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Best Fantasy Schedules for QB (1 Viewer)

David Yudkin

David Yudkin

Footballguy
Here are the current best schedules for the fantasy playoffs (Weeks 14-16) based on current results (through Week 9). Scoring system = 6 pts all TD, -2 for INT, 1 pt for 25 passing yds, 1 pt for 10 rushing yds.

To clarify, the last column has the opponents for the team listed. Each column represents the opponents ranking for fantasy points scored by QB against that opponent.

So for the Lions . . .

MIN - 2nd most points allowed to QB

OAK - 5th most points allowed to QB

SD - 9th most points allowed to QB

Total - 16

Code: 
DET	2	5	9	16	MIN, OAK, SDBUF	9	6	1	16	SD, MIA, DENWAS	3	22	2	27	NE, NYG, MINMIA	12	13	3	28	PHI, BUF, NENE	23	1	6	30	WAS, DEN, MIACHI	1	22	7	30	DEN, SEA, GBDEN	17	3	13	33	CHI, NE, BUFGB	5	14	17	36	OAK, KC, CHINO	19	2	15	36	TEN, MIN, ATLTEN	8	4	26	38	NO, IND, JAXBAL	4	9	30	43	IND, SD, CLESEA	10	17	16	43	STL, CHI, SFKC	31	7	5	43	NYJ, GB, OAKJAC	11	15	19	45	TB, ATL, TENDAL	22	11	12	45	NYG, TB, PHINYJ	14	12	22	48	KC, PHI, NYGOAK	7	28	14	49	GB, DET, KCHOU	27	20	4	51	CIN, CAR, INDATL	20	26	8	54	CAR, JAX, NOCAR	15	29	11	55	ATL, HOU, TBPIT	30	16	10	56	CLE, SF, STLCIN	29	10	18	57	HOU, STL, ARIMIN	28	8	23	59	DET, NO, WASPHI	6	31	24	61	MIA, NYJ, DALSF	18	25	22	65	ARI, PIT, SEATB	26	24	20	70	JAX, DAL, CARSTL	21	27	25	73	SEA, CIN, PITSD	13	32	28	73	BUF, BAL, DETARI	16	30	27	73	SF, CLE, CINCLE	25	18	32	75	PIT, ARI, BALNYG	24	23	31	78	DAL, WAS, NYJIND	32	19	29	80	BAL, TEN, HOU
 
great post. thanks, david. i have stafford and this just makes me want to add hill as a nice handcuff

 
'Wadsworth said:
There any way to get all of these threads linked together in one place?
Click to expand...
Jay Cutler looks like a nice buy-low/waiver wire guy. I was looking at his schedule and he can do some damage. Especially coming off a tough week with all that wind in Chicago last weekend.
 
for someone desperate, Matt Moore or Rex Grossman might help.

being down to Tebow and Freeman in one league , I might need to grab one.

 
####, i have stafford and eli. people are interested in eli, and im hesitant due to stafford's injury history, but looking at eli's schedule, maybe it would be better to sell him and try to buy another QB like cutler low

 
Through 11 games . . .

Code: 
WAS	2	8	1	11	NE, NYG, MINDET	1	10	5	16	MIN, OAK, SDMIA	12	3	2	17	PHI, BUF, NEDEN	15	2	3	20	CHI, NE, BUFBUF	5	11	4	20	SD, MIA, DENDAL	8	14	12	34	NYG, TB, PHICHI	4	21	9	34	DEN, SEA, GBNYJ	18	12	8	38	KC, PHI, NYGNE	23	4	11	38	WAS, DEN, MIANO	25	1	13	39	TEN, MIN, ATLTEN	7	6	27	40	NO, IND, JAXBAL	6	5	30	41	IND, SD, CLEGB	10	18	15	43	OAK, KC, CHIKC	26	9	10	45	NYJ, GB, OAKOAK	9	19	18	46	GB, DET, KCMIN	19	7	23	49	DET, NO, WASHOU	28	17	6	51	CIN, CAR, INDATL	17	27	7	51	CAR, JAX, NOJAC	14	13	25	52	TB, ATL, TENSD	3	32	19	54	BUF, BAL, DETCAR	13	31	14	58	ATL, HOU, TBSEA	24	15	20	59	STL, CHI, SFPHI	11	26	22	59	MIA, NYJ, DALSF	16	29	21	66	ARI, PIT, SEATB	27	22	17	66	JAX, DAL, CARCIN	31	24	16	71	HOU, STL, ARINYG	22	23	26	71	DAL, WAS, NYJPIT	30	20	24	74	CLE, SF, STLCLE	29	16	32	77	PIT, ARI, BALARI	20	30	28	78	SF, CLE, CINSTL	21	28	29	78	SEA, CIN, PITIND	32	25	31	88	BAL, TEN, HOU
 
