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Player Spotlight: Willie Parker (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2009 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. Last year, we published more than 120 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters. This year will be no different.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Willie Parker, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Player Page Link: Willie Parker Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Attempts, Completions, Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsNow let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 
Willie Parker is a surefire bust. This is a RB who has always been overrated, but at his best he was a 1-trick pony (speed) and he no longer has that extra gear.

His YPC and production have dropped 3 years running (last years 3.8 YPC was bad) and he turns 29 this season. He is a speed back who has taken a few too many hits and is on the decline.

With Mendenhall and Moore as alternatives, I wouldnt touch Willie Parker with a 10-foot pole.

150 carries

550 yds

1 TD

2 rec

10 yds

0 TD

 
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As recently as week 17 & 19 last year FWP put up 23/116/1 and 27/146/2 even with Moore getting a handful of carries, then he struggled in the conf. championship and superbowl with a paltry 24/47/0 and 19/53/0. Conf champ. was against BAL so maybe that's not surprising, but 53 yards against ARI? I don't recall the reason there other than both teams aired it out quite a bit.

Even in a generous 60/40 share between him and either of Mendenhall/Moore I could see at least 200 carries at a 4.0 clip as his floor. He was pretty dinged up last year so a RBBC like this may keep him healthy and more effective.

200/800/7 & 20/150/0.

But I would not be surprised one bit if he handily outperforms this, leaving all of us scratching our heads trying to remember why we projected him so low.

 
No reason to think Mendy gets more than 20% of the carries, unless Parker gets hurt. It wont be a 50/50 split.

300 carries, 1000 yards, 7 TDs. He still has game breaking speed and the Steelers play some bad teams this year, and not just the Browns and Bungals.

fwiw, Mendy 200 carries, 600 yards, 6 TDs

Mewelde Moore is still there as the 3rd down back.

 
No reason to think Mendy gets more than 20% of the carries, unless Parker gets hurt. It wont be a 50/50 split.300 carries, 1000 yards, 7 TDs. He still has game breaking speed and the Steelers play some bad teams this year, and not just the Browns and Bungals.fwiw, Mendy 200 carries, 600 yards, 6 TDsMewelde Moore is still there as the 3rd down back.
Wow, when's the last time PIT rushed for over 500 carries? I don't recall this happening over the last several years at least. Or any NFL team for that matter, this seems pretty rare to me.
 
Even more under rated than last year. I prefer him to guys routinely taken before him like Ryan Grant, LJ, Thomas Jones, DMC, Kevin Smith, among others.

When healthy, he's a great RB2.

 
255 carries 1176 yards 8 Td's, 4.6 ypc

Parker did most of his damage when he had a running back to split the short yardage workload (Bettis and Davenport the last few years). I think his days of 300 plus carries may be behind him but 250 is certainly within the realm. Assuming Mendenhall stays healthy, I see this as Parker's probable low end and I will snap him up in every draft I can.

 
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No reason to think Mendy gets more than 20% of the carries, unless Parker gets hurt. It wont be a 50/50 split.300 carries, 1000 yards, 7 TDs. He still has game breaking speed and the Steelers play some bad teams this year, and not just the Browns and Bungals.fwiw, Mendy 200 carries, 600 yards, 6 TDsMewelde Moore is still there as the 3rd down back.
Wow, when's the last time PIT rushed for over 500 carries? I don't recall this happening over the last several years at least. Or any NFL team for that matter, this seems pretty rare to me.
they were well over 400 carries last year and Mendy had 19, and Parker was gimpy, and they had a dependable WR3 in Nate Washington.So maybe not 500, but over 450.If anything, draft him, play him week 1 vs Tenn at home, he'll get yards and at least 1 score, then trade him to someone who thought he wouldnt be much.
 
