Since you guys are having fun with this. More ammo. I picked up Chubb last night and I am playing him over Crowell. I may be drinking the kool-aid.
Swamp
"Cleveland Browns: Why Colin Cowherd is right about Nick Chubb" posted July 21, 2018.
https://dawgpounddaily.com/2018/07/21/cleveland-browns-colin-cowherd-right-nick-chubb/
The Cleveland Browns may have the AFC offensive rookie of the year on their team per Colin Cowherd. Shockingly, Cowherd may be right this time.
The Cleveland Browns may have a new fan. Well, a new fan besides all world gamer Ninja. Fox Sports radio personality Colin Cowherd is known for his outrageous takes.
But this time, he made an outrageous that may actually come true. Which goes to show that if one makes enough predictions, some of them are bound to come true.
Usually, when Cowherd opens his mouth about the Browns it is for the purpose of rubbing salt on existing wounds.
He also likes to talk about how Baker Mayfield is “undraftable”. But this time Cowherd made positive statements about the Browns calling them the “most improved team” and the “most improved roster in the NFL”.
He goes on to predict that the $16 million man Nick Chubb will become the AFC offensive rookie of the year. Chubb was selected No. 35 overall. The pick was acquired from the Houston Texans for taking on the Brock Osweiler contract disaster. The Browns agreed to take on the roughly guaranteed $16 million salary in exchange for the Texans second-round pick in the 2018 NFL draft.
It is unusual to pick a running back who is not known for his receiving skills to be the offensive rookie of the year. The NFL is such a passing league that running backs must be a receiving threat to be a three-down back. Without being a three-down back, it will be hard for Chubb to put up the numbers to be the offensive rookie of the year.
"Why Cowherd is wrong"
Why is Cowherd wrong about Nick Chubb? Colin Cowherd is wrong about everything. But there are reasons to believe that Nick Chubb will not be the offensive rookie of the year. This does not mean Chubb will not be a good or even outstanding running back. His play may not rise to the level of offensive rookie of the year.
First, Chubb is currently third on the depth chart. The Browns invested a large amount of money in former Ohio State running back Carlos Hyde. Hyde was recently ranked number 96 on the NFL’s top 100 players.
Hyde is experienced, has good vision and can catch out of the back well enough for the position. Give the Browns currently strategy of bringing in veterans to mentor rookies, it seems Hyde’s role is to be a mentor and starter until Chubb is ready.
Here is are Chubb’s plays versus Notre Dame last season. Notice Chubb’s vision to the hole and his ability to redirect in the hole:
Second, the Browns have an explosive third-down back in Duke Johnson. No matter how good Nick Chubb can be, a specialty weapon like Johnson will be on the field on third down. Johnson can run routes out of the slot as a receiver, he lines up wide as a receiver and can pass block when called upon. This is all before talking about his vision and explosiveness as a running back. Only his small size keeps him from being a featured back.
In all, Nick Chubb has a large ladder to climb to reach the point where he will get 15-20 carries and maybe 3-5 targets a game. He must leapfrog both Hyde and Johnson for snaps. Barring injury, Chubb is in for a season of relief duty. It is hard to win AFC offensive rookie of the year from the bench.
But Cowherd may be right, let’s see why.
"Why Cowherd is right"
Colin Cowherd makes so many predictions that some are bound to be true. Right? Well, this time Cowherd may actually be on to something. There are some good reasons to believe that if Chubb can crack the lineup, he could win AFC offensive rookie of the year.
First, Nick Chubb has excellent vision to the hole. Many a running back have come through Cleveland without any idea of where the hole is supposed to be or how to run through it. (*cough* Trent Richardson)
But Chubb has the outstanding ability to see not only at the first level but also the second. He will make adjustments on his zone routes based on linebacker flow. Most backs read defensive line flow only to be immediately tackled at the second level. Chubb is able to set up linebackers with is routes to open up the second level by the time he is through the hole.
As a point of comparison, here is a clip of Le’Veon Bell from his Michigan State days. Notice how Bell was able to manipulate the second level defenders before he reaches the hole.
Second, Nick Chubb has Le’Veon Bell style qualities. People forget that Bell was a big bruising tailback when entering the league. He then lost almost twenty pounds after his rookie year. With the weight loss, he transformed from a power bruiser back to a more nimble scat back with the ability to run with power.
Nick Chubb looks like Le’Veon Bell when he was in college. Chubb is big with excellent vision and possesses the ability to both run over opponents and run around them. He is the rare combination of vision, speed, and power. These style backs to not come around often. Yet, Chubb is not the receiver Bell was a Michigan State.
This is not to say that Chubb will become the next Le’Veon Bell. But it is not out of the realm of possibility either. If Chubb performs in the NFL like he did at Georgia, there is no reason to believe he will not at least be in the conversation for the AFC offensive rookie of the year.