Player Spotlight: Chad Pennington (1 Viewer)

2009 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. Last year, we published more than 120 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters. This year will be no different.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Chad Pennington, QB, Miami Dolphins

Player Page Link: Chad Pennington Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Attempts, Completions, Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsNow let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

Pennington was one of the more shocking QBs last year, or in recent memory for that matter. Who could've predicted that he would not only play well in Miami, but lead the team to more wins than Brett Favre did in his old haunt in New York? And who would've predicted a 16-game schedule for the oft injured veteran? Pennington is a high character QB who for some reason is held accountable for his flaws but isn't given the credit for his near-elite accuracy and grace under pressure. While the Dolphins offensive supporting cast isn't that compelling, it's no worse than a season ago. To my mind, Pennington represents great value as your fantasy backup. He can be had rounds after several QBs who, in my view, stand a good chance of falling short of Pennington's output.

Jason - could not get the Pennington link to work

Chad Pennington is a greet security blanket to draft in later rounds to have on hand, just in case. His current ADP is QB23 and 150 overall. FBG projections average 3,300 yards or so and most everybody expects him to be the starter. He finished an amaxing QB10 a year ago and it is probable for him to continue to play well enough to stay top 15 at a cheap price. The downside is that he rarely scores big, with only two games over 300 yards in 08. Still, in FBG scoring, he had seven of the regular season games where he scored over 20 fantasy points.

Looking at the projections, the QB10 is listed as 278 fantasy points and the difference between that and Pennington is only 39 points, or just over two points per game. You could do worse than stocking up on value picks at RB, WR, and TE, while waiting till the 13th round in a twelve team league and grabbing the Steady Eddie Cerebral Pennington.

Chad Pennington 300 completions in 460 attempts 65% for 3400 yards 7.4 ypa 16 TDs and 6 ints

chad's fantasy value will always be solid if he's healthy and has decent weapons. As a regular season NFL QB, the guy is above average (again, when he's healthy and on a decent team).

I'm still of the opinion that Chad Pennington can NOT lead a team to the promised land. But that isnt relevant in fantasy. I'd be thrilled to have him as my backup or part of a well thought out QBBC strategy.

Jason Wood said:

Pennington was one of the more shocking QBs last year, or in recent memory for that matter. Who could've predicted that he would not only play well in Miami, but lead the team to more wins than Brett Favre did in his old haunt in New York? And who would've predicted a 16-game schedule for the oft injured veteran? Pennington is a high character QB who for some reason is held accountable for his flaws but isn't given the credit for his near-elite accuracy and grace under pressure. While the Dolphins offensive supporting cast isn't that compelling, it's no worse than a season ago. To my mind, Pennington represents great value as your fantasy backup. He can be had rounds after several QBs who, in my view, stand a good chance of falling short of Pennington's output.

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QB is the most distorted position in the league when it comes to final positioning. Generally you start or get 0 points. Pennington came in #10- but 11 + 12 would have been ahead of him if they played all 16 games (Thigpen and Romo). Schaub and Hill would have blown his score out of the water with 16 games, Garcia essentially would have tied him. Realistically Pennington was the 15th best QB last year and several QBs look to have improved their situation- Edwards, Orton, if Favre plays healthy all year he could beat him (or not, who knows what to expect at his age), Palmer will be back and if he plasy 16 will beat Pennington. Perhaps QB 23 is to low for Chad but anything higher than 15 is to high.

Jason Wood said:

Pennington was one of the more shocking QBs last year, or in recent memory for that matter. Who could've predicted that he would not only play well in Miami, but lead the team to more wins than Brett Favre did in his old haunt in New York? And who would've predicted a 16-game schedule for the oft injured veteran? Pennington is a high character QB who for some reason is held accountable for his flaws but isn't given the credit for his near-elite accuracy and grace under pressure. While the Dolphins offensive supporting cast isn't that compelling, it's no worse than a season ago. To my mind, Pennington represents great value as your fantasy backup. He can be had rounds after several QBs who, in my view, stand a good chance of falling short of Pennington's output.

Click to expand...

He'll still be left on the WW at the end of both my upcoming 12-man league drafts.

4----Starts

110 att.

72 comp.

840 yards

3 tds

3 ints.

0-4 record:

L-Atl.

L- Indy

L- San D.

L- Buf

Replaced by Henne Week 5