rookie class.so him and 1.06 for 1.04 or 1.03 is not a bad offer.
Click to expand...
Bradshaw certainly boosted his value in the last few weeks of the season/playoffs. He's definitely got talent, but I think he's a bit hyped up here, and also looks to be stuck in an RBBC for the near future...that's actually my plan - to use his strong finish to help me move up and grab what looks to be a future stud in Mendenhall or Stewart, but this will be dependent upon how much the owner of the pick has bought into the hype.
 
dmac37 said:
Neo said:
benson_will_lead_the_way said:
I have 1.05 and 1.06 in one league and plan on taking Ray Rice/Kevin Smith/Jamaal Charles (two of the 3)
Click to expand...
I'm starting to like the number 5 pick...depends where some of these guys land to really sort through.
Click to expand...
I'm starting to like Rice more and more, good for the 1.5 but may not be there at my 1.7. Not sold yet on Smith and Charles but that may very well be what will be staring me in the face at 1.7.
Click to expand...
I'd be very happy with the 1.5 pick because I think Rice is going to make a solid pro...especially if he manages to land in an up and coming offense like Houston. However, depending on where he ends up, he's got a shot at vaulting himself into the top 4 if Jones doesn't go to a great situation.
 
Jeff Pasquino said:
Anyone tried to use the Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator to gauge their value for your league?
Click to expand...
Just threw in a scenario for a 14 team league.Tried moving up from 1.07 to 1.05 Using the calculator, the 1.05 could not be traded for even if I gave all my draft picks for it (1.07, 2.07, 3.07, 4.07, 5.07, and 6.07)I don't think there is that much difference between the 5 and 7 spot.
 
Riffraff said:
Jeff Pasquino said:
Anyone tried to use the Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator to gauge their value for your league?
Click to expand...
Just threw in a scenario for a 14 team league.Tried moving up from 1.07 to 1.05 Using the calculator, the 1.05 could not be traded for even if I gave all my draft picks for it (1.07, 2.07, 3.07, 4.07, 5.07, and 6.07)I don't think there is that much difference between the 5 and 7 spot.
Click to expand...
This might require a separate thread (not sure if that's warranted or wanted) but what are your league settings as far as roster size and starters?
 
Jeff Pasquino said:
Riffraff said:
Jeff Pasquino said:
Anyone tried to use the Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator to gauge their value for your league?
Click to expand...
Just threw in a scenario for a 14 team league.Tried moving up from 1.07 to 1.05 Using the calculator, the 1.05 could not be traded for even if I gave all my draft picks for it (1.07, 2.07, 3.07, 4.07, 5.07, and 6.07)I don't think there is that much difference between the 5 and 7 spot.
Click to expand...
This might require a separate thread (not sure if that's warranted or wanted) but what are your league settings as far as roster size and starters?
Click to expand...
I used: 14 teams, starting 1Q 2R 3W 1K 1D (though the RB/WR situation better fits flex than set numbers). 21 roster spots
 
Riffraff said:
Jeff Pasquino said:
Riffraff said:
Jeff Pasquino said:
Anyone tried to use the Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator to gauge their value for your league?
Click to expand...
Just threw in a scenario for a 14 team league.Tried moving up from 1.07 to 1.05 Using the calculator, the 1.05 could not be traded for even if I gave all my draft picks for it (1.07, 2.07, 3.07, 4.07, 5.07, and 6.07)I don't think there is that much difference between the 5 and 7 spot.
Click to expand...
This might require a separate thread (not sure if that's warranted or wanted) but what are your league settings as far as roster size and starters?
Click to expand...
I used: 14 teams, starting 1Q 2R 3W 1K 1D (though the RB/WR situation better fits flex than set numbers). 21 roster spots
Click to expand...
:lmao:
 
i've been offered...

