CalBear
Footballguy
An NFL team can't make a personnel move these days without being accused of trying to get the #1 pick in the draft. Andrew Luck has been anointed as the future savior of every franchise from Seattle to Jacksonville and beyond. This is a guy who had one mediocre season (56.3% completions, 13 TD on 288 attempts), and one excellent season (70.7% completions, 32 TD 8 INT) against mediocre competition, with only two games out of 12 against teams which finished in the BCS top 25. The one game he played against a top team (Oregon) he threw two second-half interceptions, one when down by seven and one in the end zone when down by 14.
Now going into 2011, he's lost four offensive lineman and his coach. His offensive line was stellar, allowing just nine sacks in 2009 and six in 2010. He looked great with no pressure, but that situation is likely to change this year.
I will predict that Luck will complete less than 65% of his passes this year, have less than last year's 32 TDs, more than last year's 8 INTs, and be sacked more than 10 times. He may still go #1 overall but his image will be a lot less rosy in 2012 than it is now.
Who's with me?
Now going into 2011, he's lost four offensive lineman and his coach. His offensive line was stellar, allowing just nine sacks in 2009 and six in 2010. He looked great with no pressure, but that situation is likely to change this year.
I will predict that Luck will complete less than 65% of his passes this year, have less than last year's 32 TDs, more than last year's 8 INTs, and be sacked more than 10 times. He may still go #1 overall but his image will be a lot less rosy in 2012 than it is now.
Who's with me?
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