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IDP Spotlight: Darrelle Revis (Group 4) (1 Viewer)

Aaron Rudnicki

Keep Walking™
Staff member
2008 IDP Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The IDP Forum here has grown quickly over the past few years and is probably the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things related to IDPs. In what we hope to make an annual tradition, the IDP Spotlight series will be a key part of our preseason effort this year. As many of you know from what has been done with offensive players over the years, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. This year, we hope to publish IDP Spotlights for approximately 50-60 players, which should account for most of the key IDP starters for this year and possibly years to come.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week (or possibly longer) of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways.

1) At the end of the week (or longer when necessary), we will tally the projections into a consensus.

2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Darrelle Revis, CB, NY Jets

Player Page Link: Darrelle Revis Player Page

Each published article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, we request that you provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For DLs: Solos, Assists, Sacks, PD
For LBs: Solos, Assists, Sacks, INT, PD
For DBs: Solos, Assists, Sacks, INT, PDNow let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 
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First off let me have full disclosure here; I LOVE D-Rev's game. Sean Gilbert's nephew exploded on to the scene last year with his 74 tackles 13 assists and 3 ints. He also had 17 passes defensed which ranked him within side the Top 5 at cornerbacks in 2007. Revis is strong against the run. I think I'm developing a man crush. :hifive:

Cornerbacks are one of the more difficult positions to judge. Whenever I judge a Corner the first thing I look for is who's playing on the other side of him. Then I look for how much time you think he will be on the field. Then finally I look at his willingness to play the run. Last year Revis was a rookie and he got picked on some. His coverage game is still maturing. This year he'll be the more respected of the corners which is a bad sign fantasy wise. However, this should not hurt him too much as I'm sure the Jets will be mediocre. Expect about the same amount of tackles, but a bump in big plays.

70 tackles 15 assists 6 int's (one returned for a score)

 
anyone have some thoughts on Revis? Do you think he has elite fantasy CB potential? Will the roster changes the Jets made this offseason impact his production?

 
I don’t believe I’ve ever seen Revis play. I know I liked what I read on him coming out of Pitt and was hoping he would go to a zone team. Looking back at his numbers last year, he had a significant drop off in the 2nd half, I assume he proved himself, and was targeted less.

If he is a good cover corner, his numbers will drop … you can pretty much count on it. If he struggles in coverage a move to S may be in the cards, as he fits the mold of today’s NFL safeties. Just looking at his splits, (halfs and quarters) seems to me he earned some respect, his tackle numbers decreased each quarter.

PROJECTIONS 53 solos / 10 Asst / 0 sacks / 5 INT / 15 PD’s

 
I don’t believe I’ve ever seen Revis play. I know I liked what I read on him coming out of Pitt and was hoping he would go to a zone team. Looking back at his numbers last year, he had a significant drop off in the 2nd half, I assume he proved himself, and was targeted less.

If he is a good cover corner, his numbers will drop … you can pretty much count on it. If he struggles in coverage a move to S may be in the cards, as he fits the mold of today’s NFL safeties. Just looking at his splits, (halfs and quarters) seems to me he earned some respect, his tackle numbers decreased each quarter.

PROJECTIONS 53 solos / 10 Asst / 0 sacks / 5 INT / 15 PD’s
:thumbup: You make an excellent point about the targets. However, I compensated for that with the additions of Pace, Gholston and a motivated Thomas. I see a lot more quick/bad throws where last year teams could target a side of the field. I also believe, if I'm not mistaken, he got banged up at the end of the year and played through it. This may have effected his game. Either way he's a willing tackler which for a CB is half the battle.

I would not be surprised to see his numbers fall between 55-70 for tackles.

 
I don’t believe I’ve ever seen Revis play. I know I liked what I read on him coming out of Pitt and was hoping he would go to a zone team. Looking back at his numbers last year, he had a significant drop off in the 2nd half, I assume he proved himself, and was targeted less.

If he is a good cover corner, his numbers will drop … you can pretty much count on it. If he struggles in coverage a move to S may be in the cards, as he fits the mold of today’s NFL safeties. Just looking at his splits, (halfs and quarters) seems to me he earned some respect, his tackle numbers decreased each quarter.

PROJECTIONS 53 solos / 10 Asst / 0 sacks / 5 INT / 15 PD’s
:shrug: You make an excellent point about the targets. However, I compensated for that with the additions of Pace, Gholston and a motivated Thomas. I see a lot more quick/bad throws where last year teams could target a side of the field. I also believe, if I'm not mistaken, he got banged up at the end of the year and played through it. This may have effected his game. Either way he's a willing tackler which for a CB is half the battle.

I would not be surprised to see his numbers fall between 55-70 for tackles.
Having no Jet players, I just don't watch or follow them, I'm going to make it point to watch a few Jet games this year, I'd like to see Revis and a few others. If he was on a zone team, he'd probably be one of the top IDP DB's in the game, I'm just not sure about big tackle numbers in that defense (as long as he's doing his job at corner). For what it's worth, here's Ty Law's tackle numbers during his heyday in NE under Belichick:

2003 61-13

2002 60-17

2001 60-10

2000 63-11

Revis is probably more physical and better in run support, so I suppose he could flirt with 60-70 solos.

 
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Bump for more thoughts/projections on Revis.

Here are some of my thoughts:

Given the dropoff we saw in tackles from Revis in the second half last year, along with the Jets possibly starting Justin Miller opposite him this year, I think he'll have a hard time replicating the 74 solo tackles he finished with last year. Given his willingness and ability to come up in run support, however, he should still easily top 60 solos. He looked like a much more confident player in the second half of his rookie season and I think we'll see that trend continue. Revis does a great job of tracking the ball when it is in the air and batting down a lot of passes even when he can't intercept them, but he has the potential to be a bigtime playmaker as well. The upgrades the Jets made to their pass rush this year should give him a reasonable chance at 5 or 6 interceptions. If that happens, he should wind up as a top-10 CB for the 2nd year in a row.

 
"Good" corners are tough players to predict. On one hand, they usually cover the opposition's #1 WR and usually see anywhere from 8-14 targets per game. The opposition will throw at these "good" CB's until the "good" CB becomes a "really, really good" CB.

Once Revis becomes a "really, really good" CB, I fear his targets will decrease. If you sprinkle in the uncertainty of the Jet's #2 CB, I believe Revis' stats will fall slightly from his impressive rookie campaign. This is not Revis' fault...unless you're Antoine Winfield, Ronde Barber (of yesteryear) or Champ Bailey, it's difficult for CB's to consistently post top-caliber stats.

On a positive note, I believe Revis will see an uptick with his INT's. The Jets added an impressive pass-rush in the both Pace and Gholston and I see Josh McCown (...Henne or Beck) and Trent Edwards falling victim multiple times.

65 solos

15 assists

5 INT's

15 PD's

 
Darrelle Revis is somebody I would target as a backup in leagues where you must start corners and safeties this year, I wouldn't want him in a dynasty league no matter what the starting lineup requirements. With his play improving his numbers dropped off considerably and that's never a good sign for an ultra talented blue chip cornerback. Down the stretch he had alot of weak statistical games and I'm sure the Jets team was pleased to see this happen. I see him as a DeAngelo Hall type of fantasy player in the future, some really great games and some real bombs with there being no real way to guess what type of game is coming up in any given week. I watched a couple of Jets games later on in the year and think Revis is going to end up being one of the better corners in the league by seasons end. I am high on him as a football player, not as a fantasy play.

55 tackles

10 asst

6 INT

15 PD

 

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