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About BoltBacker

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  1. This is the problem I had with him coming into the league. Some people are making it sound like last year was some sort of unusual fluke. Coming out of college he was a guy that got stuffed around the line of scrimmage often(with or without a FB) and that was only offset by the fact he had big plays for TD's. Being one of the best athletes on the field in college is a lot different than being just a good athlete like everyone else in the NFL. Long TD's offsetting getting stuffed is a whole lot different than 6 runs of 20 yards on nearly 200 carries.
  2. Well, I am not assuming Roby regresses. I'm saying if he was a good nickel back he may not be as good a starter, and nobody is proven to replace his role as a nickel back. I'm also saying that if your definition of "fully recovering" means being more athletic than before he shot himself.... yeah, I don't think Talib is going to "fully recover". Ray may advance, but it's a guess if he can play LB in space. There are plenty of smart folks that didn't think he was every a good prospect to be an NFL level LB coming into the league and I haven't seen anything that points to them being wrong. Ware is a 34yo LB with a bad back. I guess it's a pessimistic view to think he may not be the same player in 2016 that he was in 2015. Pessimistic. Realistic. Potatoe. Pototoe. But let's get back to what you were saying, the broncos defense will be better than they were last year. Do you mean they will give up fewer than 283 yards per game, or give up fewer than 18.5 points per game?
  3. That's kind of how I was with Carlos Hyde in the 4th round and Latavius Murray in the 5th. I kept thinking I was going to hammer that value before people caught on but they never moved up so I kept taking them while others are convinced that guys like Jordan Mathews(leaving a fast offense tailor-made for him to an offense that is slow and hates slot WR's) and a 33yo Larry Fitzgerald were more "safe". I still don't get it but I haven't drafted in awhile. Ended up with more of Hyde/Murray than I should probably be exposed to but I'll take that risk.
  4. I couldn't disagree more. IMO a commissioner should be like a ref. If a guy really stands out... he's bad at it. All you are asking is consistency from a ref or a commish and it really seems like the NFL is being run by a magic 8-ball at this point. IMO that's the real reason everyone in the NFL was scared ######## to draft Tunsil.... because nobody has a bloody clue what Goodell will do, including Goodell. ONE slightly deflated football with no evidence of any kind..... four game suspension. Multiple drug failures by a repeat drug offender..... three game suspension(no matter what the rules state). Oh, and just for good measure we are already taking steps for his next(inevitable?) violation will only be 4 games. Which by NFL math means 3 games based on the NFL's "N-1 principle" in dealing with Bell. Remember that time they changed the rules after the fact and Welker was suddenly innocent of a rule he violated? How do you retroactively change rules that have already been broken and enforce rules that you have no evidence were ever broken in the first place? Step right up and spin the wheel..... no rhyme or reason to disciplinary action. Oh, and nobody on the sidelines, in the stands, or commentating in a booth is 100% sure if a catch has been made. Genius. MOP was crazy in my mind when he started this thread, but it turns out not only was he right and I was wrong but MOP was actually under-selling just how bad Goodell would become. At this point I think the owners are loving the monster they have created because the players are going to waste bargaining power wrestling discipline away from Goodell instead of getting a bigger share of revenues or dealing with the franchise tag.
  5. Well I don't know how anyone can spin that Malik Jackson and Danny Trevathan weren't huge contributors last year, so just losing those two guys is a big deal. Then you go on to guys like Ware(after 7 months off is his back even allowing him to practice yet?) and Talib are unlikely to play to the level they did last year. Let's pretend Talib not being able to remember whether he shot himself or not because he was in such a drunken stuper at the the time is a complete non-factor, by the end of the year last season it looked like Talib was crossing over from the "physical CB" side of the line to "clutch-grab-pray" territory made famous by Brandon Browner. One of the guys that was supposed to replace Jackson was Vance Walker and he's out for the year. By my math that means their DL, LB, and DB's have taken a step back. Are Roby/Ray ready to step up and play a much bigger role? Maybe. So if they step up and replace Ware/Talib.... who replaces Roby and Ray from last year? I find Ray particularly interesting because I think the transition from situational "LB" that only passes the QB to an every down LB(assuming he plays more to replace Ware's snaps) will be fun to watch. Before he was drafted it was a near consensus among the draft community he couldn't play LB because he didn't have the athleticism to play in space. You can hide that by being a glorified DE in a limited role on passing downs, not so much as an every down player. Did Cecil think CJ Anderson had top 5 RB potential last year? Well, he was close. He was top 2 in the regular season on his own team to Ronnie Hillman who Cecil has been saying for years may not even make the roster.