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puckalicious said:
steelcityman said:
No reason to think Mendy gets more than 20% of the carries, unless Parker gets hurt. It wont be a 50/50 split.300 carries, 1000 yards, 7 TDs. He still has game breaking speed and the Steelers play some bad teams this year, and not just the Browns and Bungals.fwiw, Mendy 200 carries, 600 yards, 6 TDsMewelde Moore is still there as the 3rd down back.
Wow, when's the last time PIT rushed for over 500 carries? I don't recall this happening over the last several years at least. Or any NFL team for that matter, this seems pretty rare to me.
Really? This actually happens all the time. Just looking back over the last 5 years, an average of 6 teams do it per year, although admittedly it's everyone on the team all added up. To me, the really odd thing about this projection is both backs combining for 3.2 yards a carry. :loco:
 
puckalicious said:
steelcityman said:
No reason to think Mendy gets more than 20% of the carries, unless Parker gets hurt. It wont be a 50/50 split.

300 carries, 1000 yards, 7 TDs. He still has game breaking speed and the Steelers play some bad teams this year, and not just the Browns and Bungals.

fwiw, Mendy 200 carries, 600 yards, 6 TDs

Mewelde Moore is still there as the 3rd down back.
Wow, when's the last time PIT rushed for over 500 carries? I don't recall this happening over the last several years at least. Or any NFL team for that matter, this seems pretty rare to me.
Really? This actually happens all the time. Just looking back over the last 5 years, an average of 6 teams do it per year, although admittedly it's everyone on the team all added up. To me, the really odd thing about this projection is both backs combining for 3.2 yards a carry. :loco:
Guess I should have used Data Dominator in the first place. FBG need to update their projections. No team is over 500 carries.
 
puckalicious said:
steelcityman said:
No reason to think Mendy gets more than 20% of the carries, unless Parker gets hurt. It wont be a 50/50 split.

300 carries, 1000 yards, 7 TDs. He still has game breaking speed and the Steelers play some bad teams this year, and not just the Browns and Bungals.

fwiw, Mendy 200 carries, 600 yards, 6 TDs

Mewelde Moore is still there as the 3rd down back.
Wow, when's the last time PIT rushed for over 500 carries? I don't recall this happening over the last several years at least. Or any NFL team for that matter, this seems pretty rare to me.
Really? This actually happens all the time. Just looking back over the last 5 years, an average of 6 teams do it per year, although admittedly it's everyone on the team all added up. To me, the really odd thing about this projection is both backs combining for 3.2 yards a carry. :loco:
Guess I should have used Data Dominator in the first place. FBG need to update their projections. No team is over 500 carries.
FWIW, in the past 7 seasons (as far back as Data Dominator goes), only 2 teams have had more than 489 RB rushing attempts - Pittsburgh 2004 and Baltimore 2008. And only 2 other teams have had more than 479. Pittsburgh has had 450+ RB rushing attempts 3 times in those 7 years, the last time in 2007 (with 452).
 
240 1080 6 TD's

28 255 1

he's playing for cash and been working his tail off all off season. I think we see one more year of Fast Willie.

