Recent content by Modog814

And build it for free!

I'd say even better than offering the query tool (and probably easier) would be to just provide a downloadable file that has all the teams in it. :-) IIRC you've got some pretty creative people in these contest threads that could mine that data for some interesting tidbits.

Tampa is obviously the better team, but 8.5 seems like way too much.  I have the game at TB-5 which is much more in line with where it opened (-6).  The buyup to 8.5 (I see 9 now) seems like quite a premium  to pay for the Superbowl champs. Dallas's defense should be much better this year. ...

I never seem to do well in this thing so I completely changed strategy this year. QB - Mahomes, Wilson QB scores the most points in this format and a good weekly score seems like a must.  Wilson I think is a steal at 17.  Normally would got for 3 lower cost options, but that never seems to...

I think you have Kyler Murray way too high.  The Cardinal's slowed there pace of play down drastically over their last 10 games (67.5 plays per game dropped to 59.3 plays per game).  I believe this was due to 2 reasons...1) the OL couldn't protect Murray long enough for him to pass down field...

https://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=2019-fpc-adp-mid-august

K. Johnson: No competition for touches plus should have a strong role in the passing game.   Bonus:  Mark Ingram breaks top 12.  This team will run run run.  Ingram strong enough in the pass game to not have to come off the field.  Dixon likely to get cut.  Edwards isn't any thing special and...

Both sound reasonable.  I have Drake down for 1200  and 7.  Ballage I have for 970 and 8.  TD's are a little high combined, but I do think that Miami will be better offensively this year and that they'll run a higher tempo than Gase did so there's also an uptick in volume.  I have these 2 nearly...

This is essentially my take on Ballage as well.  Out of curiosity what do you expect in terms of carries for Drake?    I really don't know what to make of this situation.  Don't expect Drake to be a bellcow but the range of possibilities is wide.  I could see Drake taking the James White role...

No problem.  imo, assuming normal distribution is probably close enough if you understand that there is grey area.  What I mean is if you're comparing Players A, B and C, vs D and E, and you calculate that A& B & C outscore D & E with 52% probability, then you can probably conclude...

I'm right there with you.  

I was going to suggest Monte Carlo simulations as well.  really the easiest and fastest way to get what you're looking for.  Can do it easily in excel: I changed your sigmas a bit in your example to make a little more realistic, but this will work for whatever QB1 - avg 26, st. dev. of 8  Qb2...

Thanks for feedback.  So much obviously depends on where you value players.  Disagree with Lockett, think he hits 110-120 targets this year, which is enough for his skill set to be just outside WR1 territory. But to each their own. I see what you mean with Evans/Allen.  Debated it and won't...

First draft of the year from the 3 spot: QB:  Watson, Garrapolo RB:  Barkley, K. Johnson, Drake, Barber, M. Davis WR:  K. Allen, Lockett, R. Anderson, J. Brown, Stills, Agholor, Ginn TE:  Rudolph, Doyle, Waller PK:  Gano Def:  Den, Cle Planned on waiting on QB but Watson was available in...

I'm not certain that they use all-22 video. Last year they were hiring and I applied. They asked me to take a college tape and record formation and who was on field for each play (maybe other stuff too, I forget), but it wasn't all-22 video. I had a planned vacation that aligned with their...