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***Official Ultimate Survivor Discussion Thread*** (1 Viewer)

RB: Adrian Peterson, DeAngelo Williams, Michael Bush, Clinton Portis, Bernard Scott, Mike Bell

WR: Michael Crabtree, Anquan Boldin, Derrick Mason, Devin Hester, Mike Thomas, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Kevin Walter

TE: Brent Celek, Tony Scheffler, Kevin Boss

PK: Nick Folk, Jason Hanson

TD: New York Giants, Carolina Panthers, Houston Texans

Overview:

Old school!

We like your overall strength at the traditionally less important positions, but make no mistake about it: this team is about strength at the running back position. And we think it will be the league favorite or very close to it. Somewhere Marshall Faulk is smiling.

Nonetheless, we'd be remiss if we didn't at least mention the relative lack of strength at quarterback and receiver. These are usually survivable weaknesses, but we'd feel better if we knew you were committed to zealously scouring the waiver wire for this year's emergent players at QB and WR. Getting a breakout player at one or both of those positions would take your already-good team to the next level.

Players we particularly like on this team include Mike Thomas, Devin Hester, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Donovan McNabb, DeAngelo Williams, Bernard Scott, and Nick Folk. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.

Bottom line:

* With great inseason management, we think you have about a 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.

* With good inseason management, we think you have about a 70 percent chance of making the playoffs.

* With average inseason management, we think you have a 55 percent chance of making the playoffs.

In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 17 of 2008:

Michael Bush vs. TB: 183 combined yards, 2 TD

DeAngelo Williams vs. NO: 178 combined yards

Jason Campbell vs. SF: 156 passing yards, 2 TD

Donovan McNabb vs. DAL: 175 passing yards, 3 TD

Adrian Peterson vs. NYG: 103 combined yards, 1 TD

QB Summary:

We have Matt Ryan rated #9 among quarterbacks, which makes him a less-than-stellar starter in this league. But we like the selection of our #12-rated QB, Donovan McNabb, to go with him. Hopefully between the two of them, you should be able to cobble together some good production at the position, but this strategy always carries with it the downside that you'll drive yourself crazy trying to decide who to start from week to week.

Incidentally, these two have a pretty nice combined schedule and a decent playoff schedule too. If you simply played the one with the better matchup each week, this is the schedule you'd face:

DAL | ARI | STL | SF | CLE | PHI | CIN | DET | TB | PHI | STL | GB | NYG | CAR | SEA | NO

Jason Campbell is an excellent depth pick, though you may not end up using him much.

RB Summary:

Nice work here. We like both your starting running backs, as our projections indicate that they give you a combined 4.3 point-per-game advantage over an average opponent in this league. Our projections have Adrian Peterson ranked fourth and DeAngelo Williams ranked seventh.

Your bench also looks good. We see Michael Bush as an average third running back; he's a likely flex starter. Clinton Portis is an excellent RB4. Bernard Scott should serve as a very solid fifth running back. Likewise, Mike Bell should be excellent at RB6.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some members of our staff have Michael Bush ranked as high as 28th, which would make him an above average third running back. Jason Wood defends his high ranking as follows: "The Raiders cleaned house this offseason and are left with Darren McFadden and Michael Bush. Rather than add a rookie or two, the Silver & Black are resolved to build a run-first offense around these two. Given my doubts about McFadden's abilities as a between-the-tackles runner, it sets up for a chance to have Bush explode with a monster season, for a fraction of the cost."

WR Summary:

We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Michael Crabtree is our 22nd ranked WR, Anquan Boldin is #24, and we have Derrick Mason 32nd.

Your bench looks good and should help offset the unexciting starting unit. Tough to do better than Devin Hester at WR4 --- also probably a frequent flex contributor. Mike Thomas will also be among the best WR5s in the league. Darrius Heyward-Bey should serve as a very solid sixth receiver.

Kevin Walter is a solid depth pick.

A quick note about the same-team Boldin/Derrick Mason and Mason/Anquan Boldin duos you've got here. Though the effect is probably negligible, this kind of pairing is likely to make your team more (not less) consistent than a comparable-scoring different-team pair. See this article (which was written before the 2008 season) for more discussion.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some of our staffers have Michael Crabtree as high as #9, which would make him a fine first receiver. Clayton Gray's take: "Everyone remembers that Michael Crabtree missed the first six weeks of last season with his holdout. What most have forgotten is that he wasn't able to practice last offseason due to his foot injury. Yet he still caught 48 balls for 625 yards simply on talent. This year, with a full offseason to practice and actually learn the playbook, Crabtree will remind everyone why he held out in 2009."

