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2015 Rookie RB Class, Who's the BEST? (1 Viewer)

If you re-read my post you'll see that I compared Williams to Peterson in regard to his combination of size and initial burst, not as all-around players. And I even mentioned Williams' agility "issues" earlier in that post, albeit I don't think they will be too big of a detriment in the end given his other skills; there's nothing wrong with being a 1-cut-and-go kind of RB, especially given Williams' other freakish abilities.

As for the McFadden comparison, they definitely have their similarities. But I think Williams is unquestionably heavier and more powerful. Plus I think Williams' agility is getting undersold in here. Sure it's not elite, but it's pretty damn adequate given the speed and size at which he's moving at. I think with a full workload of carries this year their will be a bigger sample size of carries where he shows off his agility.

As for why he didn't make a splash earlier in his career, that's quite simply explained by the fact that last year was his first at RB, he was playing on the other side of the ball as a Safety for his freshman and sophomore seasons. I think I remember reading that he didn't even start playing RB til midway through the FSU's training camp or something. There's even a highlight video of him as a safety where he makes some massive hits, further showing the power this guy has.
I agree that he's bulkier and more powerful than McFadden. McFadden probably has an edge in sheer speed. If you want to call him a thicker, slightly slower McFadden or a slightly more athletic/elusive Knile Davis then I wouldn't argue too much. I don't know if that's going to translate to top NFL results.

 
I'm asking you to break down their games to so hopefully this can be a learning experience for me, you, the Shark Pool, etc.

Making a one line claim is running away from what could be a valuable discussion.
I think I have already in this thread, done much more than make a one line claim(its all on page 4). My opinion is just that and I have no problem standing behind it. Given what has already been posted, I don't there is a need for a final post to confirm what I have already stated. What can I learn? That my opinion is not always right. Right now I have Gurley as the 5th best RB prospect. We have a college football season and NFL combine for my position to change.

 
I think Gurley will be everything that people thought Trent Richardson was going to be, and actually live up to it.

 
Anyone want to give a shot at an early combined RB dynasty rankings with these guys mixed in? Curious where we see the main guys falling. I've seen some (maybe here) have Gurley top 5 already.

 
Anyone want to give a shot at an early combined RB dynasty rankings with these guys mixed in? Curious where we see the main guys falling. I've seen some (maybe here) have Gurley top 5 already.
I have Gurley has #2 behind Shady McCoy. Not because i'm that crazy about Gurley(although i'm very high on him) but because the dynasty landscape is that bad.

AP is 30 next year, R. Bush 30, Forte 29, Lynch 29, Foster 29, Mathews 28, D. Murray 27, Spiller 27.

Of the young guys Dougie will be 26, Gio 23, Bell 23, Lacy 24, Trich 24, Stacy 24, Sankey 22.

Here's how I rank the younger group.

1) Shady

2) Gurley

3) Lacy

4) Gio

5) Dougie

6) Gordon

7) Bell

8) A. Morris

9) Ball

10) Sankey

11) Stacy

12) Trich

13) Michael

14) Hyde

15) Mike Davis

 
tdmills said:
Bronx Bomber said:
Anyone want to give a shot at an early combined RB dynasty rankings with these guys mixed in? Curious where we see the main guys falling. I've seen some (maybe here) have Gurley top 5 already.
I have Gurley has #2 behind Shady McCoy. Not because i'm that crazy about Gurley(although i'm very high on him) but because the dynasty landscape is that bad.

AP is 30 next year, R. Bush 30, Forte 29, Lynch 29, Foster 29, Mathews 28, D. Murray 27, Spiller 27.

Of the young guys Dougie will be 26, Gio 23, Bell 23, Lacy 24, Trich 24, Stacy 24, Sankey 22.

Here's how I rank the younger group.

1) Shady

2) Gurley

3) Lacy

4) Gio

5) Dougie

6) Gordon

7) Bell

8) A. Morris

9) Ball

10) Sankey

11) Stacy

12) Trich

13) Michael

14) Hyde

15) Mike Davis
Please tell me Charles is an oversight here...
 
tdmills said:
Bronx Bomber said:
Anyone want to give a shot at an early combined RB dynasty rankings with these guys mixed in? Curious where we see the main guys falling. I've seen some (maybe here) have Gurley top 5 already.
I have Gurley has #2 behind Shady McCoy. Not because i'm that crazy about Gurley(although i'm very high on him) but because the dynasty landscape is that bad.

AP is 30 next year, R. Bush 30, Forte 29, Lynch 29, Foster 29, Mathews 28, D. Murray 27, Spiller 27.

Of the young guys Dougie will be 26, Gio 23, Bell 23, Lacy 24, Trich 24, Stacy 24, Sankey 22.

Here's how I rank the younger group.

1) Shady

2) Gurley

3) Lacy

4) Gio

5) Dougie

6) Gordon

7) Bell

8) A. Morris

9) Ball

10) Sankey

11) Stacy

12) Trich

13) Michael

14) Hyde

15) Mike Davis
Please tell me Charles is an oversight here...
He said "the younger group". Charles will be 28 in December.

 
tdmills said:
Bronx Bomber said:
Anyone want to give a shot at an early combined RB dynasty rankings with these guys mixed in? Curious where we see the main guys falling. I've seen some (maybe here) have Gurley top 5 already.
I have Gurley has #2 behind Shady McCoy. Not because i'm that crazy about Gurley(although i'm very high on him) but because the dynasty landscape is that bad.

AP is 30 next year, R. Bush 30, Forte 29, Lynch 29, Foster 29, Mathews 28, D. Murray 27, Spiller 27.

Of the young guys Dougie will be 26, Gio 23, Bell 23, Lacy 24, Trich 24, Stacy 24, Sankey 22.

Here's how I rank the younger group.

1) Shady

2) Gurley

3) Lacy

4) Gio

5) Dougie

6) Gordon

7) Bell

8) A. Morris

9) Ball

10) Sankey

11) Stacy

12) Trich

13) Michael

14) Hyde

15) Mike Davis
Please tell me Charles is an oversight here...
He said "the younger group". Charles will be 28 in December.
Yeah but he didn't list him in the first list he provided. No mention of him with AP is 30 next year, R. Bush 30, Forte 29, Lynch 29, Foster 29, Mathews 28, D. Murray 27, Spiller 27. He's about a year older than Shady.
 
