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Deangelo second half (1 Viewer)

footballnerd

Footballguy
Deangelo had an excruciatingly slow start last year which probably lead most people to give up on him, and then busted out for one of the biggest second halves in fantasy football. He's off to another slow start that has his owners in agony. Could this be the trend for Williams? Is the shark move to get him on your squad while the price is low?

 
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I'd say part of his success depends on Delhomme. He's got to make that passing game at least decent enough to keep teams and secondaries honest. Right now, everyone is stacking the line because Jake is throwing INTs more than TDs. :confused:

 
I'd say part of his success depends on Delhomme. He's got to make that passing game at least decent enough to keep teams and secondaries honest. Right now, everyone is stacking the line because Jake is throwing INTs more than TDs. :lmao:
FWIW, Delhomme completed 61% of passes with 9 TDs and 5 INTs in weeks 1-8 last year, and he completed 56% of passes with 5 TDs and 7 INTs in weeks 9-16 last year.
 
I'd say part of his success depends on Delhomme. He's got to make that passing game at least decent enough to keep teams and secondaries honest. Right now, everyone is stacking the line because Jake is throwing INTs more than TDs. :lmao:
FWIW, Delhomme completed 61% of passes with 9 TDs and 5 INTs in weeks 1-8 last year, and he completed 56% of passes with 5 TDs and 7 INTs in weeks 9-16 last year.
:lmao:
 
Splits happen. Doesn't mean they're meaningful predictors of events going forward. Carolina as a team hasn't looked as good running the ball this year as they have last year. JMHO.

 
I have D-Willy in one league and am not counting on it. I am only hoping for better than what he has shown. Plus J-Stew seems to be cutting in.

 
It looks like a different team this year. DW doesn't seem to run with the confidence he had, as the holes are way less consistant. This could be a train wreck all year... but as an owner, I'm holding out hope for a 2nd half surge anyway. No logic whatsover.

 
It seems like there are way too many expectations for DeAngelo.

Obviously that's because of his performance last season and where he was being drafted going into this season. Anyone expecting him to average 100 yards and a TD every game just wasn't being realistic. Delhomme and the offensive line need to play better for DeAngelo to be successful. He didn't lose his patience, vision, or explosiveness.

He hasn't been nearly as bad as everyone is making him out to be so far though.

In Carolina's first four games:

Phi- 14 for 37 1 TD, 4 rec for 42

@Atl- 16 for 79 1 TD, 3 rec for 32

@ Dal- 11 for 64, 2 rec for 10

Was- 18 for 40, 2 rec for 19

The Philadelphia game was a debacle and Williams still had a decent fantasy day, then a great game against Atlanta, a good game against Dallas where the running game was working but abandoned in the second half, and then a poor game against Washington where Carolina definitely made an effort to get him the ball.

Memories appear to be pretty short in the fantasy football world. DeAngelo has a bye, then a weak game, and people are calling him a bust? The Panthers haven't been playing well, but we're still only four games into the season. Be patient...

He plays Tampa this week. If he can't break off a couple big runs and punch in a TD then I'll panic.

He's carved the Bucs up in two of their last three meetings and they aren't anywhere near the defense they were in those matchups. He should easily manage over 100 total yards and at least one score this week.

The schedule doesn't look too daunting overall and DeAngelo showed last season that the defense doesn't necessarily matter if they can get their running game back on track.

 
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I don't think he'll come close to the 2nd half he had last year but I'd still look to buy him if someone was willing to sell at a reasonable price.

 
FantasyTrader said:
This is an O-line problem. And I don't see it going away.
What happened to the line? I havent seen many Panther games but the line is pretty stacked isnt it. Gross and Otah outside are as good as it gets no?
 
I don't think he'll come close to the 2nd half he had last year but I'd still look to buy him if someone was willing to sell at a reasonable price.
Tyring to land him now, offered R Bush and Sid Rice.
I would think it would take a Benson type back to get in the door...I doubt Bush has much value unless its PPR. If I had Benson I'd certainly be looking to package him for DWill. I don't hate Benson and think he'll probably do well the rest of the year but Williams should do a lot better IMO.
 
He hasn't been nearly as bad as everyone is making him out to be so far though.In Carolina's first four games:Phi- 14 for 37 1 TD, 4 rec for 42@Atl- 16 for 79 1 TD, 3 rec for 32@ Dal- 11 for 64, 2 rec for 10Was- 18 for 40, 2 rec for 19
Sorry, but you're spreading pixie dust on a turd here. An average of 55 yds rushing and .5 TD's per game is really as bad as people are making it out to be. Remember where he was drafted. While I very much agree that Williams has better days ahead, there's no mistaking how bad it's been to this point.
 
