Do you people even watch football?
		
		
	 
I suppose you think this means Run DMC is a stud and we're overanalyzing things.That might be true, and I know I'll catch hell for this, but:
Att	Yd	 TD	 Y/A   326	1832   16	 5.6   227	1320   10	 5.8The first line is McFadden last season; the second line is Cedric Cobbs' senior season at Arkansas in '03. No, the teams aren't the same. Yes, Cobbs had Matt Jones to keep defenses honest. Yes, ADP averaged only 5.4 YPC his last season at OU, and Steven Jackson never had a great YPC average at Oregon and Willie Parker did nothing in college. But McFadden's teammate averaged more yards per carry, and the last big time RB at Arkansas also averaged more. 5.6 ypc is very good, but we've seen people dominate in college and then bust in the pros very often. I don't think he's nearly as risk-free as his supporters claim.
		
 
		
	 
  
 People argue this stuff as if the debate is whether it's 100% assured that a given high draft pick will be successful in the NFL (whatever 
that means) or it's 30% or 60%.  People too easily forget how much luck is involved even with the best guys.  Ki-Jana Carter was I thought a very gifted RB coming out of college and we all know how that turned out.
For perspective, here are the top five RB's drafted going back to 2003:
2007:
Adrian Peterson	Vikings	Oklahoma
Marshawn Lynch	Bills	California
Kenny Irons	Bengals	Auburn
Chris Henry	Titans	Arizona
Brian Leonard	Rams	Rutgers
2006:
Reggie Bush	Saints	USC
Laurence Maroney	Patriots	Minnesota
DeAngelo Williams	Panthers	Memphis
Joseph Addai	Colts	Louisiana State
LenDale White	Titans	USC
2005:
Ronnie Brown	Dolphins	Auburn
Cedric Benson	Bears	Texas
Cadillac Williams	Buccaneers	Auburn
J.J. Arrington	Cardinals	California
Eric Shelton	Panthers	Louisville
2004:
Steven Jackson	Rams	Oregon State
Chris Perry	Bengals	Michigan
Kevin Jones	Lions	Virginia Tech
Tatum Bell	Broncos	Oklahoma State
Julius Jones	Cowboys	Notre Dame
2003:
Willis McGahee	Bills	Miami (FL)
Larry Johnson	Chiefs	Penn State
Musa Smith	Ravens	Georgia
B.J. Askew	Jets	Michigan
Chris Brown	Titans	Colorado
Granted, the talent in any given draft varies, but the overall hit rate has to have people concerned here, especially when arguably the most talented RB draft of the last five years - 2006 - 
still has people hotly debating the ranking of those picks and whether some of them are busts or not.