Some members of our staff have Anquan Boldin ranked as high as seventh, which would make him a great second receiver and even a legitimate WR1. Mark Wimer defends his high ranking as follows: "Boldin finds himself in an outstanding situation, with a solid possession receiver across from him in Derrick Mason and a skilled pass-catcher out of the backfield in Ray Rice. This will keep opposing teams from blanketing Boldin with coverage. Joe Flacco has a big arm, which should mean lots of big-play opportunities for Boldin. Reports out of the Ravens' OTAs indicate that Flacco is playing with great confidence and poise this season, and that he is taking on the leadership mantle in new ways. A confident, poised Flacco should mean high-quality fantasy numbers for Boldin as Flacco's top wide receiver. Recent injury woes for Derrick Mason (first week of August) further cements Boldin's status as WR #1 on this squad."

Some of our staffers have Derrick Mason as high as #16, which would make him a great third receiver and even a legitimate WR2. Mark Wimer's take: "Mason's problems with minor injuries during the beginning of training camp are raising a red flag for me. If he continues to have nagging issues, he'll drop even further down my board. "

TE Summary:

We have Brent Celek ranked #7 at the position. So while he's passable as a first tight end, he doesn't look particularly thrilling. But we do like your depth at TE, so we're not concerned about it.

Tony Scheffler should be a good second tight end. Kevin Boss should also be solidly above average at TE3.

Kicker Summary:

Nick Folk, our seventh ranked kicker, won't win the league for you, but he'll do.

Defense Summary:

First we'd like to suggest that there are very, very few leagues in which it makes sense to roster more than two defenses. And your's isn't one of them.

When you don't have an elite defense, one option is a committee approach. That is, try to get two cheap defenses whose schedules fit well together. Here are a few teams who we think may be available and whose schedules fit best with the Giants', along with the combined schedule that each would create:

Giants + Cardinals = STL | ATL | OAK | CHI | HOU | DET | SEA | TB | SEA | SEA | KC | SF | STL | DEN | CAR | GB

Giants + Bengals = CAR | BAL | TEN | CLE | TB | DET | ATL | MIA | SEA | DAL | BUF | NYJ | WAS | PIT | CLE | SD

Giants + Dolphins = BUF | MIN | NYJ | CHI | HOU | DET | PIT | CIN | SEA | TEN | CHI | OAK | CLE | NYJ | BUF | DET

*** SPOILER ALERT! Click this link to display the potential spoiler text in this box. ***");document.close();
 
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IIRC, Rate My Team is based on a full season and regular lineup sub,ittals, not 5 weeks and best ball/all play.
no doubt.my squad has 1 player with a bye and that's Adrian Peterson in week 4. feel good about this team. we'll see how it goes.
 
Delhomme, Jake CLE QB - 8

Leinart, Matt ARI QB - 6

Schaub, Matt HOU QB - 7

Matt Leinart is a strong #1. I had to take Schaub a little earlier because of ADP, but I knew Leinart was the guy I wanted to build my team around. Happy to have three starting QBs withouot bye week problems. Schaub has been a tier one player but he goes a little cheaper than the other top guys because of injury risk to himself and AJ. In a five week format like this it's much less of a concernt. Delhomme was the last starting QB availablle when we got to the dregs.

Barber, Marion DAL RB - 4

Harrison, Jerome CLE RB - 8

Jackson, Brandon GBP RB - 10

Johnson, Chris TEN RB - 9

Johnson, Larry WAS RB - 9

McGahee, Willis BAL RB - 8

I don't actually like Chris Johnson at #1, and considered Jones-Drew over him for the first five weeks. Either one should be good. Marion Barber is the starter in Dallas and was a nice cheap RB2. With Hardesty injured, Harrison should be a starter for the short term, and he looked really good at the end of last year. Hopefully he can hold that job for the first few weeks. I really like McGahee in Baltimore. I'm a big believer that it's the system, not Rice's talent, so I'm happy to get the backup there. He was a monster the first few weeks of last season and looks good. Larry Johnson has looked good for Washington and could get a big split of the carries with Portis. Nobody's talking about him because he sucked so much last year, but he's still got legs. Brandon Jackson should be good for a couple points here or there.

