Sand
Footballguy
I keep track of lots of
stuff. I figured I'd throw this out since I have never seen so many nascent technologies that I believe have the capability of causing a dislocation in the energy supply of the world. Call me crazy, but in 20 years I don't think we will be worried about peak oil - its usage will have decreased substantially. We won't be worried about increasing CO2 emissions - most new energy won't produce CO2. I don't think I've been this excited about the future of the human race as now. Have a look at what's out there that has promise:
Minor technologies:
Wave Disc Engine: Prototypes are already built and work as advertised. 30% lower vehicle weight, 60% greater fuel efficiency. Can use natural gas, hydrogen, ethanol, gasoline, etc. Spartans are kicking ### here.
Resurgence of Coal: Big knock on coal are the huge CO2 emissions. This is a demo to produce green crude - they need land, sun, and huge amounts of CO2! Match made in heaven. So now the waste product from goal burning will be crude oil.
There are many more out there. Note no mention of the current darlings. Wind is a dead end. Solar is also a dead end until the BOS component cost can come way down - at this point this is what keeps solar from being the big dog.
Major dislocations - from almost there to way out there:
Thorium nuclear power plants: This is being actively researched in China and India and appears to be on the upswing in the US. Why should the US care? Look at the chart - the US has the largest recoverable reserves of thorium in the world. It has been demonstrated in the 60's by US govt. researchers. It is a passive reactor that can't melt down. It can also use the other 97% of nuclear fuel rods left after they can't be used anymore in conventional systems. Cheap energy for nearly forever if we can build it.
Hot fusion: Very promising, with both the National Ignition Facility close to breakeven and these folks with what looks like just some practical engineering design challenges to conquer. If these work the world will see a huge, very quick dislocation in the energy supply of the world.
Cold Fusion: You thought this went away when it couldn't be reliably reproduced the first time this came on the scene? Not so. 3800 people attended the last conference. In fact, in the article linked, the leader in the field states flatly that "There's nothing about the science that would prevent a commercial object from coming into existence." And one company, Brouillin, just got a Chinese patent for their reactor. Great stuff.
Cavitation: Not sure what to make of this one, which is why I tagged it onto the end. Using cavitation forces this group claims to be able to bring systems to market in a year. They say a 25MW reactor would be the size of a desk. And it can transmute metals. And do microsurgery.
I don't which of these will be the thing, but it looks like in the not too distant future we're going to see a massive shift in energy production in the world. I have watched many of these skeptically over the years, but (IMO) it looks like many are real and they are all coming.
Oh, and
to the naysayers.

Minor technologies:
Wave Disc Engine: Prototypes are already built and work as advertised. 30% lower vehicle weight, 60% greater fuel efficiency. Can use natural gas, hydrogen, ethanol, gasoline, etc. Spartans are kicking ### here.
Resurgence of Coal: Big knock on coal are the huge CO2 emissions. This is a demo to produce green crude - they need land, sun, and huge amounts of CO2! Match made in heaven. So now the waste product from goal burning will be crude oil.
There are many more out there. Note no mention of the current darlings. Wind is a dead end. Solar is also a dead end until the BOS component cost can come way down - at this point this is what keeps solar from being the big dog.
Major dislocations - from almost there to way out there:
Thorium nuclear power plants: This is being actively researched in China and India and appears to be on the upswing in the US. Why should the US care? Look at the chart - the US has the largest recoverable reserves of thorium in the world. It has been demonstrated in the 60's by US govt. researchers. It is a passive reactor that can't melt down. It can also use the other 97% of nuclear fuel rods left after they can't be used anymore in conventional systems. Cheap energy for nearly forever if we can build it.
Hot fusion: Very promising, with both the National Ignition Facility close to breakeven and these folks with what looks like just some practical engineering design challenges to conquer. If these work the world will see a huge, very quick dislocation in the energy supply of the world.
Cold Fusion: You thought this went away when it couldn't be reliably reproduced the first time this came on the scene? Not so. 3800 people attended the last conference. In fact, in the article linked, the leader in the field states flatly that "There's nothing about the science that would prevent a commercial object from coming into existence." And one company, Brouillin, just got a Chinese patent for their reactor. Great stuff.
Cavitation: Not sure what to make of this one, which is why I tagged it onto the end. Using cavitation forces this group claims to be able to bring systems to market in a year. They say a 25MW reactor would be the size of a desk. And it can transmute metals. And do microsurgery.
I don't which of these will be the thing, but it looks like in the not too distant future we're going to see a massive shift in energy production in the world. I have watched many of these skeptically over the years, but (IMO) it looks like many are real and they are all coming.
Oh, and

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