Please rank em,

pick 2nd later this week. My top 6 of what's available are:

Mike Davis

Cory Clement

Karlos Williams

Hackenberg

Funchess

DevParker

Thanks

 
FWIW I'd place Gurley at 3 among RBs for dynasty right now. The only guys I'd place ahead if him are McCoy and Charles.

 
Please rank em,

pick 2nd later this week. My top 6 of what's available are:

Mike Davis

Cory Clement

Karlos Williams

Hackenberg

Funchess

DevParker

Thanks
Davis, Funchess, Parker, Karlos, Clement, Hackenberg for me if it's not a super flex.

 
If you re-read my post you'll see that I compared Williams to Peterson in regard to his combination of size and initial burst, not as all-around players. And I even mentioned Williams' agility "issues" earlier in that post, albeit I don't think they will be too big of a detriment in the end given his other skills; there's nothing wrong with being a 1-cut-and-go kind of RB, especially given Williams' other freakish abilities.

As for the McFadden comparison, they definitely have their similarities. But I think Williams is unquestionably heavier and more powerful. Plus I think Williams' agility is getting undersold in here. Sure it's not elite, but it's pretty damn adequate given the speed and size at which he's moving at. I think with a full workload of carries this year their will be a bigger sample size of carries where he shows off his agility.

As for why he didn't make a splash earlier in his career, that's quite simply explained by the fact that last year was his first at RB, he was playing on the other side of the ball as a Safety for his freshman and sophomore seasons. I think I remember reading that he didn't even start playing RB til midway through the FSU's training camp or something. There's even a highlight video of him as a safety where he makes some massive hits, further showing the power this guy has.
Much more to playing RB than size/speed...I don't think Karlos Williams has "it." I also don't buy the well he played safety, etc. If you're "special" when you have a football in your hands, you know what to do. Hasn't he been playing football all his life and just suddenly forgot how to cut back across a defense? When I watched that AP college video(thanks EBF for posting, gosh I missed AP in college) special just jumps off the page. Watch Arian Foster with the ball in his hands(pre-injuries) and you see he has a natural feel for how to gash defenses/where to cut. Jahvid Best also was special in college. Karlos Williams bounces outside often, unless a huge hole is open in the middle. Maybe a light will click on for him, but I think it's something either you have or you don't.
Again, neither Karlos Williams' highlights or his stats suggest to me that he has vision/instinct issues, so I don't agree with you to that point. Watch this run to see an example of jump cut where Karlos cuts across a defense. The "he played safety" point was only in reference as to why he didn't make a splash as an RB earlier in his career, because he wasn't even playing the position.

 
If you re-read my post you'll see that I compared Williams to Peterson in regard to his combination of size and initial burst, not as all-around players. And I even mentioned Williams' agility "issues" earlier in that post, albeit I don't think they will be too big of a detriment in the end given his other skills; there's nothing wrong with being a 1-cut-and-go kind of RB, especially given Williams' other freakish abilities.

As for the McFadden comparison, they definitely have their similarities. But I think Williams is unquestionably heavier and more powerful. Plus I think Williams' agility is getting undersold in here. Sure it's not elite, but it's pretty damn adequate given the speed and size at which he's moving at. I think with a full workload of carries this year their will be a bigger sample size of carries where he shows off his agility.

As for why he didn't make a splash earlier in his career, that's quite simply explained by the fact that last year was his first at RB, he was playing on the other side of the ball as a Safety for his freshman and sophomore seasons. I think I remember reading that he didn't even start playing RB til midway through the FSU's training camp or something. There's even a highlight video of him as a safety where he makes some massive hits, further showing the power this guy has.
Much more to playing RB than size/speed...I don't think Karlos Williams has "it." I also don't buy the well he played safety, etc. If you're "special" when you have a football in your hands, you know what to do. Hasn't he been playing football all his life and just suddenly forgot how to cut back across a defense? When I watched that AP college video(thanks EBF for posting, gosh I missed AP in college) special just jumps off the page. Watch Arian Foster with the ball in his hands(pre-injuries) and you see he has a natural feel for how to gash defenses/where to cut. Jahvid Best also was special in college. Karlos Williams bounces outside often, unless a huge hole is open in the middle. Maybe a light will click on for him, but I think it's something either you have or you don't.
Again, neither Karlos Williams' highlights or his stats suggest to me that he has vision/instinct issues, so I don't agree with you to that point. Watch this run to see an example of jump cut where Karlos cuts across a defense. The "he played safety" point was only in reference as to why he didn't make a splash as an RB earlier in his career, because he wasn't even playing the position.
That's the only time i've seen him use his agility to his advantage. It's the only time he cut back across the defense, most of the time it's bounce outside or run fast through the hole.

 
Hard to say for sure without combine info, but I like Gurley as something between Jamaal Lewis and Jonathan Stewart (before the injuries) -- both picked inside first 15 picks. Top drawer RB prospect in any year.

 
If you re-read my post you'll see that I compared Williams to Peterson in regard to his combination of size and initial burst, not as all-around players. And I even mentioned Williams' agility "issues" earlier in that post, albeit I don't think they will be too big of a detriment in the end given his other skills; there's nothing wrong with being a 1-cut-and-go kind of RB, especially given Williams' other freakish abilities.

As for the McFadden comparison, they definitely have their similarities. But I think Williams is unquestionably heavier and more powerful. Plus I think Williams' agility is getting undersold in here. Sure it's not elite, but it's pretty damn adequate given the speed and size at which he's moving at. I think with a full workload of carries this year their will be a bigger sample size of carries where he shows off his agility.

