Clayton -

Under the SOS by game for WRs I noticed these numbers...
Bal 21.1 - Week 16 @ PIT
Buf 11.1 - Week 17 v PIT

BAL's SOS v. PIT in Pittsburgh is 21.1, while BUF's SOS v. PIT in BUFFALO is 11.1

So you're telling me that Pittsburgh will be giving up 21.1 pts on average AT HOME while they will be giving up a paltry 11.1 on the road??? It seems unlikely that it would be that much of a swing even allowing for the fact that the running game will make up some of the points by stiffening up at home. Can you explain how you arrived at these numbers?

thanks.

Here is the method that was used:

• Determine the primary factors that determine the quality of defense at each position.
• Rank each team's defense at each position based on the factors found above.
• Find the average fantasy points allowed for the #1 defense, #2 defense, #3 defense, etc at each position over the past four seasons.
• Overlay the ranked teams into the average fantasy points allowed for each position.
• Determine each team's statistical modifier for home games, away games on grass, and away games on turf. This is based on actual game stats from the last six seasons. Some teams play better at home on grass, some are actually better away on turf, etc.
• Use these modifiers to create real differences based on type of field and location of the game.

thanks.
and there is REALLY that huge of a swing with Pitts D vs the pass?
anyway I can get you to confirm that?

btw - GREAT avatar. One of my favorite albums of all time.

Confirmed.

I was often surprised when examining the numbers for SOS. Conventional wisdom says that teams are always better at home. That simply isn't the case for some teams.

BTW -