Call me crazy, but I'm beginning to think that dropping Freeman and picking up Matt Moore makes sense. Freeman's playoff schedule looks fairly brutal.

 
For ha-ha's, playing the what if game, here's what would have happened if you lost QBs to injury (like many of us did) and had to live with a RBBC of waiver wire QBs. The intent here was to target guys ONLY facing the Pats, Bills, and Broncos.

Now, I realize that this would not have ever really happened, as we would have had no idea that those teams would have been as generous to QBs as they have been, and it's unlikely that fantasy owners would have started the season without any QBs to play. I also made the assumption that the players listed were available off of waivers (which in most of my leagues they were at the time they would have had to have been added and inserted into a lineup).

In any event, here's what I came up with had people really been desperate and wanted to play match ups of waiver wire QBs against those 3 poor defenses. (Scores are from one of my leagues, scoring system really not that important here.)

Week 1: Henne vs Pats 43.7

Week 2: Campbell vs Bills 35.45

Week 3: Hasselbeck vs Broncos 28.35

Week 4: Campbell vs Pats 24.1

Week 5: Not applicable, no waiver wire QBs available vs those opponents

Week 6: Not applicable, no waiver wire QBs available vs those opponents

Week 7: Moore vs Broncos 14.75

Week 8: Beck vs Bills 7.4

Week 9: Palmer vs Broncos 30.9

Week 10: Not applicable, no waiver wire QBs available vs those opponents

Week 11: Moore vs Bills 24.1

Week 12: Young vs Pats 30

Average Score: 26.52

In that league's scoring system, that average would have ranked as the #6 QB over the course of the year so far. That would be better than all QBs in the league save for Rodgers, Brees, Brady, Newton, and Stafford.

I was surprised at how well that would have worked.

 
For all the work and pre-season guessing which team would be easiest to score against, plus all the different transactions required to achieve QBBC success above, and healthy variance and risk involved; I think you just proved that burning a first or second round pick on a premium QB is worth the price.

 
Will be interesting what Tebow does against these teams. Will he throw more against teams like MN, NE & Buff as other QBs have had success doing? Or do no statistical comparisons apply for him -- positive or negative.

 
QB has been a weakness for me in my 16-team league all season but I've cobbled together a nice little committee of Fitzpatrick, Moore and Hanie in time for the playoff push.

 
'Irish Catholic said:
Will be interesting what Tebow does against these teams. Will he throw more against teams like MN, NE & Buff as other QBs have had success doing? Or do no statistical comparisons apply for him -- positive or negative.
Click to expand...
Using the lipstick on a pig analogy, if Tebow's biggest issue is accuracy, just because a team lets receivers run free may not result in great gains in the passing attack for Denver. I think a team like NE might do a better job against Tebow as they have been decent in stopping the run and horrible against the pass. If Brady can roll up points against Denver's defense (something which hasn't happened much lately), I don't think the Broncos will have the luxury of grinding it out or having Tebow run frequently. IMO, Tebow will have slightly better passing numbers . . . but not to the tune of 400 yards like Henne or Young.
 
