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az_prof

Member Since 18 Jul 2003
Offline Last Active Jul 25 2015 10:41 AM
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Posts I've Made

In Topic: Isaiah Crowell

16 July 2015 - 10:01 PM

I like Duke Johnson a lot, especially in PPR.  I think he will find his way on the field more and more once he proves he is reliable.


In Topic: Montee Ball

30 May 2015 - 11:15 PM

What kind of value does Ball have in dynasty? I have Anderson in one league and tried picking Ball up and he will only take my 1.11 pick. I have Ball in another dynasty that I am rebuilding and I have been trying to sell him to the Anderson owner and he would only offer a very late 3rd.

He is probably worth an early to mid second round pick. I wouldn't take a third round pick for him.  And I probably wouldn't give up a first.  Although he is closer to the late first and the third IMO.  That situation is fluid and you have a new coaching staff. Ball was dealing with hernia surgery last year. I am not sure that Anderson is really any better myself.


In Topic: Dynasty & Redraft: WR Allen Robinson, Jaguars

05 February 2015 - 10:08 AM

 

 

I own Robinson but if you look at his stats from last year where his best game was against the Dolphins, 5 receptions for 82 yards and 1 TD, its a nice game but nothing spectacular.  Might even be considered a regular or even ho-hum day from an A.J. Green or O'Dell Beckam or Mike Evans owner but that was Allen Robinson's high water mark from last year.  A year where he only scored 2 TDs and his highest reception game was 7. 

 

Jury is still out on  Blake Bortles and they won't be throwing the ball a ton with an unproven QB like that and as noted Justin Blackmon is expected back and TE Mercedes Lewis should also be back healthy and both Marquise Lee and Allen Hurns are in the picture so I see a lot of competition in an offense where their probably won't be a lot of targets to go around.

meh.

 

he didn't have the benefit of a full offseason. injuries kept him off the field most of the OTAs and minicamp. he was out all of August too. it's difficult to expect someone - much less a rookie - to step up like he did. the numbers say he was productive, if unremarkable, but the numbers also say something else in the proper context. he did fine in those few games under the circumstances. had a few more TDs been sprinkled into his rookie season then we'd all be more bullish on him.

 

the entire Jax offense sucked. they averaged 15 ppg and were near the bottom of almost every offensive statistical category. they changed OC's and want to develop Bortles. i expect them to continue to improve even if it is only marginally.

 

You see the bolded section above as an excuse for lack of production; I see it as a warning flag.  He ended the year with surgery  on his foot.  Foot injuries can be problematic and recur.  For a young player to be injured so much from OTAs to regular season gives me pause.

 

Second, as others have said, this is not a good situation. Young and unproven QB who didn't look great in his rookie year and lots of possible competition.  He was a late first to mid-second round pick last year and I don't see how he improved his stock.  If I believed in him and was prepared to wait a couple of years, I would offer late first (1.10-1.12).  If he hadn't had season ending surgery and if he didn't have what I think is a bad QB, I could see going up to 1.06.


In Topic: Bettis = Hall Of Famer?

02 February 2015 - 11:17 AM

He was a very good player but he was not elite and should not be in the HOF. Again, this is no knock on him but there were more deserving players.  As for why he got in, I don't know, but it is part popularity contest and part notoriety and part performance.


In Topic: Patriots being investigated after Colts game

02 February 2015 - 11:09 AM

N.E. was awarded the Lombardi trophy, not a silver-plated asterick.  The results are final.

It will always be an asterick both for the AFC championship game and for their dynasty.  If you want to root for cheaters, enjoy yourself.  In my experience, cheaters usually cheat much more often than they are caught.  NE has been caught twice now.  The NFL doesn't want to punish them because then they look bad for permitting the cheating in the first place and all they care about is viewers and money.  Most people are lemmings and don't care so the NFL will sweep this under the rug along with the deleted Bellicheat tapes.