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Joe Flacco, QB, Baltimore Ravens (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2011 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. This year, we plan to publish more than 140 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters.

With the labor uncertainty, there are more unanswered questions entering the summer than usual. The good news is that gives us some more time to discuss the merits of players without having to react (or overreact) to the smallest bits of news about a slight injury in practice, or coach speak. We'll have plenty of time for that when it comes (we hope).

In the meantime, as always we will post a list of players to be discussed each week. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discuss expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Joe Flacco, QB, Baltimore Ravens

Player Page Link: Joe Flacco Player Page

Each article will include:

[*]Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

[*]Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads

[*]FBG Projections

[*]Consensus Member Projections

The Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

[*]Focus commentary on the player (or players) in question, and your expectations for said player (or players)

[*]Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"

[*]Avoid redundancies or :popcorn: ... this should be about incremental analysis or debate

While not a requirement, we strongly encourage you to provide your own projections for the player (players):

Projections should include:

[*]For QBs: Attempts, Completions, Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Attempts, Rush Yards, Rush TDs

[*]For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

[*]For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

Now let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 
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Joe Flacco is an interesting projection for 2011. He has shown obvious improvement for the Ravens throughout his career. His TDs for instance have climbed from 14 as a rookie in 08, up to 21 and then 25 last season. His completion percentage rise has been similar from 60.0% as a rookie to 63.1% and then 62.6% a year ago. His yards per attempt have shown even more improvement from 6.94 (not bad) as a rookie, then 7.24 and finally 7.41 a year ago.

The Raven offensive focus also seems to have shifted. in 08, they passed only 42.5% of thier plays, but that rose to 52.5% in 09 and then flattened back to 50.6% a year ago.

In the recent 2011 draft, they added an OT Jah Reid at pick 85, who is athletic and should be a good pass blocker as well as two WRs in Torrey Smith at 58 and Tandon Doss at 123. Smith should have the speed that they have sorely needed to open up the field some.

Recent coach speak articles have highlighted that Flacco's role would be shifted give him more flexibility with audibles and to be the team leader. Even discussions about extending his contract have sprung up during the lull that is the lock-out. The Raven defensive leaders are also aging and one of these years, this defense is going to slip some.

For his career he has been one of those reliable QBs that you are comfortable with, but do not provide many of those huge carry your fantasy team days. If he makes an upward trend move similar to what he made between his first and second years, he could be a difference maker for fantasy teams in 2011 as he typically is drafted in the QB range of 12 to 14 and yet a year ago in FBG scoring he ranked 11th and there are several indicators out there that his numbers should improve in 2011.

Joe Flacco 16 gms 334 comp 520 att 64.2% 3900 yds 7.5 ypa 28 TDs 12 ints 40 rushes 90 yds 1 TD

 
Joe Flacco isn't a guy that excites me too much. BAL likes to run the ball a lot (very balanced on offense), Anquan Boldin and Todd Heap can't stay healthy, and Mason is on his last legs. BAL did draft some WRs, but you can't expect them to significantly contribute right away. He isn't a threat to run. And has to play the Steelers 2x. When drafting in the QB10-QB15 range, I am looking for upside, and I don't see it here with Flacco. He's a good QB2. Not a guy that I want as my starter.

3550 yds, 22 TD, 13 Int

75 yds rushing, 1 TD.

 
I don't see Joe Flacco turning into an elite fantasy QB. He has made progressions each of his 3 years in the league, but I can't ever see him being a top 5 guy. I think he'll finish this year about the same as last, which is a QBBC type QB. Joe Flacco shouldn't be drafted as a guy who will start every week for your fantasy team.

3640 yards, 25 td's 12 INT's

99 yards rushing with 1 TD

 
This comment " Joe Flacco shouldn't be drafted as a guy who will start every week for your fantasy team."

I think this is all relative. I mean I'm in a 32 team league and am more then happy with having Flacco as my QB. I think he will be a forever top 12 to 8 range QB. But in a league this size you can't ask for much more then that.

Now if you are in a 12 team league I think this comment might be valid.

 
This comment " Joe Flacco shouldn't be drafted as a guy who will start every week for your fantasy team."

I think this is all relative. I mean I'm in a 32 team league and am more then happy with having Flacco as my QB. I think he will be a forever top 12 to 8 range QB. But in a league this size you can't ask for much more then that.

Now if you are in a 12 team league I think this comment might be valid.
Of course in a deeper league (14-16 teams), Flacco becomes somebody's starter. But most of us play in 10 or 12 team leagues. My draft strategy is usually to list the QBs that I would be happy as my starter (about 10 on that list for me), and look to draft my QB from the bottom 3-4 of that list. Flacco would not be on my list. I would like him as a backup, but I would pay a little too much for him for that role, so I don't see Flacco being on my teams unless it's a start 2QB or a Flex QB type league.
 
I like Razerbacks assessment and agree that he wont be a top 5 QB(But I want him in my league as it is 16 team with flex QB and 6 pts per TD) but I still think he is equal if not better than Matt Ryan and most gush over him all the time. I like the assets that were added this year and how they are opening things up. I would be happy to have him as my QB1 with a guy like Stafford and play QBBC and wait in draft to get my QB.

 
I think Lee Evans will really help him this year. But the way Rice is running the ball they might not need to pass it.

3800 yards 28 td 10 ints

75 yards rushing 1 td

 

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