'Raiderfan32904 said:
For all the work and pre-season guessing which team would be easiest to score against, plus all the different transactions required to achieve QBBC success above, and healthy variance and risk involved; I think you just proved that burning a first or second round pick on a premium QB is worth the price.
Click to expand...
I agree and disagree with your assessment. IMO, Rodgers has proven to be worth a first round pick and Brady/Brees likely second round picks, but that's about as far as I would go in the first two rounds for QBs. That being said, this year I intentionally waited on QBs and planned to go QBBC from the get go. But all my QBs have gotten hurt (and the guys I replaced them with got hurt), so I have been forced to pretty much do what I outlined. The last few weeks I have rotated through Palmer, Young, and Moore. While I admit this is far from an ideal situation to be in, my team is stacked elsewhere so all I am looking for is close to QB1 numbers from SOMEONE on my roster or on waivers each week. I have been able to rank 7th (out of 12) in QB scoring playing match ups, so it is possible to succeed with dreck at QB. Again, I would rather have Rodgers and not have to worry about it, so I won't argue with those that took him early and are reaping the benefits. But when all the real options are already rostered, you have to come up with a PLAN B . . .
 
David, can you update your original post to include the last few weeks in the equation for points scored against a defense. Miami is a team that has greatly improved.

 
'Sabertooth said:
David, can you update your original post to include the last few weeks in the equation for points scored against a defense. Miami is a team that has greatly improved.
Click to expand...
I updated all the positional threads yesterday (QB, RB, WR, TE, PK, DEF/ST). They all should be in the first few pages of Shark Pool threads.
 
'David Yudkin said:
'Sabertooth said:
David, can you update your original post to include the last few weeks in the equation for points scored against a defense. Miami is a team that has greatly improved.
Click to expand...
I updated all the positional threads yesterday (QB, RB, WR, TE, PK, DEF/ST). They all should be in the first few pages of Shark Pool threads.
Click to expand...
Thanks for your hard work. This is subscription level work you are bringing to the pool. :thumbup:
 
A shame the Pats are largely facing toothless opposing offenses, so he likely won't need to throw much. Perhaps BB uses the end of the season to dial-up their running game, preserving Brady, et al for the playoffs

 
Actual points allowed (6 pts all TD, -1 per INT, 1 pt = 20 yds passing)

Code: 
WAS	25.92	23.2	30.03	79.15	NE, NYG, MINDET	30.03	23.53	25.36	78.92	MIN, OAK, SDMIA	23.78	26.58	25.92	76.28	PHI, BUF, NEDEN	22.24	25.92	26.58	74.74	CHI, NE, BUFBUF	25.36	22.93	25.16	73.45	SD, MIA, DENNO	19.48	30.03	22.5	72.01	TEN, MIN, ATLDAL	23.2	23.15	23.78	70.13	NYG, TB, PHINYJ	22.05	23.78	23.2	69.03	KC, PHI, NYGCHI	25.16	20.55	23	68.71	DEN, SEA, GBNE	20	25.16	22.93	68.09	WAS, DEN, MIAGB	23.53	22.05	22.24	67.82	OAK, KC, CHITEN	23.9	24.58	17.38	65.86	NO, IND, JAXOAK	23	20.77	22.05	65.82	GB, DET, KCBAL	24.58	25.36	15.32	65.26	IND, SD, CLEJAC	23.15	22.5	19.48	65.13	TB, ATL, TENMIN	20.77	23.9	20	64.67	DET, NO, WASKC	17.16	23	23.53	63.69	NYJ, GB, OAKSEA	20.37	22.24	20.8	63.41	STL, CHI, SFATL	22.07	17.38	23.9	63.35	CAR, JAX, NOHOU	16.58	22.07	24.58	63.23	CIN, CAR, INDSD	26.58	14.23	20.77	61.58	BUF, BAL, DETCAR	22.5	15.48	23.15	61.13	ATL, HOU, TBPHI	22.93	17.16	20.07	60.16	MIA, NYJ, DALTB	17.38	20.07	22.07	59.52	JAX, DAL, CARSF	21.7	16.38	20.55	58.63	ARI, PIT, SEACIN	15.48	20.37	21.7	57.55	HOU, STL, ARINYG	20.07	20	17.16	57.23	DAL, WAS, NYJPIT	15.32	20.8	20.37	56.49	CLE, SF, STLSTL	20.55	16.58	16.38	53.51	SEA, CIN, PITARI	20.8	15.32	16.58	52.7	SF, CLE, CINCLE	16.38	21.7	14.23	52.31	PIT, ARI, BALIND	14.23	19.48	15.48	49.19	BAL, TEN, HOU
 
Can't believe I would even consider matchup play between Romo and Tebow--but your numbers support the concept. :mellow:

 
I just (gulp) added Rex Grossman as my back-up QB based on your assessment... and the fact that Freeman is hurt , and has a bad schedule, and he sucks.

