Player Spotlight: Greg Jennings (1 Viewer)

2009 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. Last year, we published more than 120 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters. This year will be no different.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Greg Jennings, WR, Green Bay Packers

Player Page Link: Greg Jennings Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsNow let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

Another big year for Jennings, he is Rodgers' go-to receiver and he and Rodgers both are talented. I see no reason not to expect a top 10 WR season out of Jennings.

Recs: 78

Yds: 1250

TDs: 9

85/1300/10

Can't imagine this spotlight gets anyone saying he won't finish top 10. Virtual lock IMO.

80 1292 9 exact same as last year is close enough.

Early on it seemed like he was on his way to having a monster season but he slowed down and just had a very good season. He's only in his 4th season so this could be the one where he puts it all together and has that one huge season. Hopefully the Packers defense stays bad and the running game continues its mediocrity. Those will only help his numbers.

puckalicious said:

Can't imagine this spotlight gets anyone saying he won't finish top 10. Virtual lock IMO.

80 1292 9 exact same as last year is close enough.

Click to expand...

edited for bad juju.but I like those #s w/ some upside.

I agree with the rather gaudy projections for Greg Jennings in 09. My issue with him is more his ADP than his expectations. I think that his compatriot Packer WRs are extremely talented and there could be some others stepping up (sorry Joe) and taking away some of Jennings opportunities. This is also why I am so solid on Packer QB Aaron Rodgers, the multitude of excellent receiving options available.

In his three seasons, Jennings has had 7.5 targets per game in his rookie year, then 6.5 in his second year, and last year up to 8.8 targets per game. 2009 was the only year that he played all 16 games and he became a fantasy force finishing as WR4. Therefore, in 09 he is going at an ADP WR6 and 21 overall. He is in the same ADP tier as Randy Moss, Randy Wayne, Steve Smith, and Roddy WHite. In other words, he needs to play all season and come close to matching 08 success to perform equal to expectations and that might be tough to di in Green Bay with the pletora of receiving options.

Last season, Driver had 115 targets, Jordy Nelson only 54, and James Jones even less at 30 targets. Dinald Lee, the top TE had 50 targets and Jermichael Finley, who could be an up and comer, only had 12 targets.

I do like Jennings offensive talents, but may not get him on my team in 09.

Greg Jennings 128 targets (8.0 per game) 72 catches 1080 yards 15.0 ypc 8 TDs

One of the safest picks in the mid 2nd. 80/1200/10

Driver is only getting older. His reputation will still prevent every down double coverage. Jordy Nelson gets some of those lost targets but so does Jennings.

85/1300/11

Jennings is one of the safer picks to be in the top ten. However, he's not flashy or a big name just yet so isn't going to get scooped up immediately. It's not rediculous to consider Jennings a top 3 contender. I have a few reasons for this.

1) Rodgers and Jennings have only been together for one season. Things should and will only improve.

2) Rodgers missed Jennings at least 4 times that I remember last year on BIG plays that would have gone for 40+ yards and a possible TD. These are the plays that QBs and WRs who spend more time together get in sync on. I have no doubt that Jennings will be a league leader in 20+ and 40+ yard receptions.

3) The Green Bay offense is strong. Very strong. The shuffling of the offensive line that took place last season should be settled and will allow the running game to become a strength. Maybe some would look at this as a negative, but I see it as more opportunities for red zone TDs.

4) As with above, the improvement of James Jones, Jordy Nelson, and Jermichael Finley will open up the offense even more. However, Jennings is the man and will be the go to WR on most plays especially if a blitz is on.

5) The HC QB trust factor. McCarthy has stated he is going to allow Rodgers to run the offense more than last year. This is including calling plays at the line. Maybe this belongs more under Rodgers thread, but I believe that it is going to benefit Jennings and Driver and cause Grant to lose out on a couple of 1 yard TDs.

6) It's a contract year for Jennings.

Here are a couple of negatives:

1) The defense should be improved. The Packers may not have to score as many points as last year. However, I don't think McCarthy is the most conservative coach but can be at times.

2) The Fantasy Playoff schedule for Jennings includes week 13 vs Bal, week 14 @ Chi, and week 15 @ Pit. Jennings will help you get to a title run, but you may want to move him before the trade deadline for someone with more favorable matchups.