 
240 1080 6 TD's 28 255 1he's playing for cash and been working his tail off all off season. I think we see one more year of Fast Willie.
Actually, he's been quoted as saying he wants to stay in Pittsburgh more than a few times, and the he realizes it may not be in a starting role. Since I'm sure he knows the big cash isn't going to come from there, one could presume that it may not be as much of a motivator for him as you'd think. Grain of salt, etc. etc..., of course.In my view, Parker DOES have 3 things going for him right now:1. Firstly, he's reportedly 100% healthy and has some of his lost burst back.2. Secondly, he ALWAYS works his ### off in the offseason, practices, etc. and that endears him to the coaches3. Third, and probably most importantly, he is A#1 on the list of "Tomlin's Guys." Every coach has them. Willie is probably more Mike's boy than Roethlisberger. He loves the guy(likely due in large part to #2.Now, he isn't without warts or concerns, either. 1. His OL isn't the greatest at run blocking(though they did start to come together a shred better in the playoffs). 2. He's aging AND he's in a very crowded backfield. 3. The coaching staff has done little other than talk up Mendenhall's offseason since shortly after the SB. Hell, the week OF the SB either Tomlin or Arians said something about how impressive he had been looking in his rehab at that time. 4. Tomlin has recently been quoted as saying that Mendenhall will basically dictate Mendenhall's PT(i.e. if he performs, he'll play more, therefore, Parker would play less.) 5. They still have Moore, who shold handle all long-yardage 3rd downs. 6. They expended a 5th rounder on a guy who's primary contribution to the team, if he does indeed contribute, is probably going to be as a goal-line back. I haven't done my Steeler projections yet, but I see a bunch of guys vying for a piece of the Steeler rushing pie. If all the backs remain relatively healthy I have a hard time seeing Parker with much more than 200 regualr season carries, and maybe 5-10 catches(if that). Yardage I have no guess yet. That OL need to improve quite a bit in the run game for me to think he'll crack much more than 4.0 YPC even. He's also probably third in the pecking order, as of today, to be used at the stripe.If the Steelers run it 450ish times this year I could see Parker with 200-210 of those, Mendenhall with 140-150, Moore with 40-50(I see him doing most of his damage as a receiver, barring injury to the top 2 guys), Summers getting most of the short-yardage work, so maybe 20-25 for him and a handful for the totally inept Carey Davis. That'd leave about 30 or 40 carries for the QBs, end arounds to the WRs, etc.Hell, I guess I basically just projected the Steelers running game right there, didn't I? :) In that case:Parker: 205 rushes, 799 yards, 5 TDs. 5 receptions, 20 yards, 0 TDsNot exactly earth shattering, but I'm also guessing that he'll remain healthier with the lighter workload and be more productive in the postseason. Again, I'm projecting that all based off the top 3 Steeler backs remaining relatively healthy. If one of the other two gets hurt (Mendenhall, in particular) Parker will likely absorbs most of that guy's touches. It will also mean that he probably gets dinged up too, but it'd be more carries until he did. In a perfect world where all 3 backs stay healthy(4 if we're counting Summers as a GL vulture), I think the Steelers will at least attempt to spread the ball around them all. I think the coaches think that they're all worthy of contributing, in certain roles and situations, and I also think that Coach Mike may be more inclined to try and keep his boy Willie fresher for the stretch run. Based on some of Tomlin's comments, the X-factor seems to be Mendenhall. I'm sure that the Steelers want to see if he has "it" this year in the likely event that they are without Parker in 2010, regardless of his desire to stay in Pittsburgh. While I think that the coaches like Mendenhall a good deal more than a lot of FFers do, and really want him to force Parker to the bench, in the same breath Mikey T seems more than happy to run Parker out there as the primary ball-carrier every week until Mendenhall actually does that. What will be interesting to see, for me anyway, will be what the coaches do by the end of this season if Mendenhall DOES outplay Parker in his reps.
 
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Just Win Baby said:
puckalicious said:
-arcK- said:
puckalicious said:
steelcityman said:
No reason to think Mendy gets more than 20% of the carries, unless Parker gets hurt. It wont be a 50/50 split.

300 carries, 1000 yards, 7 TDs. He still has game breaking speed and the Steelers play some bad teams this year, and not just the Browns and Bungals.

fwiw, Mendy 200 carries, 600 yards, 6 TDs

Mewelde Moore is still there as the 3rd down back.
Wow, when's the last time PIT rushed for over 500 carries? I don't recall this happening over the last several years at least. Or any NFL team for that matter, this seems pretty rare to me.
Really? This actually happens all the time. Just looking back over the last 5 years, an average of 6 teams do it per year, although admittedly it's everyone on the team all added up. To me, the really odd thing about this projection is both backs combining for 3.2 yards a carry. :loco:
Guess I should have used Data Dominator in the first place. FBG need to update their projections. No team is over 500 carries.
FWIW, in the past 7 seasons (as far back as Data Dominator goes), only 2 teams have had more than 489 RB rushing attempts - Pittsburgh 2004 and Baltimore 2008. And only 2 other teams have had more than 479. Pittsburgh has had 450+ RB rushing attempts 3 times in those 7 years, the last time in 2007 (with 452).
I will definitely take a back seat and agree with you here. As I implied, total team rushes will of course include QB and WR runs, which is usually what puts teams over 500. I guess I should clarify my previous thought: Basically, the idea that Pittsburgh RBs could have 500 rushes isn't nearly as outrageous as the idea that they will be in a position to do so despite having one of the most inefficient ground games in the league. That's why that projection seems so bizarre to me.