At least I have a stud like Sanchez as my #1 :rolleyes:

 
'KyleBasa said:
I just (gulp) added Rex Grossman as my back-up QB based on your assessment... and the fact that Freeman is hurt , and has a bad schedule, and he sucks.

At least I have a stud like Sanchez as my #1 :rolleyes:
Click to expand...
:shrug: Based on how much they have him throw in the RZ (relative to running), Shotty & company seem to think he's a stud....
 
I have had so many injuries at QB that I am now carrying S-I-X quarterbacks in a redraft league to be able to stay competitive and find the best match up each week. And I am considering adding one or two more by clearing out depth at other spots to make sure I can start a halfway decent QB option. (25 man rosters make this possible)

 
'David Yudkin said:
I have had so many injuries at QB that I am now carrying S-I-X quarterbacks in a redraft league to be able to stay competitive and find the best match up each week. And I am considering adding one or two more by clearing out depth at other spots to make sure I can start a halfway decent QB option. (25 man rosters make this possible)
Click to expand...
In one league with 17 man rosters I am carrying 4 QBs for the same reason and would like to add 5th. This season it really seems that after the first 6 or 7 QBs it is all about finding the guy with the hot hand and the right match up.
 
Updated with actual scoring averages through Week 13.

Code: 
WAS	21.54	21.43	24.30	67.27	NE, NYG, MINDET	24.3	21.73	19.11	65.14	MIN, OAK, SDDAL	21.43	21.48	20.00	62.91	NYG, TB, PHIBUF	19.11	19.82	23.00	61.93	SD, MIA, DENCHI	23.00	16.59	21.60	61.19	DEN, SEA, GBMIA	20.00	19.55	21.54	61.09	PHI, BUF, NENO	17.98	24.30	18.70	60.98	TEN, MIN, ATLNE	16.86	23.00	19.82	59.68	WAS, DEN, MIANYJ	17.30	20.00	21.43	58.73	KC, PHI, NYGDEN	17.55	21.54	19.55	58.64	CHI, NE, BUFJAC	21.48	18.70	17.98	58.16	TB, ATL, TENHOU	16.12	18.89	21.96	56.97	CIN, CAR, INDKC	13.58	21.60	21.73	56.91	NYJ, GB, OAKGB	21.73	17.30	17.55	56.58	OAK, KC, CHITEN	20.88	21.96	13.62	56.46	NO, IND, JAXOAK	21.60	17.21	17.30	56.11	GB, DET, KCMIN	17.21	20.88	16.86	54.95	DET, NO, WASBAL	21.96	19.11	12.76	53.83	IND, SD, CLEATL	18.89	13.62	20.88	53.39	CAR, JAX, NOCAR	18.70	12.94	21.48	53.12	ATL, HOU, TBSEA	18.13	17.55	16.23	51.91	STL, CHI, SFPHI	19.82	13.58	17.30	50.70	MIA, NYJ, DALTB	13.62	17.30	18.89	49.81	JAX, DAL, CARCIN	12.94	18.13	18.46	49.53	HOU, STL, ARISF	18.46	13.79	16.59	48.84	ARI, PIT, SEASD	19.55	11.59	17.21	48.35	BUF, BAL, DETNYG	17.30	16.86	13.58	47.74	DAL, WAS, NYJPIT	12.76	16.23	18.13	47.12	CLE, SF, STLSTL	16.59	16.12	13.79	46.50	SEA, CIN, PITARI	16.23	12.76	16.12	45.11	SF, CLE, CINCLE	13.79	18.46	11.59	43.84	PIT, ARI, BALIND	11.59	17.98	12.94	42.51	BAL, TEN, HOU
 
Romo looking like a better option week by week. :)

Now if Austin can come back next week as well...I see explosions. :excited:

 
I know this is basically an AC post, but I am really struggling with the temptation to play Sexy Rexy in the super bowl. I have a first round bye, and I get to choose my 2nd round opponent, so I"m pretty confident I'll get to the finals. I have Tebow and Rivers but neither of their matchups look as tasty as that Minnesota matchup. I guess Buffalo is a pretty good play for Tebow, given that they're #13 vs QBs and #4 vs RBs.