Burleson, Nate DET WR - 7

Evans, Lee BUF WR - 6

Manningham, Mario NYG WR - 8

Owens, Terrell CIN WR - 6

Royal, Eddie DEN WR - 9

Smith, Steve NYG WR (P) - 8

Tate, Golden SEA WR - 5

For as cheap as I went at WR, I really like this group. Lots of WR1s and slot guys. Steve Smith/Mario Manningham should be good for WR1 scoring each week. Terrell Owens looks like a decent WR2. Eddie Royal is the de facto #1 in Denver regardless of the Gaffney hype. Golden Tante catches everything they throw to him and should get a handful of receptions a week. Lee Evans lasted long enough that it would be impossible for him to disappoint. And Nate Burleson was very solid last year until he got dinged up. Should be the same in Detroit. This isn't a WR corps I'd use in a normal league, but it's decent for all play.

Clark, Dallas IND TE (P) - 7

Gonzalez, Tony ATL TE - 8

Two of the top TEs in the league, with no bye week issues, and at 1.5 PPR I can use them in the flex.

Bironas, Rob TEN PK - 9

Gano, Graham WAS PK - 9

Mike Herman's #1 kicker is Bironas. Gano was Mr. Irrelevant at 24.12, and was the highest ranked kicker still on the board.

Bengals, Cincinnati CIN Def - 6

Buccaneers, Tampa Bay TBB Def - 4

Cardinals, Arizona ARI Def - 6

Chiefs, Kansas City KCC Def - 4

Week 1: Cardinals @ St Louis, Tampa vs Cleveland

Week 2: KC vs Cleveland

Week 3: Cards vs. Oakland, Tampa vs. Pittsburgh

Week 4: Bengals @ Cleveland

Week 5: Bengals vs. Tampa

 
With Nigel Tufnel's expert assistance, we put together a pretty decent team that I think has a chance to move on. I don't love this team, but I definitely don't hate it either. Should be interesting to see how it plays out.

At the 8 spot, we grabbed Manning. No early bye week. Mr. Reliable. I felt comfortable ignoring the position for a long while. Freeman is a reasonable backup who may never produce a point for the team. Dixon was my 24th round flier. If he gets the starting gig for the first four weeks in Pittsburgh, and he should, he might register some points.

Dixon, Dennis PIT QB

Freeman, Josh TBB QB

Manning, Peyton IND QB

Waited a little bit on RBs. Still, not a bad group. I think the 'best-ball' format will save me here as I think 2-3 of these guys are likely to put up reasonable numbers each week. Just predicting which ones will be the problem...and I don't have to worry about that. Had hoped to get Thomas Jones to pair with JC, but he went right before our pick.

Addai, Joseph IND RB

Brown, Donald IND RB

Charles, Jamaal KCC RB

Choice, Tashard DAL RB

Hardesty, Montario CLE RB

Hillis, Peyton CLE RB

Slaton, Steve HOU RB

We went pretty heavy into WR early. CJ2 was our 2nd overall pick and value just kept being there when it was our turn. Donte Stallworth in the 23rd round was a steal, in my opinion.

Avery, Donnie STL WR

Harvin, Percy MIN WR

Johnson, Calvin DET WR

Meachem, Robert NOS WR

Nicks, Hakeem NYG WR

Stallworth, Donte' BAL WR

Thomas, Devin WAS WR

Wanted to get into TEs a little more, but everytime we looked at them, the ones we wanted went a couple of picks ahead. This probably caused me to reach a bit for Keller, but I like his potential, especially in weeks 1-4 with Holmes out.

Cook, Jared TEN TE

Davis, Fred WAS TE

Keller, Dustin NYJ TE

Probably a HUGE mistake having only one kicker. But this is what I've got.

Kaeding, Nate SDC PK

Not sure why the Washington D is rated so low. I think they are going to be a tough out. As my #2 D, I feel pretty comfortable with them.

Eagles, Philadelphia PHI Def

Redskins, Washington WAS Def

 
I rarely have sexy teams but generally do pretty well, as I take players that I have rated than others. So it won't look pretty on paper, but usually the results will be good.