He hasn't been nearly as bad as everyone is making him out to be so far though.In Carolina's first four games:Phi- 14 for 37 1 TD, 4 rec for 42@Atl- 16 for 79 1 TD, 3 rec for 32@ Dal- 11 for 64, 2 rec for 10Was- 18 for 40, 2 rec for 19
Sorry, but you're spreading pixie dust on a turd here. An average of 55 yds rushing and .5 TD's per game is really as bad as people are making it out to be. Remember where he was drafted. While I very much agree that Williams has better days ahead, there's no mistaking how bad it's been to this point.
Don't say you weren't warned :blackdot:
 
He hasn't been nearly as bad as everyone is making him out to be so far though.

In Carolina's first four games:

Phi- 14 for 37 1 TD, 4 rec for 42

@Atl- 16 for 79 1 TD, 3 rec for 32

@ Dal- 11 for 64, 2 rec for 10

Was- 18 for 40, 2 rec for 19
Sorry, but you're spreading pixie dust on a turd here. An average of 55 yds rushing and .5 TD's per game is really as bad as people are making it out to be. Remember where he was drafted. While I very much agree that Williams has better days ahead, there's no mistaking how bad it's been to this point.
This is exactly what I'm talking about. Receiving yards don't count for you? He's had one bad game out of the four he's played in.You can almost throw the Philly game out, as it was a disaster all around, and he still managed 79 total yards and a score.

He averaged 4.9 and 5.8 yards per carry against Atlanta and Dallas respectively. I'm not faulting DeAngelo for only getting four carries in the second half against the Cowboys.

A big game this week should silence the critics.

 
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An average of 55 yds rushing and .5 TD's per game is really as bad as people are making it out to be.
You can't look at it that way. You have to go on a game by game basis, as that is how most leagues are scored.He's had two bad games and two pretty good ones. So far he has underperformed his ADP, but I don't think it's fair to call him a bust.The only thing that has surprised me heretofore, is the amount of carries Stewart has gotten. In retrospect, it probably shoudn't surprise me.
 
He had one of the best fantasy performance runs in recent memory. Beyond his talent, there were a lot of forces at play (strong OL, good QB play, strong defense that enables commitment to the run game) last year that really helped.

That perfect storm may be very hard to replicate, so expectations should be tempered.

 
There is no chance in hell Williams repeats what he did in the second half of last year. His schedule is difficult and the Panthers struggling heavily. In addition, Stewart is healthy so no 100% Williams. Sorry Williams owners. You bought into a lie.

 
There is no chance in hell Williams repeats what he did in the second half of last year. His schedule is difficult and the Panthers struggling heavily. In addition, Stewart is healthy so no 100% Williams. Sorry Williams owners. You bought into a lie.
While I'm not predicting Williams to replicate his 2nd half from last year, your logic is pretty faulty. Carolina's 2008 "2nd half" looked like an easy schedule, when you look at it IN HINDSIGHT. It's easy to look at things that have already happened, and make statements like "no wonder he did so well, he had an easy schedule." Right now, Carolina's schedule doesn't look easy, but at the end of the year, things might look very different. For example, preseason 2008, Carolina was projected to have a middle of the road 2nd half rushing schedule, with 2 easy games, 1 hard game, and 5 average games. You commented "In addition, Stewart is healthy, so no 100% Williams. Sorry Williams owners. You bought into a lie." WTF are you talking about? During the 2nd half last year, Williams had 63% of the carries, and Stewart had 37%. That's pretty much what was expected for this year, and it's been almost exactly what has happened. Dilliams has 64% of the carries, and Stewart has 36%.But, the Panthers are struggling a lot right now.So other than the fact that 2 of your 3 reasons for saying Williams won't have a good 2nd half are COMPLETELY WRONG, you made a good argument.
 
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There is no chance in hell Williams repeats what he did in the second half of last year. His schedule is difficult and the Panthers struggling heavily. In addition, Stewart is healthy so no 100% Williams. Sorry Williams owners. You bought into a lie.
EdwardCat knows stuff.....
 
Ya its pretty obvious that he won't repeat last years second half output, but he could get it going and put out RB1 numbers (unlike what he's doing at the moment). There are a lot of backs in the past that started off the year slowly.

 
Splits are far more applicable in baseball than football.

Sadly, as a Williams owner, I expect him to be good from here on out...but that's about it.

 
I think all will agree that he's not getting 15+ TDs from this point forward.

I could see another 9-10 TDs spread out pretty evenly, as I don't expect too many multiple TD games from him. 12 TDs for the year is pretty solid, even for a top-10 draft pick.

