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    Christine Michael Volume 3: Inevitable Greatness Soon Achieved

    He was released by the Hawks, Redskins, And Cowboys. Helluva year to accomplish that.
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    The 20%, 16%, 12.8%.................. etc. comes from the Pareto Principle. If you take the rule, or Principle, 80% of our good, or production, comes from 20% of our effort. I applied this to the ranking system, giving weight to the younger years of a player's career and the most immediate time...
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    I'm somewhat familiar in name and concept with regression to the mean, fake snaps, projecting with draft position, and Bayesian stats. Gordon had a pretty brutal rookie season. Some of the scouting reports I remembered reading on him were that he had a bust potential and that his college...
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Unfortunately, PFF doesn't allow access to their premium statistics anymore as they've shifted their concept, just player grades are available. I had a subscription in the last several years but the premium statistics accumulated stats while the player grades average them.
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Very true about Ware. Of course, he's been sitting behind two HOF'ers.
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Thanks for the comments ZWK. 1. I agree small sample sizes are less predictive. What's less predicitve, I feel, is actual production and fantasy points than a measured performance using a grading system. To me, this is a more important barometer for long term success than opportunity (guy in...
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Appreciate it.
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    I agree, and I'll come back to this further. I tend to favor talent over situation in dynasty. That's the short answer. For redraft, that's a different beast.
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    While he had a quality rookie season, I think from my analysis, Johnson is overvalued right now in Dynasty Circles. I'm seeing him go #3 behind Gurley and Bell and while he is decently talented and has a good situation I bet he doesn't live up to that over the course of his career. I'd expect to...
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Last    First    PFF Grade  20        21    22    23      24         25        26         27         28         29         30         31       32        33       34    35    36                                              0.2       0.2    0.2   0.16  0.128    0.102    0.092    0.074    0.059  ...
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    That will take me a little bit but I am on it.
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    I agree on Tre Mason. In fact, I owned him in a six man keeper-dynasty and was excited about his prospects. However, he was on the cusp in analysis like this, BEFORE Gurley's drafting of being cut by me in my league because I identified him as a guy that could be replaced as a starter in either...
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Haven't finished the spreadsheet yet. Only the Top 24 graded runners per PFF in 2015, of which, David Johnson was not.
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Hi Biabreakable. For talent, I simply used player grades from the 2015 season from PFF. Then inserted them into a formula, above in post 1, that quantifies talent applied, a career, for dynasty purposes. While subjective, the PFF grades have a criteria if you are familiar with them. While...
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Ivory is older. McCoy may be on the decline. Charles is on the decline. While Duke and Sims are stronger as receivers than runners, their PFF  grade indicates they hold enough on their own in both to be very good. With a break or two, all of these guys are likely future studs. If you're...
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Yes, this is a 100% talent and age list for dynasty.
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Yeldon was helped by being a Top 10 runner and his age. Duke was also graded high and was young. Situations for both are less than enviable at the current moment. Bell was the top ranked runner by PFF but is a bit older than, say, Gurley, who was very young. Bell will of course benefit from a...
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    Ranking Dynasty RB's: The 80/20 Principle and Quality Years Remain

    Hello folks! These are some preliminary findings of the top 24 or so graded runners by PFF in 2015 ranked for FF dynasty purposes according to my formula. Player / Dynasty Value Todd Gurley          94.84 T.J. Yeldon            83.21 Thomas Rawls       81.06 Karlos Willaims      77.96 Duke...
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    Players on your dynasty team that regressed

    A thread I started earlier here today. Not a computer/tablet I was familiar with. :) Thank you for mentions everyone. Makings of a great thread. Later this evening, I intend to write a bit on the players I mentioned.
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    Players on your dynasty team that regressed

    Using a friend;" S friendsnew Lenovo yoga computer so bear with me. ryanTannenhill eddieLacy cj Anderson Demarco Murray Illtype analysis later but mention some guys on your teams that we can talk about. And; go.
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