 
I haven't done my Steeler projections yet, but I see a bunch of guys vying for a piece of the Steeler rushing pie.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I actually see two guys only vying for the Steelers rushing pie .

Parker and Mendenhall. Moore is nothing more then a pedestrian RB and third down back .

And i think if Mendy has a good camp we could see him takeover as the starting tailback so .

Parker .

200 carries 750 yards 4 TD's.

 
I actually see two guys only vying for the Steelers rushing pie .
I think if there's only legitimately two guys splitting carries then we're both underestimating Parkers touches by a decent tick.If it's a true split between only Parker and Mendenhall, with Mendenhall getting SY carries, Moore only working 3rd downs, and Summers not being used as anything but a blocker/receiver, then Parker probably carries the ball 250+ times unless he's hurt.I don't see it happening that way.
 
steelcityman said:
300 carries, 1000 yards, 7 TDs.
If he's averaing 3.3 ypc I can't see them giving him 300 carries.Parker is a player I have very little interest in this year. My projections are based on a best case scenario, meaning he stays healthy and gets a significant share of the carries in Pittsburgh this year. He has very little upside imo - but his ceiling still makes a solid #2 or #3 RB if you can get him late in the draft after grabbing some WRs - and a good deal of downside if his injury woes continue.If he shows some burst in the preseason perhaps I'd move him up a notch, but I didn't see that burst last season and frankly Mewelde Moore looked like a much better option imo.1,045 yards rushing, 5 TDs24 rectpions, 175 yards 2 TDs
 
When I think about the fantasy prospects of Willie Parker, I'm not overly optimistic. His season ultimately depends on his buddy in the backfield, Rashard Mendenhall. The bottom line is the Steelers want to use Mendenhall more and not be made fools for spending a first round pick on him. Parker's touches have to decrease as a result.

However, what Fast Willie does have in his favour is that Mike Tomlin and the Steelers brass don't seem fully convinced on Mendenhall's skills yet. Tomlin's comments a few days ago about Mendenhall having to show him something in camp illustrated that quite clearly.

So here it is - Parker should be able to keep his job and get about 60% of the touches or more in the opening weeks, but as the Steelers give Mendenhall occasional touches they realise that they can't keep him out of the game 60% of the time. Mendenhall eventually becomes the starter, and the ratio, originally 60/40 in Parker's favour, switches around.

My projections for Parker are:

215 carries, 815 yards, 3.6 average, 6 TD

26 rec, 260 yards, 1 TD

 
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Texans 23rd in rushing d (rushing yards allowed)

Eagles 4th

Jags 14th

Giants 9th

Redskins 8th

Colts 24th

Chargers 11th

Patriots 15th

Cowboys 12th

Titans 6th

Average = 12.6

This year they play

Ten 6th

Chi 5th

SD 11th

Det 32

Min 1

Den 27

KC 30

OAK 31

GB 26

MIA 10

Average from last year 17.9.

How can you project that Parker will drop 0.3-0.8 y/c from last year with a much easier looking schedule and WP was injured last year? A healthy WP probably puts up 4.3-4.5 y/c this year on 280 carries and maybe 150 yards receiving.

1230 rushing

150 receiving

7 total TDs

Low end #2 RB.

 
baconisgood makes a fine point (two, in fact, as bacon is good). Additionally, I think expectations for Parker are low in part because he's given owners the old screwjob a couple times, i.e. running wild but only scoring a couple TDs, or leading the league in rushing but getting injured just in time for FF playoffs (I think those were 2 separate seasons).