Cutler, Jay CHI QB - 8

Garrard, David JAC QB - 9

Manning, Eli NYG QB - 8

Cutler is going to be throwing the ball as much as he did in Denver and Garrad and Manning should each have a big week at least once in the first month. IMO, best ball negates the value of some of the elite QBs because each week there are normally a few other guys that can put up a decent score . . . just not every week. Without any bye week issues, I don't really have a problem with this trio (even if they don't give people the warm and fuzzies).

Benson, Cedric CIN RB - 6

Gore, Frank SFO RB - 9

Grant, Ryan GBP RB - 10

Jones, Thomas KCC RB - 4

Taylor, Fred NEP RB - 5

I liked 5 weeks of Gore better than 4 weeks of ADP. Even with Westbrook around, Gore will get his. GB has an easy schedule to start the year, and Benson fell too far even if he doesn't catch any passes. I suspect Jones will see more work than expected, and as far as I can tell Fred Taylor is still slated to get 10-15 carries a game for as long as he can stay in the line up.

Breaston, Steve ARI WR - 6

Garcon, Pierre IND WR - 7

Jennings, Greg GBP WR - 10

Massaquoi, Mohamed CLE WR - 8

Ochocinco, Chad CIN WR - 6

Robinson, Laurent STL WR - 9

Tate, Brandon NEP WR - 5

Washington, Nate TEN WR - 9

As mentioned, GB gets some cupcakes early on. COC should benefit with TO on the other side of the field. I'm not sold on Garcon, but he had some big weeks last year. Breaston/Massaquoi. Laurent, and Washinton could factor in now and again if they have a week with a long TD. Tate should be a starter in NE. That would make 8 NFL starting WR, which is usually a good thing for best ball.

Daniels, Owen HOU TE - 7

Heap, Todd BAL TE - 8

Hernandez, Aaron NEP TE - 5

Daniels health makes him a risky pick, as a lot of TE went too early for my liking and the follow up run to make up for it had too many so so guys going even earlier. Heap is usually good when he's healthy, and the one would think the beginning of the year would be a good time for him to be healthier. Hernandez has been doing well in camp and looks like the first TE option for the Pats (if that means anything).

Akers, David PHI PK - 8

Bryant, Matt ATL PK - 8

They're kickers and they don't have bye weeks issues.

Falcons, Atlanta ATL Def - 8

Lions, Detroit DET Def - 7

Rams, St. Louis STL Def - 9

They're defenses, and hopefully one of them will be at least tolerable each week.

Overall, as I already said, it doesn't look like much but I suspect it will do fairly well. Only a few guys that won't play all 5 weeks (assuming no one gets nicked up).

 
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QB

Carson Palmer

Alex Smith

Mark Sanchez

RB

Reggie Bush

CJ Spiller

Tim Hightower

Matt Forte

Kevin Faulk

WR

Randy Moss

DeSean Jackson

Jerricho Cotchery

Bernard Berrian

Dexter McCluster

Louis Murphy

Earl Bennett

TE

Jason Witten

Chris Cooley

Shawn Nelson

K

Garrett Hartley

Lawrence Tynes

Robbie Gould

DEF

Dallas Cowboys

Chicago Bears

New Orleans Saints

I have honestly no idea what to expect from this team. With the best ball format, I went for the shotgun approach by making sure I get a reasonable score from the TE, K, DEF, and QB positions each week. My RBs and WRs are very shaky, but I think in a PPR league these guys will be fine for 5 weeks.

Need at least one huge game from Jackson and Moss each the first 5 weeks to have any chance.

 
Well, somebody has to be the caboose in every league and I'd be a fool not to recognize that I'm the odds on favorite to bring up the rear in this league. Bye weeks, players coming off injury, players with suspensions....I've got it all. Hey, if you're going to suck, might as well suck out loud. All that being said, I like the low expectations and would rather surprise to the upside than disappoint to the down. If the stars align just right, this team can and will advance.

QB

Joe Flacco

Chad Henne

Sam Bradford

Entering his 3rd year as a starter, I expect Flacco to take a major step forward and believe this will be the last year Flacco is drafted outside the top 10 for QBs. He has two new weapons in ultra possession receiver Boldin plus a deep threat in Stallworth, who is hungry to prove himself after a year of turmoil. Henne showed tremendous promise at times last year, though he also demonstrated the typical struggles of a first time starter. With Marshall added to the roster, I really like Henne's outlook for 2010. Bradford was amongst the last starters selected and I don't expect much from him, but what do the Rams have to lose? Let the kid sling it.