As for why he didn't make a splash earlier in his career, that's quite simply explained by the fact that last year was his first at RB, he was playing on the other side of the ball as a Safety for his freshman and sophomore seasons. I think I remember reading that he didn't even start playing RB til midway through the FSU's training camp or something. There's even a highlight video of him as a safety where he makes some massive hits, further showing the power this guy has.
Much more to playing RB than size/speed...I don't think Karlos Williams has "it." I also don't buy the well he played safety, etc. If you're "special" when you have a football in your hands, you know what to do. Hasn't he been playing football all his life and just suddenly forgot how to cut back across a defense? When I watched that AP college video(thanks EBF for posting, gosh I missed AP in college) special just jumps off the page. Watch Arian Foster with the ball in his hands(pre-injuries) and you see he has a natural feel for how to gash defenses/where to cut. Jahvid Best also was special in college. Karlos Williams bounces outside often, unless a huge hole is open in the middle. Maybe a light will click on for him, but I think it's something either you have or you don't.
Again, neither Karlos Williams' highlights or his stats suggest to me that he has vision/instinct issues, so I don't agree with you to that point. Watch this run to see an example of jump cut where Karlos cuts across a defense. The "he played safety" point was only in reference as to why he didn't make a splash as an RB earlier in his career, because he wasn't even playing the position.
That's the only time i've seen him use his agility to his advantage. It's the only time he cut back across the defense, most of the time it's bounce outside or run fast through the hole.
Here's a run where he makes a nice sharp cut. And he shows some decent hip flexibility on this run considering how fast he's moving. Still, even though he doesn't exhibit great agility, he doesn't have to to still be a great NFL RB imo. The NFL does not require a RB to have a juking running style like LeSean McCoy to be a successful RB. You can be a 1-cut-and-go RB and be successful in the NFL, and if you have elite size and burst I'll argue you can be a very successful RB in the NFL.

And one thing that's worth noting is that Karlos Williams only has 99 career offensive touches, so there's a lot less runs to pull highlights from compared to most prospects.

 
If you re-read my post you'll see that I compared Williams to Peterson in regard to his combination of size and initial burst, not as all-around players. And I even mentioned Williams' agility "issues" earlier in that post, albeit I don't think they will be too big of a detriment in the end given his other skills; there's nothing wrong with being a 1-cut-and-go kind of RB, especially given Williams' other freakish abilities.

As for the McFadden comparison, they definitely have their similarities. But I think Williams is unquestionably heavier and more powerful. Plus I think Williams' agility is getting undersold in here. Sure it's not elite, but it's pretty damn adequate given the speed and size at which he's moving at. I think with a full workload of carries this year their will be a bigger sample size of carries where he shows off his agility.

As for why he didn't make a splash earlier in his career, that's quite simply explained by the fact that last year was his first at RB, he was playing on the other side of the ball as a Safety for his freshman and sophomore seasons. I think I remember reading that he didn't even start playing RB til midway through the FSU's training camp or something. There's even

I agree with this. So far what I see is someone who is fast and powerful but needs to learn how to play RB, understandably. He reminds me of that Jaugernaut guy on X-Men.

 
If you re-read my post you'll see that I compared Williams to Peterson in regard to his combination of size and initial burst, not as all-around players. And I even mentioned Williams' agility "issues" earlier in that post, albeit I don't think they will be too big of a detriment in the end given his other skills; there's nothing wrong with being a 1-cut-and-go kind of RB, especially given Williams' other freakish abilities.

As for the McFadden comparison, they definitely have their similarities. But I think Williams is unquestionably heavier and more powerful. Plus I think Williams' agility is getting undersold in here. Sure it's not elite, but it's pretty damn adequate given the speed and size at which he's moving at. I think with a full workload of carries this year their will be a bigger sample size of carries where he shows off his agility.

As for why he didn't make a splash earlier in his career, that's quite simply explained by the fact that last year was his first at RB, he was playing on the other side of the ball as a Safety for his freshman and sophomore seasons. I think I remember reading that he didn't even start playing RB til midway through the FSU's training camp or something. There's even a highlight video of him as a safety where he makes some massive hits, further showing the power this guy has.
Much more to playing RB than size/speed...I don't think Karlos Williams has "it." I also don't buy the well he played safety, etc. If you're "special" when you have a football in your hands, you know what to do. Hasn't he been playing football all his life and just suddenly forgot how to cut back across a defense? When I watched that AP college video(thanks EBF for posting, gosh I missed AP in college) special just jumps off the page. Watch Arian Foster with the ball in his hands(pre-injuries) and you see he has a natural feel for how to gash defenses/where to cut. Jahvid Best also was special in college. Karlos Williams bounces outside often, unless a huge hole is open in the middle. Maybe a light will click on for him, but I think it's something either you have or you don't.
Again, neither Karlos Williams' highlights or his stats suggest to me that he has vision/instinct issues, so I don't agree with you to that point. Watch this run to see an example of jump cut where Karlos cuts across a defense. The "he played safety" point was only in reference as to why he didn't make a splash as an RB earlier in his career, because he wasn't even playing the position.
That's the only time i've seen him use his agility to his advantage. It's the only time he cut back across the defense, most of the time it's bounce outside or run fast through the hole.
Here's a run where he makes a nice sharp cut. And he shows some decent hip flexibility on this run considering how fast he's moving. Still, even though he doesn't exhibit great agility, he doesn't have to to still be a great NFL RB imo. The NFL does not require a RB to have a juking running style like LeSean McCoy to be a successful RB. You can be a 1-cut-and-go RB and be successful in the NFL, and if you have elite size and burst I'll argue you can be a very successful RB in the NFL.

And one thing that's worth noting is that Karlos Williams only has 99 career offensive touches, so there's a lot less runs to pull highlights from compared to most prospects.
Your first clip shows some movement, the 2nd he looks very stiff...which is my and others contentions about Williams. He lacks lateral/vision/agility.

Nobody said you have to be Shady McCoy to be successful in the NFL, but if you can't avoid defenders injuries will happen.

Overall i'm very negative about prospects. Too many times this or that prospect is the next "elite" "great" "best." Outside of Gurley, I don't think i've said this overall about any prospect. Only so many players in the NFL can be "elite" "great" etc. Karlos Williams just doesn't have the overall skillset to be a great NFL RB IMO. Now I think he could be a FF RB2 if things develop and break right for him.

 
http://www.foxsports.com/wisconsin/story/badgers-notebook-jackson-endures-injury-setback-080914

Gordon utilized: Among the reasons Badgers running back Melvin Gordon cited for returning for his junior year was to become more of an all-around player. And part of that process includes catching more passes. On Saturday, he caught two passes out of the backfield from Stave, and it's clear the coaching staff wants to use him more in that role.

Gordon caught just one pass for 10 yards a year ago while teammate James White tallied 39 catches for 300 yards with two touchdowns.

"I'm comfortable catching," Gordon said this summer. "James was better at it than me. I'm not going to lie. James was a lot better than me at catching. . . .

"I'll get my chance. I'll get my opportunity. I understand that. We're on a big stage this year. We play a lot of good teams in the Big Ten. I'm going to be confident. I know I'm going to be confident pass blocking and catching. Because I know it will help the team and it'll help us win."
 
Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.

 
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Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.