  6. You shouldn't look at it like that, if you only really like a few of those guys you probably got most of them for a pretty good value based on ADP. The only high pick among them is Hopkins.... why were you drafting Hopkins if you didn't really like him? The other guys are more roster fillers and if you can get them at a good value leaning on the wisdom of crowds isn't a bad way to shore up an area of weakness. I have a lot of Garcon/Colts D but I like Hurns where he is going. Wallace seems like he is trending up.
  7. I can understand them wanting to avoid turnovers by starting Siemian, but that's assuming the bronco defense is equal or better to last years defense that won games on their own. Raise your hand if you think the bronco defense is going to be as good as last years bronco defense. If not, won't they need more production out of the QB position?
  8. Justin Hunter - WR - Titans The Nashville Tennessean believes Justin Hunter could meet a "similar fate" to Dorial Green-Beckham in Tennessee. Hunter himself admits his roster spot is in danger. "It is still going to be hard (to make the team) because we have a lot of talented receivers in the group," Hunter said. "I feel like everybody is on the chopping block. We have a new GM, and he didn’t draft too many people in here. Anybody could go at this point, and we are all fighting for a spot." ESPN's Paul Kuharsky believes Hunter is a "goner." He'll either be cut or traded for a day-three pick, probably a conditional one at that. Source: Nashville Tennessean
  9. You disagree with what? You quoted me responding to this.... " Brates is doing and saying all the right things but he's not going to have much of a role this year unless Austin Seferian-Jenkins gets hurt. " I don't really have a dog in the fight I'm just shocked that we hear the complete opposite from this situation every few days.
  10. Yeah, I think it is pretty typical to need a tripod/monopod/beanbag(if shooting on the ground) if you are using most tele lenses. The necessity of carrying tripods is one of the reasons I've leaned away from dSLR equipment as well, along with the fact the equipment is pretty heavy. I generally take a lot of my photos off the beaten path so I don't mind carrying a carbon-fiber monopod as a walking stick but I would almost rather simply carry a mirror-less(APS-C sensor) with a pancake wide lens and one of the high end point-and-shoots mega zooms that work ok with just a monopod if you are hiking during the day(as most people do) and have plenty of light. I find that combination is usually lighter(and sometimes cheaper) than a dSLR/Wide Lens/Tele Lens/Tripod. IMO both Sony and Samsung offer great bang for the buck in mirror-less. Canon actually has a mirror-less that you can find at pretty good values from time to time, but be sure to upgrade the firmware. You need an adapter to use your EF/EFS lenses. Those Sony's came out so often with so many new models the secondary market is pretty soft and sometimes you can find screaming deals on them if you don't mind buying used. I wouldn't judge Tamron too harshly based on the their 18-270mm, really all those mega zooms struggle when being compared to even inexpensive primes in terms of sharpness. Tamron and Sigma make some pretty nice lenses.
  11. I thought the point was you need more carries to give you more data because "the concept that each individual player has their own mean that they regress or progress towards" Would 5 years of data or 4 years of data give you a more accurate picture of a players mean? Trent Richardson was a player. Does he fit within the subset of "all players"?
  12. TEN already gave up DGB for a backup OL, I have been saying even before the Stevie Johnson injury the Chargers should be chasing Hunter(Wish they would have traded for DGB but they don't have a backup OL)...... Justin Hunter - WR - Titans ESPN Titans reporter Paul Kuharsky still believes Justin Hunter is a "goner" in Tennessee. In other words, even the Dorial Green-Beckham trade isn't going to save Hunter. The Titans would probably take anything they can get for the former second-round pick, but his trade value is nil. He's still behind Rishard Matthews, Tajae Sharpe, Kendall Wright, Andre Johnson, and Tre McBride on the depth chart. If cut, we'd expect a team to claim Hunter when he hits waivers. Source:
  13. Wow, what a great photo. Did you use a monopod/tripod with the 150-600mm? Did you return it do to weight(since you are considering switching to mirrorless)?