Looking at his gamelogs, Parker hasn't had many stinkers. I think he's still a good RB2 and that schedule looks promising.

 
baconisgood makes a fine point (two, in fact, as bacon is good). Additionally, I think expectations for Parker are low in part because he's given owners the old screwjob a couple times, i.e. running wild but only scoring a couple TDs, or leading the league in rushing but getting injured just in time for FF playoffs (I think those were 2 separate seasons).

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...p;qpid=10525038

Looking at his gamelogs, Parker hasn't had many stinkers. I think he's still a good RB2 and that schedule looks promising.
Huh? Parker ran for <50 yards in 5 of his 11 starts and scored in 3 games all season. He is 28 years old and looking used up from this perspective.

 
Not many bad games over his career, I mean. I don't know if he's used up. If he looks bad in preseason action I'll revise my opinion.

I don't think he's so far gone at 28 that he couldn't have a good 14 to 16-game season again. Pitt. was a bad running team last year, but that apparently soft '09 schedule is making me consider this guy.

 
If you do a simple projection by adding FWP average yards per game of 72 to 5 games assuming he plays all 16. This turns out 360 yards. You add that to 791yards he netted in 11 games and you get 1151 yards. You can add 2 TD,s at least to those games and you end up with a 16game total of 1151yards and 7TD's.

So to sum it all FWP is probably being overlooked in a lot of drafts, i would not hesitate to draft him as my #2 considering his previous 3years he amased 1200+ rushing yards.

 
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Not many bad games over his career, I mean. I don't know if he's used up. If he looks bad in preseason action I'll revise my opinion.

I don't think he's so far gone at 28 that he couldn't have a good 14 to 16-game season again. Pitt. was a bad running team last year, but that apparently soft '09 schedule is making me consider this guy.
Well, thats the problem. Pitt was only a bad running team last year when Willie Parker started. In Moores 4 starts, he averaged 90 yds/gm 4.5 ypc and 20 yds/rec/gm. Parker was 72 yds/gm, 3.76 ypc and 0 yds rec.

 
Not many bad games over his career, I mean. I don't know if he's used up. If he looks bad in preseason action I'll revise my opinion.

I don't think he's so far gone at 28 that he couldn't have a good 14 to 16-game season again. Pitt. was a bad running team last year, but that apparently soft '09 schedule is making me consider this guy.
Well, thats the problem. Pitt was only a bad running team last year when Willie Parker started. In Moores 4 starts, he averaged 90 yds/gm 4.5 ypc and 20 yds/rec/gm. Parker was 72 yds/gm, 3.76 ypc and 0 yds rec.
He seemed to be fine prior to his injury... 25/138/2 and 28/105/0 before getting brutalized by PHI and spraining his knee. The whole team got punched in the face by PHI and Ben almost got killed. I don't think they play the NFC East this year so that helps.
 
Not many bad games over his career, I mean. I don't know if he's used up. If he looks bad in preseason action I'll revise my opinion.

I don't think he's so far gone at 28 that he couldn't have a good 14 to 16-game season again. Pitt. was a bad running team last year, but that apparently soft '09 schedule is making me consider this guy.
Well, thats the problem. Pitt was only a bad running team last year when Willie Parker started. In Moores 4 starts, he averaged 90 yds/gm 4.5 ypc and 20 yds/rec/gm. Parker was 72 yds/gm, 3.76 ypc and 0 yds rec.
He seemed to be fine prior to his injury... 25/138/2 and 28/105/0 before getting brutalized by PHI and spraining his knee. The whole team got punched in the face by PHI and Ben almost got killed. I don't think they play the NFC East this year so that helps.
Those were the first two games. This a 28 year old who, as you claim, couldnt overcome a 3-5 week knee injury over the last 16 weeks and that doesnt raise red flags for you??