 
Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
So true.
 
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
There were 27 RBs drafted in the first round from 2004-2014. The average weight of those players is 217 pounds. The average BMI is 30.3.

Melvin Gordon is listed at 6'1" 213, which would put him at a 28.1 BMI. Therefore, if the listed numbers are accurate, Melvin Gordon is lighter and leaner than the typical first round RB prospect.

Of my RB sample, only 3 of 27 backs had a lower BMI than Gordon (McFadden, Spiller, CJ2K). Only 8 of 27 had a lower weight (McFadden, D Brown, Felix, Wilson, Bush, Best, CJ2K, Spiller).

There's always a chance that he'll show up shorter and heavier than he's listed, but based on all of the information we have right now, he's light and lean.

 
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
There were 27 RBs drafted in the first round from 2004-2014. The average weight of those players is 217 pounds. The average BMI is 30.3.

Melvin Gordon is listed at 6'1" 213, which would put him at a 28.1 BMI. Therefore, if the listed numbers are accurate, Melvin Gordon is lighter and leaner than the typical first round RB prospect.

Of my RB sample, only 3 of 27 backs had a lower BMI than Gordon (McFadden, Spiller, CJ2K). Only 8 of 27 had a lower weight (McFadden, D Brown, Felix, Wilson, Bush, Best, CJ2K, Spiller).

There's always a chance that he'll show up shorter and heavier than he's listed, but based on all of the information we have right now, he's light and lean.
I notice you added the distinction of "first round".

Based on all the info, he's no lighter or leaner than the top 3 leading rushers from last year.

 
Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
So true.
Being ignorant to the numbers doesn't mean that there are no numbers. If I add up the height-weight of every center in the NBA and find that the average is 6'11" 260 pounds, I can pretty safely say that a 6'9" 245 pound center is shorter and lighter than the typical NBA center. That's all very straightforward. I think the problem is that when people read these statements, a lot of them automatically extend it to say something it doesn't. And then they become defensive. For example, if I say that a typical NBA center is 6'11" 260, they'll interpret that as saying that every center needs to be that size. Obviously that's not the case. Plenty of good ones don't fit the mold. They can be shorter, taller, lighter, or heavier.

Likewise, there are good small backs like CJ Spiller and Reggie Bush. There are good big backs like Doug Martin and MJD. There are good players who are almost perfectly average like Marshawn Lynch. Saying that a player is lighter and leaner than a typical RB prospect doesn't on its own say anything about his prospects or merit. It's simply a statement of fact based on concrete measurables. It's not something that should generate a lot of debate or controversy.

I think metrics would be a little less controversial if more people invested the time that it takes to compile the data and look at the results, but a lot of the critics haven't put any time into it at all, yet still feel entitled to assert their opinion on what the numbers do/don't mean. If you've never spent any real time investigating this stuff, you probably shouldn't get involved in discussions about it.

 
Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
So true.
Being ignorant to the numbers doesn't mean that there are no numbers. If I add up the height-weight of every center in the NBA and find that the average is 6'11" 260 pounds, I can pretty safely say that a 6'9" 245 pound center is shorter and lighter than the typical NBA center. That's all very straightforward. I think the problem is that when people read these statements, a lot of them automatically extend it to say something it doesn't. And then they become defensive. For example, if I say that a typical NBA center is 6'11" 260, they'll interpret that as saying that every center needs to be that size. Obviously that's not the case. Plenty of good ones don't fit the mold. They can be shorter, taller, lighter, or heavier.

Likewise, there are good small backs like CJ Spiller and Reggie Bush. There are good big backs like Doug Martin and MJD. There are good players who are almost perfectly average like Marshawn Lynch. Saying that a player is lighter and leaner than a typical RB prospect doesn't on its own say anything about his prospects or merit. It's simply a statement of fact based on concrete measurables. It's not something that should generate a lot of debate or controversy.

I think metrics would be a little less controversial if more people invested the time that it takes to compile the data and look at the results, but a lot of the critics haven't put any time into it at all, yet still feel entitled to assert their opinion on what the numbers do/don't mean. If you've never spent any real time investigating this stuff, you probably shouldn't get involved in discussions about it.
Anyone who disagrees with you hasn't put time into it? Convenient. You say this all the time as if you know what amount of time other people put into it. You saying it doesn't make it so.
 
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
There were 27 RBs drafted in the first round from 2004-2014. The average weight of those players is 217 pounds. The average BMI is 30.3.

Melvin Gordon is listed at 6'1" 213, which would put him at a 28.1 BMI. Therefore, if the listed numbers are accurate, Melvin Gordon is lighter and leaner than the typical first round RB prospect.

Of my RB sample, only 3 of 27 backs had a lower BMI than Gordon (McFadden, Spiller, CJ2K). Only 8 of 27 had a lower weight (McFadden, D Brown, Felix, Wilson, Bush, Best, CJ2K, Spiller).

There's always a chance that he'll show up shorter and heavier than he's listed, but based on all of the information we have right now, he's light and lean.
I notice you added the distinction of "first round".

Based on all the info, he's no lighter or leaner than the top 3 leading rushers from last year.
You can add up the numbers for every RB drafted in the past decade and I'm guessing it will be very similar. If his 6'1" 213 measurement is accurate, he's lighter and leaner than the average RB. Therefore the people saying he's light and lean are completely justified. This is not rocket science here.

Bear in mind that nobody is saying he can't succeed because he's light and lean. Jamaal Charles is light and lean. Chris Johnson is light and lean. It's not an indictment of their ability. It's merely a concrete statement about their constitution.

 
Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
So true.
Being ignorant to the numbers doesn't mean that there are no numbers. If I add up the height-weight of every center in the NBA and find that the average is 6'11" 260 pounds, I can pretty safely say that a 6'9" 245 pound center is shorter and lighter than the typical NBA center. That's all very straightforward. I think the problem is that when people read these statements, a lot of them automatically extend it to say something it doesn't. And then they become defensive. For example, if I say that a typical NBA center is 6'11" 260, they'll interpret that as saying that every center needs to be that size. Obviously that's not the case. Plenty of good ones don't fit the mold. They can be shorter, taller, lighter, or heavier.

Likewise, there are good small backs like CJ Spiller and Reggie Bush. There are good big backs like Doug Martin and MJD. There are good players who are almost perfectly average like Marshawn Lynch. Saying that a player is lighter and leaner than a typical RB prospect doesn't on its own say anything about his prospects or merit. It's simply a statement of fact based on concrete measurables. It's not something that should generate a lot of debate or controversy.

