Did anyone post the sporting news rookie rankings and compare those to the previous years?
I cannot recall if I saw that thread or not for 2008. It is ushually a pretty good one.
Here are some of my comments on this years rookie draft from one of my dynasty leagues:
My overall opinion about this draft class is that except for the many running backs who were all taken to start the draft off in the 1st round there is a severe lack of talent in this draft class. That is why I have been trading out of this draft when I can.
<snip>
As I allready mentioned I think the 2008 rookie class was a weak one. It does not have much for elite talent players and the depth is questionable. Here is why:
NFL scouting staffs put together thousand page reports on the draft prospects every year. Despite what we or other draftniks may think we know I don't think it is really a comparable level of knowledge that the teams have. That is not to say that teams don't make mistakes, they do. But the odds are that if every team passes on a player or even if half of the teams do there is probobly a good reason. And the combined knowledge of those teams is probobly as informed and capable of making the right decision more often than not.
I bring this up to because no WR was drafted in round one of the 2008 draft. That hasn't happened since 1990, 18 years ago when WR were not nearly in as high demand as they are in todays NFL. So that is a very strong indication to me that no team deamed any of these WR worthy of being their 1st round selection. So that means that while some of these WR may develop into starters none of them were strong enough prospects for any team to be convinced that any of them will be.
The QBs were very weak also. Yes Ryan was drafted high. But I think that was a reach for need not a vote of confidence for his talent. I don't see Ryan or any of the other QB being as good of prospects as Aaron Rodgers was and he fell a lot before he was drafted. I don't expect any of the QB to ever be QB 1's for fantasy purposes.
The RBs were a strong position from this draft. However I think their talent is inflated by the lack of talented prospects at the other skill positions. The 2005 draft class was arguably a stronger group of RB prospects than this one is. 2005 had 3 RB taken in the top 5 picks. Then Arrignton and Shelton in the 2nd round. Gore, Morency and Moats in round 3. Marion Barber and Brandon Jacobs in round 4. Cedric Houston in the 6th round was a good prospect as well. We know enough now that injuries and charecter concerns have caused the strength of the 2005 draft class to be mostly unsuccessful. The 2008 group of RBs may have better luck but that is not a given. However I think that draft class was at least as good as 2008 if not better in terms of RB prospects. What is even more outstanding when comparing the 2 draft classes is how high those top 3 RB went when considering that there were 6 WR taken in the 1st round and 3 QB. So under those terms you had 3 McFadden level RB taken while this draft class has only McFadden. And there were other more highly ranked players available in the 2005 draft class than in 2008. So that tells me that those RB from 2005 as prospects were much more highly regarded than the 2008 RB crop because in 2008 teams did not have other skill players they ranked highly enough to choose instead.
Now some player by player comments based on how this leagues rookie draft went down:
IDP prospects were not as good this year as the last couple seasons. The TE talent was decent but only one of them landed in a situation where the rookie doesen't have a elite TE ahead of them.
So with that being said some comments on how the draft unfolded:
1.01 Cincinnati BenGALs
McFadden, Darren OAK RB ®
1.02 Kansas City Chiefs
Stewart, Jonathan CAR RB ®
1.03 New York Jets
Smith, Kevin DET RB ® - Predraft most had Mendenhall as part of a elite tier of 3 with McFadden and Stewart. Jerry makes a short term decision taking Smith here. I like Smith and this could work out but betting on Lions players is risky business.
1.04 New England Patriots
Jones, Felix DAL RB ® - Now I could somewhat understand taking Smith or Forte over Mendenhall because their opportunity looks a bit better. But Felix Jones!?? This guy is never going to get a chance to be more than a change of pace RB with the Barbarian signed long term. Handcuff/Change of pace RB. Really don't understand this decision here. Could have traded down at least I would think if Jones was your guy.
1.05 Kansas City Chiefs
Mendenhall, Rashard PIT RB ® - kind of criminal that he fell here and even better for Duane coz he allready has FWP.
1.06 New England Patriots
Johnson, Chris TEN RB ® - I like this guy but I think the main reason the Titans drafted him is because he was better than any of the WR which was their real need. Johnson will be an interesting player to see how the Titans use him. I think he can be a good flex player but his scoring may be very up and down. I know Benson had not been released yet at the time Johnson was taken. But still this is a real head scratcher when combined with the earlier pick of Jones.
1.07 Kansas City Chiefs
Forte, Matt CHI RB ® - Now Duane's draft is getting pretty sick. This is the 2nd RB he landed that probobly should have been gone 2 spots higher than where Duane gets him.
At this point I pretty much consider the 2008 draft to be over. The players who can make a impact are now gone. And some of these players have questionable talent and poor situations that will need to be sorted out. I figure at least half of these RB if not more of them will be busts. Thats just the way the cookie crumbles. Picks after this point in my opinion are sleeper prospect types unlike most drafts where you at least have a few WR who have great talent and some other good prospects as well.
1.08 Chicago Bears
Sweed, Limas PIT WR ® -Big WR but he has lot of compitition for playing time.