 
He hasn't been nearly as bad as everyone is making him out to be so far though.

In Carolina's first four games:

Phi- 14 for 37 1 TD, 4 rec for 42

@Atl- 16 for 79 1 TD, 3 rec for 32

@ Dal- 11 for 64, 2 rec for 10

Was- 18 for 40, 2 rec for 19
Sorry, but you're spreading pixie dust on a turd here. An average of 55 yds rushing and .5 TD's per game is really as bad as people are making it out to be. Remember where he was drafted. While I very much agree that Williams has better days ahead, there's no mistaking how bad it's been to this point.
This is exactly what I'm talking about. Receiving yards don't count for you? He's had one bad game out of the four he's played in.You can almost throw the Philly game out, as it was a disaster all around, and he still managed 79 total yards and a score.

He averaged 4.9 and 5.8 yards per carry against Atlanta and Dallas respectively. I'm not faulting DeAngelo for only getting four carries in the second half against the Cowboys.

A big game this week should silence the critics.
I'm not saying he's completely worthless. RB16 in high performance formats - good RB2. Just not what you drafted him for. A big game this week won't silence this critic (and I do believe he will have a very big game - he's my #1 RB this week). The key to all of this is remembering where you drafted him and what his purpose was supposed to serve for your fantasy squad.
 
He hasn't been nearly as bad as everyone is making him out to be so far though.

In Carolina's first four games:

Phi- 14 for 37 1 TD, 4 rec for 42

@Atl- 16 for 79 1 TD, 3 rec for 32

@ Dal- 11 for 64, 2 rec for 10

Was- 18 for 40, 2 rec for 19
Sorry, but you're spreading pixie dust on a turd here. An average of 55 yds rushing and .5 TD's per game is really as bad as people are making it out to be. Remember where he was drafted. While I very much agree that Williams has better days ahead, there's no mistaking how bad it's been to this point.
This is exactly what I'm talking about. Receiving yards don't count for you? He's had one bad game out of the four he's played in.You can almost throw the Philly game out, as it was a disaster all around, and he still managed 79 total yards and a score.

He averaged 4.9 and 5.8 yards per carry against Atlanta and Dallas respectively. I'm not faulting DeAngelo for only getting four carries in the second half against the Cowboys.

A big game this week should silence the critics.
I suspect the bolded part is where the problem is.He seems to be getting more done with his receptions this year but is losing more carries and touchdowns (TD's were expected). BTW, I don't think you can point to Stewart as his numbers seem to be down as well.

I'd have to dig, but my gut is that 3rd down efficiency is a problem which is killing drives and thus depriving all skill positions (Smith, Delhomme and Stewart as well as Williams) of opportuntity (a.k.a. plays).

Couple that with a D that is struggling to cut opponent's drives short and you end up with not only shorter drives in terms of plays but also fewer drives overall.

I have no idea why their o-line was so dominant last year - against the Giants no less - and yet they are struggling this year. I see both Williams and Stewart running hard and being productive with the touches they are getting, they just aren't getting that many and I supect they aren't getting them close enough together to get in any kind of groove.

 
I expect him to post some better numbers in the coming weeks but am strongly considering dealing him because of his playoff schedule: @ NE, Min, @ NYG. The player I'm leaning towards targeting in exchange is Knowshon Moreno.

 
Good start to what's hopefully another nice run of big games. :thumbup:

I expected a big game against Tampa and DeAngelo delivered.

Carolina faces the worst run defense in the league this week. Thomas Jones gashed them for over 200 yards last week, and they've given up over 200 yards on the ground in 3 of their last 4 games.

I would expect another gameplan where the Panthers try to hide Jake Delhomme by giving their running backs over 40 carries.

If you're worried about the schedule DeAngelo faces the rest of the year deal him after he shreds the Bills.

 
Good start to what's hopefully another nice run of big games. :pics:

I expected a big game against Tampa and DeAngelo delivered.

Carolina faces the worst run defense in the league this week. Thomas Jones gashed them for over 200 yards last week, and they've given up over 200 yards on the ground in 3 of their last 4 games.

I would expect another gameplan where the Panthers try to hide Jake Delhomme by giving their running backs over 40 carries.

If you're worried about the schedule DeAngelo faces the rest of the year deal him after he shreds the Bills.
That's exactly what I'm thinking. I'll be disappointed if he doesn't come through this week with another big game.
 
There is no chance in hell Williams repeats what he did in the second half of last year. His schedule is difficult and the Panthers struggling heavily. In addition, Stewart is healthy so no 100% Williams. Sorry Williams owners. You bought into a lie.
Just wait until Stewart's achilles or hangnail flare up and he misses many games.
 