I think metrics would be a little less controversial if more people invested the time that it takes to compile the data and look at the results, but a lot of the critics haven't put any time into it at all, yet still feel entitled to assert their opinion on what the numbers do/don't mean. If you've never spent any real time investigating this stuff, you probably shouldn't get involved in discussions about it.
The topic of Melvin Gordon's height/weight/build would be less controversial if people took the time to actually watch him play or look at pictures.

If you never look away from the numbers, you'll never see the whole picture.

There are more to "measurables" than simple height and weight. Just because they are concrete doesn't mean they are complete. Arm length? Leg length? Wingspan? Neck length? Shoulder height?

Two players of identical height and weight are not automatically labeled "the same size". You want to talk about "investigating" yet your method is quite lazy.

 
Anyone who disagrees with you hasn't put time into it? Convenient. You say this all the time as if you know what amount of time other people put into it. You saying it doesn't make it so.
I often disagree with people like ZWK and wdcrob on specific players. We might use the same metrics and draw different conclusions about players. At the same time, I know that their opinions come from a place of thorough analysis. They've looked at the numbers in depth and they can back up their opinions with a lot of objective support.

I take their opinions on metrics-related topics a lot more seriously than I would some guy with no frame of reference who still postures like he knows something. As I've said before, if you've never taken Dutch class and you don't speak the language, don't fly to Amsterdam and try to correct everybody's grammar. When ignorant people still insist on broadcasting their opinions on things they haven't studied, it's just obnoxious. I don't think I'm the king of metrics by any means, but I've invested some time in it and I think I have a stronger frame of reference for interpreting measurables than someone who hasn't gone beyond the surface at all.

 
Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
So true.
Being ignorant to the numbers doesn't mean that there are no numbers. If I add up the height-weight of every center in the NBA and find that the average is 6'11" 260 pounds, I can pretty safely say that a 6'9" 245 pound center is shorter and lighter than the typical NBA center. That's all very straightforward. I think the problem is that when people read these statements, a lot of them automatically extend it to say something it doesn't. And then they become defensive. For example, if I say that a typical NBA center is 6'11" 260, they'll interpret that as saying that every center needs to be that size. Obviously that's not the case. Plenty of good ones don't fit the mold. They can be shorter, taller, lighter, or heavier.

Likewise, there are good small backs like CJ Spiller and Reggie Bush. There are good big backs like Doug Martin and MJD. There are good players who are almost perfectly average like Marshawn Lynch. Saying that a player is lighter and leaner than a typical RB prospect doesn't on its own say anything about his prospects or merit. It's simply a statement of fact based on concrete measurables. It's not something that should generate a lot of debate or controversy.

I think metrics would be a little less controversial if more people invested the time that it takes to compile the data and look at the results, but a lot of the critics haven't put any time into it at all, yet still feel entitled to assert their opinion on what the numbers do/don't mean. If you've never spent any real time investigating this stuff, you probably shouldn't get involved in discussions about it.
The topic of Melvin Gordon's height/weight/build would be less controversial if people took the time to actually watch him play or look at pictures.

If you never look away from the numbers, you'll never see the whole picture.

There are more to "measurables" than simple height and weight. Just because they are concrete doesn't mean they are complete. Arm length? Leg length? Wingspan? Neck length? Shoulder height?

Two players of identical height and weight are not automatically labeled "the same size". You want to talk about "investigating" yet your method is quite lazy.
I actually agree with that, but ironically it's a strike against Melvin Gordon since an objective look at him suggests he's relatively top-heavy. I threw out the Reggie Bush comparison for that reason. Two guys with big upper bodies who nevertheless have below average overall bulk and functional running strength.

 
Anyone who disagrees with you hasn't put time into it? Convenient. You say this all the time as if you know what amount of time other people put into it. You saying it doesn't make it so.
I often disagree with people like ZWK and wdcrob on specific players. We might use the same metrics and draw different conclusions about players. At the same time, I know that their opinions come from a place of thorough analysis. They've looked at the numbers in depth and they can back up their opinions with a lot of objective support.

I take their opinions on metrics-related topics a lot more seriously than I would some guy with no frame of reference who still postures like he knows something. As I've said before, if you've never taken Dutch class and you don't speak the language, don't fly to Amsterdam and try to correct everybody's grammar. When ignorant people still insist on broadcasting their opinions on things they haven't studied, it's just obnoxious. I don't think I'm the king of metrics by any means, but I've invested some time in it and I think I have a stronger frame of reference for interpreting measurables than someone who hasn't gone beyond the surface at all.
How do you know what time I or anyone's else has spent on this?
 
Lot's of sleepers in the 2015 draft class who have the potential to blow up as prospects. Seems like there's so many guys who have workhorse size in 2015 relative to past years; more excited about this RB class than any in a while.

Guys like Terrence Magee, Javorius Allen, Tevin Coleman, Shock Linwood, Paul James, and Dwayne Washington are a few names that I don't think have been mentioned that can be added to the names already listed in here who have 1st/2nd round upside imo.
Dwayne Washington is next year's Melvin Gordon.
 
Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
So true.
Being ignorant to the numbers doesn't mean that there are no numbers. If I add up the height-weight of every center in the NBA and find that the average is 6'11" 260 pounds, I can pretty safely say that a 6'9" 245 pound center is shorter and lighter than the typical NBA center. That's all very straightforward. I think the problem is that when people read these statements, a lot of them automatically extend it to say something it doesn't. And then they become defensive. For example, if I say that a typical NBA center is 6'11" 260, they'll interpret that as saying that every center needs to be that size. Obviously that's not the case. Plenty of good ones don't fit the mold. They can be shorter, taller, lighter, or heavier.

Likewise, there are good small backs like CJ Spiller and Reggie Bush. There are good big backs like Doug Martin and MJD. There are good players who are almost perfectly average like Marshawn Lynch. Saying that a player is lighter and leaner than a typical RB prospect doesn't on its own say anything about his prospects or merit. It's simply a statement of fact based on concrete measurables. It's not something that should generate a lot of debate or controversy.

I think metrics would be a little less controversial if more people invested the time that it takes to compile the data and look at the results, but a lot of the critics haven't put any time into it at all, yet still feel entitled to assert their opinion on what the numbers do/don't mean. If you've never spent any real time investigating this stuff, you probably shouldn't get involved in discussions about it.
The topic of Melvin Gordon's height/weight/build would be less controversial if people took the time to actually watch him play or look at pictures.

