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Kyle Orton, QB, Denver Broncos (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2010 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. This year, we plan to publish more than 140 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Kyle Orton, QB, Denver Broncos

Player Page Link: Kyle Orton Player Page

Each article will include:

[*]Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

[*]Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads

[*]FBG Projections

[*]Consensus Member Projections

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[*]For QBs: Attempts, Completions, Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Attempts, Rush Yards, Rush TDs

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I am going to continue my Bronco team train wreck discussion here talking about Mr. Orton. He played ok last year for the Broncos, but there were off-season trade rumors about him. They did add Brady Quinn and then moved up to draft Tim Tebow.

This is a team that has all the looks of collapse. I know a lot of folks talked that way a year ago also and they started strong, but crashed down the stretch. Last year, Kyle Orton has Brandon Marshall to depend on and this year, well he has Gaffney, Royal, and the rookie at WR and Daniel Graham at TE.

Just not much studliness to pull his moderate QB skills out of the fire. The Broncos passed for over 700 yards less in 09 than they did in 08 and 1120 yards went to Marshall and another 416 to Scheffler. I think that another decrease in yardage is within reach even though I expect them to be trailing on the scoreboard in the majorioty of their games which typically spells gargage passing yards.

I am just not a fan of Bronco offensive players in 2010 and Kyle Orton is at the top of the non-fan list. I will project him for starting all 16 games, but I truly believe that we will see some of Tim Tebow down the stretch to further water down these numbers.

Kyle Orton 16 gms 570 attempts 330 complete 57.9% 3420 yards 6.0 ypa 18 TDs and 15 ints 80 rushing yards and 1 TD

 
I am going to continue my Bronco team train wreck discussion here talking about Mr. Orton. He played ok last year for the Broncos, but there were off-season trade rumors about him. They did add Brady Quinn and then moved up to draft Tim Tebow.This is a team that has all the looks of collapse. I know a lot of folks talked that way a year ago also and they started strong, but crashed down the stretch. Last year, Kyle Orton has Brandon Marshall to depend on and this year, well he has Gaffney, Royal, and the rookie at WR and Daniel Graham at TE.Just not much studliness to pull his moderate QB skills out of the fire. The Broncos passed for over 700 yards less in 09 than they did in 08 and 1120 yards went to Marshall and another 416 to Scheffler. I think that another decrease in yardage is within reach even though I expect them to be trailing on the scoreboard in the majorioty of their games which typically spells gargage passing yards.I am just not a fan of Bronco offensive players in 2010 and Kyle Orton is at the top of the non-fan list. I will project him for starting all 16 games, but I truly believe that we will see some of Tim Tebow down the stretch to further water down these numbers.Kyle Orton 16 gms 570 attempts 330 complete 57.9% 3420 yards 6.0 ypa 18 TDs and 15 ints 80 rushing yards and 1 TD
Isn't that a bargain in the late rounds of drafts? He went QB30 tonight in one of my redraft leagues, 19th round of a 20 round redraft...that's value IMO.
 
I am going to continue my Bronco team train wreck discussion here talking about Mr. Orton. He played ok last year for the Broncos, but there were off-season trade rumors about him. They did add Brady Quinn and then moved up to draft Tim Tebow.

This is a team that has all the looks of collapse. I know a lot of folks talked that way a year ago also and they started strong, but crashed down the stretch. Last year, Kyle Orton has Brandon Marshall to depend on and this year, well he has Gaffney, Royal, and the rookie at WR and Daniel Graham at TE.

Just not much studliness to pull his moderate QB skills out of the fire. The Broncos passed for over 700 yards less in 09 than they did in 08 and 1120 yards went to Marshall and another 416 to Scheffler. I think that another decrease in yardage is within reach even though I expect them to be trailing on the scoreboard in the majorioty of their games which typically spells gargage passing yards.

I am just not a fan of Bronco offensive players in 2010 and Kyle Orton is at the top of the non-fan list. I will project him for starting all 16 games, but I truly believe that we will see some of Tim Tebow down the stretch to further water down these numbers.

Kyle Orton 16 gms 570 attempts 330 complete 57.9% 3420 yards 6.0 ypa 18 TDs and 15 ints 80 rushing yards and 1 TD
Isn't that a bargain in the late rounds of drafts? He went QB30 tonight in one of my redraft leagues, 19th round of a 20 round redraft...that's value IMO.
All my projections are based on playing 16 games, but in Orton's case, I strongly believe that the season will implode and the Broncos will explore options shortly after mid-season.
 
Orton is a guy I just want to completely avoid. To be honest, I thought he played better last year than I would've thought possible, but still not well enough to make me think he can surprise us with a fantasy worth season anytime soon. This year, with the losses of Brandon Marshall and Tony Scheffler, the cupboard appears pretty bare. On top of that, LT Ryan Clady is recovering from a torn patella tendon. And then there's the little matter of Tim Tebow. Orton could always surprise if he plays the full 16 games, but he won't be on any of my teams.

 
Orton is a guy I just want to completely avoid. To be honest, I thought he played better last year than I would've thought possible, but still not well enough to make me think he can surprise us with a fantasy worth season anytime soon. This year, with the losses of Brandon Marshall and Tony Scheffler, the cupboard appears pretty bare. On top of that, LT Ryan Clady is recovering from a torn patella tendon. And then there's the little matter of Tim Tebow. Orton could always surprise if he plays the full 16 games, but he won't be on any of my teams.
If someone is stuck for a QB they could do worse then Orton. Schedule is favorable with three of the bottom of the barrel pass defenses; @Jk, Sea, Ind, @ Tenn, for 3/4 first 4 weeks. I'm betting he cracks the top 12, posssible top 10. Marginal Football Manager
 
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Orton is getting a lot of love from Bloom and Lammey and I am in agreement with them. He looks like a solid game manager and McDaniels' offence will flow through the QB.

He doesn't turn over the ball a lot and will be a little smarter in the 2nd year of this offence.

In his previous year with Chicago he only had 12ints over a 16 game schedule.

I see a modest increase in passing yards and a slight uptick in TD's. I think he is a solid bet as a top12QB this year.

4000/24/12

 
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I ended up with Orton as my QB2 in a 2 QB start league. Does everyone still feel he's going to do well this year?

 
I'm obviously a homer, but I think Orton will put up 4k+ this year.

consider:

last year he put up 3800/21/12 in 14 games (13 whole games + 2 half games). He started the year off last year with a thumb injury - in pre-season it was dislocated so bad the bone poked thru the skin. He looked pretty terrible in pre-season, but by the end of the year he was more than adequate.

This year, so far in pre-season games and in camp, he has looked phenominal by all accounts. In games, he's sporting a 7.0 YPA, 4/2 TD/int ratio (including one where the ball bounced off the RB's hands directly to the DB), and a 95.7 rating. I'm telling you - '09 pre-season Orton and '10 pre-season Orton are night and day. The man is in full command and control of the O.

Of course, he's missing Brandon Marshall. I'm not sure who will make up for all of that production - I think it's gonna be a bit here, a sprinkle there, spread it around type of O. Look at the '03 Pats: Brady put up 3600, with his leading receiver had only 800, but 5 players had over 400 yards.

I'm not sure where that puts him FF wise, but I think he's a lock for top 15 at least, with top 10 upside.

 
Thanks for your post. If I can get those kind of numbers from him that will certainly be great for my team. I'm hoping that Gaffney or one of the other receivers will step up in place of Mashall.

 

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