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NFL team RB needs, tiered by opportunity (1 Viewer)

ratbast

ratbast

Footballguy
I've tiered the NFL teams according to near future opportunity. I figure a rooks value is higher if they land in higher tier. I'm considering a 1-2 year span. Tier 1: represents early fortunes as far as opportunity. Team competency was not considered.

Tier 1 (starting 2-3 down job awaits):

Det

Chi

Tier 2 (starting job available soon):

Hou

Oak

NYJ

Cin

Den

Ariz

Tier 3 (solid RBBC slot may be open now)

NE

Mia

Car

NO

TB*

Tier 4 (some playing time but limited opportunity in year 1 w/o injury but there is year 2)

Pitt

SD

Bal

SF

Phi

Sea

Cle

Dal*

Ten*

Tier 5 (no opps year 1, not much possibility to start year 2)

Atl

Buf

NYG

Jax

Ind

Min

KC

St L

GB*

Was*

*teams were the hardest to slot. I like Earnest in TB but he certainly isnt as safe as Barber who may end up with a mate in the backfield but most likely will be the RB to have on that team for next few yrs. Tenn and GB are very deep at RB. Was.? I may have ranked them one tier too low because of the year 2 potential.

Thoughts appreciated.

 
ratbast said:
*teams were the hardest to slot. I like Earnest in TB but he certainly isnt as safe as Barber who may end up with a mate in the backfield but most likely will be the RB to have on that team for next few yrs. Tenn and GB are very deep at RB. Was.? I may have ranked them one tier too low because of the year 2 potential.Thoughts appreciated.
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I'd put Tennessee in tier 3. I'm not sure exactly why you say they have depth.....all they have is Lendale and Chris Henry. Henry didn't show that much last year; he could easily be replaced. Remember that this team is 1 year removed from trying to get Michael Turner.
 
awesomeness said:
Tick said:
Regarding Denver, who's the current starter they're replacing?
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assuming Travis Henry.
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Or Young even. The round a guy gets drafted will tweak this list big time. If Den takes an RB round 1 then I'd shoot him right up to top of depth chart. Hart/Slaton on day 2? possibly behind Henry, Young and Hall but there is potential to climb quickly. Hart in Detroit? Potential starter day 1.(I'm not a big Hart fan I'm just using him as RB X) If you think I am wrong about Den, would you move them into tier 1?
 
Michael J Fox said:
ratbast said:
*teams were the hardest to slot. I like Earnest in TB but he certainly isnt as safe as Barber who may end up with a mate in the backfield but most likely will be the RB to have on that team for next few yrs. Tenn and GB are very deep at RB. Was.? I may have ranked them one tier too low because of the year 2 potential.Thoughts appreciated.
Click to expand...
I'd put Tennessee in tier 3. I'm not sure exactly why you say they have depth.....all they have is Lendale and Chris Henry. Henry didn't show that much last year; he could easily be replaced. Remember that this team is 1 year removed from trying to get Michael Turner.
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My reasoning was primarily based on 2 straight 2nd round picks that will get first crack at the job over most of the next few years unless they both bust next year. (quite poss)
 
Nice effort. Really interesting that there are many seemingly quality opportunities available considering how deep this draft is considered to be at RB.

 
The teams I moved up a category are bolded:

Tier 1 (starting 2-3 down job awaits):

Det

Chi

NYJ

Ariz

Tier 2 (starting job available soon):

Hou

Oak

Cin

Den

TB*

Tier 3 (solid RBBC slot may be open now)

NE

Mia

Car

NO

Ten*

Tier 4 (some playing time but limited opportunity in year 1 w/o injury but there is year 2)

Pitt

SD

Bal

SF

Phi

Sea

Cle

Dal*

Tier 5 (no opps year 1, not much possibility to start year 2)

Atl

Buf

NYG

Jax

Ind

Min

KC

St L

GB*

Was*

 
Hairy I can see some of those moves.

Im thinking I might be overrating the Tenn tandum. With Ariz and Jets, those vets are good enough and make too much $ to be benched until at least later in year.

 
CIN should be dropped to 3 or even 4.

Rudi, Watson and K. Irons are still there and will compete for a RBBC. i don't think a rookie will be involved in the mix.

 
ratbast said:
Hairy I can see some of those moves.

Im thinking I might be overrating the Tenn tandum. With Ariz and Jets, those vets are good enough and make too much $ to be benched until at least later in year.
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Nice topic.As for Tennessee: Fisher has hinted at drafting another RB

As one guy has already mentioned, Houston could be in tier 1. This is based on the lack of talent, along with Ahman Green and Chris Brown's succeptibility to be injured.