If you never look away from the numbers, you'll never see the whole picture.

There are more to "measurables" than simple height and weight. Just because they are concrete doesn't mean they are complete. Arm length? Leg length? Wingspan? Neck length? Shoulder height?

Two players of identical height and weight are not automatically labeled "the same size". You want to talk about "investigating" yet your method is quite lazy.
I do my best to ignore the back and forth that you and EBF have, but I gotta agree with EBF when it comes to the same strawman argument you seem to use a lot; you seem to have the inclination that when someone disagrees with you that for some reason implies they don't watch players play. I assure you that's not the case anywhere near how frequent you think it is.

There's nothing wrong with the existence of controversy and people disagreeing with each other anyway. That's what makes FF interesting, and especially dynasty leagues interesting.

 
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Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
So true.
Being ignorant to the numbers doesn't mean that there are no numbers. If I add up the height-weight of every center in the NBA and find that the average is 6'11" 260 pounds, I can pretty safely say that a 6'9" 245 pound center is shorter and lighter than the typical NBA center. That's all very straightforward. I think the problem is that when people read these statements, a lot of them automatically extend it to say something it doesn't. And then they become defensive. For example, if I say that a typical NBA center is 6'11" 260, they'll interpret that as saying that every center needs to be that size. Obviously that's not the case. Plenty of good ones don't fit the mold. They can be shorter, taller, lighter, or heavier.

Likewise, there are good small backs like CJ Spiller and Reggie Bush. There are good big backs like Doug Martin and MJD. There are good players who are almost perfectly average like Marshawn Lynch. Saying that a player is lighter and leaner than a typical RB prospect doesn't on its own say anything about his prospects or merit. It's simply a statement of fact based on concrete measurables. It's not something that should generate a lot of debate or controversy.

I think metrics would be a little less controversial if more people invested the time that it takes to compile the data and look at the results, but a lot of the critics haven't put any time into it at all, yet still feel entitled to assert their opinion on what the numbers do/don't mean. If you've never spent any real time investigating this stuff, you probably shouldn't get involved in discussions about it.
The topic of Melvin Gordon's height/weight/build would be less controversial if people took the time to actually watch him play or look at pictures.If you never look away from the numbers, you'll never see the whole picture.

There are more to "measurables" than simple height and weight. Just because they are concrete doesn't mean they are complete. Arm length? Leg length? Wingspan? Neck length? Shoulder height?

Two players of identical height and weight are not automatically labeled "the same size". You want to talk about "investigating" yet your method is quite lazy.
I do my best to ignore the back and forth that you and EBF have, but I gotta agree with EBF when it comes to the same strawman argument you seem to use a lot; you seem to have the inclination that when someone disagrees with you that for some reason implies they don't watch players play. I assure you that's not the case anywhere near how frequent you think it is.

There's nothing wrong with the existence of controversy and people disagreeing with each other anyway. That's what makes FF interesting, and especially dynasty leagues interesting.
Right. And when someone disagrees with EBF, they're unaware of the numbers. Did you just totally ignore one of his posts toward jurb26 above.Get real.

It's obvious when someone doesn't watch tape. They can't comment on the players actual game play. Instead they ramble on about measurables and draft slot.

 
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Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
So true.
Being ignorant to the numbers doesn't mean that there are no numbers. If I add up the height-weight of every center in the NBA and find that the average is 6'11" 260 pounds, I can pretty safely say that a 6'9" 245 pound center is shorter and lighter than the typical NBA center. That's all very straightforward. I think the problem is that when people read these statements, a lot of them automatically extend it to say something it doesn't. And then they become defensive. For example, if I say that a typical NBA center is 6'11" 260, they'll interpret that as saying that every center needs to be that size. Obviously that's not the case. Plenty of good ones don't fit the mold. They can be shorter, taller, lighter, or heavier.

Likewise, there are good small backs like CJ Spiller and Reggie Bush. There are good big backs like Doug Martin and MJD. There are good players who are almost perfectly average like Marshawn Lynch. Saying that a player is lighter and leaner than a typical RB prospect doesn't on its own say anything about his prospects or merit. It's simply a statement of fact based on concrete measurables. It's not something that should generate a lot of debate or controversy.

I think metrics would be a little less controversial if more people invested the time that it takes to compile the data and look at the results, but a lot of the critics haven't put any time into it at all, yet still feel entitled to assert their opinion on what the numbers do/don't mean. If you've never spent any real time investigating this stuff, you probably shouldn't get involved in discussions about it.
The topic of Melvin Gordon's height/weight/build would be less controversial if people took the time to actually watch him play or look at pictures.If you never look away from the numbers, you'll never see the whole picture.

There are more to "measurables" than simple height and weight. Just because they are concrete doesn't mean they are complete. Arm length? Leg length? Wingspan? Neck length? Shoulder height?

Two players of identical height and weight are not automatically labeled "the same size". You want to talk about "investigating" yet your method is quite lazy.
I do my best to ignore the back and forth that you and EBF have, but I gotta agree with EBF when it comes to the same strawman argument you seem to use a lot; you seem to have the inclination that when someone disagrees with you that for some reason implies they don't watch players play. I assure you that's not the case anywhere near how frequent you think it is.

There's nothing wrong with the existence of controversy and people disagreeing with each other anyway. That's what makes FF interesting, and especially dynasty leagues interesting.
Right. And when someone disagrees with EBF, they're unaware of the numbers. Did you just totally ignore one of his posts toward jurb26 above.Get real.

It's obvious when someone doesn't watch tape. They can't comment on the players actual game play. Instead they ramble on about measurables and draft slot.
As I mentioned in my post you're quoting, I do try my best to ignore the hogwash talk in here. Just happened to catch the first line of that post of yours and thought a comment was worth making.

Just because someone talks about statistics certainly doesn't imply they don't watch game play. It's possible to take both into account. And even if someone doesn't watch any game play, that doesn't mean they can't still provide useful information. Pretty sure Nate Silver doesn't watch half the sports that he runs statistical models for, doesn't mean those statistics are therefore valueless.

 
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Reggie Bush had a huge upper body too. Still doesn't run with any power.

That comes from a combination of mass, lower body strength, leverage, and elusiveness.