RB

Maurice-Jones Drew

Jonathan Stewart

Brandon Jacobs

Darren McFadden

Fred Jackson

Rashard Jennings

Anthony Dixon

I snagged Drew with the #2 pick, believing him to be a perfect fit in this format. He got off to a slow start last year - something I hope he avoids in 2010 - but finished the year on a tear. Peterson's week 4 bye coupled with fumble issues scared me off. Ray Rice would have been my other option, but in the end, I felt like Drew was the right pick. I was able to handcuff him late in the draft with Jennings. I've been a HUGE J. Stew fan since his early days at Oregon. He's a complete back...powerful, fast, explosive, great vision. My only concern is durability, but that's a concern I have with every player who snaps a chinstrap for a living. With a young QB, I expect J. Stew and Williams to shoulder the load. I got tremendous value on Jacobs, McFadden and especially Fred Jackson, who remained on the draft board forever. Folks, he's going to play in week 1. I don't know why he was untouched. When he plays, he produces. Spiller was not build to carry a team, so Jackson will be involved. McFadden has been a bust so far, but he plays for an abortion of a franchise and has been hampered by injuries. Still, he's got TREMENDOUS UPSIDE and plays against some weak sauce rush defenses along the way. Brandon Jacobs is still big, still powerful and still on a team that counts on the run. He'll get touchdowns. He'll be the goal line back. Dixon benefits from Coffee's higher calling, though the signing of Westbrook does put a damper in his outlook for now. NO BYE WEEK ISSUES HERE!

WR

Austin Miles

Wes Welker

Brandon Marshall

Vincent Jackson

Kenny Britt

Antonio Bryant

Jordan Shipley

Demaryius Thomas

And, this is where the wheels fell off. I've got THREE stud WR who have byes in either week 4 or 5. That's the bad news. The good news is, I've got THREE stud WR to begin the season. Marshall, Welker and Miles are all capable of 100 receptions, with Miles and Marshall giving me the big plays needed to advance. Kenny Britt has a load of potential and flashed it times last year. But he's still a puppy and doesn't exactly have the most accurate arm distributing him the ball. Antonio Bryant might get cut by the Bengals. If he does, I expect Jordan Shipley to benefit in a big way. Demaryius Thomas is a rookie, but he's a big one and at 6'3", I think he can stretch the field and give the Broncos a replacement to Marshall. And then there's Vincent Jackson. Sigh....I have no idea what to expect from him. He's not going to play to start the year - if at all - but if he comes back in week 4, I'll be the second happiest guy in the world (behind Philip Rivers). If I can just get by week 4 with Miles Austin on a bye, I could sneak through with Vincent Jackson and Miles teaming up for week 5. It's a wing and a prayer, but sometimes that's just enough to get it done.

TE

Zach Miller

Mercedes Lewis

I'm expecting Jason Campbell to elevate Miller's game, just like he did with Chris Cooley in Washington. Campbell relies on his TE and Miller has displayed all sorts of talent for the dumpster fire in Oakland. I expect this to be a perfect marriage and believe Miller will end the year as a top 5 TE. Mercedes Lewis has elevated his game and has the perfect size and speed for his position. Maruice Jones Drew believes Lewis is a tremendous candidate to break out. I believe him. NO BYE WEEK ISSUES

DEF/ST

San Francisco

Oakland

No bye week issues here and considering where I was able to draft San Francisco, I feel like I did very well here. The 49ers are one of the best defenses in the league - and also one of the youngest. P. Willis is the best LB in the NFL, Franklin is a stud NT, D. Goldson is a blossoming super star and they are lead by a defensive legend who wills his team to play hard, tough tackle football. They also play in the worst division in the NFL with interception machines up and down. Oakland has been a joke for years, but I think they will play hard and with a chip on their shoulder. NO BYE WEEK ISSUES

K

Sebastian Janikowski

Joe Nedney

They are kickers. Good ones. No bye problems. And I got them late late late. I'll never be a guy who drafts kickers early. Just a waste, IMO.

