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Mike Williams, WR, Seattle Seahawks (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2011 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. This year, we plan to publish more than 140 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters.

With the labor uncertainty, there are more unanswered questions entering the summer than usual. The good news is that gives us some more time to discuss the merits of players without having to react (or overreact) to the smallest bits of news about a slight injury in practice, or coach speak. We'll have plenty of time for that when it comes (we hope).

In the meantime, as always we will post a list of players to be discussed each week. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discuss expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Mike Williams, WR, Seattle Seahawks

Player Page Link: Mike Williams Player Page

Each article will include:

[*]Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

[*]Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads

[*]FBG Projections

[*]Consensus Member Projections

The Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

[*]Focus commentary on the player (or players) in question, and your expectations for said player (or players)

[*]Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"

[*]Avoid redundancies or :popcorn: ... this should be about incremental analysis or debate

While not a requirement, we strongly encourage you to provide your own projections for the player (players):

Projections should include:

[*]For QBs: Attempts, Completions, Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Attempts, Rush Yards, Rush TDs

[*]For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

[*]For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

Now let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 
Just sold him in a league where he was my WR5 even though I consider him a wr2/3 type. I'll project 85/1050/6. I think he takes a nice step up and is a very good WR2 in ppr.

 
Just sold him in a league where he was my WR5 even though I consider him a wr2/3 type. I'll project 85/1050/6. I think he takes a nice step up and is a very good WR2 in ppr.
:thumbup: These numbers are dead on with what I am thinking. He missed 3 games last year and was basically a rookie after his days in Detroit and was still a solid 3rd WR in PPR.
 
There was nothing dynamic about Williams last year.

I think a renewed commitment to the ground game with Lynch for a whole season means less targets to go around.

I think Tate will continue to develop in his 2nd season and take more of BMW's targets as well.

I think the QB play will decline--yes, that is possible--from last season.

I'm selling.

BMW: 58-610-3

 
Has anyone heard anyrhing about his conditioning during the lockout? I hope he keeps the same focus that got him back in the game.

On to projections...

My biggest question about BMW's #s next yr depend on who is his QB. If Hass or equivalent QB is at the helm, I'd give him a slight bump over last year. 76/855/4

W/O a solid QB, I'd say more in the range of 60/700/2.

 
Has anyone heard anyrhing about his conditioning during the lockout? I hope he keeps the same focus that got him back in the game.On to projections...My biggest question about BMW's #s next yr depend on who is his QB. If Hass or equivalent QB is at the helm, I'd give him a slight bump over last year. 76/855/4W/O a solid QB, I'd say more in the range of 60/700/2.
He's stated that he's doing 5 hours of cardio a day to stay in shape, and during the season he was quoted as saying essentially "I'll never allow myself to get fat again, its not worth it." I wouldn't worry about his conditioning.I think BMW will emerge as more of a redzone threat in the coming season, as he's certainly got the size and ball skills to be effective in jump ball situations. I'm looking at numbers in the 75/920/8 range.
 
Just sold him in a league where he was my WR5 even though I consider him a wr2/3 type. I'll project 85/1050/6. I think he takes a nice step up and is a very good WR2 in ppr.
Based on those projections, you appear to be fairly high on Williams, so I'm curious what you got in return for him.
 
Sorry about the hatchet job on the quotes, not too good with this phone, I did reply down below in your quote.

Just sold him in a league where he was my WR5 even though I consider him a wr2/3 type. I'll project 85/1050/6. I think he takes a nice step up and is a very good WR2 in ppr.
gave up Williams, danario, massaquoi for a 1st in 2012. I figured I have Roddy, Wallace, bowe, tb mike and some others in the danario/massaquoi mold so it was basically having too many WRs. I'm hopeful the first is a good one. Based on those projections, you appear to be fairly high on Williams, so I'm curious what you got in return for him.
 
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Sorry about the hatchet job on the quotes, not too good with this phone, I did reply down below in your quote.

Just sold him in a league where he was my WR5 even though I consider him a wr2/3 type. I'll project 85/1050/6. I think he takes a nice step up and is a very good WR2 in ppr.
gave up Williams, danario, massaquoi for a 1st in 2012. I figured I have Roddy, Wallace, bowe, tb mike and some others in the danario/massaquoi mold so it was basically having too many WRs. I'm hopeful the first is a good one. Based on those projections, you appear to be fairly high on Williams, so I'm curious what you got in return for him.
Just highlighting previous poster's comments.
 
In only 14 games he mustered 65/751/2. Add in his two playoff games and you get a 16 game clip that comes in at 74/834/5. With so many decent QBs out there looking for a home, I feel like it is reasonable for Seattle to do better than Whitehurst but they did trade a 3rd for him, so if the price is too high for another QB they just might try to prove they didn't waste a draft pick, but I think they know better. For now I'm going to assume the Hass is back or a guy of equivalent talent takes his spot. The three TDs in the two playoff games kind of gives you hope that BMW could emerge as the red zone threat he sure appears suited to be (4 of his 5 TD were <10 yds). If the team can find a way to move the ball then he could cash in. But that remains to be seen, although they did get a new OC and draft two offensive linemen. With an ADP of 94 (WR34) I feel like he presents a lot of value and should outplay a low-end WR3 draft status.

80 rec, 12.0 ypr, 960 yds, 8 TD seems like a reasonable progression from his first year back in the NFL (16 games)

 
I think his QB play will only get better. 25 more targets and more accurate red zone play is to be expected. 85 1100 8. We have not seen Williams at his best. Last year was solid, this year I expect him to break out in a big way.

 
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