I don't think Gordon is ever going to be a bulldozer. He doesn't really have to be. If I were a fanboy I'd look to guys like Charles, Spiller, and CJ2K to justify my optimism instead of trying to insist that he's something he's not. He can be undersized and still have a good career. Doesn't change the fact that he's lighter and leaner than a typical NFL RB prospect.
There is no such thing as a typical NFL RB prospect when it comes to height and weight. Stop spreading this myth.
So true.
Being ignorant to the numbers doesn't mean that there are no numbers. If I add up the height-weight of every center in the NBA and find that the average is 6'11" 260 pounds, I can pretty safely say that a 6'9" 245 pound center is shorter and lighter than the typical NBA center. That's all very straightforward. I think the problem is that when people read these statements, a lot of them automatically extend it to say something it doesn't. And then they become defensive. For example, if I say that a typical NBA center is 6'11" 260, they'll interpret that as saying that every center needs to be that size. Obviously that's not the case. Plenty of good ones don't fit the mold. They can be shorter, taller, lighter, or heavier.

Likewise, there are good small backs like CJ Spiller and Reggie Bush. There are good big backs like Doug Martin and MJD. There are good players who are almost perfectly average like Marshawn Lynch. Saying that a player is lighter and leaner than a typical RB prospect doesn't on its own say anything about his prospects or merit. It's simply a statement of fact based on concrete measurables. It's not something that should generate a lot of debate or controversy.

I think metrics would be a little less controversial if more people invested the time that it takes to compile the data and look at the results, but a lot of the critics haven't put any time into it at all, yet still feel entitled to assert their opinion on what the numbers do/don't mean. If you've never spent any real time investigating this stuff, you probably shouldn't get involved in discussions about it.
The topic of Melvin Gordon's height/weight/build would be less controversial if people took the time to actually watch him play or look at pictures.If you never look away from the numbers, you'll never see the whole picture.

There are more to "measurables" than simple height and weight. Just because they are concrete doesn't mean they are complete. Arm length? Leg length? Wingspan? Neck length? Shoulder height?

Two players of identical height and weight are not automatically labeled "the same size". You want to talk about "investigating" yet your method is quite lazy.
I do my best to ignore the back and forth that you and EBF have, but I gotta agree with EBF when it comes to the same strawman argument you seem to use a lot; you seem to have the inclination that when someone disagrees with you that for some reason implies they don't watch players play. I assure you that's not the case anywhere near how frequent you think it is.

There's nothing wrong with the existence of controversy and people disagreeing with each other anyway. That's what makes FF interesting, and especially dynasty leagues interesting.
Right. And when someone disagrees with EBF, they're unaware of the numbers. Did you just totally ignore one of his posts toward jurb26 above.Get real.

It's obvious when someone doesn't watch tape. They can't comment on the players actual game play. Instead they ramble on about measurables and draft slot.
As I mentioned in my post you're quoting, I do try my best to ignore the hogwash talk in here. Just happened to catch the first line of that post of yours and thought a comment was worth making.

Just because someone talks about statistics certainly doesn't imply they don't watch game play. It's possible to take both into account. And even if someone doesn't watch any game play, that doesn't mean they can't still provide useful information. Pretty sure Nate Silver doesn't watch half the sports that he runs statistical models for, doesn't mean those statistics are therefore valueless.
The first line of that post is just sarcastic mockery of the last paragraph of the EBF post that I quoted.

 
There is nothing wrong with Gordon's size. Nothing what so ever. His running talent is remarkably similar to J. Charles. There is little to no wasted motion and an unreal ability to cut without loss of speed. Better yet, he runs with great vision and doesn't force his speed. Without taking time to consider his running style in relation to his size and frame the size and frame is rather meaningless. Gordon is listed at 6'1" 213 and won't be confused with a big back but he runs with good power and I don't see any reason to worry about that at the NFL level. For reference Charles checked into the combine at 6'1" 200. The way I see it, Gordon is basically a Charles-like prospect with BETTER size.

 
There is nothing wrong with Gordon's size. Nothing what so ever. His running talent is remarkably similar to J. Charles. There is little to no wasted motion and an unreal ability to cut without loss of speed. Better yet, he runs with great vision and doesn't force his speed. Without taking time to consider his running style in relation to his size and frame the size and frame is rather meaningless. Gordon is listed at 6'1" 213 and won't be confused with a big back but he runs with good power and I don't see any reason to worry about that at the NFL level. For reference Charles checked into the combine at 6'1" 200. The way I see it, Gordon is basically a Charles-like prospect with BETTER size.
Charles was actually 5'11" 200 pounds at the combine. Right now Gordon is listed at 6'1" 213. That's good for a BMI of 28.1.

Here are the current successful NFL backs with a similar BMI score:

Reggie Bush - 28.3

Adrian Peterson - 28.3

Jamaal Charles - 27.9

CJ Spiller - 27.7

Chris Johnson - 27.5

Clearly Gordon's size alone will not prevent him from having a successful NFL career. I don't know if anyone has argued otherwise. However, one thing that jumps out about the above group of players is their exceptional speed and mobility. Big backs can get away with mediocre speed and explosion, but there are no thin backs lighting up the NFL without freaky speed and burst. Here are the 40 times of the above backs:

Reggie Bush - 4.37

Adrian Peterson - 4.40

Jamaal Charles - 4.38

CJ Spiller - 4.27

Chris Johnson - 4.24

The average of the group is 4.33 and the worst time is 4.40. Light and thin backs need to be really fast to thrive in the NFL. With that in mind, I'd say that anything above 4.40 would be a somewhat disappointing time for Gordon. The above backs generally tested well in the jumps too, so that's something I'd want to see from Gordon as well. I think he has a track background as a long jumper, so I wouldn't expect that to be a problem for him. The 40 time I'm less sure on. I think he might be capable of 4.3X, but he doesn't have the 100m background that most of these guys had and his speed doesn't pop off the screen in the same way that Spiller's and Johnson's did. I would guess 4.38-4.45 as the range for him. If it's the bottom of that range when the dust settles then that would be a little bit of a red flag for me.

Subjectively, I'm not sure Charles and Gordon are as parallel as they might seem. You can check out their college highlights here and make up you own mind: Charles & Gordon. I think Charles runs a little more compact and fluid with better change-of-direction, whereas Gordon seems a little more straight-line.

