Mark XV
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QB - Kyler Murray - ARI/12 - $16
QB - Jared Goff - LAR/9 - $14
Am I trying to win this contest or just trying to not get cut? What sets my team above the others when so many players seem like common picks? If Kyler hits, he has contest winning potential. And if he fails, I think his floor leaves him at about the level of Kirk Cousins or Dak, so a decent bye week filler for Goff. Which might be a waste of about $4-5 I could have spent elsewhere, but let’s be honest- most of us are wasting $4-5 on some flier that will never pan out. I’d rather spend it on a talent like Kyler who could be a monster. I’m actually surprised he isn’t a popular pick given his potential in best ball and the fact that if he hits he’s potentially worth $10 more. If nothing else, he will be down frequently and will have the ball in his hands a lot. That translates to more opportunities to score fantasy points
Goff I think is in the #1 offense this season, and is an expensive insurance plan for Kyler, but one I think is worth it. He is undervalued considerably this year. Passing TDs are worth 6 in this contest, and Goff was 6th in passing TDs last season without his favorite redzone target for half of the season. Prior to Kupp going down Goff was on pace for 35 touchdowns and 5000 yards, which would have put him 3rd in the league in both categories. I have high expectations for him this year. But then why waste the money on Kyler? Because nothing is certain in the NFL and last year Goff had plenty of down weeks- even with Kupp.
I had Daniel Jones in but I wanted the $4 elsewhere, and I figured why spend $30 on 2 QBs and then handicap myself with $4 on a rookie who might start this year. I've got 2 very good QBs. Just crossing my fingers no one gets hurt near the other's bye.
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/9 - $33
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/7 - $25
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Justice Hill - BAL/8 - $9
RB - Devin Singletary - BUF/6 - $8
Kamara is underpriced as the potential RB1 this season. I will take him at that price all day. I expect most entries to have their top RB being Chubb. That gives me a distinct advantage I think.
Chubb and Carson are very popular but for good reason. I think Carson is a top 5 RB this year. They both stand to be bargains in this contest.
I realize most people are taking Duke Johnson at the $9 mark here, and I went back and forth between the two. I don’t see as much upside with him as I do with Hill in best ball. I think Hill stands to get similar receptions as Duke (yes, I said it) and has bigger play making ability. In my opinion, this time next year we could be talking about Hill as a round 1-2 pick in redraft leagues.
Singletary is on the same level as Duke IMO but $1 cheaper. I am excited about him as my RB5.
WR - Stefon Diggs - MIN/12 - $23
WR - Chris Godwin - TB/7 - $22
WR - Cooper Kupp - LAR/9 - $20
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
WR - D.J. Chark - JAX/10 - $5
I had to go with Diggs here… he was in and out of my lineup but I think he poses good value and I wanted 3 good WRs to lead this team. Starting the season injured has me concerned but I went with him regardless.
Godwin stands to see a lot of volume. When the coach says he will never come off the field, I see that great opportunity. He’s a redzone target as well. I see him priced about where he should be, but the TD potential makes him attractive. I don’t particularly like many other WRs in this price range, except Diggs.
Kupp is a redzone monster. Goff and the LAR looked significantly different after they lost Kupp. I think Kupp sneaks into the top 10 this year.
Lockett is the WR1 in that offense… a
I was between Gordon and Beasley, as I think Beasley is a super sneaky play this year, but I went with Gordon. If he plays 12 games I think he is worth the money, I admit. NE doesn’t have much of a redzone presence, and Gordon could serve as just that.
I wanted someone better than Chark to finish my WRs off, but he is starting and he’s dirt cheap.
TE - Evan Engram - NYG/11 - $18
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
TE - Darren Waller - OAK/6 - $8
Engram I am very comfortable with. I think he challenges for a top 3 TE spot this year
Andrews should be rostered by everyone. He could flirt with top10 status
Waller is a good value too just looking at what they did with Cook last year. AB won’t catch all of the passes, and I think Waller will be 2nd on the team.
Andrews and Waller are popular picks, but I feel good about them as a flex in the event that my RBs and/or WRs put in a stinker or are hurt.
PK - Matt Gay - TB/7 - $3
PK - Daniel Carlson - OAK/6 - $3
PK - Austin Seibert - CLE/7 - $3
I think Carlson will have many opportunities. Gay and Seibert, they are in offenses I think will be scoring a lot offensively. I realize Gay and Seibert have the same bye, but so many entries have 2 kickers anyways- which means 1 active during the other’s bye. If this is a problem for me week 7, then I have no chance at going very far anyways. I think these 3 are pretty strong and undervalued.
TD - New York Giants - NYG/11 - $4
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3
I think there are some great values in the $4-5 range, but this combo is scary good when you break it down week by week.
I’ll send the SP a postcard from Thailand