 
especially Fred Jackson, who remained on the draft board forever. Folks, he's going to play in week 1. I don't know why he was untouched. When he plays, he produces. Spiller was not build to carry a team, so Jackson will be involved.
you got some inside info on him?they said 4 to 6 weeks recovery time for the broken hand. I don't think he's a bad choice where he went, just not as sure he'll be ready by the opener.
 
especially Fred Jackson, who remained on the draft board forever. Folks, he's going to play in week 1. I don't know why he was untouched. When he plays, he produces. Spiller was not build to carry a team, so Jackson will be involved.
you got some inside info on him?they said 4 to 6 weeks recovery time for the broken hand. I don't think he's a bad choice where he went, just not as sure he'll be ready by the opener.
Four to six weeks is the standard recovery period for a broken bone. So it is possible Jackson could return by Sept. 10, which is exactly four weeks after the injury occurred and two days before the Miami game.

However, this is an optimistic timetable based in part on the fact Jackson hurt his left hand instead of his more dominant right hand. The worst-case scenario for his return would be the Week Three game at New England on Sept. 26.
I've got a chance! :thumbup:
 
Wow. Rate My Team loving team Hoart.

QB: Drew Brees, Matt MooreRB: Knowshon Moreno, LaDainian Tomlinson, Darren Sproles, Leon Washington, Sammy Morris, Brian Westbrook, Julius Jones, Ryan TorainWR: Larry Fitzgerald, Steve Smith, Dwayne Bowe, Jabar Gaffney, Mike Williams, Lance MooreTE: Vernon Davis, Anthony Fasano, Daniel FellsPK: Ryan Longwell, John Kasay, Josh ScobeeTD: New York Jets, Cleveland BrownsOverview:We'll start by complimenting you on your strength at quarterback, running back, receiver, and tight end. As you know, it's very difficult in a competitive league to assemble a team that is strong at QB, RB, TE and WR, so just about every team will have a weakness. As you probably suspect, we perceive yours to be none.In 2010, that's pretty incredible. And in this particular case, we absolutely think you're strong enough to be one of the best fantasy teams ever. You've definitely got an insane team here, but we'd feel better if we knew we didn't have to play you.Players we particularly like on this team include Jabar Gaffney, Mike Williams, Brian Westbrook, Dwayne Bowe, Ryan Longwell, well I guess all of your players. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.Bottom line: * With great inseason management, we think you have about a 100 percent chance of making the playoffs. * With good inseason management, we think you have about a 100 percent chance of making the playoffs. * With average inseason management, we think you have a 99 (j/k 100) percent chance of making the playoffs.
 
especially Fred Jackson, who remained on the draft board forever. Folks, he's going to play in week 1. I don't know why he was untouched. When he plays, he produces. Spiller was not build to carry a team, so Jackson will be involved.
you got some inside info on him?they said 4 to 6 weeks recovery time for the broken hand. I don't think he's a bad choice where he went, just not as sure he'll be ready by the opener.
[GM] broken hand? when? [/GM]
 
especially Fred Jackson, who remained on the draft board forever. Folks, he's going to play in week 1. I don't know why he was untouched. When he plays, he produces. Spiller was not build to carry a team, so Jackson will be involved.
you got some inside info on him?they said 4 to 6 weeks recovery time for the broken hand. I don't think he's a bad choice where he went, just not as sure he'll be ready by the opener.
[GM] broken hand? when? [/GM]
lol
 
RB: Adrian Peterson, DeAngelo Williams, Michael Bush, Clinton Portis, Bernard Scott, Mike Bell

WR: Michael Crabtree, Anquan Boldin, Derrick Mason, Devin Hester, Mike Thomas, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Kevin Walter

TE: Brent Celek, Tony Scheffler, Kevin Boss

PK: Nick Folk, Jason Hanson

TD: New York Giants, Carolina Panthers, Houston Texans

Overview:

Old school!

We like your overall strength at the traditionally less important positions, but make no mistake about it: this team is about strength at the running back position. And we think it will be the league favorite or very close to it. Somewhere Marshall Faulk is smiling.

Nonetheless, we'd be remiss if we didn't at least mention the relative lack of strength at quarterback and receiver. These are usually survivable weaknesses, but we'd feel better if we knew you were committed to zealously scouring the waiver wire for this year's emergent players at QB and WR. Getting a breakout player at one or both of those positions would take your already-good team to the next level.