Steelers VS the NFC East

Vs Redskins

Parker 21 carries 70 yds, 1 TD

Moore 4 carries -2 yds (3 rec, 45 yds)

vs Eagles

Parker 13 carries 20 yds

Moore 1 carry 6 yds

vs Giants

Parker 0/0

Moore 19 carries 84 yds, 1TD (2 rec, 10 yds)

vs Dallas

Parker 12 carries, 25 yds

Moore 5 carries, 22 yds (4 rec, 36 yds)

Totals

Parker 46 carries, 115 yds, 2.5 yds carry

Moore 29 carries, 110 yds, 3.8 yds carry (9 rec, 91 yds)

The problem with the Steelers offense last season WAS Parker.

 
Not many bad games over his career, I mean. I don't know if he's used up. If he looks bad in preseason action I'll revise my opinion.

I don't think he's so far gone at 28 that he couldn't have a good 14 to 16-game season again. Pitt. was a bad running team last year, but that apparently soft '09 schedule is making me consider this guy.
Well, thats the problem. Pitt was only a bad running team last year when Willie Parker started. In Moores 4 starts, he averaged 90 yds/gm 4.5 ypc and 20 yds/rec/gm. Parker was 72 yds/gm, 3.76 ypc and 0 yds rec.
He seemed to be fine prior to his injury... 25/138/2 and 28/105/0 before getting brutalized by PHI and spraining his knee. The whole team got punched in the face by PHI and Ben almost got killed. I don't think they play the NFC East this year so that helps.
Those were the first two games. This a 28 year old who, as you claim, couldnt overcome a 3-5 week knee injury over the last 16 weeks and that doesnt raise red flags for you??

Steelers VS the NFC East

Vs Redskins

Parker 21 carries 70 yds, 1 TD

Moore 4 carries -2 yds (3 rec, 45 yds)

vs Eagles

Parker 13 carries 20 yds

Moore 1 carry 6 yds

vs Giants

Parker 0/0

Moore 19 carries 84 yds, 1TD (2 rec, 10 yds)

vs Dallas

Parker 12 carries, 25 yds

Moore 5 carries, 22 yds (4 rec, 36 yds)

Totals

Parker 46 carries, 115 yds, 2.5 yds carry

Moore 29 carries, 110 yds, 3.8 yds carry (9 rec, 91 yds)

The problem with the Steelers offense last season WAS Parker.
Well you claimed that "Pitt was only a bad running team last year when Willie Parker started", and while this was true it was because he was injured. In the first two games before his injury he looked pretty darn good. I don't disagree that he carries significant risk this season due to health, but to claim he is washed up when healthy is not accurate.
 
No reason to think Mendy gets more than 20% of the carries, unless Parker gets hurt. It wont be a 50/50 split.

300 carries, 1000 yards, 7 TDs. He still has game breaking speed and the Steelers play some bad teams this year, and not just the Browns and Bungals.

fwiw, Mendy 200 carries, 600 yards, 6 TDs

Mewelde Moore is still there as the 3rd down back.
Wow, when's the last time PIT rushed for over 500 carries? I don't recall this happening over the last several years at least. Or any NFL team for that matter, this seems pretty rare to me.
Really? This actually happens all the time. Just looking back over the last 5 years, an average of 6 teams do it per year, although admittedly it's everyone on the team all added up. To me, the really odd thing about this projection is both backs combining for 3.2 yards a carry. :loco:
Guess I should have used Data Dominator in the first place. FBG need to update their projections. No team is over 500 carries.
FWIW, in the past 7 seasons (as far back as Data Dominator goes), only 2 teams have had more than 489 RB rushing attempts - Pittsburgh 2004 and Baltimore 2008. And only 2 other teams have had more than 479. Pittsburgh has had 450+ RB rushing attempts 3 times in those 7 years, the last time in 2007 (with 452).
I'm going back through my Spotlight posts, and thought it would be interesting to follow up on this discussion.Pittsburgh was 17th in the league with 378 RB rushing attempts. The top 5:

New York Jets 518

Baltimore 489

Miami 454

Cincinnati 450

New Orleans 430

Basically, it drops off very quickly. But every year people tend to inflate the total projected rushing attempts for many teams, particularly those with multiple good backs or historically good rushing offenses.

 

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