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Recent content by mental

  1. M

    RB/WR Cordarrelle Patterson, PIT

    Here's the most direct suggestion I've read on "Patterson is the #1". Agree or parse at your discretion:
  2. M

    Whos value will jump significantly from now till week 1?

    The answer is almost certainly going to be an RB; there's so little quality after the first dozen guys that any hype will translate into a big jump up the rankings. David Wilson is an obvious candidate -- if he gets cleared in August, nearly any preseason highlight will likely be enough to get...
  3. M

    DYNASTY: Top 2013 College Prospects

    He is narrating a world in which they have taken Patterson with their #16.
  4. M

    What statistics matter for college RBs?

    Great discussion, looking forward to seeing it develop. ZWK, I really like your approach to using stats.Good evidence that the Texans look at the cone drill closely: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324162304578306204048723328.html
  5. M

    Knile Davis RB - Arkansas

    This is going to be fun to spectate. Seemingly every film watcher who I trust hates Knile Davis, but his combine numbers are off the charts, and he did this in 2010: 4 2010-09-25 Arkansas Alabama L 6 42 0 2 14 05 2010-10-09 Arkansas @ Texas A&M 10 82 0 1 -4 06 2010-10-16 Arkansas @ Auburn...
  6. M

    Knile Davis RB - Arkansas

    Agree -- for a guy with a questionable handle on the ball, it wasn't encouraging to see him bounce backwards off a safety and immediately get stripped at 1:39:30...
  7. M

    Knile Davis RB - Arkansas

    Davis to me is a very similar guy on paper (come draft day) to Bryce Brown -- better athlete, more injury prone, but both have mixed playing histories spotted with occasional dominance and irrelevance. LeGarrete Blount is another guy I keep thinking of -- different skill set, but similarly...
  8. M

    The Buy 'high round busts' low theory

    Yea, it's not that I'm even claiming to know who they are , just saying there is some criteria that some smart person could probably figure out to some probability function lol ... Anywho... On my phone so can't look at all the drafts, but I feel like mark Ingram stands out to me as a guy...
  9. M

    How can we get more useful dynasty rankings?

    This may be the way they work now, but it doesn't have to be that way. Dynasty rankings should be about valuing assets at your personal discount rate. VBD production is like a bond; how you value a dynasty asset depends on what your outlook is, but having an estimate of return probabilities is...
  10. M

    Dynasty: The Anti-All-You Team

    I did a data search on the top 10 TEs in career fantasy points scored (yes, a flawed list, but I just wanted to do a quick look):Gonzo missed 2 games in 16 seasons, and played 14+ every year. Sharpe missed 20 games in 14 seasons, and played in 14+ eleven times. Gates missed 13 games in 10...
  11. M

    Dynasty: The Anti-All-You Team

    Like the idea.QB: Matt Stafford; inaccurate, fragile, great situation (no RB, great WRs, huge pass/run split) can only get worse.RB: Jamaal Charles; I'm almost certainly wrong here, but I can't imagine watching ADP, Rice, Martin, Richardson, Spiller, Foster, McCoy and Lynch go off the board, and...
  12. M

    [DYNASTY] Thomas Tyner

    The 643yd highlights reminded me of NFL Blitz "turbo" mode -- this guy makes the field look 50 yards long. Amazing.
  13. M

    Ahmad Bradshaw's future

    Worth noting that there's a nonzero chance he'll return to the Giants (ETA: noted right before I did!): LinkIn general, I think RBs are going to continue to get treatment like this from smart organizations like the Giants. Young prospects are a dime a dozen; even at first-round prices like David...
  14. M

    Dynasty: 2013 Off-season Grocery List

    That was sort of my point -- I like Shorts' and Blackmon's talent way better than the bolded guys, but their situation in 2013 is not going to be meaningfully better than MIA, SEA, OAK, or KC, so what's the rush to get these guys if I don't already have them? I think of my grocery list as the...
  15. M

    Dynasty: 2013 Off-season Grocery List

    Shorts and Blackmon -- I agree, I liked the talent and 2H production from both. I keep asking myself, though, what's my goal in locking up 2 JAC WRs? Say I have Calvin Johnson as my WR1, am I really winning rolling out Shorts and Blackmon as my WR2 and WR3 every week? And if I'm not, are they...
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