 
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Posted Today, 06:08 PM

jurb26, on 19 Aug 2014 - 5:06 PM, said:

There is nothing wrong with Gordon's size. Nothing what so ever. His running talent is remarkably similar to J. Charles. There is little to no wasted motion and an unreal ability to cut without loss of speed. Better yet, he runs with great vision and doesn't force his speed. Without taking time to consider his running style in relation to his size and frame the size and frame is rather meaningless. Gordon is listed at 6'1" 213 and won't be confused with a big back but he runs with good power and I don't see any reason to worry about that at the NFL level. For reference Charles checked into the combine at 6'1" 200. The way I see it, Gordon is basically a Charles-like prospect with BETTER size.
How much difference will the extra ten pounds make in the NFL? I'd say not much considering neither Gordon nor Charles will offer much in the way off power. Running backs in their vein make their living by forcing defender whiffs rather than churning out extra yards. I don't see the same change of direction from Gordon, so I hesitate to comp him to Charles. Even if they have similar style, speed, and burst, Gordon lacks that one characteristic which makes Charles special. The extra 10 pounds doesn't make up for it.

Though, I wouldn't call Gordon's change of direction poor, just not enough to put him on the same pedestal as some around here. Gordon shows he can move around (gif) in hitting this hole; but contrast for comparison's sake to Ameer Abdullah (gif) dodging this defender. It appears obvious to me Abdulah far exceeds in being able to throttle down without changing velocity. Possibly Gordon hasn't given it everything in that clip, but I haven't found any evidence he has similar ability.

 
There is nothing wrong with Gordon's size. Nothing what so ever. His running talent is remarkably similar to J. Charles. There is little to no wasted motion and an unreal ability to cut without loss of speed. Better yet, he runs with great vision and doesn't force his speed. Without taking time to consider his running style in relation to his size and frame the size and frame is rather meaningless. Gordon is listed at 6'1" 213 and won't be confused with a big back but he runs with good power and I don't see any reason to worry about that at the NFL level. For reference Charles checked into the combine at 6'1" 200. The way I see it, Gordon is basically a Charles-like prospect with BETTER size.
Charles was actually 5'11" 200 pounds at the combine. Right now Gordon is listed at 6'1" 213. That's good for a BMI of 28.1.

Here are the current successful NFL backs with a similar BMI score:

Reggie Bush - 28.3

Adrian Peterson - 28.3

Jamaal Charles - 27.9

CJ Spiller - 27.7

Chris Johnson - 27.5

Clearly Gordon's size alone will not prevent him from having a successful NFL career. I don't know if anyone has argued otherwise. However, one thing that jumps out about the above group of players is their exceptional speed and mobility. Big backs can get away with mediocre speed and explosion, but there are no thin backs lighting up the NFL without freaky speed and burst. Here are the 40 times of the above backs:

Reggie Bush - 4.37

Adrian Peterson - 4.40

Jamaal Charles - 4.38

CJ Spiller - 4.27

Chris Johnson - 4.24

The average of the group is 4.33 and the worst time is 4.40. Light and thin backs need to be really fast to thrive in the NFL. With that in mind, I'd say that anything above 4.40 would be a somewhat disappointing time for Gordon. The above backs generally tested well in the jumps too, so that's something I'd want to see from Gordon as well. I think he has a track background as a long jumper, so I wouldn't expect that to be a problem for him. The 40 time I'm less sure on. I think he might be capable of 4.3X, but he doesn't have the 100m background that most of these guys had and his speed doesn't pop off the screen in the same way that Spiller's and Johnson's did. I would guess 4.38-4.45 as the range for him. If it's the bottom of that range when the dust settles then that would be a little bit of a red flag for me.

Subjectively, I'm not sure Charles and Gordon are as parallel as they might seem. You can check out their college highlights here and make up you own mind:

How conveniently misleading it is that you leave out LeSean McCoy and Matt Forte.And we are still labeling Gordon straight-line. Did you totally ignore the video posted? Guys like DeMarco Murray and Knile Davis are straight-line and can't make the kind of cuts or show the shiftiness that Gordon has.

I'd say Gordon is in between Charles and Murray and he has much better pad level than Murray.

 
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cloppbeast said:
There is nothing wrong with Gordon's size. Nothing what so ever. His running talent is remarkably similar to J. Charles. There is little to no wasted motion and an unreal ability to cut without loss of speed. Better yet, he runs with great vision and doesn't force his speed. Without taking time to consider his running style in relation to his size and frame the size and frame is rather meaningless. Gordon is listed at 6'1" 213 and won't be confused with a big back but he runs with good power and I don't see any reason to worry about that at the NFL level. For reference Charles checked into the combine at 6'1" 200. The way I see it, Gordon is basically a Charles-like prospect with BETTER size.
How much difference will the extra ten pounds make in the NFL? I'd say not much considering neither Gordon nor Charles will offer much in the way off power. Running backs in their vein make their living by forcing defender whiffs rather than churning out extra yards. I don't see the same change of direction from Gordon, so I hesitate to comp him to Charles. Even if they have similar style, speed, and burst, Gordon lacks that one characteristic which makes Charles special. The extra 10 pounds doesn't make up for it.

Though, I wouldn't call Gordon's change of direction poor, just not enough to put him on the same pedestal as some around here. Gordon shows he can move around (gif) in hitting this hole; but contrast for comparison's sake to Ameer Abdullah (gif) dodging this defender. It appears obvious to me Abdulah far exceeds in being able to throttle down without changing velocity. Possibly Gordon hasn't given it everything in that clip, but I haven't found any evidence he has similar ability.
To me the difference in those runs is the ability of Gordon to read the hole early enough to not NEED that dramatic cut. It doesn't mean he can't make it. Gordon began his adjustment to that on coming defender before he even hand the handoff. Notice the hard plant on his left foot, outside foot which is correct mind you, as he's taking the handoff. The early adjustment allowed him a smoother transition to get outside his T and the outreaching guy he was engaged with. I don't think he makes that secondary hole without his great recognition and burst to that lane early. Had he waited the dramatic cut would have reduced his angle and compromised the run. Abdulah was in more of an open field scenario and needed the dramatic cut because he was running at greater speed.

To me the Gordon run is more impressive because it happens in traffic at the LOS and in tighter space. It required vision and eye discipline. I'm not saying Abdulah doesn't have that. I just haven't seen it like I have with Gordon.

Abdullah's run looks more aesthetically pleasing because it is more dramatic in movement. That doesn't make it the better run IMO.

 

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