There is no chance in hell Williams repeats what he did in the second half of last year. His schedule is difficult and the Panthers struggling heavily. In addition, Stewart is healthy so no 100% Williams. Sorry Williams owners. You bought into a lie.
While I'm not predicting Williams to replicate his 2nd half from last year, your logic is pretty faulty. Carolina's "2nd half" looks like an easy schedule, IN HINDSIGHT. It's easy to look at things that have already happened, and make statements like "no wonder he did so well, he had an easy schedule." Right now, Carolina's schedule doesn't look easy, but at the end of the year, things might look very different. For example, preseason 2008, Carolina was projected to have a middle of the road 2nd half rushing schedule, with 2 easy games, 1 hard game, and 5 average games. You commented "In addition, Stewart is healthy, so no 100% Williams. Sorry Williams owners. You bought into a lie." WTF are you talking about? During the 2nd half last year, Williams had 63% of the carries, and Stewart had 37%. That's pretty much what was expected for this year, and it's been almost exactly what has happened. Dilliams has 64% of the carries, and Stewart has 36%.

But, the Panthers are struggling a lot right now.

So other than the fact that 2 of your 3 reasons for saying Williams won't have a good 2nd half are COMPLETELY WRONG, you made a good argument.
How do you figure this? Carolina has the 2nd hardest schedule for 2009 and the teams it has left to play include New Orleans x2, New England, Minnesota, Atlanta, and the Giants. The only "easy" teams are Buffalo and Tampa again and I'm thinking Tampa's going to be ready for that game. The other teams are Arizona, Jets and Miami. Their W-L record for the rest of their opponents is 39-22. I'm thinking it's not getting easier. As to DWill. He'll have a decent year, but I think it's only 80% of last year. Probably not near his ADP.

 
There is no chance in hell Williams repeats what he did in the second half of last year. His schedule is difficult and the Panthers struggling heavily. In addition, Stewart is healthy so no 100% Williams. Sorry Williams owners. You bought into a lie.
Just wait until Stewart's achilles or hangnail flare up and he misses many games.
Jonathan Stewart has never missed an NFL game in his career.
 
I don't think he'll come close to the 2nd half he had last year but I'd still look to buy him if someone was willing to sell at a reasonable price.
Tyring to land him now, offered R Bush and Sid Rice.
I would think it would take a Benson type back to get in the door...I doubt Bush has much value unless its PPR. If I had Benson I'd certainly be looking to package him for DWill. I don't hate Benson and think he'll probably do well the rest of the year but Williams should do a lot better IMO.
I offered Jennings/Stafford/Westy for DWill/Palmer in a start 2QB dynasty ppr and was turned down, so I dont see Reggie and Sid flying...
 
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VaCatFan said:
There is no chance in hell Williams repeats what he did in the second half of last year. His schedule is difficult and the Panthers struggling heavily. In addition, Stewart is healthy so no 100% Williams. Sorry Williams owners. You bought into a lie.
While I'm not predicting Williams to replicate his 2nd half from last year, your logic is pretty faulty. Carolina's "2nd half" looks like an easy schedule, IN HINDSIGHT. It's easy to look at things that have already happened, and make statements like "no wonder he did so well, he had an easy schedule." Right now, Carolina's schedule doesn't look easy, but at the end of the year, things might look very different. For example, preseason 2008, Carolina was projected to have a middle of the road 2nd half rushing schedule, with 2 easy games, 1 hard game, and 5 average games. You commented "In addition, Stewart is healthy, so no 100% Williams. Sorry Williams owners. You bought into a lie." WTF are you talking about? During the 2nd half last year, Williams had 63% of the carries, and Stewart had 37%. That's pretty much what was expected for this year, and it's been almost exactly what has happened. Dilliams has 64% of the carries, and Stewart has 36%.

But, the Panthers are struggling a lot right now.

So other than the fact that 2 of your 3 reasons for saying Williams won't have a good 2nd half are COMPLETELY WRONG, you made a good argument.
How do you figure this? Carolina has the 2nd hardest schedule for 2009 and the teams it has left to play include New Orleans x2, New England, Minnesota, Atlanta, and the Giants. The only "easy" teams are Buffalo and Tampa again and I'm thinking Tampa's going to be ready for that game. The other teams are Arizona, Jets and Miami. Their W-L record for the rest of their opponents is 39-22. I'm thinking it's not getting easier.
I meant that when you look, NOW, at Carolina's 2nd half from 2008, you can say it was an easy schedule. However, as I posted previously, based on 2008 preseason SOS, it was not predicted to be the gravy train that EdwardCat portrayed it as. His 2009 schedule, RIGHT NOW, looks difficult, but that may or may not be the case at the end of the season.
 
its oretty likely he will NOT repeat.

