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ZWK

Member Since 14 Jul 2008
Offline Last Active Today, 08:58 PM
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In Topic: Week 8 Waiver Wire

20 October 2014 - 11:24 PM

Witten played every snap this week. Escobar played about 40%, which is slightly more than his season average but not by much. I'll pass.

 

Mason, Robinson, and Baldwin are the obvious top tier of pickups, if they're available, with the Buf RBs right behind them.


In Topic: Mark Ingram

20 October 2014 - 02:37 PM

 

PFF has Ingram with 2.6 yards after contact per carry against Detroit. That means he averaged -1.0 yards before contact per carry. In other words, he was getting hit a yard deep in the backfield, on average.

 

he had 9 carries for a total of 2 yards, and another run of 14 yds --- is averaging those 10 data points supposed to give us any meaningful info?

 

he had runs behind or outside the left tackle of -3, -4, 1, -3, and 1 yard

 

the problem with ingram has been the volume, and if he continues to get 10 carries it doesn't much matter what kind of index you cook up for his stats

 

Throwing out the 14 yarder and just looking at the 9 carries for 2 yards, Ingram averaged -1.6 yards before contact and 1.8 yards after contact.

 

The "kept getting hit in the backfield" story holds up. The "pretty good yards after contact" story is unclear: 1.8 is below average for RBs as a whole but within the normal range (unlike 0.2 yards per carry), and my guess is that it would look pretty good if you compared it to other RBs after removing the top 10% of their carries.


In Topic: Mark Ingram

20 October 2014 - 01:14 PM

PFF has Ingram with 2.6 yards after contact per carry against Detroit. That means he averaged -1.0 yards before contact per carry. In other words, he was getting hit a yard deep in the backfield, on average.


In Topic: [Dynasty] 2015 Draft Prospects

20 October 2014 - 12:27 AM

Updating this post from last month, here's the current RB leaderboard in First Downs + TDs + 20-yard carries per attempt, with notable RBs bolded:

 

1T20/a    Player    Team    Yr
61.0%    Kareem Hunt    Toledo    SO
57.4%    Shaun Wilson    Duke    FR
54.4%    Jhurell Pressley    New Mexico    JR
54.3%    Todd Gurley    Georgia    JR
53.2%    Michael Gordon    Ark St    JR
52.3%    Melvin Gordon    Wisconsin    JR
52.1%    Matt Breida    Ga South    SO
49.6%    Devon Johnson    Marshall    JR
49.2%    Terry Swanson    Toledo    FR
46.7%    Tevin Coleman    Indiana    JR
46.2%    Ezekiel Elliott    Ohio State    SO

45.9%    Josh Robinson    Miss St    JR
45.2%    Jonathan Williams    Arkansas    JR
44.7%    Alex Collins    Arkansas    SO
43.5%    Ameer Abdullah    Nebraska    SR
43.4%    Nick Hill    Mich St    SR
43.3%    Noah Copeland    Navy    SR
42.9%    Shock Linwood    Baylor    SO
42.7%    Corey Clement    Wisconsin    SO
42.7%    Karlos Williams    FSU    SR

 

Other notable RBs:

1T20/a    Player    Team    Yr
41.8%    Duke Johnson    Miami (Fl)    JR
38.7%    Javorius Allen    USC    JR
38.4%    Nick Chubb    Georgia    FR
38.1%    Cameron Artis-Payne    Auburn    SR
38.0%    Mike Davis    S Carolina    JR
34.3%    Leonard Fournette    LSU    FR
33.3%    David Cobb    Minnesota    SR
31.4%    Jay Ajayi    Boise St    JR
31.1%    T.J. Yeldon    Alabama    JR
31.0%    Derrick Henry    Alabama    SO
30.3%    Kenneth Dixon    La Tech    JR
 

For comparison, most of last year's draft class ranged from 48% (Hyde) to 38% (Sims), except for Andre Williams at 33%.


In Topic: ZWK's Dynasty Rankings (updated August 2014)

19 October 2014 - 11:06 PM

I haven't been able to keep my rankings up to date this season. I haven't spent a solid chunk of time working on them, just brief bits here and there, which means that before I can get them up to date the date changes. I've been trying my hand at daily fantasy, so my solid chunks of fantasy football time have been going towards that.

 

I'll see if I can get one position posted this week. (No guarantees.)