1.09 Kansas City Chiefs
Rice, Ray BAL RB ® - I like this guy but he won't unseat Willis McGahee any time soon. Pretty high pick on a handcuff/COP player. Kind of proves what I am saying about the lack of talent in this draft.
1.10 Atlanta Falcons
Ryan, Matt ATL QB ® - I am not sold on Ryans talent and ATL is a bad team. I have no problem with the pick here it makes a lot of sense, just saying that in most drafts we been seeing a player like Ryan probably wouldn't have gone for another 4-5 picks.
1.11 New England Patriots
Avery, Donnie STL WR ® - I like this guy and he may end up being a real good WR. One actually worth starting. The cream of the crop of this crap shoot WR class.
1.12 Kansas City Chiefs
Hardy, James BUF WR ® - Looks like another Mike Williams/Dwayne Jarrett to me. I hear he is allready having personal issues.
2.01 Cincinnati BenGALs
Flacco, Joe BAL QB ® - I think Ryan was a bit of a reach but this guy most definitly is to be taken this highly. How did that trade up for Boller work out for the Ravens last time they reached at a QB?
2.02 Carolina Panthers
Charles, Jamaal KCC RB ® - I have my doubts about this guy and he is a RB who wont get much of a chance to play until his 1st contract is up with LJ in front of him. So unless LJ gets hurt I don't see much opportunity here. Another handcuff/COP
2.03 New York Jets
Thomas, Devin WAS WR ® - This guy like Avery seems to have the best combination of opportunity/talent out of the WR group. He may have been the player I would have settled for had I not traded the 2.02 to the Panthers. I'm still not all that excited about his talent however because I think if he were that good at least one team would have picked him in the 1st round but they all passed.
2.04 Philadelphia Eagles
Slaton, Steve HOU RB ® - Another COP type RB for the Texans. Maybe next year they will get a RB who can actually be featured. This is not that guy.
2.05 Kansas City Chiefs
Kelly, Malcolm WAS WR ® - This guy is pretty slow. Change in philosophy for the passing offense in Washington could have a role for him however. I'm not seeing how he is that different than Brandon Lloyd.
2.06 Minnesota Vikings
Long, Chris STL DE ® - This is too early to take a Dline player. I think Long is the only truly elite IDP prospect from this draft class though and I didn't like any other player to be a difference maker like I think Long could be so I took him here anyways. He is no Mario Williams but at least he is pretty good against the run.
2.07 Cleveland Browns
Torain, Ryan DEN RB ® - Any Denver RB has a chance. Decent value for the pick. Still consider him a long shot and I don't think Denver has found a feature RB yet. This guy will not be the answer.
2.08 Chicago Bears
Hart, Mike IND RB ® - Handcuff/COP RB at best.
2.09 Buffalo Bills
Lofton, Curtis ATL LB ® - probably not a 3 down LB. Good situation because the Falcons offense will likely continue to struggle but I don't think Lofton has enough talent to capitalise on it.
2.10 Atlanta Falcons
Jackson, DeSean PHI WR ® - This guy is really small. May help out because of return duties but I don't see him being a starter.
2.11 Philadelphia Eagles
Rivers, Keith CIN LB ® - Most talented LB of the draft class but Rivers seems to lack that killer instinct and awareness needed to be a elite LB. He will have a lot of opportunity though because of the lack of playmakers on the Bengals defense.
2.12 Philadelphia Eagles
Keller, Dustin NYJ TE ® - A TE with good talent and the only one to land in a decent opportunity situation.
3.01 Cincinnati BenGALs
Gholston, Vernon NYJ DE ® - reach pick as he will probably be listed as a OLB and will work in a rotation.
3.02 New York Jets
Mayo, Jerod NEP LB ® - Perhaps the most talented LB from this draft class. Could be a good pick but may take some time to earn the HC's trust.
3.03 New York Jets
Harvey, Derrick JAC DE ® - Good Dline prospect but not at the same level as Long.
3.04 Minnesota Vikings
Caldwell, Andre CIN WR ® - I like this guy as much as any of the other WR taken so far except maybe Avery and Thomas. Situation is muddy due to the Bengals taking Simpson also ahead of him and it being unknown what will happen with Chad and Housh in the long run. I do expect at least one of those 2 if not both to be gone from the Bengals before long however.
3.05 Kansas City Chiefs
Manningham, Mario NYG WR ® - Good talent and college production but charecter concerns caused him to fall. Maybe he turns over a new leaf with the Giants but I don't think he is better than Plax or Steve Smith (Giants)
3.06 Indianapolis Colts
Choice, Tashard DAL RB ® - Bench RB.
3.07 Cleveland Browns
Brohm, Brian GBP QB ® - I think this guy is as good a QB prospect as Ryan. Remains to be seen if Rodgers can handle being the rebound guy to Favre with all the expectation pressure that will be on him. Very good pick here even though he is a backup.
3.08 Chicago Bears
Merling, Phillip MIA DE ® - Maybe. This guy has talent. He might move to OLB which hurts his value.