Anyone daring to go with Grossman?

 
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'Hank Mardukas said:
I know this is basically an AC post, but I am really struggling with the temptation to play Sexy Rexy in the super bowl. I have a first round bye, and I get to choose my 2nd round opponent, so I"m pretty confident I'll get to the finals. I have Tebow and Rivers but neither of their matchups look as tasty as that Minnesota matchup. I guess Buffalo is a pretty good play for Tebow, given that they're #13 vs QBs and #8 vs RBs. Anyone daring to go with Grossman?
Click to expand...
I tried getting Grossman for the SB match up but got out bid for him.Instead, I start my playoff journey behind future hall of famer Matt Moore.
 
'David Yudkin said:
'Hank Mardukas said:
I know this is basically an AC post, but I am really struggling with the temptation to play Sexy Rexy in the super bowl. I have a first round bye, and I get to choose my 2nd round opponent, so I"m pretty confident I'll get to the finals. I have Tebow and Rivers but neither of their matchups look as tasty as that Minnesota matchup. I guess Buffalo is a pretty good play for Tebow, given that they're #13 vs QBs and #8 vs RBs. Anyone daring to go with Grossman?
Click to expand...
I tried getting Grossman for the SB match up but got out bid for him.Instead, I start my playoff journey behind future hall of famer Matt Moore.
Click to expand...
Hi David - a little help if you're up for it! I'd love to make the Super Bowl, but have my hands full this week 14 with what should be a close match! I now have Tebow vs Chicago, but Rex vs NE is available on the WW. With your NE insight, do you like Rex over Tim? Your Fantasy Schedules are very cool to work with, and for the QB one, they certainly show Washington as the top dog. Thoughts? And thanks.
 
'football newbie said:
Hi David - a little help if you're up for it! I'd love to make the Super Bowl, but have my hands full this week 14 with what should be a close match! I now have Tebow vs Chicago, but Rex vs NE is available on the WW. With your NE insight, do you like Rex over Tim? Your Fantasy Schedules are very cool to work with, and for the QB one, they certainly show Washington as the top dog. Thoughts? And thanks.
Click to expand...
The Pats have allowed a lot of bottom feeder QBs career days this year. At theis point they have been playing two of their back up WRs as DBs. The NFL record for passing yards allowed in a season is 4,751 by the 1995 Falcons. The Pats are projected to allow 5,192 passing yards this year . . . nearly 500 yards more than the record! Here is a weekly breakdown of how pathetic their pass coverage has been.Chad Henne 416/2 (Weekly fantasy rank: 2)Philip Rivers 378/2 (9)Ryan Fitzpatrick 369/2(9)Jason Campbell 344/1 (13)Mark Sanchez 166/2 (15)Tony Romo 317/1 (9)Ben Roethlisberger 365/2 (4)Eli Manning 250/2 (12)Marc Sanchez 306/1 (7)Tyler Palko 230/0 (28)Vince Young 400/1 (7)Dan Orlovsky 353/2 (7)The ONLY saving grace for NE is that they have not let anyone go off for more than 2 TDs passing the ball. It should be noted that only ONE TIME this year did the Pats hold a QB (Palko in his first start) to a truly bad fantasy day and a ranking not in the top 15. But in 9 games they gave up QB1 production for 12 team fantasy leagues. FBG has Grossman ranked 18th this week. IMO, that's too low. I would slot him in the 10-12 range.Tebow has fared pretty well since becoming a starter as well. Starting in Week 7, his weekly fantasy rank based on actual production has been 7, 10, 6, 13, 19, 16, 13. FBG has him ranked 14th, which is probably pretty close to where he should be.IMO, Tebow has more upside than Grossman but Grossman likely has a higher downside . . . meaning if Tebow goes off he could have a better day than Grossman. But the Pats defense has been so pathetic that the worst Grossman will likely do is probably a lot higher than the worst Tebow could do if he gets stymied by the Bears this week.I hope that helps you in your decision making . . .
 