1.04/kitna FOR p.rivers/cotchery i'm weak at wr so i declined and countered with

1.04/kitna FOR p.rivers/crayton/1.06 which was declined.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Dope said:
Riffraff said:
Jeff Pasquino said:
Riffraff said:
Jeff Pasquino said:
Anyone tried to use the Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator to gauge their value for your league?
Click to expand...
Just threw in a scenario for a 14 team league.Tried moving up from 1.07 to 1.05 Using the calculator, the 1.05 could not be traded for even if I gave all my draft picks for it (1.07, 2.07, 3.07, 4.07, 5.07, and 6.07)I don't think there is that much difference between the 5 and 7 spot.
Click to expand...
This might require a separate thread (not sure if that's warranted or wanted) but what are your league settings as far as roster size and starters?
Click to expand...
I used: 14 teams, starting 1Q 2R 3W 1K 1D (though the RB/WR situation better fits flex than set numbers). 21 roster spots
Click to expand...
:stalker:
Click to expand...
I think I'll spin this off into a separate thread.
 
I think the mid to mid/late picks are definately a buy/hold this year. I have been able in the past to add players in this area that helped my team. It takes a lot of scouting and hard work in order to be lucky enough to draft a Frank Gore, Jay Cutler, or Roy Williams with the middle picks. The value is there. You just have to be able to exploit the value.

in MOX HP6 I traded Ernest Graham, 2.10, and 2.14 for 1.9. Yes thats a little more than I wanted to pay, but that is how deals get done. Now I just have to parlay my risk into profit.

I say buy up picks 1.6 to 1.10 if you have confidence in your drafting skills.

 
crnerblitz said:
I think the mid to mid/late picks are definately a buy/hold this year. I have been able in the past to add players in this area that helped my team. It takes a lot of scouting and hard work in order to be lucky enough to draft a Frank Gore, Jay Cutler, or Roy Williams with the middle picks. The value is there. You just have to be able to exploit the value.in MOX HP6 I traded Ernest Graham, 2.10, and 2.14 for 1.9. Yes thats a little more than I wanted to pay, but that is how deals get done. Now I just have to parlay my risk into profit.I say buy up picks 1.6 to 1.10 if you have confidence in your drafting skills.
Click to expand...
:rant:
 
I offered my 1.7 and Gage for L. Evans and 3.1

Evans is a bit of a wildcard, very up and down but if the Bill's get it together he has the talent of a low WR#1 or high WR#2.

After the combine results I'm liking the 1.7 and middle picks more than before the combine, but I hate to put so much weight on the combine vs actual on field ability.

 
I have the eighth pick, in a draft prior to the NFL Draft...

guessing it shakes out like this

rookie QBs haven't panned out..... they are near zero value in our methods... mostly RB, WR, maybe a LB...

DMac

JStew

RMen

Fjones

Ray Rice

Kevin Smith

Malcolm Kelly or Sweed or Chris Johnson

leaving me Kelly or Sweed or Johnson...

anyone think Forte, or Charles, or Hardy or Desaun Jackson, Rivers or Connor deserve the 8 spot? anyone else I am missing...

 
Last edited by a moderator:
noneother said:
I have the eighth pick, in a draft prior to the NFL Draft... guessing it shakes out like thisrookie QBs haven't panned out..... they are near zero value in our methods... mostly RB, WR, maybe a LB... DMacJStewRMenFjonesRay RiceKevin SmithMalcolm Kelly or Sweed or Chris Johnsonleaving me Kelly or Sweed or Johnson...anyone think Forte, or Charles, or Hardy or Desaun Jackson, Rivers or Connor deserve the 8 spot? anyone else I am missing...
Click to expand...
I can see Forte rising up the charts as this goes on, at this point I would love the options of Rice, Smith, or Forte at 1.7.
 
What type of WR, QB, or TE could be required w/ 1.05... I have a couple of those.

After the top 3 Picks... I'm just not interested in anyone else; their chances of still being in the league after 3 too 4 yrs isn't good. I know the RB that people would be willing to trade you for that Pick would be on their last legs...

however, you might be able too prior away a top 15 or 20 Dynasty WR thats in his mid too late 20s or a top 10 QB or a top 5 TE.

 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

M
Top 10 percentage? (WARNING: Lots of math talk and poor assumptions)
Replies
9
Views
314
Keith R
Keith R
JohnnyU
Grade your team’s draft 2025
2
Replies
72
Views
3K
Snotbubbles
Snotbubbles
JohnnyU
The Psychology Behind Trading
3 4 5
Replies
201
Views
3K
JohnnyU
JohnnyU

Users who are viewing this thread

Total: 1 (members: 0, guests: 1)
Back
Top