Players we particularly like on this team include Mike Thomas, Devin Hester, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Donovan McNabb, DeAngelo Williams, Bernard Scott, and Nick Folk. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.

Bottom line:

* With great inseason management, we think you have about a 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.

* With good inseason management, we think you have about a 70 percent chance of making the playoffs.

* With average inseason management, we think you have a 55 percent chance of making the playoffs.

In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 17 of 2008:

Michael Bush vs. TB: 183 combined yards, 2 TD

DeAngelo Williams vs. NO: 178 combined yards

Jason Campbell vs. SF: 156 passing yards, 2 TD

Donovan McNabb vs. DAL: 175 passing yards, 3 TD

Adrian Peterson vs. NYG: 103 combined yards, 1 TD

QB Summary:

We have Matt Ryan rated #9 among quarterbacks, which makes him a less-than-stellar starter in this league. But we like the selection of our #12-rated QB, Donovan McNabb, to go with him. Hopefully between the two of them, you should be able to cobble together some good production at the position, but this strategy always carries with it the downside that you'll drive yourself crazy trying to decide who to start from week to week.

Incidentally, these two have a pretty nice combined schedule and a decent playoff schedule too. If you simply played the one with the better matchup each week, this is the schedule you'd face:

DAL | ARI | STL | SF | CLE | PHI | CIN | DET | TB | PHI | STL | GB | NYG | CAR | SEA | NO

Jason Campbell is an excellent depth pick, though you may not end up using him much.

RB Summary:

Nice work here. We like both your starting running backs, as our projections indicate that they give you a combined 4.3 point-per-game advantage over an average opponent in this league. Our projections have Adrian Peterson ranked fourth and DeAngelo Williams ranked seventh.

Your bench also looks good. We see Michael Bush as an average third running back; he's a likely flex starter. Clinton Portis is an excellent RB4. Bernard Scott should serve as a very solid fifth running back. Likewise, Mike Bell should be excellent at RB6.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some members of our staff have Michael Bush ranked as high as 28th, which would make him an above average third running back. Jason Wood defends his high ranking as follows: "The Raiders cleaned house this offseason and are left with Darren McFadden and Michael Bush. Rather than add a rookie or two, the Silver & Black are resolved to build a run-first offense around these two. Given my doubts about McFadden's abilities as a between-the-tackles runner, it sets up for a chance to have Bush explode with a monster season, for a fraction of the cost."

WR Summary:

We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Michael Crabtree is our 22nd ranked WR, Anquan Boldin is #24, and we have Derrick Mason 32nd.

Your bench looks good and should help offset the unexciting starting unit. Tough to do better than Devin Hester at WR4 --- also probably a frequent flex contributor. Mike Thomas will also be among the best WR5s in the league. Darrius Heyward-Bey should serve as a very solid sixth receiver.

Kevin Walter is a solid depth pick.

A quick note about the same-team Boldin/Derrick Mason and Mason/Anquan Boldin duos you've got here. Though the effect is probably negligible, this kind of pairing is likely to make your team more (not less) consistent than a comparable-scoring different-team pair. See this article (which was written before the 2008 season) for more discussion.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some of our staffers have Michael Crabtree as high as #9, which would make him a fine first receiver. Clayton Gray's take: "Everyone remembers that Michael Crabtree missed the first six weeks of last season with his holdout. What most have forgotten is that he wasn't able to practice last offseason due to his foot injury. Yet he still caught 48 balls for 625 yards simply on talent. This year, with a full offseason to practice and actually learn the playbook, Crabtree will remind everyone why he held out in 2009."

Some members of our staff have Anquan Boldin ranked as high as seventh, which would make him a great second receiver and even a legitimate WR1. Mark Wimer defends his high ranking as follows: "Boldin finds himself in an outstanding situation, with a solid possession receiver across from him in Derrick Mason and a skilled pass-catcher out of the backfield in Ray Rice. This will keep opposing teams from blanketing Boldin with coverage. Joe Flacco has a big arm, which should mean lots of big-play opportunities for Boldin. Reports out of the Ravens' OTAs indicate that Flacco is playing with great confidence and poise this season, and that he is taking on the leadership mantle in new ways. A confident, poised Flacco should mean high-quality fantasy numbers for Boldin as Flacco's top wide receiver. Recent injury woes for Derrick Mason (first week of August) further cements Boldin's status as WR #1 on this squad."

