I own Robinson but if you look at his stats from last year where his best game was against the Dolphins, 5 receptions for 82 yards and 1 TD, its a nice game but nothing spectacular. Might even be considered a regular or even ho-hum day from an A.J. Green or O'Dell Beckam or Mike Evans owner but that was Allen Robinson's high water mark from last year. A year where he only scored 2 TDs and his highest reception game was 7.
Jury is still out on Blake Bortles and they won't be throwing the ball a ton with an unproven QB like that and as noted Justin Blackmon is expected back and TE Mercedes Lewis should also be back healthy and both Marquise Lee and Allen Hurns are in the picture so I see a lot of competition in an offense where their probably won't be a lot of targets to go around.
he didn't have the benefit of a full offseason. injuries kept him off the field most of the OTAs and minicamp. he was out all of August too. it's difficult to expect someone - much less a rookie - to step up like he did. the numbers say he was productive, if unremarkable, but the numbers also say something else in the proper context. he did fine in those few games under the circumstances. had a few more TDs been sprinkled into his rookie season then we'd all be more bullish on him.
the entire Jax offense sucked. they averaged 15 ppg and were near the bottom of almost every offensive statistical category. they changed OC's and want to develop Bortles. i expect them to continue to improve even if it is only marginally.
You see the bolded section above as an excuse for lack of production; I see it as a warning flag. He ended the year with surgery on his foot. Foot injuries can be problematic and recur. For a young player to be injured so much from OTAs to regular season gives me pause.
Second, as others have said, this is not a good situation. Young and unproven QB who didn't look great in his rookie year and lots of possible competition. He was a late first to mid-second round pick last year and I don't see how he improved his stock. If I believed in him and was prepared to wait a couple of years, I would offer late first (1.10-1.12). If he hadn't had season ending surgery and if he didn't have what I think is a bad QB, I could see going up to 1.06.