I love Rivers this week. I have both Stafford and Rivers, but I am going with Stafford, but Rivers has a great mathcup and his playing well.

 
Grossman was allright. Woulda outpointed Big Ben (guy I sat for him) had last last TD not been yanked off the board. Not to mention that if the scorer had latitude and scoring was based on justice those int pts would be attributed to Moss. He basically volleyball set that ball to the LB on an easy catch and a perfectly thrown ball.

Now he has a matchup against the Giants, who can't seem to cover anybody. :unsure: With Big Ben becoming a walking mash unit this looks tempting I must say.

 
'Hipple said:
Grossman was allright. Woulda outpointed Big Ben (guy I sat for him) had last last TD not been yanked off the board. Not to mention that if the scorer had latitude and scoring was based on justice those int pts would be attributed to Moss. He basically volleyball set that ball to the LB on an easy catch and a perfectly thrown ball.

Now he has a matchup against the Giants, who can't seem to cover anybody. :unsure: With Big Ben becoming a walking mash unit this looks tempting I must say.
Click to expand...
Same boat. Have to make the decision by 1pm Sunday (other than Roethlisberger, no QB starting after 1pm games). I'm probably going to go with Grossman, but I'm sure I'm not going to feel good about it.
 
Through Week 14.

Code: 
WAS	22.62	24.08	46.7	NYG, MINNO	24.08	19	43.08	MIN, ATLKC	20.64	21.68	42.32	GB, OAKHOU	20.27	21.74	42.01	CAR, INDNYJ	19.26	22.62	41.88	PHI, NYGMIA	20.15	21.73	41.88	BUF, NEDEN	21.43	20.15	41.58	NE, BUFDET	21.68	19.55	41.23	OAK, SDBUF	19.32	21.67	40.99	MIA, DENNE	21.67	19.32	40.99	DEN, MIADAL	21.09	19.26	40.35	TB, PHIMIN	21.47	17.95	39.42	NO, WASTB	17.95	20.27	38.22	DAL, CARJAC	19	18.66	37.66	ATL, TENTEN	21.74	15.6	37.34	IND, JAXOAK	18.82	18.4	37.22	DET, KCATL	15.6	21.47	37.07	JAX, NOCHI	15.74	20.64	36.38	SEA, GBGB	18.4	17.61	36.01	KC, CHICIN	17.92	17.56	35.48	STL, ARIPIT	17.13	17.92	35.05	SF, STLSEA	17.61	17.13	34.74	CHI, SFCAR	13	21.09	34.09	HOU, TBBAL	19.55	13.41	32.96	SD, CLEIND	18.66	13	31.66	TEN, HOUNYG	17.95	13.54	31.49	WAS, NYJPHI	13.54	17.95	31.49	NYJ, DALARI	13.41	16.85	30.26	CLE, CINSD	11.43	18.82	30.25	BAL, DETSTL	16.85	13.22	30.07	CIN, PITCLE	17.56	11.43	28.99	ARI, BALSF	13.22	15.74	28.96	PIT, SEA
 
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Big ups to Yudkin for this thread! :thumbup: won me my big $ fantasy league by picking up ####### rex grossman (other qbs were rapelisbugger and ponder) in a league with locked playoff rosters. Decided to carry an extra crappy qb as insurance because of his cake schedule over an extra crappy RB felix jones (who although he even became valuable finally the week I dropped him-- would not have helped me actually win it all). Thanks Yudster!

 
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Picked up Matt Moore (ended up ranked QB6 week 16) and Graham Gano (ended up ranked PK1 week 16) based on researching these threads. When a waiver wire scrub can almost neutralize Tom Brady (in my match up), you know you have a decent chance of winning.

 
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