Some of our staffers have Derrick Mason as high as #16, which would make him a great third receiver and even a legitimate WR2. Mark Wimer's take: "Mason's problems with minor injuries during the beginning of training camp are raising a red flag for me. If he continues to have nagging issues, he'll drop even further down my board. "

TE Summary:

We have Brent Celek ranked #7 at the position. So while he's passable as a first tight end, he doesn't look particularly thrilling. But we do like your depth at TE, so we're not concerned about it.

Tony Scheffler should be a good second tight end. Kevin Boss should also be solidly above average at TE3.

Kicker Summary:

Nick Folk, our seventh ranked kicker, won't win the league for you, but he'll do.

Defense Summary:

First we'd like to suggest that there are very, very few leagues in which it makes sense to roster more than two defenses. And your's isn't one of them.

When you don't have an elite defense, one option is a committee approach. That is, try to get two cheap defenses whose schedules fit well together. Here are a few teams who we think may be available and whose schedules fit best with the Giants', along with the combined schedule that each would create:

Giants + Cardinals = STL | ATL | OAK | CHI | HOU | DET | SEA | TB | SEA | SEA | KC | SF | STL | DEN | CAR | GB

Giants + Bengals = CAR | BAL | TEN | CLE | TB | DET | ATL | MIA | SEA | DAL | BUF | NYJ | WAS | PIT | CLE | SD

Giants + Dolphins = BUF | MIN | NYJ | CHI | HOU | DET | PIT | CIN | SEA | TEN | CHI | OAK | CLE | NYJ | BUF | DET
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Did you get extra middle rounds picks for being on the staff?
 
especially Fred Jackson, who remained on the draft board forever. Folks, he's going to play in week 1. I don't know why he was untouched. When he plays, he produces. Spiller was not build to carry a team, so Jackson will be involved.
you got some inside info on him?they said 4 to 6 weeks recovery time for the broken hand. I don't think he's a bad choice where he went, just not as sure he'll be ready by the opener.
Ah-hem.....
BUF - RB Fred Jackson practices TuesdaySource: Chris Brown - BuffaloBills.comBuffalo Bills RB Fred Jackson (hand) participated in practice Tuesday, Aug. 31, but was wearing a hard plastic cast on his left hand, reports Chris Brown, of BuffaloBills.com. Jackson said he struggled holding the ball with his left hand while wearing the brace but was able to catch passes. He believes he has a chance to play in Week 1. 'I feel there’s a 100 percent chance I could play, but it’s going to come down to how much they want to get me out there and if they want to use me,' Jackson said. 'I still don’t know what the deal is, but I think we’ll find out more next week.'[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ OUR VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]This is great news for the Bills as they expect Jackson to be ready by week one of the regular season. Jackson will play in a RBBC with rookie sensation C.J. Spiller this year.
Inside info indeed......
 
I've lost 2 WRs thus far, and the season hasn't even started. At this pace, I won't even be able to field a team by Week 4.

 
Hold on just a second...wait just one second here...Leon Washington runs not one but two 100ish yard kickoffs back for TD's and he gets a goose egg for the week? I assume there's an error on the MFL website? Either that or America's Team just got absolutely swindled and completely bamboozled. I hereby announce intention to file official and heartfelt protest on behalf of the people of the great state of Hoart. Rules may be rules by what's right is right. Official and accurate standings to updated and posted at a secure location on or before 10/7.

 
Hold on just a second...wait just one second here...Leon Washington runs not one but two 100ish yard kickoffs back for TD's and he gets a goose egg for the week? I assume there's an error on the MFL website? Either that or America's Team just got absolutely swindled and completely bamboozled. I hereby announce intention to file official and heartfelt protest on behalf of the people of the great state of Hoart. Rules may be rules by what's right is right. Official and accurate standings to updated and posted at a secure location on or before 10/7.
He helped wilked score a tidy 26 points for the SEA DEF/ST.
 
After staring 11-0, injuries to Grant, Cutler, Taylor, Garcon, Breaston, and Robinson did me in (just 6-27 the rest of the way). Still scored almost as many points as some of the teams in position to advance.

 
I think I need a big night (22.5 points) from Peterson to survive.

nice job by GM putting up some big totals despite the bye week handicaps.

 
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