There is still more to this story but as of right now here is how I have it...
1) Andrew Luck... There are some people that perform to expectations and then there are some expectations that are so high it seems impossible to reach them. Andrew Luck has not only met the most lofty of expectations he has exceeded them in ridiculous fashion.
Many are going to point to his low completion percentage and his high number of ints as a negative but it is only a minor hit on what has been an incredible rookie season. I have never seen a team count on a rookie so much. Luck has been asked to throw and throw a ton. Sure, this may help the stats, but it has also helped turn around a team that won 2 games last year. It is not as if he is compiling these stats in fourth quarter garbage time against prevent defenses ala Carson Palmer this year. He has the Colts team at 8 wins to 4 losses all the while throwing for 300 yards a game and 17 td's. He is on pace to throw for 4,800 yards He already has 503 attempts on the year as the team counts on him so much to put up points with a running game that is sub par at best. He also is far from a dink and dunk passer which is one of the reasons he has a low completion percentage as well as a large number of ints.
Too go along with his high number of passing yards, he has added 216 yards rushing with 5 tds. His athleticism is underrated. He is 6'4" 240 lbs and moves so well. He is avoided plenty of sacks this year as well as completed some passes while guys have been draped all over him.
It definitely helps having Wayne as his go to guy, but Luck has helped the rest of this supporting cast so much. His O line is below average and to go along with Wayne he has Avery (done little his career), Hilton (rookie), Fleener (rookie), Allen (rookie). Ballard (rookie), Brown (little to his career).
Projected year end stats... 372 of 656 for 4800 yards, 22 tds' to 21 ints, 288 yards rushing, 6 rushing TDs. Over 5,000 yards of offense with 28 td's. That is crazy.
3) Russell Wilson
4) Doug Martin
I don't have the time to do a write up for each guy, but will say that Wilson has made a very nice push as of late to pass RGIII. If Wilson continues to put up more passing yards to end the season and his team keeps winning then he may pass RGIII by season end.
I don't buy the Wilson is ahead of the other two guys but won't win it because he plays in Seattle argument. Wilson has been one of the surprise stories of the year and although he would be a clear front runner in most years, he is behind 2 guys right now that have been better than him. I am assuming the Wilson supporters will point to the QB rating and TD's, but Wilson has yet to have a 300 yard passing game on the year and in 7 of 12 games he has failed to throw for more than 200 yards in a game.
Martin is having an amazing rookie year, but great QB play trumps great RB play.
I happen to think what both of these guys have accomplished this year is miraculous. These guys should split come back players of the year. Two amazing hard working athletes doing something that defys logic. However if you did have to choose just one who would it be? This will be close and interesting I think.
Manning was forced to miss a year of action and had 3 or 4 neck surgeries in that time. It is assumed that he had to re-learn how to throw a football and retrain his muscles. He is traded to a new team and he has not taken a hit for over a year. Many thought his career was in jeoprady and if he did come back he would be a shell of his former self. The Broncos take a huge risk by giving him the starting gig and a lot of money and how does Manning reward them....
He has six 300 yard games and has thrown for 2,975 yards with 24 tds to 7 ints. He is on pace for 3,670 yards passing with 38 td's to 11 ints.
Peterson has a gross knee injury cutting his season short at the end of last year. Peterson has surgery to fix both his ACL and MCL. It is said that it would be impossible for Peterson to be back in time to start week 1 and many were questioning if he would ever regain the form that made him a beast. Peterson was getting passed over in many fantasy drafts and lasting till round 3 or 4 due to the injury concerns. What does Peterson do in week 1? 17 carries for 84 yards and 2 tds adding 1 reception for 3 yards.
Peterson has five 100 plus yard games. He has rushed for 1128 yards with 7 td's adding 29 receptions for 155 yareds to date. He is on pace for 1804 yards, 11 tds, 46 receptions for 248 yards.
I want this thread dedicated to my most recent acquistion in my dynasty draft... Brian Hartline.
I did a search and there were some discussions around him but nothing overly relevant therefore I felt I should start this thread to generate some better discussion.
What we know?
Head coach Joe Philbin has done a marvellous job with this offense so far this year and really with the whole team in general. We should remember that Philibin had a very successful run as the Packers offensive Coordinator prior to getting hired in Miami. In fact dating back to college Philbin has done very well running offenses. I also had Miami as one of my sleeper teams this year to out perform their expecations. People laughed when they were given hard knocks, but this team is actually better than the average all around team.
We know that Tannehill is still a project (started as WR in college) but he is having a good rookie year all things considered.
We know Brian Hartline is on pace for 82 catches and 1324 yards with 2td's this year. Hartline is 25 years of age (turning 26 in 2 weeks). He is 6 foot 2, 200 lbs. So he is not small. He was invited to the 2009 combine and ran a 4.52 forty. He also had a nice broad jump of 10'00" and ran a 3 cone drill of 6.65. The 3 cone drill is the most impressive it was the best WR result at the combine that year and not one WR from this past years draft class reached that result. He also has a 35 inch vertical.
We know that Hartline has not been consistent this year but part of that could be blamed on having a rookie QB. Hartline is on pace for 142 targets. So he is getting WR 1 type of targets and we know that Philbin being an offensive guy who has had success will continute to throw the ball going forward not only this year but in future years.
I think part of the problem with Hartline is no one believes he will keep up this type of performance. I don't think he will finish with 1300 yards, but he would have to crash and burn to not be successful going forward. I have never been one to bring race into the discussion but this appears to be a clear case. People don't feel he is skilled. They feel he is a one year wonder. Even FBG's have Hartline ranked in dynasty as the 60th best WR out there going forward.
What say you? Is Hartline a flash in the pan or is he being over looked?