Earnest Graham is definitly not the long term answer in Tampa. Caddy might be done. I liked Darby in college, but he is a poor man's version of... Earnest Graham.

Cincy has nice depth, but not a top 30 NFL RB among them.

Thomas Jones and Edgerrin James are still capable starters. I can see moving up Zona a little, but they don't belong ahead of Houston, and they aren't nearly in the same tier as Detroit. Thomas Jones has some good years left. Though they might draft McFadden.

 
ATC1 said:
CIN should be dropped to 3 or even 4. Rudi, Watson and K. Irons are still there and will compete for a RBBC. i don't think a rookie will be involved in the mix.
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I'm kind of on the opposite side of that. Rudi just isn't that good (they have been trying to replace him for years). Watson SEEMS to be decent, but the team just doesn't seem to want him to be the primary guy. Irons is a possibility, but he's a 2nd rounder coming off of a big injury - not sure they'll count on him for much. Perry is a perennial tease. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see another 1st day back go to Cincy.
 
Nice topic and good list overall.

Agree with ATC1 that Cinn should be moved down a tier.

I also think you should consider moving NE down a tier. Maroney was a beast in the 2nd half, Sammy was tearing it up before getting hurt, and they have Faulk. Not sure a rookie RB will get many carries in NE.

 
Megalomaniac said:
Nice topic and good list overall. Agree with ATC1 that Cinn should be moved down a tier. I also think you should consider moving NE down a tier. Maroney was a beast in the 2nd half, Sammy was tearing it up before getting hurt, and they have Faulk. Not sure a rookie RB will get many carries in NE.
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I kind of get the feeling in NE they'd like to get a young up the gut kinda guy. Morris could be that guy but with the injury and his propensity for being mediocre he's not the answer when it comes to upside and reliability. I wouldnt be surprised if they grab one of the bigger short yardage types. Is Forte that? Whos that other bruiser Ive seen in rookie rankings? They could get him day 2. (apologies to dynasty leagues for my ignorance)In Cinci, heres what we know: Rudi will play IF he's healthy. Watson is not the answer but is good at what he does and Irons has been injured and if I recall is more of a Tiki like player. They still could use an up the gut guy. Whomever gets drafted by the Bengals will surely be in consideration to at least thunder with Irons next year if not take the whole role which is why in actuality the value of that rookie might be more because Maroney WILL be involved for the next 2 years.
 
aposulli said:
ratbast said:
Hairy I can see some of those moves.

Im thinking I might be overrating the Tenn tandum. With Ariz and Jets, those vets are good enough and make too much $ to be benched until at least later in year.
Click to expand...
Nice topic.As for Tennessee: Fisher has hinted at drafting another RB

As one guy has already mentioned, Houston could be in tier 1. This is based on the lack of talent, along with Ahman Green and Chris Brown's succeptibility to be injured.

Earnest Graham is definitly not the long term answer in Tampa. Caddy might be done. I liked Darby in college, but he is a poor man's version of... Earnest Graham.

Cincy has nice depth, but not a top 30 NFL RB among them.

Thomas Jones and Edgerrin James are still capable starters. I can see moving up Zona a little, but they don't belong ahead of Houston, and they aren't nearly in the same tier as Detroit. Thomas Jones has some good years left. Though they might draft McFadden.
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To defend Hou not being in tier 1 Id say its based on injury not lack of talent. Isnt Dayne there too?I have man love for Ernie. Look at the stats, all of them. If TB doesnt go with a big guy Im sticking with him for his potential to actually impress Gruden and be his new Garner. Graham earned at least a prt time role for the next 2 years. He also catches, blocks and has a nose for the endzone. I am asuming Caddy is done in this list and happen to believe that but without a link.

This list was more to help when slotting the 2nd or even 3rd tier Rookie RB talent. In my ideal situation sitting at 5, Det drafts Felix Jones and the crowd goes crazy and he becomes the #4 and Chi drafts Rice or one of the other quality guys and he makes it to 5. Obviously that scenario might make Rice more interesting but you get the point. Ultimately I rank it the big 3 and then whomever Chi drafts. I myself want the #4 to look enticing enough out of Det and Chi to be my guy I want. This is all not considering the 2nd tier which might out rank these 2 teams because of O-line and basic competency/offensive strengths.

Don't you love this draft? So many RBs, so many fantasy draft picks!

 
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