3.09 Buffalo Bills
Omon, Xavier BUF RB ® - Taken because of the Lynch controvery. Could be a steal or else will just be a bench RB.
3.10 Atlanta Falcons
Henne, Chad MIA QB ® - Same thing here as with Brohm. Not as good a team as the Packers though.
3.11 New England Patriots
Jackson, Lawrence SEA DE ® - dont know enough about this guy to comment.
3.12 Carolina Panthers
Bennett, Earl CHI WR ® - solid possession type WR. Good opportunity to play. Even if he does he will probobly perform as a WR 3 at best though.
4.01 Cincinnati BenGALs
Phillips, Kenny NYG S ® - Top safety.
4.02 Minnesota Vikings
Dizon, Jordon DET LB ® - will compete for MLB.
4.03 Minnesota Vikings
Simpson, Jerome CIN WR ® - Taken to pair with Caldwell. I do believe in Palmers talent to make a WR post good numbers. Having both hopefully I get one of the future starters.
4.04 Chicago Bears
Nelson, Jordy GBP WR ® - Lots of WR ahead of this guy. Could be the heir to Driver.
4.05 Kansas City Chiefs
Hightower, Tim ARI RB ® - opportunity with Edge being so old. Not sold on this guys talent however.
4.06 Indianapolis Colts
Hester, Jacob SDC RB ® - Theres talk about him being the backup to LT. He was a FB in college. Personaly I dont think he is fast enough to get a lot of action if LT were to go down.
4.07 Cleveland Browns
Timer Expired - Doh! Oh well he is about a good a pick as the rest of the players being taken here.
4.08 Carolina Panthers
Booty, John David MIN QB ® - Backup to T. Jackson who could get a shot if Jackson busts.
4.09 Buffalo Bills
Johnson, Josh TBB QB ® - Good developmental QB. Could end up being better than Ryan, Brohm, Henne and Flacco in time.
4.10 Atlanta Falcons
Connor, Dan CAR LB ® - Not a 3 down LB.
4.11 Minnesota Vikings
Doucet, Early ARI WR ® - A lot of people thought Doucet was the best WR of this draft class. Could play sooner than people might think with Quan asking to be traded. I think this may end up being the SOD.
4.12 New England Patriots
Carlson, John SEA TE ® - Limited talent but decent opportunity.
5.01 Cincinnati BenGALs
Wheeler, Philip IND LB ® - 3 down LB but may get stuck playing the strong side.
5.02 Minnesota Vikings
Bell, Beau CLE LB ® - This guy and Mayo were the most talented of the LB this year. He has a lot of players to beat out though.
5.03 Carolina Panthers
Royal, Eddie DEN WR ® - Special teams/slot WR
5.04 Philadelphia Eagles
Johnson, Tyrell MIN S ® - Heir to SS for the Vikings.
5.05 Kansas City Chiefs
Gooden, Tavares BAL LB ® - backup to Ray Ray.. I think Ray Lewis keeps him on the bench a few more years still.
5.06 Indianapolis Colts
Douglas, Harry ATL WR ® - Limited talent, bad team and lots of WR ahead of him.
5.07 Cleveland Browns
Dorsey, Glenn KCC DT ® - Elite DT.. only a few have mattered.
5.08 Cleveland Browns
Jackson, Dexter TBB WR ® - in the mix for more opportunity when the old man retires.
5.09 Chicago Bears
Crable, Shawn NEP LB ® - Meh.
5.10 Buffalo Bills
Jenkins, Mike DAL CB ® - will get picked on so good opportunity.
5.11 Atlanta Falcons
Franklin, Will KCC WR ® - decent prospect this late.
5.12 Philadelphia Eagles
Forsett, Justin SEA RB ® - Longshot RB. Did well in college so he may have enough talent.
5.13 Carolina Panthers
Brennan, Colt WAS QB ® - injured.
6.01 Cincinnati BenGALs
Ainge, Erik NYJ QB ® - Backup.
6.02 Carolina Panthers
Hawkins, Lavelle TEN WR ® - Like the Titans didnt have enough guys like this?
6.03 Minnesota Vikings
Thomas, Marcus SDC RB ® - Not a FB. TC will tell if he can be the backup to LT or not.
6.04 New England Patriots
Morgan, DaJuan KCC S ® - They allready have their starting safeties.
6.05 Kansas City Chiefs
Arrington, Adrian NOS WR ® Special teams. Maybe.
6.06 Indianapolis Colts
McKelvin, Leodis BUF CB ®
6.07 Cleveland Browns
Rucker, Martin CLE TE ®
6.08 Chicago Bears
Rodgers-Cromartie, Dominique ARI CB ®
6.09 Buffalo Bills
Hubbard, Paul CLE WR ®
6.10 Atlanta Falcons
Zbikowski, Tom BAL S ®
6.11 Philadelphia Eagles
Finley, Jermichael GBP TE ®
6.12 Minnesota Vikings
Talib, Aqib TBB CB ®