BUT i do think he can get top 10 or top 15, which i can live with.

what does it hinge on?

1. passing better to avoid runstack

2. staying in games (better D will help a lot)

3. playcalling to stay in games (not passing a ton early to 3nout or int and kill the run)

4. balance of run/pass or heavier run/pass (stewart helps with extra run carries)

5. people continue to double SS will also help

 
Williams will finish in the top 10 of RBs this year baring injury.
You'll make it home tonight barring a DUI checkpoint.
:goodposting: Williams is currently the #9 ranked RB in my primary league (and 7 of the 8 guys above him haven't had their bye week yet...Williams has).I really don't think it's that much of a stretch to figure he could finish in the Top 10. Hell, he could slightly regress and still finish Top 10.
 
This may sound crazy, but i think if Dwill gets 30+ carries this week he has a chance to break the NFL single game rushing record.

Jamal Lewis had his only 100+ yard game against the Bills in a game that his quarterback completed 2 passes.

Mark Sanchez completed 10 passes and the Jets as a team ran for over 300 plus.

The Dolphins ran for 200+ and so did the Saints.

The bills starting DT Kyle Williams is hurt. Donte Whitner is hurt and i'm not sure he is going to play. Bryan Scott is hurt. Kawika Mitchell is out for the year and Ashlee Palmer an UDFA is starting. Leodis Mckelvin is out for the year and Terrence Mcgee is hurt and may not play.

 
This may sound crazy, but i think if Dwill gets 30+ carries this week he has a chance to break the NFL single game rushing record.Jamal Lewis had his only 100+ yard game against the Bills in a game that his quarterback completed 2 passes. Mark Sanchez completed 10 passes and the Jets as a team ran for over 300 plus.The Dolphins ran for 200+ and so did the Saints.The bills starting DT Kyle Williams is hurt. Donte Whitner is hurt and i'm not sure he is going to play. Bryan Scott is hurt. Kawika Mitchell is out for the year and Ashlee Palmer an UDFA is starting. Leodis Mckelvin is out for the year and Terrence Mcgee is hurt and may not play.
I agree - especially if the Bills find a way to keep it interesting for 60 minutes. He's my #1 ranked RB this week by a good margin. He should singlehandedly ground the Bills into fine ash.
 
FantasyTrader said:
Williams will finish in the top 10 of RBs this year baring injury.
You'll make it home tonight barring a DUI checkpoint.
:lmao: Williams is currently the #9 ranked RB in my primary league (and 7 of the 8 guys above him haven't had their bye week yet...Williams has).I really don't think it's that much of a stretch to figure he could finish in the Top 10. Hell, he could slightly regress and still finish Top 10.
You have a very screwy scoring system that overvalues attempts.
Wrong again, my friend.0.5 PPR, 1 point per 10 yards rush/rec and 6 points per TD.Not screwy at all.
 
Williams will finish in the top 10 of RBs this year baring injury.
You'll make it home tonight barring a DUI checkpoint.
:lmao: Williams is currently the #9 ranked RB in my primary league (and 7 of the 8 guys above him haven't had their bye week yet...Williams has).I really don't think it's that much of a stretch to figure he could finish in the Top 10. Hell, he could slightly regress and still finish Top 10.
He'll do much more than slightly regress.
 
He is the #8 ranked running back in non ppr standard formats right now.

When he goes off the week, i'm thinking about possibly trading him for Ronnie Brown. The Dolphins schedule is setting up nicely for Brown.

 
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FantasyTrader said:
Williams will finish in the top 10 of RBs this year baring injury.
You'll make it home tonight barring a DUI checkpoint.
:goodposting: Williams is currently the #9 ranked RB in my primary league (and 7 of the 8 guys above him haven't had their bye week yet...Williams has).I really don't think it's that much of a stretch to figure he could finish in the Top 10. Hell, he could slightly regress and still finish Top 10.
You have a very screwy scoring system that overvalues attempts.
Wrong again, my friend.0.5 PPR, 1 point per 10 yards rush/rec and 6 points per TD.Not screwy at all.
You're correct. But there's simply no way he finishes top 15.
 
You're correct. But there's simply no way he finishes top 15.
I'm not disputing your opinion that Williams will finish outside the Top 10, or even Top 15. He very well might.What I am disputing is you suggesting someone else is drunk, just because they think Williams will finish in the Top 10.
 

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